External Publications by IMF Staff, May-December 2002
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The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-related activities, including conferences and seminars. The Bulletin is intended to serve as a summary guide to research done at the IMF on various topics, and to provide a better perspective on the analytical underpinnings of the IMF’s operational work.

Abstract

The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-related activities, including conferences and seminars. The Bulletin is intended to serve as a summary guide to research done at the IMF on various topics, and to provide a better perspective on the analytical underpinnings of the IMF’s operational work.

Journal Articles

Becker, Torbjorn; Gelos, Gaston R.; Richards, Anthony

Devaluation Expectations and the Stock Market: A New Measure and an Application to Mexico, 1994/95

International Journal of Finance and Economics

Blejer, Mario; Feldman, Ernesto; Feltenstein, Andrew

Exogenous Shocks, Contagion, and Bank Soundness: A Macroeconomic Framework

Journal of International Money and Finance

Bordo, Michael; Jeanne, Olivier

Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: Does “Benign Neglect” Make Sense?

International Finance

Borensztein, Eduardo; Lee, Jong-Wha

Financial Crisis and Credit Crunch in Korea: Evidence from Firm-Level Data

Journal of Monetary Economics

Callen, Timothy; Cashin, Paul

Capital Controls, Capital Flows, and External Crises: Evidence from India

Journal of International Trade and Economic Development

Calvo, Guillermo; Reinhart, Carmen M.

Fear of Floating

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Canova, Fabio; De Nicolo, Gianni

Monetary Disturbances Matter for Business Fluctuations in the G-7

Journal of Monetary Economics

Cashin, Paul; Haque, Nadeem Ul; Olekalns, Nilss

Tax Smoothing, Tax Tilting, and Fiscal Sustainability in Pakistan

Economic Modelling

Cashin, Paul; McDermott, John

Intertemporal Consumption Smoothing and Capital Mobility: Evidence from Australia

Australian Economic Papers

Cashin, Paul; McDermott, John

Riding on the Sheep’s Back: Examining Australia’s Dependence on Wool Exports

Economic Record

Cashin, Paul; McDermott, John

Terms of Trade Shocks and the Current Account: Evidence from Five Industrial Countries

Open Economies Review

Cashin, Paul; McDermott, John; Alasdair, Scott

Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices

Journal of Development Economics

Chami, Ralph; Cosimano, Thomas; Fullenkamp, Connel

Managing Ethical Risk: How Investing in Ethics Adds Value

Journal of Banking and Finance

Chami, Ralph; Fullenkamp, Connel

The Economics of Private Nonmarket Insurance and the Faith-Based Initiative

The Actuary

Chami, Ralph; Fullenkamp, Connel

Trust and Efficiency

Journal of Banking and Finance

Chan-Lau, Jorge

Corporate Restructuring in Japan: An Event-Study Analysis

Japan and the World Economy

Choueiri, Nada

A Model of Contagious Currency Crises with Application to Argentina

Journal of International Money and Finance

Commander, Simon; Dolinskaya, Irina; Mumssen, Christian

Determinants of Barter in Russia: An Empirical Analysis

Journal of Development Economics

Darbar, Salim M.; Deb, Partha

Cross-Market Correlations and Transmission of Information

The Journal of Futures Markets

De Nicolò, Gianni; Kwast, Myron

Systemic Risk and Financial Consolidation: Are They Related?

Journal of Banking and Finance

Decressin, Jorg

Regional Income Redistribution and Risk Sharing: How Does Italy Compare in Europe?

Journal of Public Economics

Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli; Detragiache, Enrica

Does Deposit Insurance Increase Bank Stability? An Empirical Investigation

Journal of Monetary Economics

Domac, Ilker; Kandil, Magda Elsayed

On the Performance and Practicality of Nominal GDP Targeting in Germany

Journal of Economic Studies

Edison, Hali; Levine, Ross; Ricci, Luca; Sloek, Torsten

International Financial Integration and Economic Growth

Journal of International Money and Finance

Espinosa-Vega, Marco; Yip, Chong K.

Government Financing in an Endogenous Growth Model with Financial Market Restrictions

Economic Theory

Espinosa-Vega, Marco; Smith, Bruce D.; Yip, Chong K.

Monetary Policy and Government Credit Programs

Journal of Financial Intermediation

Faruqee, Hamid; Mühleisen, Martin

Population Aging in Japan: Demographic Shock and Fiscal Sustainability

Japan and the World Economy

Feltenstein, Andrew; Iwata, Shigeru

Why Is It So Hard to Finance Budget Deficits? Problems of a Developing Country

Journal of Asian Economics

Feltenstein, Andrew; Sarangi, Sudipta

Macroeconomic Stabilization and Economic Growth: Analysis of Reform Policies in Tanzania

Journal of Policy Modeling

Fernández, Carmen; Ley, Eduardo; Steel, Mark F.J.

Bayesian Modeling of Catch in a Northwest Atlantic Fishery

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics)

Fischer, Stanley; Sahay, Ratna; Vegh, Carlos

Modern Hyper-and High Inflations

Journal of Economic Literature

Gelos, Gaston R.; Werner, Alejandro

Financial Liberalization, Credit Constraints, and Collateral: Investment in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector

Journal of Development Economics

Gonzalez, Maria de los Angeles

Do Changes in Democracy Affect the Political Budget Cycle? Evidence from Mexico

Review of Development Economics

Gupta, Sanjeev; Heller, Peter

More Aid—Making It Work for the Poor

World Economics

Gupta, Sanjeev; Marijn, Verhoeven; Tiongson, Erwin

Decomposing Social Indicators Using Ecological Inference

Applied Economics Letters

Hanson, Gordon; Robertson, Raymond; Spilimbergo, Antonio

Does Border Enforcement Protect U.S. Workers from Illegal Immigration?

