Malawi: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Malawi
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MALAWI

Abstract

MALAWI

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MALAWI

STAFF REPORT FORTHE 2021 ARTICLE IV CONSULTATION—INFORMATIONAL ANNEX

November 30, 2021

Prepared By

The African Department

(In Consultation with Other Departments, the World Bank, and the African Development Bank)

Contents

  • FUND RELATIONS

  • JOINT MANAGERIAL ACTION PLAN

  • RELATIONS WITH THE AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

  • STATISTICAL ISSUES

Fund Relations

(As of October 31,2021)

Membership Status

Joined: July 19, 1965; Article VIII

General Resources Account:

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SDR Department:

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Outstanding Purchases and Loans:

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Latest Financial Commitments:

Arrangements:

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Outright Loans:

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Overdue Obligations and Projected Payments to Fund1

(SDR Million; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs):

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When a member has overdue financial obligations outstanding for more than three months, the amount of such arrears will be shown in this section.

Implementation of HIPC Initiative:

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Assistance committed under the original framework is expressed in net present value (NPV) terms at the completion point, and assistance committed under the enhanced framework is expressed in NPV terms at the decision point. Hence these two amounts cannot be added.

Under the enhanced framework, an additional disbursement is made at the completion point corresponding to interest income earned on the amount committed at the decision point but not disbursed during the interim period.

Implementation of Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI):

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The MDRI provides 100 percent debt relief to eligible member countries that qualified for the assistance. Grant assistance from the MDRI Trust and HIPC resources provide debt relief to cover the full stock of debt owed to the Fund as of end-2004 that remains outstanding at the time the member qualifies for such debt relief.

Implementation of Catastrophe Containment and Relief (CCR)1:

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As of February 4, 2015, the Post-Catastrophe Debt Relief Trust has been transformed to the Catastrophe Containment and Relief (CCR) Trust.

Safeguards Assessments:

The 2021 safeguards assessment of the RBM is substantially completed. It found significant deterioration of safeguards at the RBM since the 2018 assessment. Governance arrangements and the internal control environment are considered weak. Governance reform should establish the Board as the RBM’s main decision-making body responsible for oversight and policy formulation, and to introduce collegiality in executive management. Amendments of the central bank legal framework are needed to safeguard the central bank’s autonomy and enhance collegiality in executive management. The RBM will also need to strengthen management of foreign reserves.

Exchange Arrangements:

In May 2012, the government liberalized the foreign exchange regime, devalued the kwacha by about 33 percent, and adopted a dejure floating exchange rate regime. Since May 2012, the RBM has not set a target rate and allowed substantial volatility in the exchange rate. However, the U.S. dollar exchange rates have shown remarkable stability since October 2016. Accordingly, the de facto exchange rate arrangement is classified as “stabilized”. Inflows of foreign exchange and swap arrangements have allowed for increase in international reserves until 2020. The exchange regime is free of restrictions and multiple currency practices. The RBM reintroduced in August 2021 a surrender requirement to address foreign exchange shortages which is treated as a temporary measure to address extraordinary circumstances and should be lifted as conditions improve.

Article IV Consultation:

The Executive Board concluded the last Article IV consultation with Malawi on April 30, 2018.

Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP), Reports on Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSCs), and Offshore Financial Center (OFC) Assessments:

A joint team of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund visited Malawi under the FSAP program during two missions in July and December 2007. The Financial System Stability Assessment (FSSA) was issued in June 2008 (SM/08/198). An FSAP development module was conducted in mid-2017.

Corporate Governance and Accounting and Auditing ROSC missions visited Malawi in February and June 2007.

An update on the FAD mission on the fiscal transparency module was issued in March 2007. A ROSC on the data module, based on a September 2003 mission, was published in October 2004.

Technical Assistance: (since 2015, as of November 2021)

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Joint Managerial Action Plan

(As of November 9, 2021)

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Relations with the African Developmentt Bank

(As of November 2021)

The African Development Bank (AfDB) operations in Malawi date back to 1969. The AfDB Group Malawi Country Office was opened in 2007. As of September 30, 2021, the AfDB had provided significant and diversified support to Malawi, with cumulative commitments worth UA 1,010.2 billion (about US$1.4 billion) to finance 116 operations, including thirteen studies and two lines of credit.

