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Antonio Garcia Pascual 0000000404811396 https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Jay Surti 0000000404811396 https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Annex 1. Actions of Select Central Banks to Support Markets during March 2020 Turmoil

Annex Table 1.1.

Selected Central Bank Facilities to Support Funding Markets

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Sources: National central banks. See hyperlinks for more details

Annex 2. MMF Reforms after the GFC

United States

The SEC adopted a first series of amendments to its rules on MMFs in 2010 that were designed to make these funds more resilient by reducing the interest rate, credit, and liquidity risks of their portfolios. Although the reforms improved MMF resilience, the SEC said at the time that it would continue to consider whether further, more fundamental changes to MMF regulation might be warranted. After further review, in July 2014 the SEC adopted more fundamental structural changes to the regulations of MMFs. These reforms required non-government institutional MMFs to “foat their NAV” (no longer maintain a stable price) and provided non-government MMF boards with new tools—liquidity fees and redemption gates—to address runs. Although these measures were adopted before the last US FSAP, they did not take effect until October 2016. MMFs that qualify as “government MMFs” and “retail MMFs” are still permitted to use the amortized cost method and/ or penny rounding method of pricing to seek to maintain a stable share price. A government MMF is defined as any MMF that invests 99.5 percent or more of its total assets in cash, government securities, and/or repurchase agreements that are collateralized fully by government securities or cash and meet certain other regulatory requirements with respect to value and custody. A retail MMF is defined as a MMF that has policies and procedures reasonably designed to limit all beneficial owners of the MMF to natural persons. The broad reasoning behind this approach is that, for government MMFs, the safety of the eligible portfolio securities is such that a stable NAV is justified, while for retail MMFs the more patient holding strategy of the investors (who, according to historical holding patterns, are less likely to “run” during periods of stress) means that a stable NAV continues to be appropriate.

European Union (EU)

In the EU, the MMF Regulation (MMFR) took effect in July 2018. The new framework distinguished between three types of MMF: VNAV MMFs; public debt constant net asset value MMFs (public debt CNAV); and low volatility net asset value MMFs (LVNAV MMFs). VNAV can either be set up as short-term MMF or standard MMF which are subject to different portfolio rules, whereas public debt CNAV MMF and LVNAV MMF may only be set up as short-term MMF. The MMFR applies alongside the two cornerstones of EU investment fund regulation, the UCITS Directive and the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive.

Asia

Originally all MMFs in China were CNAV MMFs. A set of reforms that began in 2014 limited the types of asset in which MMFs can invest, strengthened requirements around liquidity risk management and sought to improve disclosures. The reforms also led eventually to the establishment of a pilot VNAV MMF in August 2019. In Japan, there were historically two categories of MMF vehicle: the Money Management Fund (JMMF) launched in 1992, and the Money Reserve Fund (MRF) launched in 1997. JMMFs and MRFs take the form of investment trusts which invest primarily in MMIs as well as government and corporate bonds with limited maturities according to the relevant legal provisions. In terms of AuM, JMMFs historically represented approximately one third of the combined MRF and JMMF TNA in 2010. JMMF have nevertheless progressively reduced in size and market share. Since May 2017, there are no longer any JMMFs in Japan. MRFs are used by broker-dealers in Japan for the purpose of settlement and pooling of cash, given the prohibition on broker-dealers accepting deposits. Given this specific purpose, MRFs are CNAV MMFs.

Annex 3. Detailed Presentation of MMF Policy Options

Annex 3.

Detailed Presentation of MMF Policy Options

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Annex 4. Recent Developments on International Standards for OEFs

International standards on financial stability issues relating to OEFs have been further developed in recent years. There has been significant work by the FSB and IOSCO devoted to developing policy on relevant OEF areas that has translated into enhanced standards on a number of areas.

