Lao People’s Democratic Republic: Technical Assistance Report on Government Finance Statistics Mission (October 4-29, 2021)
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This paper presents Lao People’s Democratic Republic’s Technical Assistance report on government finance statistics (GFS) mission. There has been a progress on a gradual basis in the timeliness of GFS compilation and dissemination to the IMF due to an improvement in coordination between the Fiscal Policy and Law Department and data providers on the provision of source data, but these data are still not reconciled in a more regular and timelier basis. Monthly budget execution data which is used for GFS compilation, such as other allowances and subsidies in expenditure in particular, are aggregated and prepared according to source data from the data providers. The Annual budget for FY2022 including fiscal package including fiscal measures for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic response was submitted to the National Assembly in Nov/Dec 2021. The report recommends to coordinate with relevant departments including the Budget Department in the reporting system and/or the Inter-ministerial Committee to collect data for COVID-19 related spending for tracing and monitoring the spending.

Abstract

This paper presents Lao People’s Democratic Republic’s Technical Assistance report on government finance statistics (GFS) mission. There has been a progress on a gradual basis in the timeliness of GFS compilation and dissemination to the IMF due to an improvement in coordination between the Fiscal Policy and Law Department and data providers on the provision of source data, but these data are still not reconciled in a more regular and timelier basis. Monthly budget execution data which is used for GFS compilation, such as other allowances and subsidies in expenditure in particular, are aggregated and prepared according to source data from the data providers. The Annual budget for FY2022 including fiscal package including fiscal measures for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic response was submitted to the National Assembly in Nov/Dec 2021. The report recommends to coordinate with relevant departments including the Budget Department in the reporting system and/or the Inter-ministerial Committee to collect data for COVID-19 related spending for tracing and monitoring the spending.

Summary of Mission Outcomes and Priority Recommendations

1. In consultation with the Ministry of Finance (MOF) of Lao PDR, a virtual technical assistance (TA) mission supported by the IMF’s Asia and Pacific Department (APD) was conducted during October 4–29, 2021, by the IMF Statistics Department (STA) and the Capacity Development Office in Thailand (CDOT). This ongoing peripatetic capacity development mission was delivered virtually by the CDOT-based LTX with staggered remote meetings. The TA mainly worked with the Fiscal Policy and Law Department (FPLD) and the External Finance and Debt Management Department (EFDMD) on compilation of government finance statistics (GFS) and public sector debt statistics (PSDS) in line with international standards, as the agreed work plan with the authorities in the April/May 2021 TA mission.

2. The October 2021 mission assisted the authorities in improving GFS and PSDS data compilation procedures including data accuracy and reviewed implication of evolving recent developments on fiscal data systems1.

3. The Key Outcomes of The Missions are:

  • (i) Quarterly and annual GFS for FY2017-FY2021 Q1 were revised for analytical purpose using details of expenditure data of the official gazette for FY2017-FY2019 (the latest available)2 and shared with the Lao team in APD (Appendix I). The mission recommended that the causes for the remaining data discrepancies should continue to be identified and source data need to be regularly reviewed to narrow fiscal data discrepancies.

  • (ii) Quarterly GFS for social security fund (SSF) for Q1 and Q2 2021 were compiled based on monthly SSF operational data provided by the National Social Security Fund (NSSF) and submitted to the STA (Appendix II). The mission recommended that the SSF operations data need to be further reviewed to ensure accurate consolidated GFS with the SSF.

4. Recent Developments

  • (i) The EFDMD is expected to be split into two departments by the end of 2021 for the purposes of strengthening management of all debts held by the Lao Government and state-owned enterprises (SOEs)—the External Finance Department (EFD) and the Public Debt Management Department (PDMD). Detailed functions of the two departments and their respective divisions are being discussed. The EFDMD committed to initiate compilation of quarterly PSDS in May 2022 according to the PSDS template based on the IMF/World Bank quarterly PSDS debt database once the new departments operate. The Debt Bulletin for 2021 is also expected to be published in May 2022. The mission recommended that public debt data in any template with high frequency should be published as early as feasible for debt analysis.

  • (ii) A current list of SOEs and a summary of SOEs Development Strategy (2021–2025)3 were provided to the GFS-LTX by the SOEs Reform Department (SOERD). The Strategy is still being drafted and will be launched by the end of 2021 and shared with the GFS-LTX once the Minister approves. The mission recommended that once the strategy is finalized, information on SOEs should be shared with the upcoming peripatetic TA missions with the aim of selecting major SOEs for compilation of GFS for nonfinancial public corporations.