The AfDB’ s Malawi Country Strategy Paper (CSP) covering the period 2018–2022 is fully aligned with the third Malawi Growth and Development Strategy (MGDS III, 2017–22), Malawi Vision 2063, and the AfDB’s corporate priorities in the Long-Term Strategy (LTS, 2013–22) and High 5 priorities.

The current CSP 2018–2022, aims to support the foundations of private sector led growth by investing in infrastructure and promoting diversification and transformation agenda. In this regard, the CSP covers two pillars. Pillar I: Investing in infrastructure development through energy and transport; and Pillar II: Investing in economic transformation by strengthening agriculture value addition and developing water infrastructure.

The strategic objective of pillar 1 is to improve competitiveness and efficiency of private and public sector, by extending infrastructure, limiting bottlenecks, and reducing investment constraints that increase business transaction costs. The outcomes to this pillar include improved connectivity to local and regional markets, reduced transport costs, and increased private sector investment in energy and transport. Similarly, the strategic objective of pillar 2 is to boost economic diversification and build resilience by reducing cost of market entry, underpinning the creation of firms and jobs that contribute to the broadening the tax base and enhancing macro-stability The outcomes for pillar 2 include increased productivity and production, increased market development and diversification, empowered local communities and improved health and wellness.

Given the rapidly growing population, it is critical that the economy starts creating more economic opportunities that would generate increased revenues for the government to efficiently and effectively provide required social services and public goods, while ensuring a dynamic and growing private sector.

Crosscutting themes are mainstreamed into the CSP and are an integral part of lending and non-lending operations. Environment and climate change, skills and training especially amongst the youth, and economic and financial governance are the central cross-cutting areas in operations selected for support.

Since the CSP approval in October 2018, as of 30 September 2021, the Bank had approved 9 new projects amounting to about USD 220.64 million (UA157.6 million) over the period 2018–2020, in the water, agriculture, and roads sectors in line with the CSP priorities. About 62% (UA 97.6 million) of the approved resources were secured from the African Development Fund; while the remaining balance came from Nigerian Trust Fund, Global Environmental Facility and Special Relief Fund. The recently approved projects includes: (i) Nkhata Bay Town Water Supply and Sanitation Project (USD 15 million) in October 2018; Shire Valley Transformation Programme (USD 35 million) in December 2018; (iii) Additional Financing to Sustainable Rural Water and Sanitation Infrastructure Project (USD 2.5 million) in May 2019; (iv) Post Cyclone IDAI Emergency Recovery for Malawi (USD 22.5 million) in June 2019; and (v) the Multinational Nacala (Nsipe-Liwonde Rehabilitation) Road Project (USD 37 million) in June 2019. In April 2019, (vi) the AfDB also approved an Emergency Relief Assistance to the tune of USD 1.5 million (USD 1 million to Mozambique and USD 250,000 each to Malawi and Zimbabwe). The grant resources aimed to contribute to Government efforts in meeting the urgent and immediate needs of the households affected by Cyclone IDAI. In October 2019, the (vii) the Sustainable Fisheries and Aquaculture development project was approved totaling USD 13.44 million (UA 9.6 million). During July 2020, the Bank Board approved two projects: (viii) Financing for promoting competitiveness in tourism amounting to USD 980,000 (UA 0.7 million), and in July 2020, (ix) a COVID-19 Response Support Program (a budget support operation) amounting to USD 46 million (UA 32.9 million).

Through a strong partnership with the EU, the AfDB has managed to secure 18 million Euros (grant) on 25th February 2019 to co-finance the Multinational Nacala Road Corridor Development Project Phase V. In support of the Nkhata Bay Town Water Supply and Sanitation Project, the AfDB is administering OPEC Fund for International Development (OFID) USD 12 million loan.