The FSB issued policy recommendations to address structural vulnerabilities from asset management activities in 2017, focused on four areas: (i) liquidity mismatch between investments and redemption terms and conditions; (ii) leverage within funds; (iii) operational risk and challenges at asset managers in stressed conditions; and (iv) securities lending activities of asset managers and funds.

IOSCO issued two important documents in 2018 and 2019 covering LRM and leverage.

  • Recommendations for LRM for Collective Investment Schemes (2018), build on the 2012 Principles, elaborating on issues like suitability of dealing frequency of funds’ units to better align assets and liabilities; disclosure of funds’ liquidity profiles; operability of liquidity management tools; and fund level stress testing. The document also includes new recommendations on contingency planning.

  • Recommendations for a framework to assessing leverage in investment funds (2019) develop a two-step framework to facilitate more meaningful monitoring, using measures of leverage to first identify and analyze funds that may pose financial stability risks, followed by further analysis of such funds. IOSCO is expected to collect leverage data from its membership to implement step 1.

IOSCO’s work on OEFs goes beyond what is summarized here.

While IOSCO’s work on LRM and leverage offers significant guidance, its recommendations may not prove fully effective in addressing potential financial stability issues. Due to the complexity and diversity of the sector and numerous important differences in national legal frameworks, the recommendations necessarily remain high-level, leaving a number of key issues open to discretion. Moreover, a number of recommendations are applicable only to the extent that regulatory frameworks permit which also weakens their effectiveness.

Providing supplementary guidance to supervisors on specific areas relevant to financial stability would greatly improve international standards. While obtaining consensus on every regulatory and supervisory item around OEFs is overly complex and unnecessary, reaching agreement on the key areas that impact for how OEFs behave in relation to systemic risk will prove very beneficial. Some of these, where we believe more concrete guidance is necessary are fagged in Chapter 4 of this paper, including aligning liquidity and frequency of redemptions at the design phase, widening the availability of LRM tools and broader use of swing pricing.

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1

There are some exceptions, such as certain mutual funds that offer monthly or quarterly liquidity. However, such funds represent a small fraction of total assets under management. We are generally excluding private funds including private equity, hedge funds, and family offices from this paper, which tend to feature lock ups.

1

Market-based finance can be understood as liquidity, maturity and credit transformation services provided by non-bank financial intermediaries to institutional and retail investors. Relative to banks’ provision of these services, market-based financial intermediaries do not necessarily support their business with large balance-sheets and equity; hence, they can pass on a significantly larger (range of) financial risks to end-investors.

2

For the purpose of this paper, when we refer to investment funds, we include money market funds, open ended funds such as mutual funds, closed end funds, and exchange traded funds. We exclude hedge funds, private equity funds, family offices, pension funds, and insurance funds.

3

Financial Stability Board (2020b).

4

IMF (2020b) and Hespeler and Suntheim (2020). This paper does not assess the implications for other parts of the NBFI universe implicated by the March 2020 market turmoil and other recent events in advanced economies and EMDEs, including elevated interconnectedness of NBFIs and banks and data gaps related to the same; procyclicality of CCP margins; and the impact of rising life expectancy and persistently low interest rates for pension funds and life insurers.

5

Annex 1 provides details regarding select central bank facilities to support funding markets.

6

Post-GFC reform applicable to investment funds differed across countries. For example, while the United States removed stable net-asset-valuation (CNAV) practice for non-government MMFs offered to institutional investors outright by 2016, corresponding reform in the European Union was not based on an equally stark boundary depending on investors and assets.

7

In the aftermath of the March 2020 events, the FSB is looking at the issues around NBFI, as part of its holistic review program of the March 2020 events (FSB 2020a) and has set up a Steering Committee on NBFIs.

8

The trade-of between protecting the financial system against collapse by providing official backstops in emergency situations and engendering moral hazard reflected in an increase in risk appetite of the private sector in normal times is fundamental. The logic of the waterfall of policy interventions with central bank emergency liquidity assistance placed at the end is to attenuate this trade-of in two ways. First, policy tools placed higher in the waterfall serve to tighten prudential rules governing the operation of investment funds. Second, placing central bank backstop at the bottom of the waterfall reserves its use for situations where its option value is highest, namely, in the tail of the shock distribution.

