Democratic Republic of the Congo: Technical Assistance Report-Financial Sector Stability Review
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In response to a request from the Central Bank of the Congo (BCC), the Monetary and Capital Markets Department of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) conducted a Financial Sector Stability Review (FSSR) mission virtually, during January 5–28, 2022. The FSSR performed a diagnostic of the financial system, reviewed progress in implementing previous IMF technical assistance (TA) recommendations, and developed a draft Technical Assistance Roadmap to help strengthen the BCC’s capacity in the areas covered by the FSSR. The FSSR also for the first-time covered gender inclusion in financial supervision. It identified five macrofinancial vulnerabilities pertaining to: (i) the quality of the banking system’s capital base; (ii) the difficulty in evaluating nonperforming loans following the COVID 19 financial support measures; (iii) risks related to financial dollarization; (iv) the impact on correspondent banking relationships of “de-risking”; and (v) intragroup exposures, as bank subsidiaries in the DRC place surplus funds with parent companies abroad. The BCC’s adoption of COVID-19 exit measures in December 2021, including specific reporting requirements, should provide momentum for additional TA in the near term to help the BCC analyze banks’ asset quality going forward.

Abstract

In response to a request from the Central Bank of the Congo (BCC), the Monetary and Capital Markets Department of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) conducted a Financial Sector Stability Review (FSSR) mission virtually, during January 5–28, 2022. The FSSR performed a diagnostic of the financial system, reviewed progress in implementing previous IMF technical assistance (TA) recommendations, and developed a draft Technical Assistance Roadmap to help strengthen the BCC’s capacity in the areas covered by the FSSR. The FSSR also for the first-time covered gender inclusion in financial supervision. It identified five macrofinancial vulnerabilities pertaining to: (i) the quality of the banking system’s capital base; (ii) the difficulty in evaluating nonperforming loans following the COVID 19 financial support measures; (iii) risks related to financial dollarization; (iv) the impact on correspondent banking relationships of “de-risking”; and (v) intragroup exposures, as bank subsidiaries in the DRC place surplus funds with parent companies abroad. The BCC’s adoption of COVID-19 exit measures in December 2021, including specific reporting requirements, should provide momentum for additional TA in the near term to help the BCC analyze banks’ asset quality going forward.

I. Introduction

A. Scope of Work

1. An FSSR was conducted during January 5–28, 2022. The FSSR aims to provide a diagnostic assessment to serve as a basis for developing and implementing reform programs, to improve financial system stability by strengthening the capacities of financial sector supervisors. The IMF Statistics Department (STA) assessed the FSI in February 2022 and the World Bank conducted an FSAP development module mission in February 2022.

2. A scoping mission conducted in August 2021 had agreed with the BCC Governor that the FSSR would cover the following areas: (i) financial sector regulation and supervision; (ii) crisis management and the financial safety net; (iii) bank stress tests; (iv) the financial stability mandate and macroprudential policies; (v) the financial stability implications of financial sector deepening and financial inclusion; and (vi) the emerging topic of gender mainstreaming in financial supervision.

3. Each diagnostic assessment was guided by international best principles and practices as developed by the relevant standards-setting bodies.1 The FSSR also used the 2014 FSAP but was not mandated to update its recommendations. A draft of a new banking law was transmitted to the mission by the Ministry of Finance on January 18, 2022. The FSSR was informed by the following official BCC documents:

  • Annual report on financial institutions supervision (2018);

  • Annual report on microfinance (2019);

  • Annual financial stability report (2018); and

  • Regulatory instructions posted on the BCC website since its renovation in December 2021, in the absence of an updated regulatory compendium.

4. Section I of this report presents the diagnostic assessment of the financial system (subsection I.B), its main macrofinancial vulnerabilities (I.C), and the implementation status of previous TA recommendations in the areas covered by this FSSR (I.D). Section II provides key observations and recommendations for each of the six areas covered by the FSSR. Section III and Annex 1 present a draft TARM that would make it possible to address the priority needs identified for strengthening the BCC’s capacity and for responding to the recommendations made.

B. Financial System Structure and Financial Stability Context

5. The financial system in the DRC is relatively small, largely dominated by banks, and highly concentrated. Total financial assets represent 24.7 percent of GDP (2021), and bank assets make up 97 percent of the financial system. There are three types of banks: local (4), pan-African (9), and international (2). Two banks hold 55 percent of the banking system’s assets. About 90 percent of loans are located in two of the 26 provinces, Kinshasa and Haut-Katanga.

Table 2.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Structure of the Financial System

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Source: BCC

neither licensed nor supervised by BCC

estimated

6. The banking sector provides very little financing to the economy. The DRC is among 10 countries in the world with the lowest credit/GDP ratio, i.e., about 7.5 percent at end-2020, compared to a world average of 147.6 percent. The banking sector’s contribution to financing the economy remains very modest, with scant portfolio diversification and a predominance of foreign currency loans. The latter have accounted for an average of 89.2 percent of the portfolio of lending to the economy over the past five years. This situation is attributable mainly to the unfavorable business climate prevailing in the country. Most loans are channeled to the “Other"2 and “Mining” sectors of the economy (25 percent and 24 percent of total credit, respectively). Since lending activity is very weak, banks have substantial surplus funds, which they place with their foreign correspondents, their parent companies, or their local competitors (the interbank market is nascent and has few active participants).

Figure 1.
Figure 1.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Credit to the Private Sector

(% of GDP)

Citation: IMF Staff Country Reports 2022, 285; 10.5089/9798400218620.002.A001

Source : WB

7. Surplus funds held by the banks are mostly due to foreign currency deposits which have doubled since the start of the pandemic as a result of stricter surrender requirements. As a result of the amendment made to the Mining Code, in which the surrender requirements were raised from 40 percent to 60 percent, total deposits have grown from US$5.63 billion in March 2020 to US$10.33 billion in September 2021, held mostly in current accounts (62 percent of deposits). Most customers prefer to save in foreign currencies, which maintains the extremely high degree of dollarization of the banking system and its excess liquidity. In September 2021, foreign currency deposits accounted for about 85 percent of the total.

