International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
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The technical assistance mission aimed to build capacity to enhance financial stability analyses
and assessments at the Bank of Jamaica (BOJ). It reviewed the latest available Financial
Stability Report (FSR) and the analytical toolkit. In particular, the mission assisted the BOJ in
estimating sectoral credit risk models to enhance the forward-looking element of its financial
stability assessment. The mission explained the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) approach
and provided initial estimates for five sectoral credit risk models, including mortgages to
households, personal loans, corporate loans for tourism, corporate loans for construction, and
other corporate loans. Additionally, the mission covered topics such as financial stability
indicators, credit risk, stress testing, insurance and pension balance sheets, climate risk,
interconnectedness, and contagion risk. Several recommendations were provided, covering the
FSR, methodological work on the financial stability analytical toolkit, internal and external
communication, and data sources and their management. The mission concluded that financial
stability should be regarded as equally important as monetary policy and supervision. It
emphasized the need for a detailed production plan for the FSR, a comprehensive
communication strategy, and the organization of all data in a single data warehouse to support
the financial stability analytical toolkit. The mission also highlighted the importance of improving
non-bank analyses and regularly reporting on emerging risks, such as climate and cyber risks.