Abstract
The September 2011 issue of the IMF's quarterly "Research Bulletin" features a Q&A discussion about economic recovery in countries emerging after war or other open. The research summaries in this issue include: "Revisiting Capital Controls"; and "Capital Flows and Financial Stability: Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Responses." The September issue also provides details on IMF visiting scholars (mainly during the September - December 2011 period), as well as recent Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes published by the IMF.
Working Paper 11/101
Development of Financial Markets in Central Europe: The Case of the CE4 Countries
Adarov, Amat; Tchaidze, Robert
Working Paper 11/102
Oil Spill(over)s: Linkages in Petroleum Product Pricing Policies in West African Countries
David, Antonio; El Harrak, Mohamed; Mills, Marshall; Ocampos, Lorraine
Working Paper 11/103
Macroeconomic Costs of Higher Bank Capital and Liquidity Requirements
Roger, Scott; Vlcek, Jan
Working Paper 11/104
Ghana: Will It Be Gifted or Will It Be Cursed?
Aydin, Burcu
Working Paper 11/105
Has the Great Recession Raised U.S. Structural Unemployment?
Estevão, Marcello M.; Tsounta, Evridiki
Working Paper 11/106
New Evidence on Cyclical and Structural Sources of Unemployment
Chen, Jinzhu; Kannan, Prakash; Loungani, Prakash; Trehan, Bharat
Working Paper 11/107
Identifying Fiscal Policy Transmission in Stochastic Debt Forecasts
Kawakami, Kei; Romeu, Rafael
Working Paper 11/108
Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt: Spillovers, Inflation Dynamics, and Implications for Monetary Policy
Arbatli, Elif C; Moriyama, Kenji
Working Paper 11/109
Real Unit Labor Costs Differentials in EMU: How Big, How Benign, and How Reversible?
Lebrun, Igor; Perez Ruiz, Esther
Working Paper 11/110
New Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium
Matsumoto, Akito; Cova, Pietro; Pisani, Massimiliano; Rebucci, Alessandro
Working Paper 11/111
Identifying Vulnerabilities in Systemically-Important Financial Institutions in a Macro-financial Linkages Framework
Sun, Tao
Working Paper 11/112
Words vs. Deeds: What Really Matters?
Ghosh, Atish R.; Qureshi, Mahvash Saeed; Tsangarides, Charalambos G.
Working Paper 11/113
On Brazil’s Term Structure: Stylized Facts and Analysis of Macroeconomic Interactions
Alves, Luiz; Cabral, Rodrigo; Munclinger, Richard; Rodriguez Waldo, Marco
Working Paper 11/114
Causes of Asset Shortages in Emerging Markets
Chen, Jiaqian; Imam, Patrick A.
Working Paper 11/115
Impact of the Global Crisis on Banking Sector Soundness in Asian Low-Income Countries
Ree, Jack Joo K.
Working Paper 11/116
In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?
Hauner, David; Lee, Jaewoo; Takizawa, H.
Working Paper 11/117
Search Frictions and the Labor Wedge
Pescatori, Andrea; Tasci, Murat
Working Paper 11/118
Credit Market Imperfection and Sectoral Asymmetry of Chinese Business Cycle
Zhang, Yuanyan Sophia
Working Paper 11/119
Bank Behavior in Response to Basel III: A Cross-Country Analysis
Cosimano, Thomas F.; Hakura, Dalia
Working Paper 11/120
From West to East: Estimating External Spillovers to Australia and New Zealand
Sun, Yan
Working Paper 11/121
Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession
Ball, Laurence M.; Mazumder, Sandeep
Working Paper 11/122
Precautionary Savings and Global Imbalances in World General Equilibrium
Sandri, Damiano
Working Paper 11/123
Sectoral Composition of Foreign Direct Investment and External Vulnerability in Eastern Europe
Kinoshita, Yuko
Working Paper 11/124
Reforming the Tax System to Promote Environmental Objectives: An Application to Mauritius
Parry, Ian W.H.
Working Paper 11/125
Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence
Loungani, Prakash; Stekler, Herman; Tamirisa, Natalia T.
