Cover Staff Discussion Notes
The Refugee Surge in Europe: Economic Challenges
Author: Mr. Shekhar Aiyar, Ms. Bergljot B Barkbu, Nicoletta Batini, Mr. Helge Berger, Ms. Enrica Detragiache, Allan Dizioli, Mr. Christian H Ebeke, Ms. Huidan Huidan Lin, Ms. Linda Kaltani, Mr. Sebastian Sosa, Mr. Antonio Spilimbergo, and Petia Topalova
Series:
Staff Discussion Notes
Volume/Issue:
Volume 2016: Issue 002
Language:
English
Publication Date:
19 Jan 2016
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513552590.006
ISBN:
9781513552590
ISSN:
2617-6750
Pages:
50
Keywords:
SDN; pay; immigrant; asylum seeker; refugee; displaced people; entry wage; Euro Area; Migration; Refugees; Labor Market; unemployment rate; subsidy program; wage subsidy; EU country; labor force; wage gap; private sector; aggregate demand; wage assimilation; labor market integration; Labor markets; Europe
Legal-disclaimer:
Staff Discussion Notes (SDNs) showcase policy-related analysis and research being developed by IMF staff members and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate.The views expressed in this Policy Discussion Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy.
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Against the background of political turmoil in the Middle-East, Europe faces an unprecedented surge in asylum applications. In analyzing the economic impact of this inflow, this paper draws from the experience of previous economic migrants and refugees, mindful of the fact that the characteristics of economic migrants can be different from refugees. In the short-run, additional public expenditure will provide a small positive impact on GDP, concentrated in the main destination countries of Germany, Sweden and Austria. Over the longer-term, depending on the speed and success of the integration of refugees in the labor market, the increase in the labor force can have a more lasting impact on growth and the public finances. Here good policies will make an important difference. These include lowering barriers to labor markets for refugees, for example through wage subsidies to employers, and, in particular, reducing legal barriers to labor market participation during asylum process, removing obstacles to entrepreneurship/self-employment, providing job training and job search assistance, as well as language skills. While native workers often have legitimate concerns about the impact of immigrants on wages and employment, past experience indicates that any adverse effects are limited and temporary.
Cover Staff Discussion Notes
Staff Discussion Notes
ISSN:
2617-6750
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund