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IMF Country Report No. 19/186

SWITZERLAND

FINANCIAL SECTOR ASSESSMENT PROGRAM TECHNICAL NOTE—INSURANCE STRESS TESTING

June 27, 2019

This Technical Note on Insurance Stress Testing for the Switzerland FSAP was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed in May 2019.

Copies of this report are available to the public from

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International Monetary Fund

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© 2019 International Monetary Fund

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SWITZERLAND

FINANCIAL SECTOR ASSESSMENT PROGRAM

TECHNICAL NOTE

INSURANCE STRESS TESTING

June 12, 2019

Prepared By

Monetary and Capital Markets Department

This Technical Note was prepared by IMF staff in the context of the Financial Sector Assessment Program in Switzerland. It contains technical analysis and detailed information underpinning the FSAP’s findings and recommendations. Further information on the FSAP can be found at http://www.imf.org/external/np/fsap/fssa.aspx

Contents

  • Glossary

  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • INSURANCE STRESS TEST

  • A. Scope of the Stress Test and Risk Profile of the Insurance Sector

  • B. Scenario

  • C. Capital Standard and Modeling Assumptions

  • D. Results

  • E. Challenges in a Prolonged Low-Yield Environment

  • F. Summary of Findings and Recommendations

  • FIGURES

  • 1. Asset Allocation of Insurance Stress Test Participants

  • 2. Decomposition of Target Capital before Stress

  • 3. SST Ratio after Stress

  • 4. Changes in the Value of Assets and Liabilities

  • 5. Cross-Check Against Top-Down Results

  • 6. Contributions of Risk Factors in the Top-Down Model

  • 7. Solvency Projections

  • 8. Impact of Natural Disasters on Risk-Based Capital

  • 9. Maturity and Average Coupon Rate of Insurers’ Fixed-Income Investments

  • TABLES

  • 1. Main Recommendations on Insurance Stress Testing

  • 2. Specification of the Adverse Scenario for Insurers

  • 3. Financial Soundness Indicators of the Insurance Sector

  • APPENDICES

  • I. Insurance Sector Stress Test—Interest Rate Shocks

  • II. Insurance Sector Stress Testing Matrix (STeM)

Glossary

BU

Bottom-Up

CHF

Swiss francs

EUR

Euro

FINMA

Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority

FSAP

Financial Sector Assessment Program

FX

Foreign Exchange

GAAP

Generally Accepted Accounting Principles

IFRS

International Financial Reporting Standards

LTV

Loan-to-Value

ORSA

Own Risk and Solvency Assessment

OTC

Over-the-Counter

RBC

Risk-Bearing Capital

SST

Swiss Solvency Test

STEM

Stress Testing Matrix

TD

Top-Down

UL

Unit- and Index-Linked Business

USD

U.S. dollars

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Switzerland: Financial Sector Assessment Program; Technical Note-Insurance Stress Testing
Author:
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department