Table 1.

Priority Recommendations

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Detailed Technical Assessment and Recommendations

A. Updated Action Plan

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B. Regular GFS Compilation and Timely Dissemination to IMF and on the MOF Website

5. There has been a progress on a gradual basis in the timeliness of GFS compilation and dissemination to the IMF due to an improvement in coordination between the FPLD and data providers on the provision of source data, but these data are still not reconciled in a more regular and timelier basis. The LTX requested to the DDG of the FPLD in the April/May 2021 remote TA that a MOF Consultative Group on GFS/fiscal reporting be set up to improve GFS/PSDS data compilation and dissemination procedures through enhanced source data reconciliations. However, the Consultative Group has not been established yet.

6. Monthly budget execution data which is used for GFS compilation, such as other allowances and subsidies in expenditure in particular, are aggregated and prepared according to source data from the data providers. Other allowances in budget execution data are currently classified as other expense under the GFSM 2014 classification (code 28) (about 10 percent of total expense in their GFS). For analytical purposes and accuracy, quarterly and annual GFS for FY2017-FY2021 Q1 were revised, with breakdown of other expenses – reclassified using detailed expenditure in the official gazette for FY2017-FY2019 (the latest available) – and shared with the Lao team in APD4 for surveillance (referring to matrix below). Preliminary monthly budget execution data for Q2 and Q3 2021 will be provided to the GFS-LTX in the November /December remote TA for quarterly GFS compilation.

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[Note] “Other Allowances” (aggregated data) in budget execution data is equivalent to “Compensation and Policy Allowances” in official gazette data. Other Allowances is classified as other expense (code 28) under GFS classification. For more detailed analytical purposes, this other expense was reclassified as the relevant items of GFS using prorated share of detailed breakdown of granular official gazette data for FY2017-FY2019 (currently latest available data). Quarterly and annual GFS for FY2020 will be revised based on the prorated share once official gazette data for FY2020 is published in June 2022.

7. Annual GFS for FY2017-FY2019 were compiled using annual budget execution data prepared according to the budget nomenclature chart of accounts (COA), which is granular in detail (official gazette data) and expected to be disseminated once data accuracy of annual GFS compiled using monthly budget execution data and based on the official gazette data has been ensured and upon approval of the DG of the FPLD or the Minister. Annual GFS based on annual budget execution data and the official gazette data was examined to identify causes of discrepancies further and to improve the overall data accuracy (see Attachment III for preliminary findings.).

Recommended Actions:

  • Further strengthen coordination and cooperation with the data reporting departments within the MOF, and with the Bank of Laos to ensure timely data sharing to regular compilation of Lao PDR’s GFS using preliminary accounting data.

  • Continue to compile annual GFS in bridge tables based on data in a summary table of the latest official gazette available and disseminate on the MOF website by coordinating with the IT Department.

  • Review linkage with the official gazette data (how items of budget execution data are linked to the official gazette data) in compiling budget execution data and classification of the budget execution data to improve their data accuracy further.

  • Set up a MOF Consultative Group on GFS/fiscal reporting to improve GFS/PSDS data compilation and dissemination procedures through enhanced source data reconciliations and GFS/PSDS data sharing with other stakeholders. This Group should also work closely with FPLD to identify and track COVID-19 spending through the budget, including their functional classification.

C. Improving Fiscal Data Accuracy

8. The 2019 November mission and peripatetic LTX missions worked closely with the FPLD and held multiple discussions with relevant departments on the way to improve overall accuracy of reporting of budgetary data within the MOF. The FPLD agreed with the EFDMD and the NTD on data sharing for tracking expenditure data by line items for spending during the complimentary period, on-lending data, other domestic financing data and debt data. A revised data reporting template was specifically designed for that purpose and included their comments. However, their progress was hampered by rigidity in internal approval process for releasing data, inertia in their cooperation on data sharing with the FPLD, and COVID-19 work restrictions.

9. Despite these challenges, the FPLD continued following up with these departments on data sharing agreement and compilation of debt data even after the 2019 November mission. Due to the FPLD’s coordination effort with the NTD, major expenditure data from COA during the complimentary period for FY2019 (Jan–Mar 2020) and FY2020 (Jan–Mar 2021) were provided to the FPLD. It was used for cross-checking data accuracy of budget expenditure data and GFS (see Attachment IV for preliminary findings).