1

It is important to note that market-based financial intermediation, particularly debt markets, provide an important countercyclical buffer against shocks by providing firms and financial institutions with a spare tire to secure the (re)financing necessary to maintain operations. Evidence from the United States demonstrates that issuance in primary debt markets can partially fill funding gaps opened by crisis-induced declines in the supply of bank loans, in particular for bigger, higher rated and less leveraged issuers and/or those which have more tangible assets and broader opportunities for additional investments (Adrian, Colla and Shin 2012).

2

Principle 6 (The Regulator should have or contribute to a process to identify, monitor, mitigate and manage systemic risk, appropriate to its mandate) was added in the 2010 update of IOSCO Objectives and Principles.

3

Examples include recommendations of the US FSAP 2015 for the entire securities sector and the Technical Notes on securities regulatory and supervisory issues in recent FSAPs, including Ireland 2016, U.K. 2016, Germany 2016, Luxembourg 2017, The Netherlands 2017, New Zealand 2017, Sweden 2017, Brazil 2018, and the US 2020.

1

Annex 2 details MMF policy reform undertaken in the European Union, Asian countries, and the United States after the GFC.

2

CNAV MMFs seek to maintain an unchanging face value NAV (for example $1/€1 per unit/share) with assets generally valued on an amortized cost basis. From an investor perspective, this makes CNAV MMF shares isomorphic to demand deposits from a safety of capital preservation perspective (in normal times). Absent deposit insurance-like protection, however, it opens up CNAV MMFs to strategic complementarity driven redemption runs (Diamond and Dybvig 1983).

3

Specifically, if the weekly liquid asset (WLA) buffer share falls to below 30 percent of total net assets of the MMF, where WLA includes cash, US Treasury securities, certain other government securities with remaining maturities of 60 days or fewer, and securities that convert into cash within one week. See: https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2014-143. European rules also define a specific threshold at which a fund’s board of directors may consider applying a fee or gate (30 percent weekly liquidity), followed by another threshold at which the fund must apply a fee or gate (10 percent weekly liquidity). The United States also has an additional 10 percent WLA tier rule.

4

IOSCO (2012). Participating jurisdictions included Brazil, China, France, India, Ireland, Japan, Luxembourg, the United Kingdom and the United States, together representing 95 percent of the total net assets managed by MMFs worldwide.

5

Robustness checks showed the insignificance of other potential redemption drivers in last year’s events, including the degree of investor sophistication, availability of (bank) sponsor support, and factors that were important in 2008, such as MMF performance and the degree of their exposure to less liquid assets (long-term debt).

6

The US impact will be less significant since only retail prime MMFs have CNAV structures now.

7

Other variations have been discussed, for example, adjusting the buffer to the share of institutional investors in the fund. These may have merit also, but their complexity could impose costs on both the industry and supervisors. Hence, it is preferable to proceed by strengthening existing buffers before assessing the merits of other mechanisms.

8

Chernenko and Sunderam (2019) show in the context of equity mutual funds that provision of incentives to fund managers to internalize fire-sale externalities increases their holdings of cash buffers and their use in meeting redemption spikes. Raising prime MMF WLA buffers and making them countercyclical would serve the same purpose.

9

Access to central bank facilities to government MMFs is less susceptible to moral hazard and faces less ambiguity concerning its net welfare implications.

10

Annex 3 contains a detailed summary of several proposals. See also US Department of the Treasury (2020) and FSB (2021).