Visiting Scholars, September–December 2011
Chris Rodrigo; 2/27/10-12/31/11
Larry Ball; 5/1/2011-12/30/2011
Thomas Sargent; 5/1/2011-4/30/2012
Anton Korinek; 5/2/2011-10/30/2011
Takatoshi Ito; 7/25/2011-9/2/2011
Takeo Hoshi; 7/25/2011-9/2/2011
Jon Willian Faust; 6/15/2011-12/31/2011
Marcella Lucchetta; 5/1/2011-12/30/2011
Kevin Clinton; 7/13/2011-8/1/2011
Zoltan Pozsar; 7/5/2011-10/4/2011
David Vavra; 8/8/2011-8/11/2011
Working Paper 11/126
Measuring Fiscal Decentralization—Exploring the IMF’s Databases
Dziobek, Claudia Helene; Gutierrez Mangas, Carlos A; Kufa, Phebby
Working Paper 11/127
The IMF’s Government Finance Statistics Yearbook—Maps of Government for 74 Countries
Dziobek, Claudia Helene; Alves, Miguel; El Rayess, Majdeline; Gutierrez Mangas, Carlos A; Kufa, Phebby
Working Paper 11/128
A New Action-Based Dataset of Fiscal Consolidation
Devries, Pete; Guajardo, Jaime; Leigh, Daniel; Pescatori, Andrea
Working Paper 11/129
Official Dollarization as a Monetary Regime: Its Effects on El Salvador
Swiston, Andrew
Working Paper 11/130
Risky Bank Lending and Optimal Capital Adequacy Regulation
Benes, Jaromir; Kumhof, Michael
Working Paper 11/131
The Distributive Effects of Land Title on Labor Supply: Evidence from Brazil
Moura, Mauricio; Piza, Caio; Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos
Working Paper 11/132
The Development of Local Debt Markets in Asia
Goswami, Mangal; Sharma, Sunil
Working Paper 11/133
Business Cycles in Emerging Markets: The Role of Durable Goods and Financial Frictions
Alvarez-Parra, Fernando; Brandao Marques, Luis; Toledo, Manuel
Working Paper 11/134
Sovereign Spreads and Contagion Risks in Asia
Caceres, Carlos; Unsal, D. Filiz
Working Paper 11/135
Developing ASEAN5 Bond Markets: What Still Needs to Be Done?
Gray, Simon; Felman, Joshua; Carvajal, Ana; Jobst, Andreas
Working Paper 11/136
Global Liquidity: Availability of Funds for Safe and Risky Assets
Matsumoto, Akito
Working Paper 11/137
ASEAN5 Bond Market Development: Where Does It Stand? Where Is It Going?
Felman, Joshua; Gray, Simon; Goswami, Mangal; Jobst, Andreas; Pradhan, Mahmood; Peiris, Shanaka J.; Seneviratne, Dulani
Working Paper 11/138
Global and Regional Spillovers to GCC Equity Markets
Saadi Sedik, Tahsin; Williams, Oral
Working Paper 11/139
Protectionist Responses to the Crisis: Damage Observed in Product-Level Trade
Henn, Christian; McDonald, Bradley J.
Working Paper 11/140
Euro Area Export Performance and Competitiveness
Bayoumi, Tamim; Harmsen, Richard T.; Turunen, Jarkko
Working Paper 11/141
Exchange Rate Pass-Through over the Business Cycle in Singapore
Chew, Joey; Ouliaris, Sam; Tan, Siang Meng
Working Paper 11/142
Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability, and Growth: The Role of Political Institutions
Arezki, Rabah; Hamilton, Kirk; Kazimov, Kazim
Working Paper 11/143
Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple from Oil Prices across the Pond?
De Bock, Reinout; Gijon, Jose G
Working Paper 11/144
International Reserve Adequacy in Central America
Magnusson Bernard, Kristin
Working Paper 11/145
Should Unconventional Balance Sheet Policies Be Added to the Central Bank Toolkit? A Review of the Experience So Far
Stone, Mark R.; Fujita, Kenji; Ishi, Kotaro
Working Paper 11/146
Recent Developments in European Bank Competition
Sun, Yu
Working Paper 11/147
Policy Coordination in Fiscal Federalism: Drawing Lessons from the Dubai Debt Crisis
Cevik, Serhan
Working Paper 11/148
The Real Exchange Rate and Employment in China
Chen, Ruo; Dao, Mai
Working Paper 11/149
Post-Conflict Recovery: Institutions, Aid, or Luck?