10. The Official Gazette data is produced based on the COA and presents only total number of foreign aid funded capital expenditures. Foreign aid funded capital expenditures data are recorded on a project and sector basis by the Ministry of Planning, and Investment (MPI). There is no economic classification for foreign aid funded capital expenditures. By contrast, the capital spending funded by the budget is recorded with an economic classification and is managed according to the budget nomenclature. On the other hand, monthly budget execution data, which is used for quarterly GFS compilation, presents only total number of capital expenditure with breakdown of budget funded capital expenditure and foreign aid funded capital expenditure.

Recommended actions:

  • Continue to investigate for causes of fiscal data discrepancies for accurate GFS compilation and to follow up with the PDMD on financing data sharing (on-lending to SOEs).

  • Initiate discussion with the MPI, with cooperation of the CDOT PFM Advisor, to agree on data sharing arrangement to collect detailed data of foreign aid funded capital expenditure to compile GFS according to economic classification under the GFSM 2014.

D. Broadening the Institutional Coverage of GFS

11. A list of current SOEs and summary of draft SOEs Development Strategy were provided to the FPLD and the GFS-LTX, as discussed between the FPLD and the SOEMD in the April/May remote TA and subsequent following up discussions. The information will be used for selecting major SOEs for compilation of GFS for major nonfinancial public corporations.

12. Quarterly and annual GFS for the SSF for FY2021 Q1 and Q2 were compiled by the FPLD, with support of the LTX, based on monthly SSF operational data. The SSF operations data including transfer from the government need to be reviewed before consolidated with the budgetary central government. According to the tentative information provided by the FPLD, the Ministry of Defense and the police authorities were excluded from the current SSF coverage and scheme from FY2021. These issues will be followed up in the Nov/Dec remote TA mission.

13. Based on the preliminary information in the draft Decree and discussions with the FPLD, the Oil Fund would have qualified to be classified as an extrabudgetary fund under the GFSM 2014. The Decree would be submitted to the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) in the second half of 2021 for approval once it was finalized by the MOF and the Ministry of Industry and Commerce (MOIC). However, due to lower budgetary revenues, the Oil Fund which had envisaged gasoline pump price subsidies, was postponed indefinitely by the MOF.

Recommended Actions:

  • Follow up with the SOERD on progress of the SOEs Development Strategy and prepare a list of the latest SOEs with tax data and other relevant information available for major SOEs selection.

  • Initiate discussions with parent ministries and the MOF’s SOERD on collecting detailed information, financial statements, and other data for delineation of major SOEs for proper classification (as nonfinancial public corporations or as part of central (general) government) for GFS coverage. The initial step will be to identify the major SOEs based on “macro-critical” SOE approach and produce a final list of the major SOEs.

  • Follow up with the NSSF on a new SSF scheme for the Ministry of Defense and the police authorities which were excluded from the current SSF framework; and when this data becomes available, the aim is to include them in GFS for SSF covering these institutions.

  • Continue collecting financial statements of three identified extrabudgetary funds, with the aim of compiling quarterly or annual GFS for these extrabudgetary funds.

  • Identify funds managed by line ministries through coordination with these ministries and collect data on transactions made through these funds.

E. Regular PSDS Compilation and Dissemination

14. The EFDMD agreed in the November 2019 GFS TA mission on compiling quarterly PSDS from FY2018 based on the PSDS template revised to reflect their requests and using the EFDMD source data.5 These data would be compliant with the guidelines of the PSDS Guide 2013 and the reporting formats of the IMF/World Bank QPSD database. There has been a delay in the compilation of recent quarterly PSDS due to multiple reasons including work on the DMFAS system upgrade and training of the relevant MOF staff using the system.

15. The FPLD followed up with the EFDMD on the compilation of quarterly PSDS including arrears data recording6 based on their agreement. The EFDMD reconfirmed their commitment on compilation of quarterly PSDS and data sharing on financing flows (on-lending to SOEs)7 soon after the on-going reorganization process in the EFDMD which is expected to be finished by the end of 2021. The EFDMD also agreed that arrears held by the government (domestic arrears) and the SOEs (domestic and external arrears) will be discussed further after the reorganization. The Debt Bulletin for FY2021 (with a reporting coverage that is narrower and less frequent than the PSDS) is expected to be published in May 2022.