Figure 2.
Figure 2.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Bank Funding and Dollarization

Citation: IMF Staff Country Reports 2022, 285; 10.5089/9798400218620.002.A001

8. The level and trend of profitability indicators reveal the fragility of the DRC bank’s business model. A comparative analysis with some of DRC’s peers in the region (countries heavily reliant on exports by the mining sector) highlights the fact that banking activity in the DRC is one of the least profitable in the region, despite very high interest margins of over 10 percent (Figure 3). A difficult business environment with an uncertain application of the rule of law combines with the lack of diversification of the economy, limiting potential demand for financial services, in particular for credit. Interest margins do not contribute significantly to profitability since the banks are not sufficiently active as lenders. Operating costs are high, as are taxes, parafiscal charges, and bank supervision fees (annual supervisory fees amount to 0.6 percent of total deposits). Aggregate net earnings were negative in 2020, but this was due to a provisioning requirement for a systemically important bank. Profitability should improve significantly in 2021, given the rise in commodity prices.

Figure 3.
Figure 3.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Returns on Assets and Equity

Citation: IMF Staff Country Reports 2022, 285; 10.5089/9798400218620.002.A001

Source: IMF and BCC.

9. Large and growing interbank placements abroad return less than interests on loans (Figure 4d). These placements are becoming increasingly difficult owing to the phenomenon of “de-risking” (see subsection C.).

Figure 4.
Figure 4.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Assets, Liabilities and Profitability of the Banking System

Citation: IMF Staff Country Reports 2022, 285; 10.5089/9798400218620.002.A001

C. Macrofinancial Vulnerabilities

10. The mission identified five key macrofinancial vulnerabilities: (i) the weakness of the banking system’s capital base; (ii) the difficulty in appraising the NPLs following the COVID-19 measures; (iii) risks related to financial dollarization; (iv) the breakdown of CBRs owing to de-risking; and (v) the tendency of subsidiaries in the DRC to centralize their liquid assets with their parent companies abroad. The financial system also suffers from weaknesses such as insufficient data quality and poor governance and risk management within the banking sector. The sovereign bank nexus is not an issue, only 4 percent of total bank loans are loans to the central government.

11. Aggregate capital levels are too low and have not grown in line with activity over the past decade. In 2020, the aggregate capital adequacy ratio was 14 percent, well below that of its African peers (Figure 5). The ratio had fallen by a further 200 basis points as of end-September 2021, to 12.1 percent. While the solvency ratio remained above 20 percent until mid-2017, it has fallen dramatically due to the growth of risk-weighted assets, while regulatory capital has remained essentially unchanged.

Figure 5.
Figure 5.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Capital (Capital adequacy ratio)

Citation: IMF Staff Country Reports 2022, 285; 10.5089/9798400218620.002.A001

12. Three banks are currently undercapitalized, with respect to a basic solvency requirement of 10 percent. One is in the process of being transformed into a microfinance institution, and corrective actions are under way at the other two. Four more banks are undercapitalized with a total solvency requirement of 12.5 percent (basic solvency ratio + capital conservation buffer, set at 2.5 percent as of end-2021). Eight out of 15 banks have satisfied the current minimum capital requirement of US$30 million.

13. The loan portfolio shows a high level of NPLs at 8.5 percent of total loans. System provisioning is moderate at 69.2 percent of NPLs. The mission applied a solvency stress to current capital levels. The system’s under-provisioning was estimated on a bank-by-bank basis using the provisioning rates in BCC Instruction 16.

Table 3.

Democratic Republic of Congo: BCC Instruction 16 Provisioning Rates

(Percentage by claims classification)

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14. The results of this evaluation, which does not consider the impact of the classification of restructured or rescheduled claims and the inclusion of collateral, include the following:

  • Systemwide capital adequacy falls to 11 percent;

  • Two more banks become undercapitalized under a CAR of 10 percent (making a total of five undercapitalized banks);

  • Two additional banks become undercapitalized under a CAR of 12.5 percent (making a total of seven undercapitalized banks); and

  • Recapitalization needs at end-2021:

    • US$25.5 million at a 10 percent requirement; and

    • US$149 million at a 12.5 percent requirement.

Figure 6.
Figure 6.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Loans and Nonperforming Loans

Citation: IMF Staff Country Reports 2022, 285; 10.5089/9798400218620.002.A001

15. In March 2020, the BCC adopted COVID-19 regulatory easing measures. These measures included the following (Instruction 44):

  • freezing of loan-classification rules during the crisis period and the possibility of unlimited credit restructuring.

  • suspension of late payment penalties on overdue claims during the crisis period.

  • incentives for customers to apply for restructuring of delinquent loans based on their evolving ability to repay.

  • granting of grace periods on loan repayments.

16. These COVID-19 regulatory easing measures have very likely caused the NPLs to be underestimated. Accordingly, the under-provisioning discussed above should be modified when data on restructured loans (not available in January 2022) become available. In addition, the lack of data on collateral clouds the results still further. This would have implications for all other stress tests. The BCC’s adoption of exit measures in December 2021 (amended Instruction 44), also with specific reporting requirements, should provide momentum for additional TA in the very near term to help the BCC anticipate the impact of NPLs that are probably underestimated at the present time.

17. The relation between the sources of risk identified in the DRC and the expected impacts based on the vulnerabilities has been mapped in a risk assessment matrix (RAM).3 The identified vulnerabilities may serve to design stress test scenarios in the future (see section II.C on bank stress tests).

Table 4.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Risk Assessment Matrix (RAM)

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18. A sectoral stress test was performed by the mission and shared with the DSIF for illustrative purposes. This test (possibly linked to a progression of the pandemic) considered:

  • Performing loans becoming NPLs:

    • Risk sectors: 25 percent; and

    • Other sectors:10 percent.

The results were inconclusive owing to the caveats on the level of NPLs mentioned above.

19. The very high rate of dollarization in the economy increases systemic risks. It negates the central bank’s role as lender of last resort and, in the absence of alternative mechanisms, heightens systemic risk. This situation calls for the rapid implementation of a resolution mechanism and of bank supervision and macroprudential oversight systems that anticipate crises and allow for early action. If the BCC cannot act as lender of last resort in the event of a systemic crisis, it is important for it to be able to prevent crises, to develop its early warning indicators and instruments that would enable it to intervene sooner. There is currently a local payment system in national currency but not in foreign currency (there used to be one for local clearing in US dollars, but it was suspended by the BCC in 2020). As a result, all large transactions in dollars are made through correspondent banks abroad and not through a local system.

20. Most of the banks’ investments are in US dollars; both loans to customers and investments of structural surplus funds with correspondent banks and parent companies. These correspondent bank relationships fall into two categories, with very different risk profiles: (i) ordinary correspondent banks, in principle large banks in advanced countries (and willing to trade with DRC banks); and (ii) parent companies that centralize the group’s cash flow, including that of their DRC subsidiary, which entails the risk that parent companies may default while holding a large part of Congolese domestic savings. The available data do not distinguish between these two types of foreign investments.

Figure 7.
Figure 7.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Placements

Citation: IMF Staff Country Reports 2022, 285; 10.5089/9798400218620.002.A001

D. Review and Assessment of Technical Assistance

21. The review of TA provided to the BCC between 2016 and 2021 reaches a positive conclusion (see Annex 2). TA has enabled the 2019 regulatory reforms to be implemented with multi-year support from AFRITAC Central (three or four annual bank supervision missions, including training), and to lay the foundations for risk-based bank supervision, an aim set by the FSAP in 2014. Without this TA, these reforms would not have been rolled out as rapidly as they have. Similarly, the adoption of amended Instruction 44 in December 2021 was informed by the recommendations made by the April 2021 AFC mission and the recommendations of the MCM COVID-19 notes.

22. A contextualized analysis of the figures justifies this positive assessment (Table 5). Of the 136 recommendations issued following TA during 2016–2021 in the scope of this FSSR, 27 were not implemented but 18 were related to the banking sector’s transition to the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), a project that has now been suspended. Excluding the IFRS project, the overall recommendations implementation rate is above 50 percent over the 2018–2019 pre-COVID-19 period.

Table 5.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Review of Technical Assistance 2016-2021

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23. Going forward, it is essential to prioritize TA programs, given the large number of reforms planned and the growing number of new missions entrusted to the BCC in the banking and financial stability area. Staff strengthening and the recruitment of specialized skills also need to be prioritized, together with information technology tools and related additional budget, so that TA can be absorbed as effectively as possible. This concern to prioritize actions in the context of limited resources has guided the TA proposals made in the TARM (see III).

II. Review and Key Recommendations

A. Financial Sector Supervision and Regulation

24. The BCC has improved its supervision by strengthening its regulatory framework and human skills with continued support from AFC. The regulatory framework has been strengthened considerably by the adoption in 2019 of five instructions on: internal control (Instruction 17), licensing (Instruction 18), performance of auditors (Instruction 19), governance (Instruction 21), and risk management (Instruction 22). An instruction on financial communication (implementation of Pillar 3) should be presented to the banking sector in early 2022.

25. This regulatory and operational improvement was achieved in the context of a staffing freeze since 2017, even though the DSIF has received an increasing number of assignments. The DSIF’s workforce was strengthened in 2014, and again in 2017, by the arrival of a total of about 30 young employees, who benefited from several AFC training courses, including for IT specialists oriented toward new IT risks and cyber risks. There has been no competitive recruitment at the DSIF since 2017, however. Recruitment will need to be revived if the BCC wishes to fulfill the regulatory agenda set by the TARM. In addition, the lockdown periods implemented since 2020, which have greatly reduced activity owing to the lack of access to a fluid internet, and the absence of onsite audit practice for two years, will likely require a skills upgrade.

Implementation of risk-based supervision

26. The BCC now has the basic tools available to implement genuine risk-based supervision in line with the 2014 FSAP recommendations. The BCC has implemented a bank rating system (SYSNOB) inspired by international best practices. An operational system was tested on all banks in the summer of 2021. The DSIF must move toward full integration of SYSNOB in the permanent control process. Ratings should inform the BCC’s actions in defining prudential supervision measures, with appropriate modalities and intensity, and be integrated into the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP) in the context of the upcoming implementation of Pillar 2. In addition to the new framework for bank resolution (see ¶42), a key priority is to build the operational capacities of the BCC with regard to early intervention in institutions that are showing the first signs of weakness and to adopt corrective actions. The SYSNOB tool should be adapted to the risks on a regular basis. In the next update, the issue of creating a specific criterion for risk concentration (by beneficiary and sector) could be studied. In parallel, TA could be provided to support the updating of the guidance manuals for onsite supervisors.

27. The DSIF needs to enhance its qualitative reporting on risk management. The drafting of the template for the annual report on internal control and risk management, which the banks are required to send to the BCC, will provide supervisors with the information they need to answer questionnaires on the application of prudential regulations and standards, and good risk management and control practices. In addition, this framework, which reveals the regulator’s expectations in terms of risk management systems, will enable banks to make progress within the framework of the internal capital adequacy assessment process/internal liquidity adequacy assessment process (ICAAP/ILAAP), in formalizing their risk appetite and in assessing capital adequacy relative to their risk exposure. The DSIF has not yet incorporated stress-testing as a tool of risk-based supervision.

NPLs and the lifting of COVID-19 measures

28. Assessment of the quality of the credit portfolio is hampered by weaknesses in the identification of NPLs, which have become more pronounced since the regulatory easing measures of 2020. Loans in the DRC are classified at five levels, according to refunding capacities and days in default (see Table 3). For example, sound receivables, after deducting collateral, must be provisioned at a flat rate of 1 percent. An AFC TA mission is scheduled for Q1 2022 to bring the reference Instruction 16 in line with IFRS 9. Under Instruction 44 of March 2020, banks have been allowed to restructure loans without restructuring affecting their classification. The amendment of Instruction 44 in December 2021 limits the number of restructurings to two in the future. These first unwinding measures were adopted by the BCC following TA provided by AFC in 2021, which discussed specifically MCM’s Special COVID-19 Note on Unwinding COVID-19 Policy Interventions for Banking Systems,4 and recommended measures such as enhanced supervisory monitoring and additional interaction with the industry.

29. As soon as public health conditions allow, onsite inspections should be performed. The aim of these missions will be to check how the option to restructure loans has been used, how banks are showing due regard for the classification criteria and the impact of expected credit losses on capital. A TA should be urgently provided to the DSIF to assist it in the preparation and follow-up of these missions (constitution of loan-tapes, selection of loans for audit, analytical guide, formalism of repayments).

Consistency of the legislative and regulatory frameworks

30. Prudential regulations will have to be reviewed to align with the future banking law. In particular, this new law will specify the obligations of credit institutions in terms of licensing and authorization of their activities, governance, internal control, and risk management systems. The instructions issued by the BCC on these subjects will have to be reviewed to make sure they comply with the new legislative framework, prioritizing the strengthening of licensing and governance requirements.

Regulation of transactions with related parties

31. An instruction could consolidate all rules applicable to the banks’ transactions with their related parties. Transactions between banks and related parties are addressed in various regulatory texts, and this fragmentation makes it difficult to ensure that the criteria for sound management of this risk are well integrated by the banks. The risk inherent in transactions with related parties (shareholders and managers, as well as legal entities or individuals related to them) is not a theoretical risk in the DRC, as evidenced by several recent experiences. A consolidation would also make it possible to include all the criteria in point 20 of the Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision (BCPs).