For the remaining period 2021–2022, four planned projects are being prepared for approval including: (i) Digitalization, Financial Inclusion and Competitiveness Project for USD 13.7 million (due in the year 2021), (ii) Africa Disaster Risk Financing (ADRiFi) worth USD 4.9 million) (due for approval in 2021), (iii) Agriculture Commercialization, Value Addition & Youth Agribusiness Project amounting to USD 20 million (due in 2022), and (iv) Rehabilitating and Upgrading of M5 Road (North-South Road Corridor Project-Benga-Nkhotakota-Dwangwa Road (USD 49.7 million) planned to be approved in early 2022

These interventions aim at strengthening economic transformation by enhancing agriculture value chains, increasing mechanization, increasing access to finance, improving market linkages, and supporting crop diversification. These will underpin new income opportunities for emerging commercial farmers while strengthening linkages to small-scale farmers with increased focus on women and youth. Small industry development will be supported through agro-processing and light industrialization that will contribute to expand the economy and create jobs. The interventions in the water sector are expected to increase capacity of water reservoirs, small dams harvesting schemes, and improve access to potable water to free up time in rural areas especially for women: to allow them focus on other social economic activities. The interventions will support water resource management in key water basins such as Songwe River and Lake Malawi that impact on other sectors, such as energy, agriculture, tourism, and fisheries.

In the recent past, the AfDB has also provided Malawi with quick disbursing budget support. Following the government’s re-engagement with the IMF and the approval of the US$157 million Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement in July 2012, the AfDB approved an ADF Grant for Crisis Response Budget Support operation, for USD40 million. The AfDB designed the Restoration of Fiscal Stability and Social Protection (RFSSP) program whose objective was to contribute to restoring fiscal stability and enhancing public finance management, as well as support social protection measures to mitigate the adverse social impact of the devaluation of the kwacha and the increases in fuel and electricity prices. To support this agenda, the RFSSP had two components to strengthen: PFM transparency and accountability, and social protection systems.

In 2015, the African Development Fund Board approved a grant of USD 30 million for the Protection of Basic Services Program (PBS). This ring-fenced Sector Budget Support was designed to protect critical expenditures in health and education, and improve accountability following suspension of general budget support. The grant was disbursed in one tranche in July 2015. The Food Crisis Response Budgetary Support followed the PBS operation in 2016. The AfDB will continue to coordinate closely with the IMF in the design of its future budget support operations to ensure its programs are underpinned by sound macro-economic policies.

The AfDB alongside other development partners are working in support of strengthening Malawi’s public finance management (PFM) systems. In support to the implementation of PFM reforms and in strengthening internal control systems following ‘cashgate’, the AfDB approved two PFM Institutional Support Projects (USD 7 million), one of which closed in June 2018 and the other closed in December 2019. Among others, the Bank has supported the country to review the PFM Act, which builds on previous support of the Bank under PFMSPII. Through AfDB’s COVID-19 Budget Support project that was approved in July 2020, the government has published the COVID-19 procurements. The other previous key areas of AfDB PFM support focused on tax administration reforms (upgrading of the Automated System for Customs Data—ASYCUDA putting in place a Tax Appeals Tribunal legislative framework, review of the Customs and Excise Act, etc.); public procurement reforms; and strengthening financial management systems, Treasury Instructions, Treasury Funds Management Guidelines, undertaking an audit of Treasury Funds, and strengthening the Integrated Financial Management Information System (IFMIS) oversight, among others.

In terms of private sector support, the AfDB supported a number of private sector projects directly and indirectly through regional operations and private equity (PE) funds. The AfDB approved, in 2017, a USD 300 million long-term senior loan to finance the Nacala Rail and Port Project, which is a regional project. The loan included an allocation of USD 18.1536 million to Central African Railways Company Limited (CEAR) of Malawi. The project will provide Malawi with a more efficient access to a sea port and will therefore lead to a reduction in transportation costs for import and export trade. To complement the Nacala Rail and Port Project and the Nacala Roads Projects and in order to support inclusive growth along the Nacala Development Corridor in Malawi, the AfDB approved a USD 1 million Nacala Rail and Port Value Additional TA Project. The TA project will help local SMEs and farmers take advantage of the road and rail infrastructures by improving on the efficiency and competitiveness of their businesses. The AfDB also approved, in 2016, a soft commodity finance facility of USD 20 million (a regional project) to Meridan Consolidated Investment Limited. The funds approved will be used to purchase soft commodities (i.e. maize, groundnuts, pigeon peas, soya, sesame and beans) directly from small-scale farmers in Malawi, Mozambique and Zimbabwe. Meridan Consolidated Investment Limited is originally a Malawian company that has expanded its operations regionally.

