Guyana: Staff Report for the 2022 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex
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GUYANA

Abstract

GUYANA

Title Page

GUYANA

STAFF REPORT FOR THE 2022 ARTICLE IV CONSULTATION—INFORMATIONAL ANNEX

July 20, 2022

Prepared By

Western Hemisphere Department

Contents

  • FUND RELATIONS

  • COLLABORATION WITH THE BANK AND OTHER INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS

  • STATISTICAL ISSUES

Fund Relations

(As of May 31, 2022)

Membership Status. Joined: September 26, 1966; Article VIII.

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Outstanding Purchases and Loans: None

Latest Financial Arrangements:

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Formerly PRGF.

Overdue Obligations and Projected Payments to Fund1

(SDR Million; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs)

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Previous Decisions and Article IV Consultation Cycle:

  • On May 24, 2017, the Executive Board concluded the 2017 Article IV consultation (IMF Country Report No. 17/175). Guyana is on a 12-month cycle for Article IV consultations.

  • On June 15, 2018, the Executive Board concluded the 2018 Article IV consultation (IMF Country Report No. 18/220). Guyana is on a 12-month cycle for Article IV consultations.

  • On August 30, 2019, the Executive Board concluded the 2019 Article IV consultation (IMF Country Report No. 19/296). Guyana is on a 12-month cycle for Article IV consultations.

Safeguard Assessments

The most recent safeguards assessment of the Bank of Guyana (BoG) was completed in May 2007 in respect of the then expected PRGF arrangement. Overall, the assessment noted capacity constraints, including in the internal audit function. Recommendations were made to enhance internal audit reporting and to improve external audit quality to enable compliance with International Standards on Auditing (ISA) and IFRS. In the reserves management area, staff recommended the establishment of an investment committee. The latter has been implemented. The BoG continues to be audited by the Audit Office of Guyana and the reports state compliance with ISA. The BoG’s financial statements refer to IFRS and are published.

Exchange Rate Arrangement

Guyana has accepted the obligations of Article VIII––Section 2, 3, and 4—and maintains an exchange system that does not have any multiple currency practices, and is free of restrictions on the making of payments and transfers for current international transactions, with the only exception of certain exchange restrictions for the preservation of national and international security. Guyana’s de jure exchange rate regime is floating. Guyana’s de facto exchange rate regime is classified as a stabilized arrangement. The currency of Guyana is the Guyana dollar. The exchange rate was G$208.8 per U.S. dollar as of June 21, 2022.

ROSC, FSAP, EPA Participation

  • The ROSC on Fiscal Transparency Module was undertaken in July 2002.

  • A WB/IMF FSAP took place in November 2005 and concluded in September 2006.

  • Ex-Post Assessment findings were discussed with the authorities in June 2006 and concluded on October 23, 2006.

  • A WB/IMF FSAP took place in May 2016 and concluded in March 2017.

Technical Assistance – Fiscal Affairs Department

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Monetary and Capital Markets Department

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Statistics Department

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Legal Department

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Resident Representative

The office was closed in end-January 2009.

Collaboration with the Bank and other International Financial Institutions

  • As of May 31, 2022, Guyana has collaborations with The World Bank Group, Inter-American Development Bank, and Caribbean Development Bank.

  • Further information can be obtained from the following hyperlinks.

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Statistical Issues

(As of July 7, 2022)

A. Assessment of Data Adequacy for Surveillance

General: Data provided to the Fund is broadly adequate for surveillance purposes, although timeliness, reliability, and coverage can be improved. Selected data are only available during missions and upon request. Monetary and external statistics, exchange rates and interest rates are reported to the Fund and available also from the website of the Bank of Guyana (BoG) but with certain lags. The Ministry of Finance (MOF) provides macroeconomic and fiscal statistics in annual and semiannual publications on its website in a PDF format. While specific statistics areas have received technical assistance (TA), some limitations remain in the compilation and dissemination of data for certain sectors. Oil exploration and drilling is partially included in the balance of payments statistics and requires further refinement in the national accounts.

