Republic of Tajikistan: 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report
Author:
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. Search for other papers by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. in Current site Google ScholarClose
Reported economic activity has been strong in 2018-19 and inflation has picked up. The monetary framework is being strengthened. The external position has deteriorated. The fiscal deficit has widened as revenues have declined. Reforms to place the loss-making energy sector on a sound financial footing are underway. The authorities’ development strategy relies on large infrastructure projects— Roghun dam and other large SOE-implemented projects — that need sizable external financing. The financial sector is recovering from the 2015-16 crisis, with a decline in nonperforming loans and improved profitability. The authorities are making efforts to strengthen bank supervision and regulation. However, two formerly-systemic banks remain insolvent and further reforms are needed to restore public confidence in banks.