Jamaica: Staff Report for the 2021 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex
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JAMAICA

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JAMAICA

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JAMAICA

STAFF REPORT FOR THE 2021 ARTICLE IV CONSULTATION—INFORMATIONAL ANNEX

January 25, 2022

Prepared By

Western Hemisphere Department

Contents

  • FUND RELATIONS

  • COLLABORATION WITH OTHER INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS

  • STATISTICAL ISSUES

Fund Relations

(As of December 31, 2021)

Membership Status: Joined: February 21, 1963, Article VIII

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Latest Financial Arrangements: Arrangements:

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Outright Loans:

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Overdue Obligations and Projected Payments to Fund 1/

(SDR Millions; Based on Existing Use of Resources and Present Holdings of SDRs)

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When a member has overdue financial obligations outstanding for more than three months, the amount of such arrears will be shown in this section.

Implementation of HIPC Initiative: Not Applicable

Implementation of Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI): Not Applicable

Implementation of Catastrophe Containment and Relief (CCR): Not Applicable

Exchange Rate Arrangements:

Jamaica’s de facto and de jure exchange rate arrangements are floating. On January 10, 2022 the Jamaican dollar was trading at around J$154.53 to the U.S. dollar. Jamaica has accepted the obligations of Article VIII, Sections 2, 3, and 4, of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement. Jamaica does not maintain exchange restrictions on the making of payments and transfers for current international transactions, subject to IMF approval under Article VIII, Section 2(a) of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement. Jamaica maintains a multiple currency practice, subject to IMF approval under Article VIII, Section 3 of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, due to the absence of a mechanism to prevent the exchange rates used for the resale of foreign exchange auction funds (capped with a specified spread) by participants and the exchange rates at which such participants sell foreign exchange other than from the foreign exchange auction funds, from deviating by more than 2 percent.

Last Article IV Consultation and Program Relations:

Jamaica RFI, SDR 382.90 million (100 percent of quota) Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) was approved by the IMF Executive Board on May 15, 2020. The last Article IV consultation was completed by the Executive Board in June 2018. Jamaica is on the standard 12-month consultation cycle. Jamaica’s capacity to repay the Fund remains adequate, with risks mitigated by its strong track record of policy implementation and past use of Fund resources. Fund credit outstanding will reach about 5.5 percent of GDP or 18.7 percent of exports by end FY2021/2022.

Safeguards Assessment:

The 2017 update safeguards assessment found relatively strong safeguards in place, particularly in the financial reporting and audit mechanisms. Annual financial statements continue to be prepared and audited in accordance with international standards. The BOJ Act was amended towards the end of 2020, giving significant autonomy to the central bank and further strengthened governance arrangements.

Technical Assistance (Since 2015):

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CARTAC Technical Assistance to Jamaica in FY2020 and FY2021

In FY2020 and FY2021, CARTAC delivered approximately -- field person weeks of TA to Jamaica in customs and tax administration, public financial management, statistics, and financial markets.

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Collaboration with other International Financial Institutions

As of November 31, 2021, Jamaica has collaborations with The World Bank Group, Inter-American Development Bank, and Caribbean Development Bank.

Further information can be obtained from the following hyperlinks.

Statistical Issues

As of November 31, 2021

I. Assessment of Data Adequacy for Surveillance

General: Data provision has some shortcomings but is broadly adequate for surveillance. In early 2003, Jamaica started participating in the Fund’s General Data Dissemination System (GDDS), which provides participants with a framework for the development of the statistical system.

Key Websites for Statistics on Jamaica:

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National Accounts: The Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) provides annual estimates of GDP by economic activity and by expenditure at current and constant 2007 prices, as well as quarterly current and constant estimates for GDP by economic activity. Progress with addressing data gaps, compiling the supply and use tables (SUT) and rebasing the GDP estimates to 2014 has been slow due to high staff turnover and the staff having to concentrate on producing the ongoing annual and quarterly GDP estimates. Assistance on national accounts methodology has been provided by Statistics Canada, STA, and CARTAC.

Price statistics: The CPI expenditure weights and item basket are based on the 2004/2005 household expenditure survey (HES) and therefore unlikely to be representative of current expenditure patterns. The 2020/21 HES is now underway, the results of which will be used to derive the expenditure weights for the rebased CPI and update the product group and outlet selection. Substantial progress has been made in the development of the export and import price indexes (XMPIs) by minimizing the reliance on volatile unit value indices from Customs. The STATIN compiles and disseminates the producer price index (PPI) on a monthly basis covering mining and manufacturing industries (base 2005 =100). There are plans to improve the scope of the PPI by covering other industries like electricity, gas, services, etc.

Government finance statistics: Budgetary central government operations and public debt data (with the exception of non-guaranteed debt by public entities) are updated on a monthly basis. Budgetary data also excludes the revenues and expenditures financed by Appropriations in Aid, and therefore provides an incomplete picture of budgetary central government revenue and expenditures. Also, data on operations of public entities outside the consolidated fund (which includes all public bodies that are fully financed through the state budget) are only available with lag of more than a month, making the assessment of the overall balance of the public sector challenging.

Government finance statistics are available at:

Debt: http://www.mof.gov.jm/dmu/

Budget: http://www.mof.gov.jm/programmes/em/fpmu/default.shtml

Monetary and financial statistics: The BOJ initiated the submission of monetary and financial statistics based on standardized report forms (SRFs) in March 2007. The BoJ’s monetary and financial statistics (MFS) generally conform to the concepts and definitions of the 2000 Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual (MFSM) and its Compilation Guide. However, there is room to improve the quality of data provided in the BoJ’s balance sheet. The BoJ does not yet compile and report data for the Other Financial Corporations sector, which holds a significant portion of the financial system’s assets. The BoJ does not currently report Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs) to the Fund for dissemination on the Fund’s website. The BoJ needs to update their action plan related to compilation of FSIs.

Balance of Payments: The BOJ reports quarterly balance of payments (BOP) and international investment position (IIP) in the format of the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6), and monthly International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity data. In addition, the BOJ participates in the World Bank’s Quarterly External Debt Statistics (QEDS) database with data on Gross External Debt Position. The quality and dissemination of external sector statistics has significantly improved; however, there are shortcomings for direct investment data and the coverage of nonfinancial sector needs to be further improved. External debt data does not include intercompany debt.

II. Data Standards and Quality

Participant in the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS) since February 28, 2003. No data ROSC is available.

III. Reporting to STA (Optional)

No data on industrial production, wholesale or producer prices, import volumes, or export and import prices have been reported for publication in the International Financial Statistics (IFS) in recent years.

Detailed annual balance of payments and international investment position (IIP) data are reported by the BOJ for publication in the Balance of Payments Statistics Yearbook (BOPSY) and the IFS. In September 2007, Jamaica reported for the first time IIP data to STA; annual IIP data since 2005 are now available in BOPSY and IFS. Monthly data are reported for the balance sheet of the Bank of Jamaica and Other Depository Corporations with short lags.

Fiscal data for the budgetary central government, some extrabudgetary government units and the National Insurance Fund has historically been reported by the MOF for inclusion in the Government Finance Statistics Yearbook and Database, This data is being substantially revised and improved following the October 2017 STA GFS TA Mission.

Jamaica: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(As of December 10, 2021)

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Includes reserve assets pledged or otherwise encumbered, as well as net derivative positions.

Both market-based and officially-determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

Selected public bodies are self-financed public entities.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Daily (D), Weekly (W), Monthly (M), Quarterly (Q), Annually (A), Irregular (I); Not Available (NA).

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