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MARGARET R. KELLY

Abstract

MARGARET R. KELLY

STAFF PAPERS

MARGARET R. KELLY

Chair, Editorial Committee

IAN S. MCDONALD

Editor and Deputy Chair

SARA KANE

Assistant Editor

Editorial Committee

Mario I. Blejer

Mohsin S. Khan

Guillermo A. Calvo

G. Russell Kincaid

Guillermo A. Calvo

Malcolm D. Knight

José Fajgenbaum

Malcolm D. Knight

Ved P. Gandhi

Paul R. Masson

David J. Goldsbrough

Susan M. Schadler

Peter Isard

Subhash M. Thakur

Among the responsibilities of the International Monetary Fund, as set forth in its Articles of Agreement, is the obligation to “act as a centre for the collection and exchange of information on monetary and financial problems.”Staff Papers makes available to a wider audience papers prepared by the members of the Fund staff. The views presented in the papers are those of the authors and are not to be interpreted as necessarily indicating the position of the Executive Board or of the Fund.

To facilitate electronic storage and retrieval of bibliographic data, Staff Papers has adopted the subject classification scheme developed by the Journal of Economic Literature.

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Copyright Page

EDITOR’S NOTE

The Editor invites from contributors outside the Fund brief comments (not more than 1,000 words) on published articles in Staff Papers. These comments should be addressed to the Editor, who will forward them to the author of the original article for reply. Both the comments and the reply will be considered for publication.

The term “country,” as used in this publication, may not refer to a territorial entity that is a state as understood by international law and practice; the term may also cover some territorial entities that are not states but for which statistical data are maintained and provided internationally on a separate and independent basis.

© 1993 by the International Monetary Fund

International Standard Serial Number: ISSN 0020-8027

The U.S. Library of Congress has cataloged this serial publication as fallows:

International Monetary Fund

Staff papers — International Monetary Fund. v. 1- Feb. 1950- [Washington] International Monetary Fund.

v. tables, diagrs. 23 cm.

Three no. a year, 1950-1977; four no. a year, 1978-Indexes:

Vols. 1-27, 1950-80, 1 v.

ISSN 0020-8027 = Staff papers — International Monetary Fund.

1. Foreign exchange—Periodicals. 2. Commerce—Periodicals. 3. Currency question—Periodicals.

HG3810.15

332.082

53-35483

CONTENTS

Wage and Public Debt Indexation

PABLO E. GUIDOTII

Interpreting the Cyclical Behavior of Prices

BANKIM CHADHA and ESWAR PRASAD

International Trade. Distortions. and Long-Run Economic Growth

JONG-WHA LEE

Optimal and Sustainable Exchange Rate Regimes: A Two-Country Game-Theoretic Approach

MASAHIRO KAWAI

A Monetary Model of a Shortage Economy

SHOUKANG LIN

Endogenous Creditor Seniority and External Debt Values

MICHAEL DOOLEY und MARK R. STONE

Money and Credit Under Currency Substitution

CARLOS A. RODRÍGUEZ

Asymmetry in the ERM: A Case Study of French and German Interest Rates Before and After German Unification

EDWARD H. GARDNER and WILLIAM R.M. PERRAUDIN

The Operation of the Estonian Currency Board

ADAM G.G. BENNETT

Shorter Paper

Fiscal Policy in Pakistan Since 1970

NADEEM U. HAQUE and PETER J. MONTIEL

IMF Working Papers

IMF Papers on Policy Analysis and Assessment

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