Other prudential standards

32. The quantitative prudential standards on solvency were redefined in 2019 to converge with the Basel standards. For the solvency ratio, set at a minimum of 10 percent, banks are not allowed to use internal models. It should be noted that, when included in the denominator of the ratio, the market and operational risk requirements are multiplied only by 10 and not by 12.5. Three types of capital buffers are required: capital conservation, countercyclical, and for systemic institutions. As of end-2021, only the 2.5 percent capital conservation buffer had been activated. Activation of the other two was postponed because of the pandemic, even though the BCC decided that four institutions are systemically important and should have a buffer of between 1 percent and 2 percent. The minimum leverage ratio is set at 5 percent.

33. The minimum capital required of banks will be increased from US$30 million to US$50 million. Owing to the pandemic, the BCC postponed application of this measure to January 1, 2025 (originally January 1, 2022), with minimum increments (US$5 million on January 1, 2023, US$5 million on January 1, 2024, and US$10 million on January 1, 2025). As of end-September 2021, four banks had own funds of more than US$50 million, but seven had not yet attained US$30 million. When a regulator decides to raise the minimum capital requirement, four issues should be considered: (i) if the increase is substantial, small, profitable banks would have a staggered phase of three to five years; (ii) the same amount should apply to larger banks—which is the case in the DRC; (iii) the credibility of the exercise is stronger with a well-functioning bank resolution framework in place, in case some banks fail to meet the target; and (iv) the minimum capital requirement is not a substitute for effective supervision and solvency requirements. The undercapitalized banks should provide credible capital restoration plans.

34. Risks arising from financial dollarization are taken into account by prudential regulations. Banks can record certain elements of their capital in US dollars to neutralize the exchange rate effect. From 2022 onward, reserve requirements on foreign currency deposits will be constituted in dollars. In terms of credit risk, the banks are transferring the currency risk to their customers, particularly households, by encouraging them to take on debt in foreign currency for loans of more than 12 months while households’ resources are mainly in Congolese francs (CDF) (shorter-term credits to households are to be provided in CDF). However, the Labor Code requires that monthly loan payments should not exceed 30 percent of income. Once the new macroprudential powers are fully in place, the BCC should assess whether additional measures, such as additional capital buffers, are needed. For the most commonly used currencies (e.g., US dollar), the foreign exchange position is limited to 10 percent of the banks’ long or short foreign exchange positions relative to equity. The liquidity ratio must be calculated in three ways, including an exclusively foreign currency calculation. Foreign exchange risk is also monitored under each bank’s qualitive risk management and monitored by the board of directors. The new US dollar-indexed bills issued by the treasury since 2021 are simply treated as a foreign currency exposure for credit risk, with a weighting according to the credit grades for sovereign borrowers. This means a prudential weighting of 100 percent for the DRC.

35. The BCC wants to move to Basel III-type liquidity ratios. The current ratio, calculated in domestic and foreign currency, in addition to an overall ratio, compares realizable assets and current liabilities over the ensuing 30 days. It is not a forward-looking ratio that could provide information on the bank’s capacity to withstand a liquidity shock for one month. Given the absence of financial markets in the DRC, and in particular the absence of high-quality liquid assets (HQLA), implementation of this ratio will have to be prepared through impact studies, with a multi-year adaptation period.

IT risk and cyber risk

36. Credit institutions, including electronic money institutions (EMIs), are required to report cyberattacks to the BCC. To date, there have been no reports, although some banks have increased their digital services since the COVID-19 crisis. Frauds continue to be “classic” frauds on bank cards.

37. The BCC has strengthened prudential requirements relating to the control of IT risk for credit institutions as a part of operational risk. It has defined best practices for managing this risk and has reiterated the requirements for setting up a business continuity plan. A methodological guide covering the IT risk issues to be reviewed during an onsite audit was drafted in conjunction with AFC. The training event to present this guide to DSIF supervisors was postponed to February 2022, owing to pandemic-related constraints.

38. An update of the guide and the publication of guidelines specifying the regulator’s expectations for banks in terms of operational risk and IT risk management should be considered. These actions could be carried out once the first onsite audits on this topic have been organized using the new guide, and on the basis of the reports that have been written.

Nonbank sector—Payment institutions

39. Payment institutions, the status of which should be specified in the new banking law, need appropriate prudential regulation. A Law of July 09, 2018, relating to payment and securities settlement systems was drafted with WB support, but it does not cover categories of payment services providers and their prudential rules. The creation of a payment institution category, which would encompass the EMIs and current “financial messaging” companies (money remitters), is under discussion. Whatever the outcome (integration with credit institutions or creation of a specific payment institutions category), specific prudential regulations will need to be adopted. TA can be scheduled as soon as the banking law has been promulgated and the roadmap requested by AFC has been drafted. A training workshop could be organized.

B. Crisis Management and Financial Safety Net

40. In this sphere, the mission identified several areas requiring attention: a sequential and proportionate implementation of the new framework for the prevention and resolution of banking crises, the management of conflicts of interest at the BCC through separation of functions, CBRs, the role of foreign interests, resolution funding, ELA by the central bank, and deposit insurance.

Sequential and proportionate implementation of the new crisis prevention and resolution framework

41. The current legislative framework in the DRC has proven insufficient to cope with banking crises, and the outcome of bank liquidations is often opaque. The BCC website lists 15 banks that have been struck off or closed down, without specifying the relevant dates or circumstances. Generally speaking, bank liquidations in the DRC take many years to complete. Five are still in progress, the first of which was started in 1998. If a provisional administrator is appointed, the board of directors is removed from office, but shareholders retain their rights. In some cases, shareholder opposition has derailed the subsequent resolution process. Recent bank liquidations have not resulted in public disclosure of results and details of compensation. The draft banking law will improve on a number of points. The implementation of the new law will require new regulatory instructions and operating procedures. Making a banking crisis prevention and management regime effective is a lengthy process, requiring significant human resources and rare expertise.