Review of Economics and Statistics

Jeanne, Olivier; Rose, Andrew

Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Kandil, Magda

Cost of Living Adjustments and Business Cycles: Disaggregated Evidence

Macroeconomic Dynamics

Kandil, Magda; Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen; Chomsisengphet, Souphala

Are Devaluations Contractionary in Asia?

Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics

Kandil, Magda; Domac, Ilker

On the Performance and Practicality of Nominal GDP Targeting in Germany

Journal of Economic Studies

Keen, Michael

The German Tax Reform of 2000

International Tax and Public Finance

Keen, Michael

Some International Issues in Commodity Taxation

Swedish Economic Policy Review

Keen, Michael; King, John

The Croatian Profit Tax: An ACE in Practice

Fiscal Studies

Keen, Micheal; Lahiri, Sajal; Raimondos-Møller, Pascalis

Tax Principles and Tax Harmonization Under Imperfect Competition: A Cautionary Example

European Economic Review

Klyuev, Vlademir

Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Central and Eastern European Transitional Economies

Comparative Economic Studies

Kose, Ayhan M.

Explaining Business Cycles in Small Open Economies: How Much Do World Prices Matter?

Journal of International Economics

Kose, Ayhan M.; Riezman, Raymond

How Severe Is the Innocent Bystander Problem?

Pacific Economic Review

Lane, Philip R.; Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria

External Wealth, the Trade Balance, and the Real Exchange Rate

European Economic Review

Lane, Philip R.; Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria

Long-Run Determinants of the Irish Real Exchange Rate

Applied Economics

Lane, Philip R.; Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria

Long-Term Capital Movements

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001

Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria; Perotti, Roberto; Rostagno, Massimo

Electoral Systems and Public Spending

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Mishkin, Frederic; Savastano, Miguel

Monetary Policy Strategies for Emerging Market Countries: Lessons from Latin America

Contemporary Economic Studies

Obstfeld, Maurice; Rogoff, Kenneth

Global Implications of Self-Oriented National Monetary Rules

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Odling-Smee, John; Pastor, Gonzalo

The IMF and the Ruble Area: 1991-93

Comparative Economic Studies

Panagariya, Arvind; Duttagupta, Rupa

Politics of Free Trade Areas: Tariffs versus Quotas

Journal of International Economics

Podpiera, Richard; Hanousek, Jan

Information-Driven Trading at the Prague Stock Exchange: Evidence from Intra-Day Data

Economics of Transition

Sayek, Selin; Selover, David

International Interdependence and Business Cycles Transmission Between Turkey and the European Union

Southern Economic Journal

Soderling, Ludvig

Manufacturing Competitiveness in Africa: Evidence from Cameroon, Cote d’Ivoire, Nigeria, and Senegal

Economic Development and Cultural Change

Sriram, Subramanian S.

Demand for Money: Major Analytical Framework

Southern Economist

Sriram, Subramanian

Determinants and Stability of Demand for M2 in Malaysia

Journal of Asian Economics

Swagel, Phillip; Tan, Ling Hui

Unionization and Strategic Trade Policy

The International Trade Journal

Sy, Amadou

Emerging Market Bond Spreads and Sovereign Credit Ratings: Reconciling Market Views with Economic Fundamentals

Emerging Markets Review

Tiongson, Erwin; Gupta, Sanjeev; Verhoeven, Marijn

The Effectiveness of Government Spending on Education and Health Care in Developing and Transition Economies

European Journal of Political Economy

Other External Publications

(Contributions to Books and Conference Volumes)

Blejer, Mario; Leone, Alfredo; Rabanal, Pau

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs

Inflation Targeting: Design, Performance, and Challenges, ed. by Norman Loayza and Raimundo Soto (Central Bank of Chile)

Cashin, Paul; Liang, Hong

Features of Korean Business and Export Cycles

Korea’s Economy (Korean Economic Institute of America)

Evans, Owen; Leone, Alfredo; Gill, Mahinder; Hilbers, Paul

Macroprudential Indicators of Financial System Soundness

Issues in the Frontier of International Financial Regulation, ed. by Renwu Liu and Jinze Wu (Chinese Finance Publisher, Beijing)

Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda; Dungey, Mardi; Fry, Renee; Martin, Vance

The Transmission of Contagion in Developed and Developing International Bond Markets

Risk Measurement and Systemic Risk, Bank for International Settlements

Haacker, Markus

Providing Health Care to HIV Patients in Southern Africa

The Economics of Essential Medicines, ed. by Brigitte Granville (Royal Institute for International Affairs, London)

Latter, Tony; Odling-Smee, John; Buiter, Willem; Vanhala, Matti

Fix versus Float: What Have We Learned from the 1990s?

Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes in the Globalised World (Bank of Estonia)

A full and updated listing of external publications of IMF staff (from 1997 onward), including forthcoming publications, can be found in a searchable database at the Research at the IMF website at http://www.imf.org/research.

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