Recommended Actions:

  • Compile quarterly PSDS in early 2022 or sooner for debt analysis if feasible based on the PSDS template using available source data and, in due course, compile a time series of back data as much as feasible. Compilation of partial data of public sector debt (until completion of quarterly PSDS based on the PSDS template) will be initiated.

  • Prepare arrears data reporting template on government debt; and debt by SOEs and other types of corporations, including public-private partnership (PPP) controlled or owned by the Government after the on-going reorganization is finished.

  • The EFDMD should disseminate quarterly PSDS on the MOF website and is strongly encouraged to disseminate quarterly PSDS on the IMF/World Bank PSDS debt database (within two quarters) in compliance with the guidelines of the Enhanced General Data Dissemination System (e-GDDS) reporting.

F. Tracing COVID-19 Related Spending Under Annual Budget for FY2021 and FY2022

16. The fiscal measures for COVID-19 pandemic response were implemented under the current annual budget for FY2021 (Jan-Dec) as part of fiscal package of FY2021 annual budget, approved by the National Assembly in December 2020. An Inter-ministerial committee, comprising the MOF, the Ministry of Public Health, the Ministry of Welfare, and other relevant ministries, was organized in 2020 to implement fiscal measures for COVID-19 response in the annual budgets for FY2021 and FY20228.

17. The Annual budget for FY2022 including fiscal package including fiscal measures for COVID-19 pandemic response was submitted to the National Assembly in Nov/Dec 2021. Fiscal measures for COVID-19 response is incorporated into the annual budget. Either a Presidential or a Ministerial Decree on fiscal package for FY2022 including COVID-19 measures is expected to be issued in December 2021 and will be available for the GFS-LTX when it is approved by the Minister.

Recommended Actions:

  • Coordinate with relevant departments including the Budget Department in the reporting system and/or the Inter-ministerial Committee to collect data for COVID-19 related spending for tracing and monitoring the spending.

  • Prepare quarterly report on COVID-19 spending based on the template to be developed with support of the LTX and report to IMF.

Appendix I. Quarterly and Annual GFS for Budgetary Central Government

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Appendix II. Quarterly and Annual GFS for Social Security Fund

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Appendix III. Annual GFS for FY2017-FY2019 Using Budget Execution Data and Official Gazette Data

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Appendix IV. Annual GFS by Realigning Expenditure Data During the Complimentary Period

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Appendix V. 5-Year Budget Plan (FY2021-FY2025) in Lao PDR

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1

The work plans will be reviewed in upcoming remote TA missions in view of the evolving developments, aiming to achieve further improvements of compilation and dissemination procedures for GFS/PSDS to actively support policy analysis and surveillance.

2

The official gazette data, produced from the Government Finance Information System (GFIS), is based on the budget nomenclature Chart of Account.

3

The SOEs Development Strategy is part of the PFM Reform Implementation Plan for FY2021-FY2025 (FY2021 (planning) FY2022–25 (implementation)) is being drafted by an inter-Ministerial Committee, comprising the MOF and other relevant ministries, and is expected to be submitted to the Lao Government by end-2021 after the Minister’s approval. The SOEs Reform Plan to implement the SOEs Development Strategy will also be drafted by the SOERD.

4

Quarterly and annual GFS and annual budget execution data for FY2020 were posted on the MOF website under the e-GDDS reporting. See https://www.mof.gov.la/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/aijua and https://www.mof.gov.la/wp-contenuploads/2021/07/05-aijur.

5

Domestic and foreign debts are managed by the EFDMD using the DMFAS system. With current data availability, the following debt instruments and institutions will be covered by quarterly PSDS: (i) debt securities (issued in Lao PDR and overseas) and foreign borrowing by the government; and (ii) domestic borrowing by the SOEs from the government and external borrowing by the EDL (electricity power generation company), which is guaranteed by the government.

6

The EFDMD informed in the remote TA that there were no arrears on external borrowing by the Lao PDR Government, except for the delay in repayment due to technical reasons.

7

On-lending data has not been included in monthly budget execution data and official gazette data, while repayment to the government by the SOEs for on-lending is recorded in both data sets. This is one of causes of fiscal data discrepancy.

8

Annual budget for FY2021 and FY2022 are based on 5-year budget plan which was approved by the National Assembly (Appendix V).

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