42. The mission recommends a gradual and realistic approach, taking available capacity into account. As soon as the law is adopted, the banks should proceed with the preparation of preventive recovery plans following BCC instructions. Relying on annual assessment exercises, the BCC will be able to develop its new banking resolution tools, prioritizing those that are adapted to the development level of the DRC’s banking system. Following a gradual and realistic approach, the mission recommends that priority is given to the operationalization of transfer and liquidation powers.5

Managing conflicts of interest through separation of functions

43. The creation of a resolution function in a central bank raises the issue of conflicts of interest. The Key Attributes of Effective Resolution Regimes for Financial Institutions (KAs) emphasize the need for operational independence of the resolution authority and for governance arrangements that address conflicts of interest. When a single authority, such as the BCC, performs the functions of supervision, resolution, and ELA, these functions must be kept operationally separate, and safeguards need to be put in place to minimize conflicts of interest. The latter typically arise when the same central bank acts as the resolution authority, carrying out the transfer of part of a failing bank, and also as the supervisor of the purchasing bank and as creditor, having provided emergency liquidity to the failing bank.6 Conflicts of interest are often resolved by a separation of functions, assigning each of these three functions to separate organizational units that report to the central bank’s decision-making body (e.g. the board of directors) through separate lines of reporting.7 The BCC does not currently have separate reporting lines for these three functions. The BCC should balance the costs of the creation of a new unit in terms of resources with the benefits in terms of governance. Building capacity first within an existing unit is often preferable in low-capacity environments.

Recovery planning should integrate the scenario of loss of CBRs

44. The fragility of CBRs poses a systemic threat to the banking sector. The problems that exist with the CBRs could cause their already narrow number to shrink further, disrupting international trade that plays a key role for the DRC both on the export and import sides. The United States Treasury noted in 2019 that the BCC has developed a charter to improve compliance with applicable international rules, which has been accepted by the country’s banks; but this has not been sufficient to prevent the loss of two of its three CBRs, and currently Citigroup is its only one.8 The Anti-Money Laundering Task Force in Central Africa (Groupe d’Action contre le blanchiment d’Argent en Afrique Centrale (GABAC)) published an evaluation report on the DRC in April 2021. The report draws attention to high risks, including significant threats that are not mitigated, including within the banking sector.

45. The systemic importance of the CBRs justifies their inclusion in the scenarios of bank recovery plans. If another negative assessment of the situation in the DRC led to CBR losses, the damages in terms of a systemic operational crisis could be profound. The FSSR does not have AML/CFT in its mandate, but the systemic nature of the loss of CBRs would justify including this scenario in the preventive recovery plans that the banks will be required to draft under the new banking law.

Updating cross-border cooperation agreements on recovery and resolution planning

46. The banking sector is heavily dependent on foreign capital. Twelve of the 15 banks are owned by foreign legal entities, 9 of which are banking groups supervised by their home-country prudential authorities, with varying degrees of cooperation with the BCC. Most subsidiaries in the DRC are integrated into their group’s systems, including IT and accounting systems. Cash management is usually centralized, and parent companies bill their DRC subsidiaries for services rendered. In the event of a crisis, the main risk is contagion from the parent company. A second risk is that if a foreign bank subsidiary in the DRC runs into difficulties, the parent company could be reluctant to provide support.

47. A review of cooperation agreements is needed. The BCC should conduct an internal review of cross-border cooperation agreements, notably to consider liquidity stress scenarios in recovery plans and the articulation between recovery and resolution plans at the group level and at the level of the DRC subsidiary. TA could be provided on international standards and best practices.

Resolution funding mechanism

48. Resolution tools need a resolution funding mechanism. By the time a bank has failed or is close to failure, its capital and liquidity will have been seriously eroded. The use of budgetary funds to finance the resolution of a bank should be a last resort—only when financial stability is seriously threatened, and subject to strict conditions, in particular full recognition of losses and their absorption by the failing bank’s shareholders.

49. Only one of the three internationally recognized resolution funding mechanisms would be appropriate for the DRC. The KAs propose three forms of resolution financing mechanisms (KA 6.3): (i) a deposit guarantee mechanism financed by the banking industry; (ii) a special resolution fund; and (iii) a financing mechanism in which the public costs of temporary financing provided by the government are recovered ex post from the financial industry. In the DRC situation, the first mechanism does not exist, the second is totally disproportionate, and the third seems the most proportionate to the context but probably requires legislative action. The mission notes that it is never a central bank’s job to finance resolution measures; the central bank’s role is limited to the temporary provision of liquidity in specific and well-defined cases.

ELA and liquidity in resolution

50. The current situation in the DRC is paradoxical in terms of ELA and liquidity in resolution. On the one hand, there is currently a support mechanism for banks in difficulty that was not designed to fulfill the ELA role. Article 20 of the 2018 Central Bank Charter authorizes the BCC to extend “special credits” to banks facing insolvency on behalf of the State, with an explicit guarantee by the State to the BCC when the latter provides solvency support to a bank, but these credits do not have an ELA role. On the other hand, there is no formal framework based on international best practices for the BCC to grant ELA. An ELA framework should be prepared, with particular attention paid to guarantees in the central bank’s favor, the availability of foreign currency liquidity in a highly dollarized system, and cooperation with the home-country authorities.

Deposit insurance

51. The establishment of a credible and viable deposit insurance system is a strategic objective for the BCC but should be subject to preconditions. The mission considers that the necessary preconditions for the success of a deposit insurance system, which are more complex due to dollarization, have not yet been met (notably, effective prudential regulation, supervision, and bank resolution; strong legal and judicial frameworks and accounting and disclosure systems). The suggestions for reform in all parts of this report will contribute indirectly to preparing for the establishment of a deposit insurance system. In the long term, progress in this direction could be assessed, taking into account the additional difficulty of extreme dollarization.

C. Bank Stress Tests

52. The mission reviewed the stress-testing capacity at the BCC considering previous recommendations issued by MCM. Among the main recommendations of the FSAP 2014, MCM recommended that: “A specialized unit, responsible for enhancing supervision data, its analysis, and performing stress tests (…) is urgently needed. (…) An effective reinforcement of the DSIF’ monitoring capacity (with qualified experts) and periodic banks’ stress test analyses would permit identify financial stability pressures, and, for instance, identify mismatches in bank’s balance sheets in a timely manner.” The mission emphasized the importance of stress-testing in the organization of the future financial stability function and the need for additional cross-cutting staff from offsite, onsite, statistics and research units at the BCC. The mission held meetings with the DSIF to give a presentation on how stress-testing is organized at the IMF, including stress test governance, and several meetings became TA training events. Prior to future work, a stress-testing committee or unit should be identified for TA training.

53. The mission did not perform a comprehensive stress test but worked selectively on available data to inform the diagnostic on macrofinancial vulnerabilities (see I.B and C). The unwinding of COVID-19 regulatory easing measures had just entered into force when the FSSR main mission took place and banks had not started to report to the BCC their restructured loans (see below).

