Digitalization During the COVID-19 Crisis: Implications for Productivity and Labor Markets in Advanced Economies
Author:
Ms. Florence Jaumotte https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Longji Li
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Andrea Medici
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Myrto Oikonomou
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Carlo Pizzinelli https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Mr. Ippei Shibata https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Jiaming Soh
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Ms. Marina Mendes Tavares
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Digitalization induced by the pandemic was seen both as a possible silver-lining from the crisis that could increase longer-term productivity and a risk for further labor market inequality between digital and non-digital workers. The note shows that the pandemic accelerated digitalization and triggered a partial catch-up by less digitalized entities in advanced economies. Higher digitalization levels shielded substantially productivity and hours worked during the crisis. However, the extent to which the pandemic-induced digitalization led to structural change in the economy is less clear. Less digitalized sectors have rebounded more strongly, albeit after stronger declines, and while workers in digital occupations were more shielded from the crisis, there does not appear to be a structural change in the composition of labor demand. Meanwhile, shifts in labor supply are more likely to be permanent, driven by the increase in working from home.
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Staff Discussion Notes