David, Antonio; Bastos, Fabiano Rodrigues; Mills, Marshall
Working Paper 11/150
The Role of Monetary Policy in Turkey during the Global Financial Crisis
Alp, Harun; Elekdag, Selim
Working Paper 11/151
Avoid Filling Swiss Cheese with Whipped Cream: Imputation Techniques and Evaluation Procedures for Cross-Country Time Series
Denk, Michaela; Weber, Michael
Working Paper 11/152
Towards a Best Practice of Modeling Unit of Measure and Related Statistical Metadata
Denk, Michaela; Grossmann, Wilfried
Working Paper 11/153
Rainfall, Financial Development, and Remittances: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa
Arezki, Rabah; Bruckner, Markus
Working Paper 11/154
Labor Market Regulations in Low-, Middle,- and High-Income Countries: A New Panel Database
Aleksynska, Mariya; Schindler, Martin
Working Paper 11/155
The External Impact of China’s Exchange Rate Policy: Evidence from Firm Level Data
Eichengreen, Barry J.; Tong, Hui
Working Paper 11/156
The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey
Cevik, Serhan; Charap, Joshua
Working Paper 11/157
The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries
Romero-Barrutieta, Alma; Bulir, Ales; RodrÃguez-Delgado, Jose Daniel
Working Paper 11/158
Expansionary Austerity New International Evidence
Guajardo, Jaime; Leigh, Daniel; Pescatori, Andrea
Working Paper 11/159
Policy Instruments to lean Against the Wind in Latin America
Terrier, G.; Valdés, Rodrigo O.; Tovar Mora, Camilo E; Chan Lau, Jorge A.; Fernandez Valdovinos, Carlos; Garcia-Escribano, Mercedes; Medeiros, Carlos I.; Tang, Man-Keung; Vera-Martin, Mercedes; Walker, W. Christopher
Working Paper 11/160
Inflation Inertia in Egypt and Its Policy Implications
Moriyama, Kenji
Working Paper 11/161
Nonperforming Loans and Macrofinancial Vulnerabilities in Advanced Economies
Nkusu, Mwanza
Working Paper 11/162
Revenue Administration Reforms in Anglophone Africa since the Early 1990s
Kloeden, David
Working Paper 11/163
J-Curve of Productivity and Growth: Indian Manufacturing Post-Liberalization
Virmani, Arvind; Hashim, Danish A
Working Paper 11/164
Modeling Optimal Fiscal Consolidation Paths in a Selection of European Countries
Kanda, Daniel
Working Paper 11/165
Foreign Exchange Intervention: A Shield against Appreciation Winds?
Adler, Gustavo; Tovar Mora, Camilo E
Working Paper 11/166
A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles
Mendoza, Enrique G.; Yue, Vivian Z.
Working Paper 11/167
Iran - The Chronicles of the Subsidy Reform
Guillaume, Dominique M.; Zytek, Roman; Reza Farzin, Mohammad
Working Paper 11/168
International Fuel Tax Assessment: An Application to Chile
Parry, Ian W.H.; Strand, Jon
Working Paper 11/169
Country Insurance Using Financial Instruments
Zhang, Yuanyan Sophia; Chamon, Marcos; Ricci, Luca Antonio
Working Paper 11/170
A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia
Osorio, Carolina; Pongsaparn, Runchana; Unsal, D. Filiz
Working Paper 11/171
Is Fiscal Policy Procyclical in Developing Oil-Producing Countries?
Erbil, Nese
Working Paper 11/172
Fiscal Policy Implementation in Sub-Saharan Africa
Lledo, Victor Duarte; Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos
Working Paper 11/173
Democratic Accountability, Deficit Bias, and Independent Fiscal Agencies
Debrun, Xavier
Working Paper 11/174
The Quest for Higher Growth in the WAEMU Region: The Role of Accelerations and Decelerations
Kinda, Tidiane; Mlachila, Montfort
Working Paper 11/175
The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Microfinance and Policy Implications
Di Bella, Gabriel
Working Paper 11/176
Determinants of Interest Rate Pass-Through: Do Macroeconomic Conditions and Financial Market Structure Matter?
Gigineishvili, Nikoloz
Working Paper 11/177
Compliance with the AML/CFT International Standard: Lessons from a Cross-Country Analysis
Verdugo Yepes, Concha
Working Paper 11/178
FDI from BRICs to LICs: Emerging Growth Driver?
Mlachila, Montfort; Takebe, Misa
Working Paper 11/179
A Newton’s Method for Benchmarking Time Series According to a Growth Rates Preservation Principle
Di Fonzo, Tommaso; Marini, Marco
Working Paper 11/180
Is There a Role for Funding in Explaining Recent U.S. Banks’ Failures?
Bologna, Pierluigi
Working Paper 11/181
Financing Infrastructure in India: Macroeconomic Lessons and Emerging Market Case Studies
Walsh, James P; Park, Chanho; Yu, Jiangyan
Working Paper 11/182
The Relationship Between Illicit Coca Production and Formal Economic Activity in Peru
Pedroni, Peter; Verdugo Yepes, Concha
Working Paper 11/183
Unforeseen Events Wait Lurking: Estimating Policy Spillovers from U.S. to Foreign Asset Prices
Bayoumi, Tamim; Bui, Trung
IMF Working Papers and other IMF publications can be downloaded from the Research at the IMF website: www.imf.org/research.