54. The stress-testing exercise identified vulnerabilities to be tested and additional data needs. It also identified data gaps, including the following:

  • Up-to-date data on restructured receivables according to the reporting templates included in the amended Instruction 44 of December 2021.

  • Collateral.

  • Liquidity by maturity.

  • Liquidity by:

    • ordinary correspondent banks; or

    • parent companies.

  • Interbank exposures (interconnection risk).

55. The mission identified gaps in the data questionnaires that did not arrive from the banks in time. In particular, the under-provisioning adjustment, critical to all stress tests, lacked the necessary data on current restructured loans. The stress test submissions lacked reliable data received prior to the start of the mission. New forms and procedures for collecting and extracting information (“queries”), related to the new vulnerabilities and risks identified in the exercise, were discussed with DSIF and should be implemented before stress-testing exercises begin.

D. Financial Stability Mandate and Macroprudential Policies

Basic diagnostics

56. The BCC has already done work to identify financial stability risks. The DSIF is now responsible within the BCC for micro- and macroprudential missions and, despite limited staffing, has been able to: (i) publish financial stability reports since 2015; (ii) prepare the work of the Internal Financial Stability Committee (IFSC) created in 2019; and (iii) prepare the compilation of FSIs, thanks to the Financial System Risk Monitoring Division within the DSIF. However, staffing levels are insufficient to set up a genuine financial stability function, and much work remains to be done to establish one.

57. The BCC has a statutory mandate for financial stability and has made inroads into developing this function but lacks an explicit mandate for macroprudential policy as well as operational capacity in this area. The draft banking law envisages giving the BCC a macroprudential task and dedicated instruments. The financial stability function is not yet developed at the BCC, which also lacks an operational mechanism for macroprudential policies. The implementation of these policies, which rely on risk monitoring and surveillance tools, requires an effort to collect high-quality granular data, develop information systems, and deploy suitable staff.

58. The BCC has been working with STA since 2013 to align the compilation of the FSIs with international standards. The BCC planned to start for the first-time regular transmission of FSIs for publication on the IMF website starting in May 2020. The date of the first transmission was postponed because of persistent difficulties in extracting primary data from the BCC database. This was due, partly, to the unavailability or delays in data transmission by banks, but also because of work to comply with the 2019 edition of the IMF’s FSI Compilation Guide. The BCC has set a goal of finalizing the FSI system in 2022 after the work done to improve reporting has been validated by an STA mission scheduled for February 2022.

59. Experiences in countries comparable to the DRC have shown how an effective credit register provides a good understanding of the banking sector and its practices and risks. Increased information needs have increased the importance of credit data sharing infrastructure as a tool for both financial authorities and lenders. In the DRC, the credit register suffers from several shortcomings related to the reliability, completeness, and relevance of available data. The International Finance Corporation conducted a diagnostic mission in December 2021 to relaunch the project for a credit register that meets the standards.

Main recommendations

60. The BCC should build capacity to implement macroprudential policy. The availability and quality of the relevant data are essential. Staff with the right profiles and information systems capable of producing vulnerability tools and indicators are also required.

61. The various steps required to establish a macroprudential supervisory framework that contributes to financial stability must be adhered to:

  • 1) Start of the work of the Financial Stability Committee created under the agreement signed between the Ministry of Finance and the BCC pursuant to the provisions of Law 2018/027. It is necessary to: (i) appoint the chair of the FSC Technical Secretariat; and (ii) publish the order of the Minister of Finance that lists the financial sector data to be provided to the FSC Technical Secretariat aimed at providing the widest access to information.

  • 2) Establishment by the BCC of a genuine financial stability function to fulfill the task specified by law. In a first stage, creation of a dedicated financial stability unit which is called upon to articulate resource needs (data, human resources profile, software); and, in a second stage, to create an enlarged structure that will receive contributions from the various departments. This new structure will be responsible for developing a strategy to establish the financial stability function and setting up the operational framework for macroprudential policy, which will be divided into five stages:

    • i. Selection of relevant indicators for the national context, preparation of dashboards to monitor the trend of macroeconomic and financial sector performance indicators, development of forecasting models, undertaking of stress testing-exercises;

    • ii. Risk identification and vulnerability assessment using the tools developed above;

    • iii. Selection and calibration of shock prevention and mitigation and crisis management instruments;

    • iv. Implementation of these macroprudential instruments; and

    • v. Evaluation and adjustment of the measures.

62. The positioning of a new Financial Stability Department in the central bank’s organizational structure should be considered. In central banks, there are three main options: (i) in the macroeconomics and monetary policy branch; (ii) within the banking supervision function; and (iii) as an autonomous function reporting directly to the central bank’s decision-making bodies. The process of creating a new financial stability structure should begin as soon as possible at the BCC to fulfill the financial stability mandate. A decision to create an autonomous department would be in line with international best practice (Banque de France, Bank El Maghreb, Central Bank of Tunisia, etc.). Indeed, this financial stability department is called upon to independently analyze the impact of the monetary, microprudential, budgetary, and economic policies on financial stability and their interactions. Also, the output of an autonomous department will likely get more traction with top policy makers.

E. Financial Stability Implications of Financial Sector Deepening and Financial Inclusion

63. The financial stability aspects of three issues are discussed here insofar as they have not been fully covered elsewhere in this report: (i) microfinance; (ii) e-money services; and (iii) loss of CBRs.

64. The microfinance sector has been thoroughly restructured under BCC leadership over the past decade. There are now 92 decentralized financial institutions (DFIs) compared to 149 in 2012. The BCC has improved the regulatory framework (prudential standards, strengthening of access conditions), intensified offsite and onsite inspections, rigorously monitored the implementation of recovery plans, and ordered the closure and liquidation of unviable institutions. These liquidations did not cause any disruption to partner banks. The BCC has proposals for improving the legislative framework by consolidating the laws on DFIs.

65. The COVID-19 crisis hit the sector hard. The sector is also weakened by competition from banks that can offer more attractive interest rates; the rates offered by microfinance vary between 24 percent and 48 percent per year, while those of banks are between 18 percent and 15 percent.

66. The increase in overall risk is primarily a result of heightened credit risk, as illustrated by the growth in the sector’s portfolio at risk (PAR 30, loans past due for more than 30 days), from 9.5 percent to 11.3 percent between 2019 and 2020. Microfinance has not benefited from the relaxation of provisioning rules granted to banks.