11

For example, US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles includes MMFs as an example of a cash equivalent exposure and the US Securities and Exchange Commission has clarified that this treatment extends to MMFs that have the ability to gate or penalize redemptions under normal market conditions. In the EU, IAS 7 defines cash equivalents as “short-term, highly liquid investments that are readily convertible to known amounts of cash and which are subject to an insignificant risk of changes in value.” The French Accounting Standards Authority and the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (Financial Markets Regulator) clarified that funds authorized under the MMF regulation would benefit from a presumption of eligibility for classification as cash equivalents, albeit acknowledge that this “presumption of risk negligible variation in the value of these funds can be refuted in view of the facts and circumstances relating to market developments, especially in times of stress.”

12

Building on IOSCO’s Recommendation 8—MMFs should periodically conduct appropriate stress testing.

13

See Recommendations of the most recent FSAPs of the United States (2020) and Ireland (2016). Eventually, given the extensive cross-border nature of the business, global top-down stress tests utilizing harmonized data reporting would be a useful add-on to national stress tests.

1

In the first half of 2020, mutual funds suspended withdrawals from funds with a total of $62 billion in assets under management, 0.11 percent of the sector’s total assets. Of the funds that suspended redemptions, real estate funds were the most prevalent.

2

Bao and others (2018) attribute this to the implementation of the Volcker Rule rather than other elements of Basel III.

3

Operational factors have been cited as a material factor impeding use by US OEFs. (https://www.sec.gov/rules/final/2016/33-10234.pdf) while regulatory proscription may be a factor in countries like Germany.

5

Conceptually, designing swing pricing optimally is a problem of Bayesian (persuasion) mechanism design, to neutralize value destroying strategic complementarities. See Kamenica and Gentzkow (2014) and Goldstein and Huang (2016).

6

To avoid setting swing factors too low, funds could be asked to take market-wide redemption and liquidity conditions into account when calibrating the size of the swing factor. And supervisory action may be required to ensure coordinated and universal adaptation by the industry of this practice.

7

See, for example, IMF (2016b, 2016c, 2017, 2018, 2020b, 2020c). Currently, Recommendation 17 in the IOSCO Recommendations for LRM states that “responsible entities should consider the implementation of additional liquidity management tools to the extent allowed by local law and reglation.”

8

OEFs dedicated to insurance products (for example, variable annuities) may be more flexible in terms of redemption, including redemption-in-kind, as insurers are less likely to face significant redemption pressure.

9

See Annex 4.

10

This could possibly be done in combination with fostering secondary markets for fund shares to allow investors access to liquidity even if redemptions are restricted. For example, while secondary market trading activity in German open-end real estate fund shares seems to have been very limited in the past, it has been increasing following the introduction of minimum holding periods and mandatory notice periods in 2011 (Gerlach and Maurer 2020).

11

The United States has recently amended rules on use of derivatives by investment funds and improved reporting via Form N-PORT (including monthly portfolio composition), which should provide an enhancement in data collection and oversight. For the European Undertakings for the Collective Investments in Transferable Securities (UCITS) market, detailed reporting requirements are in place only on a selected basis in some countries and there is no EU-wide reporting framework. The European Securities Markets Association’s guidance on UCITS use of leverage requires funds to choose between specific methodologies and to disclose—via prospectus and annual reports—the expected level of leverage. The IMF’s Financial Soundness Indicators Guide (2019) represents a step in this direction, presenting a uniform measurement methodology for key financial indicators for MMFs.

1

These trends vary across countries, with foreign non-bank investors accounting for almost 50 percent of the total investors in some countries, such as Peru and Uruguay, while they are relatively marginal in China and India (Figure 8, panel 5).

2

At the other end of the spectrum are unconstrained multi-sector bond funds who freely choose portfolio allocations unshackled of benchmark indices. The end-investors in benchmark-driven funds and unconstrained funds such as open-end multi-sector bond funds can be retail or institutional.

3

Almost 30 percent of EM funds benchmarked invest in local sovereign debt, 45 percent invest in EM of-shore sovereign debt and about 15 percent in EM offshore corporate debt.