The AfDB has also provided support for non-lending activities, including feasibility studies and analytic work, to inform the design of new operations and policy dialogue. In 2017, the AfDB prepared a feasibility study for Kholombidzo Hydro Power Project, which will provide a foundation for pipeline operations. In the same year, the AfDB financed the feasibility study for establishment of an Agriculture Cooperative AfDB. Based on the findings and recommendations of the feasibility study, the Government of Malawi recently launched the Malawi Agricultural and Industrial Investment Corporation Pic which is a government initiative to establish a development AfDB in the country but being led by the private sector.

In addition, the AfDB is supporting the Private Public Partnership Commission (PPPC) with a grant to build PPP negotiation capacity through a “hot line” arrangement, whereby the PPPC can tap into international legal services to advise on PPP transactions. The AfDB has provided technical assistance to the Malawi Postal Cooperation for the development of the E-Post Strategy and Action Plan. It is to be noted that the AfDB, in recent years, has undertaken a number of analytical studies, including Domestic Resource Mobilization Study for Malawi, and provided TA to the Reserve AfDB of Malawi to strengthen capacity in macro-economic forecasting; prepared a Public Expenditure Review with the World Bank and other development partners; and provided support for undertaking of the Expenditure Tracking Study for Malawi.

Looking forward, the AfDB plans to scale up its lending to the energy sector with a view to address power shortages. The pipeline of energy sector projects includes the Songwe River Basin Development Project, the Malawi-Zambia Power Inter-connector Project, and the Kholombidzo Hydro Power Project. The AfDB continues to engage with the World Bank and other partners for co-financing arrangements of its pipeline operations. In view of this, the AfDB is taking the lead in mobilizing donor resources and private finance for the Songwe Hydro Power Project, a multinational project with Tanzania. It will also promote private investment in the energy sector, through PPPs and the use of innovative financing instruments, such as Partial Risk Guarantees. Specifically, for the period 2021–2022, the Bank is considering three projects for financing from the Non-Sovereign operation private sector window including: Voltalia Kanengo Dzuwa Limited (VKDL Solar Project), Mbongozi Hydro Electric Project, and Mpatamanga 350MW hydro project.

The AfDB undertook a mid-term review of the Country Strategy Paper (2018–2022) in 2020, to take stock of achievement of results and aligned with Malawi’s new National Development Plan and the Bank’s Long Term Strategy, in particular, the “High Fives” priorities, which include “Light up and Power Africa”, “Feed Africa”, “Industrialize Africa”, “Integrate Africa” and “Improve the Quality of Life for the People of Africa”. During 2022, the AfDB will prepare a project completion report for the Country Strategy Paper (2018–2022) to guide the formulation of its new Country Strategy for the period 2023–2027.

Statistical Issues

(As of November 15,2021)

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Malawi: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(As of October 30, 2021)

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Any reserve assets that are pledged or otherwise encumbered should be specified separately. Also, data should com prise short-term liabilities linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means as well as the notional values of financial derivatives to pay and to receive foreign currency, including those linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means.

Both market-based and officially-determined, including discounts rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-a-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D); weekly (W); monthly (M); quarterly (Q);annually (A); irregular (I); and not available (NA).

These columns should only be included for countries for which Data ROSC (ora Substantive Update) has been published.

Reflects the assessment provided in the data ROSC or the Substantive Update (published on March 10, 2004, and based on the findings of the mission that took place during May 8–21, 2003) for the dataset corresponding to the variable in each row. The assessment indicates whether international standards concerning concepts and definitions, scope, classification/sectorization, and basis for recording, respectively, are fully observed (O); largely observed (LO); largely not observed (LNO); not observed (NO);and not available (NA).

Same as footnote 9, except referring to international standards concerning, respectively, source data, assessment of source data, statistical techniques, assessment and validation of intermediate data and statistical outputs, and revision studies.

1

The 2018 ECF was cancelled by the authorities on September 24, 2020 as presented in the request in the October 2020 Request for Rapid Credit Financing.

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