67. Microfinance plays a significant role in financial inclusion (deployment in rural areas, where banks are absent; a tool for reducing poverty and a means of bringing economic operators into the formal sector) but it does not represent a risk to financial stability. Microfinance institutions (MFIs) grant very short-term loans to retail commerce (75 percent of total credits issued by the sector) and to individuals (25 percent). The new interconnections between microfinance, e-money institutions, and credit and insurance services are often mentioned but they are not systematically monitored and essentially involve agent relations. The market share of MFIs has shrunk from 4.7 percent in 2017 to 2.7 percent in 2020. The mission concluded they do not pose a financial stability risk.

68. E-money services continue to grow very rapidly, and the four licensed EMIs are now the second largest segment of the financial sector, ahead of microfinance. All four EMIs are linked to pan-African or global telecom groups. The licensed EMIs are subsidiaries but benefit from their telecom group’s experience in operational and cyber risks. They had 8.9 million active customers at end-2020, up from 1.7 million in 2015. EMIs must deposit customer funds in dedicated bank accounts, with a 25 percent cap on their deposits in the same bank. This is a recommendation put in place after comparing regional best practices, which the BCC plans to turn into a regulatory requirement once the new banking law is passed. The funds in the account are supposed to be unattachable but bankers report frequent problems with court rulings applied to unattachable accounts, and the banker that fails to enforce them risks criminal sanctions.

Main recommendations

69. The BCC must continue to strengthen the supervision of nonbank financial institutions (microfinance, payment and e-money institutions), which do not currently pose a systemic risk but could constitute emerging risks, unless adequately supervised.9

70. The public sector should also prepare a contingency plan for the loss of CBRs of systemic dimension. The fragility of CBRs has already been discussed as a systemic threat to the banking sector (see II.B). In addition to actions recommended on the private sector, the BCC should prepare a contingency plan in the event that banks’ CBRs shrink by an amount that has systemic impact. MCM has already issued recommendations and could provide TA.10

F. Emerging Topic: Mainstreaming Gender in Financial Supervision

Basic diagnostics

71. The FSSR has analyzed the availability of gender-disaggregated data (GDD) and its use in financial supervision, through application of the Gender-Aware Supervision Toolkit developed by the Toronto Centre.11 Gender-inclusive supervision is recognized as benefiting prudential risk management.12 It requires the collection of appropriate GDD13 and a framework that uses them. Data required for supervision may have cross-cutting use without being identical to those required for financial inclusion. Some data that are not typically collected for financial inclusion statistics may be useful for supervision, such as the gender composition of boards of directors, or the managers, of individual financial services providers (FSPs). Some supervisory authorities have started to mainstream a gender dimension into their supervision,14 and BCC staff were aware of measures adopted by authorities in other African countries, such as Zambia.

72. Until recently, the BCC reported some GDD to the IMF Financial Access Survey (FAS). Up to 2018, it reported 4 of the 15 gender-disaggregated data sets in the FAS. The BCC stated that an audit of its GDD reporting is under way but did not specify the date for resuming reporting to the FAS. The BCC also indicated that it plans to expand the set of GDD collected from FSPs in the future, possibly including credit, savings, SMEs, and mobile money. The BCC is cautious about the regulatory burden that these additional reports could generate; but the FSPs interviewed by the mission (banks, MFIs, EMIs) already produce a gender breakdown of customer data for their own purposes, which suggests that there is room for action here.

73. The BCC has not yet used GDD in its supervision but already has data on the composition of FSP boards. The BCC’s information on board composition could be used to set expectations for moving toward gender balance, to be tracked directly in the supervision of FSPs. The size of the gender disparity on boards could also be used as an indicator in risk-based supervision. There are already a few examples of FSPs in DRC that set targets for female representation among senior management and staff. Support from the BCC could make this more widespread. The BCC has already received TA on how to ensure that its internal policies support gender equality and inclusion, which could serve as a basis for further work. The DRC has a constitutional requirement for gender equality that should provide a legal basis for this work.15 Women are well represented in BCC’s senior management.

74. The BCC’s planned expansion of consumer protection supervision also provides an opportunity to integrate a gender-aware supervision approach from the outset. The BCC recently published regulations to strengthen consumer protection, including in key areas such as customer complaints.16 Some commentators have noted that robust complaint procedures for FSPs are a key aspect of the “quality” dimension of financial inclusion,17 and also an important part of a supervisor’s mandate relative to consumer protection. The BCC has not yet started overseeing consumer protection requirements but plans to hold a training session in 2022 on this topic, and on the supervision of market conduct. Progress in this area could make a significant contribution to the financial inclusion strategy that the DRC is expected to finalize by end-2022, with objectives such as improved access and consumer protection.

75. The BCC could also capitalize on existing GDD for customer accounts and on the efforts made by some FSPs to design gender-aware products to support inclusive product design and governance. There are examples of banks and MFIs in DRC that use GDD to tailor their products and services to the needs of women customers. Other FSPs do not, despite having the data required to address the specific needs of women customers. One FSP remarked that, although international organizations have stressed the importance of taking gender into account, the BCC has not publicly highlighted this issue.

Main recommendations

76. The recommendations made in this section recognize that the BCC has many competing priorities but limited resources. Accordingly, the recommendations focus, in the short term, on initial steps to integrate available GDD into the BCC’s internal policies and existing supervision activities; and, in the medium to long term, to improve its consumer protection and set of GDD.

77. The first recommendation is to use the previous TA on gender equality to define the BCC’s internal gender equality policies, particularly for moving toward parity in staff policies and senior management. This would provide a “quick win” in highlighting BCC leadership, and it would enhance the credibility of work in this area for the supervision of regulated FSPs.

78. The second recommendation is to analyze the data on board composition that the BCC already possesses and integrate it into the existing supervision process. This would only use data already collected and would entail minor adjustments to the supervision processes, helping to make them more risk based. TA would focus on how to analyze the data and use it in supervisory assessments (e.g., introducing this criterion into the rating system).

79. The third recommendation is to use TA to mainstream gender into the implementation of consumer protection supervision. TA in this area could combine work on developing a comprehensive supervision approach, capitalizing on the GDD already available, with areas such as complaints and product design/governance. Both of these areas are important to the BCC’s consumer protection mandate and should contribute to financial inclusion.

80. The final recommendation is to use TA to support the review and implementation of the GDD changes as compiled. This would help the BCC complete its internal review of GDD and resume reporting to the FAS.