4

The active share of a fund is defined as the sum of the absolute value of deviations of the fund’s country weights from those of the benchmark (Cremers and Petajisto 2009).

5

This finding is corroborated using other metrics, such as the average tracking error—the difference between the return of a fund and its benchmark—of EM local bond funds.

6

Miyajima and Shim (2014) show that asset managers investing in EMs tend to behave in a correlated manner. Some of this behavior is because of common or similar portfolio benchmarks and the directional co-movement of end-investor flows.

7

Latest data highlights that median frontier financial market depth is at 0.08 which compares with 0.33 for emerging financial market depth and 0.63 for advanced financial market depth (Figure 8, panel 4). While domestic financial deepening helps reduce yield volatility, greater foreign participation in local currency bond markets increases it beyond certain thresholds (IMF 2020).

8

In terms of the relative importance, Egypt, Nigeria and Ghana have the highest weights at 2.6, 1.5, and 1.5 percent of EMBIG Global Diversified respectively (Figure 11, panel 2).

9

Assigning index components in a direct proportion to the market cap can also induce financial stability issues and doesn’t address all these concerns. It may induce market discipline distortions raising issuer incentives to increase leverage and also expose the benchmark driven investors to more vulnerable and highly indebted issuers.

10

The spillovers work in the other direction as well as highlighted in the study by Raddatz and others (2017). In June 2013, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates were upgraded from the MSCI Frontier Markets Index to the MSCI EM Index. Since these countries accounted for about 40 percent of the MSCI FM Index, the funds tracking benchmarked had to significantly increase their loading in the other frontier countries sharing the index, resulting in significant inflows and stock market price increases in countries such as Kuwait, Nigeria, and Pakistan.

11

Of total assets under management of $1 trillion, the 40 largest MSBFs’ EM investments ranged from $100–$160 billion in recent years. The bulk of their EM investments are in sovereign bonds and bonds of state-owned enterprises. As of Q2: 2020, these EM investments amounted to $85 billion and $15 billion, respectively.

12

During the last decade, these 40 MSBFs accounted at times for greater than 20 percent of the foreign investor base of sovereign bond markets in Hungary, Malaysia, Ukraine, and Uruguay. More recently, they exceeded 10 percent of the foreign investor base in Brazil, India, and Mexico. MSBFs reached historical lows in their investment concentration in many EMs following the COVID-19 crisis (as of Q2: 2020) as they rebalanced their portfolios into safer assets and sold positions in response to redemptions.

13

A good example is Indonesia’s corporate prudential foreign exchange regulation which requires a minimum rating and hedging of short-term external debt to help moderate risks from corporate external debt.

14

Transparent and efficient accounting standards and legal frameworks have been shown to help reduce the adverse effects from global financial shocks (Brandão-Marques and others 2018; Gelos and Wei 2003).

15

A premature or partial inclusion of debt instruments in international bond indices can introduce bond-market fragmentation or concentration risks, respectively.

16

Ireland, Luxembourg, the United Kingdom, and the United States are examples of countries wherein EME funds are domiciled and that have already made available policy tools to manage internal fund liquidity (IOSCO 2018).

17

UCITS-eligible funds are subject to a 10 percent limit on the amount that a portfolio can hold of a single issue; and, for the aggregate investment in which the UCITS fund invests, no more than 5 percent of the assets can exceed 40 percent of the value of the portfolio. In addition to the concentration limits under the EU UCITS Directive IV, UCITS must explicitly address liquidity risk in the portfolio, although the guidelines lack specificity. In the United States, the 1940 Investment Company Act states that, for 75 percent of the portfolio of a diversified fund, investment in a single issuer is limited to 5 percent of the value of the fund’s total assets and 10 percent of the outstanding voting securities of the issuer (and therefore contrary to UCITS, there is no portfolio aggregation limit); for the remaining 25 percent of the fund’s assets, there is no concentration limit and they can be invested in a single issuer.

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