National Accounts: The 2018 TA mission from CARTAC provided advice to the Bureau of Statistics (BoS) to improve the GDP-P and GDP-E methodology and related source data, as well as implement the relevant System of National Accounts 2008 (2008 SNA) changes. The compilation files were redeveloped for manufacturing, construction, accommodation, food services, real estate, business, and other services industries, with 2012 as the new base year. The TA also helped improve coverage and the source data quality issues and trained the BoS national accounts staff on the recommended SNA changes. The 2019 technical assistance helped the BoS incorporate oil production into the national accounts statistics. In 2021, technical assistance reviewed the compilation methodology for several activities and established the basis for producing chained volume measures for both the annual and quarterly estimates of GDP from 2012–2021. The mission also provided advice on the completion of work to develop Supply and Use Tables (SUT) for 2019, which can be used to improve the input/output ratios and estimates of informal activity used in GDP compilation. A further national accounts mission is planned in November 2022 to support finalization of the rebased estimates of GDP and oil sector refinements. Future work will focus on compiling an Industrial Production Index and a Producer Price Index.

A mission on the CPI supported the preparation of an update of the expenditure weights based on the results of the 2018/19 household budget survey. Dissemination of the updated CPI was expected in the course of 2022.

Government finance statistics (GFS): Fiscal statistics are disseminated through several MOF publications, including the Mid-Year Report on the annual budget, the Budget Speech and other budget-related documents. Authorities plan to upgrade their fiscal statistics to reflect the impact of future petroleum revenue and to incorporate it in their future budget projections. While fiscal data are published by the MoF, GFS data are not reported to the IMF Statistics Department for publication in the GFS database.

Monetary and financial sector statistics: The BoG has made significant progress in improving the quality of monetary statistics, especially the institutional coverage. The monetary statistics currently include the BoG, other depositary corporations (commercial banks, the New Building Society, and trust companies), and other financial corporations (finance companies, life insurance companies, non-life insurance companies, pension funds, and asset management companies). The BoG’s monetary statistics provide data for publication in the IFS Supplement, based on standardized report forms. The BoG publishes, on a regular basis, prudential indicators for commercial banks, depository and non-depository nonbanks in its quarterly report and on its website. CARTAC has helped make progress with developing macro-prudential/systemic risk indicators and financial stability indicators for the insurance sector. The BoG also reports data on several indicators of the Financial Access Survey (FAS) including the two indicators (commercial bank branches per 100,000 adults and ATMs per 100,000 adults) adopted by the UN to monitor Target 8.10 of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

External sector statistics (ESS): In 2022, a follow-up mission from CARTAC assisted the BoG in strengthening the compilation and dissemination of external sector statistics. The BoG disseminates quarterly balance of payments data following the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6) format; however, it maintains its Balance of Payments Manual, fourth edition (BPM4)-based balance of payments for national publications. The mission strongly recommended that the BoG compiles one set of balance of payments data, based on BPM6. Since 2021, the BoG is preparing an analytical table of selected balance of payments data for the oil and gas sector, nevertheless there are still some gaps on source data. Several other recommendations have been made, related to the classification of transfers of funds to/from bank accounts abroad.

B. Data Standards and Quality

Guyana is a participant in the IMF Enhanced General Data Dissemination System (e-GDDS) and disseminates key economic data through the National Summary Data Page launched in December 2019.

Guyana: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(As of July 7, 2022)

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Includes reserve assets pledged or otherwise encumbered as well as net derivative positions.

Balance sheet information of the Bank of Guyana and the consolidated balance sheet of the other depository corporations on standardized report forms are submitted to the Statistics Department of the IMF.

Both market-based and officially determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing (partial information).

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Only domestic debt, including currency and maturity composition (partial information).

Daily (D), Weekly (W), Monthly (M).

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When a member has overdue financial obligations outstanding for more than three months, the amount of such arrears will be shown in this section.

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