81. The proposed TA would require a visible commitment to the concept of gender-aware supervision from the BCC leadership, but with limited use of resources. TA is more likely to be effective if a commitment to gender equality and the value of gender-aware supervision is communicated by the governor to BCC directors, recognizing that what can be done in practice will have to take resource constraints and other priorities into account. The BCC should also appoint a relatively experienced contact person to work with the TA provider and advocate for the work within the BCC. The recommendations are based on one physical mission per year to provide TA on these new topics to the BCC contact point, and a small group of core staff, and to allow for follow-up on topics covered in previous years. It would be possible to provide a second mission each year if the BCC so requests and has allocated resources for the development of consumer protection supervision.

82. TA for the recommendations could be provided by the Toronto Centre, possibly in partnership with STA. The Toronto Centre has found that a collaborative approach with an internal coordinator can tailor deployment of the toolkit more closely to the needs of the authority. With respect to data collection, it would be useful to involve STA to ensure that FAS expertise and requirements are taken into account.

III. TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE ROADMAP (TARM)

83. A key component of the FSSR is the road map agreed upon with the authorities, linking the diagnostics to the key policy reforms envisaged. The TARM focuses on specific steps that the authorities have agreed to take within a defined time period (three years). With assistance from other TA providers where possible, the Fund will work with the authorities to implement the TARM and monitor the progress of reforms against the expected outcomes. The TARM should be viewed as a set of steps on the road to achieving the desired policy objectives. The precise timing of the TA will be specified in the terms of reference.

84. Based on the findings and recommendations described in this report, in Annex 1 the mission proposes the draft TARM for each of the areas reviewed. This will be submitted to the relevant IMF staff for approval as the definitive version of the TARM, in consultation with the BCC. The TA projects are identified in the draft TARM by numbers under each corresponding area (A.1 through F.6).

Annex 1. Technical Assistance Road Map

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Time horizon: IM: < 6 months; ST: < 12 months; MT: 12–24 months; LT: 24–48 months.

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Annex 2. Stocktaking and Review of Implementation of Technical Assistance Recommendations 2016–2021

IMF Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) mission to DRC, 2014 - Main Recommendations

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Immediate (I) = 0-3 months, Short term (ST) = 3-6 months, Medium term (MT) = 6-18 months, Long term (LT) = 18-24 month.

MCM Technical Assistance Mission to DRC, 2017–2021—Key Recommendations

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Immediate (I) = 0–3 months, Short term (ST) = 3–6 months, Medium term (MT) = 6–18 months, Long term (LT) = 18–24 months.

The attention of the BCC’s senior management is once drawn to the urgent need to more effectively ensure the quality of the data disclosed by the reporting institutions and of the information reprocessed in the DSIF, to underpin the relevance of the evaluations and analyses conducted in the rating process. The level of anomalies observed remains unsatisfactory. The structuring of a quality control function, equipped with the appropriate resources and tools, and an increase in the severity of the BCC toward institutions identified as submitting data or information of quality, would seem be essential.

This mission came at the right time to reinforce the support to the Authority, which is about to publish the five qualitative prudential instructions that were revised during the four previous missions. These address major issues for assuring the resilience of the Congolese banking system and improving its international reputation. The Governor of the BCC is committed to completing this reform in the near future and has personally engaged in high-level communication with representatives of the banking profession.

The filing of IFRS statements by all reporting banks and the ability of the BCC to review them without technical assistance would be significant progress in itself; but this has yet to be achieved. This mission had originally been scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2016, and was postponed to October 2017. It thus relaunches the multiyear project on the migration of banks to IFRS accounting standards, which was started in 2012 by Central AFRITAC, continued by GIZ (German Cooperation) for two years from 2014 to 2016, and then resumed by Central AFRITAC in 2016. The last mission spanned July 18–29, 2016, before being interrupted when the IMF suspended onsite missions for security reasons.

Annex 3. Gender-Aware Supervision Toolkit and Bibliography (Toronto Centre)

  • Arnaboldi et al. 2020. Gender Diversity and Bank Misconduct. London, January.

  • Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). 2021. Review of research literature that provides evidence of the impact of diversity and inclusion in the workplace. London, July.

    • Search Google Scholar
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  • New Faces New Voices. 2020. Women’s Financial Inclusion in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Johannesburg, May.

  • Toronto Centre. 2021a. Why gender-aware supervision is important. Toronto, September.

  • Toronto Centre. 2021b. Supervisory Topic Guide: Product design and product governance. Toronto, September.

1

The evaluation of banking supervision was guided by the “Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision” (BCBS, 2012); the authorities’ stress testing capacity was assessed using the IMF’s standard analytical framework and tools; the crisis management and financial safety net was evaluated in terms of the “Key Attributes of Effective Resolution Regimes for Financial Institutions” (FSB, 2011) and the “Core Principles of Effective Deposit Insurance Systems” (IADI, 2014); and the assessment of financial stability surveillance was informed by the IMF staff guidance note on macroprudential policy in low-income countries (IMF, 2014).

2

The “Other” sector is used by the BCC to refer primarily to households.

3

The risk assessment matrix (RAM) displays events that could significantly alter banking stability. The relative likelihood is the IMF staff’s subjective assessment of the risks around the baseline (“low” means a likelihood of less than 10 percent; “medium” between 10 percent and 30 percent: and “high” 30 and 50 percent). The RAM reflects the views of IMF staff on the source of the risks and the overall level of concern at the time of discussions with the authorities. Risks that are not mutually exclusive may interact and materialize jointly. The cyclical shocks and scenario highlight risks that could materialize over a shorter time horizon (between 12 and 18 months), given the current baseline situation. Vulnerabilities are those that are likely to remain salient over the longer term.

5

IMF Policy Paper, “Macroeconomic Developments and Prospects in Low-Income Developing Countries-2019,” chapter “The Financial Safety Nets in LIDCs,” paragraph 77.

6

Moretti, Dobler, and Piris, “Managing Systemic Banking Crises: New Lessons and Lessons Relearned,” Departmental Paper Series, February 11, 2020, p. 28.

7

Moretti, Dobler, and Piris, p. 28.

11

Presentation of the “Gender-aware Supervision Toolkit” in Annex 3.

13

Defined as data that are distributed, so as to identify women and men separately.

14

See Bank of Zambia, Canadian Securities Administrators, European Union, UK Financial Conduct Authority, V. Toronto Centre, 2021.

16

BCC 2019, Instruction 39.

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Democratic Republic of the Congo: Technical Assistance Report-Financial Sector Stability Review
Author:
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department