Union of the Comoros: Staff Report for the 2018 Article IV Consultation— Informational Annex

Despite continued headwinds, the Comorian economy's performance slightly improved in 2017.

Abstract

Despite continued headwinds, the Comorian economy's performance slightly improved in 2017.

Fund Relations

(As of March 31, 2018)

Membership Status: Joined September 21, 1976, Article VIII

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Latest Financial Arrangements :

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Formerly PRGF

Overdue Obligations and Projected Payments to Fund 2/ (SDR millions; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs):

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When a member has overdue financial obligations outstanding for more than three months, the amount of such arrears will be shown in this section.

Implementation of HIPC Initiative: Enhanced framework

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Assistance committed under the original framework is expressed in net present value (NPV) terms at the completion point, and assistance committed under the enhanced framework is expressed in NPV terms at the decision point. Hence these two amounts cannot be added.

Under the enhanced framework, an additional disbursement is made at the completion point corresponding to interest income earned on the amount committed at the decision point but not disbursed during the interim period.

Summary of Safeguards Assessment

Safeguards assessments were completed in 2007 and 2010. In addressing recommendations, the Banque Centrale des Comores (BCC) started publishing its financial statements with enhanced disclosures on transactions with the IMF. In addition, the external audit process was strengthened, including through increased oversight by the audit committee. However, the BCC has not yet implemented International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and continues to lack an internal audit function.

Exchange Rate Arrangements

The currency of Comoros is the Comorian franc, which is pegged to the Euro at €1 = CF 492. Comoros has accepted the obligations of Article VIII, Sections 2(a), 3, and 4, and maintains an exchange system that is free of restrictions on the making of payments and transfers for current international transactions.

Article IV Consultation

The last Article IV consultation was concluded on December 7th, 2016 (Country Report No. 16/393). Directors noted that the Comorian economy was experiencing weak growth due to difficult challenges and that poor tax revenue performance and a rising public wage bill had led to a structural fiscal imbalance. Directors emphasized the need to address the fiscal gap to create space for growth-enhancing infrastructure investment and priority social spending. They welcomed the important revenue administration and public financial management measures already taken to rebalance the budget and minimize and eventually eliminate domestic arrears. They saw the need however for further measures to enhance revenue mobilization and contain the wage bill, and welcomed the authorities’ commitment to implement a six-month staff monitored program aimed at stabilizing the fiscal situation. Directors noted that Comoros will need additional external support, however they stressed that borrowing to meet development needs should be on concessional terms only. Directors noted that the recent acquisition of new diesel generators was necessary to address inadequate electricity provision in the country, and recommended further reforms to the business environment to catalyze additional private sector investment.

Recent Technical Assistance

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Resident Representative

A resident representative post established in September 1991 was closed in December 1995; in the 2000s, the IMF’s field operations in the country were managed by the resident office in Madagascar. The Comoros post was reestablished in May 2012.

Joint World Bank-IMF Work Program, 2018–2019

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Comoros: Recent World Bank Operations

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Relations with the African Development Bank Group

A. Bank Group’s Support in Comoros

1. The African Development Bank Group (AfDB) started its operations in Comoros in 1977 and has since then approved seventeen (24) operations and seven (7) economic and sector work (ESW). Cumulative Bank Group commitments net of cancellation amounted to UA 133.5 million as of April 2018. These operations targeted the public sector and were mainly financed from ADF resources (87.6 percent). One (1) port infrastructure project was financed through the ADB window for a net UA 10 million representing 7.5% percent of total net commitments. In addition, the AfDB approved three (3) emergency operations to assist in mitigating the adverse impact of the food crisis in 2008 (UA 1.5 million) and support victims of floods in 2009 and in 2012 (UA 1.28 million). Since 2009, in addition to the ADF, Comoros are eligible for Pillars I and III of the Fragile States Facilities (FSF), on which they have received additional resources of UA 41.1 million. On the Pillar I, Comoros received UA 10 million in ADF 12 and UA 15 million in ADF 13 and ADF14, respectively addressed to support Energy Sector in the ADF 12 and Road sector in the ADF 13 and ADF14 . The resources on Pillar III have supported the statistical capacity building in the PRCI (UA 595.000), the preparation of SCA2D (UA 241.000), the assistance to private sector (UA 625.000). In November 2015, the Bank approved a PRCI phase 2 under the resources of pillar I of TSF (UA 6 million). Recently there has been in November 2017 under pillar III a support to investment promotion (UA 1.1 million).

2. Overall, AfDB operations in Comoros have been mainly directed toward supporting economic-related infrastructure, support to public finances and improvement of rural livelihoods. They have primarily concerned Transport sector (39.8 percent), multi-sector (27 percent) and Energy sector (11.5 percent).

B. Strategic Orientation

3. The Bank Group concretely re-engaged in Comoros in 2010 following the resolution of the Anjouan crisis and the lifting of sanctions in February 2009 after clearance of its arrears with the Bank. A two-year Interim Country Strategy Paper (I-CSP) 2009–2010 focusing on economic and financial governance and water and sanitation was approved in April 2009. In December 2011, the Board of the AfDB approved a full Country Strategy Paper (CSP) for 2011–2015 based on a single pillar focusing on the energy sector in support of economic diversification. This new CSP draws on the Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper for 2010–2014 and spans over two ADF cycles – ADF 12 and ADF 13. In April 2016, the Bank approved a second full CSP for 2016–2020, based one single pillar: Developing basic energy and road infrastructure to support economic diversification. The current CSP is aligned on the national Strategy of growth and sustainable development (SCA2D 2015–2019) and is financed by ADF 13 and 14 resources, corresponding to a total amount of UA 60.54 million, including UA 25 million from the Transition States Facility (TSF). These resources will primarily aim to finance (i) a road project (UA 15.165 million), (ii) an energy investment project (UA 17.38 million), (iii) Capacity building for resource mobilization and economic governance (UA 5.0 million) and (iv) a sectoral budget support -energy and road- operation (UA 5.0 million) whose main objective will be to support government efforts in rehabilitation of roads and energy sectors in which the country faces major challenges.

4. Moreover, aware of the weak of institutional capacity of Comoros, the Bank approved, in November 2015, the second Phase of the Project of Institutional capacity building (PRIC 2) to strengthen the operationalization of Tax department (AGID), improve the capacity of programming and management of public investment (CGP), and improve the effectiveness of the department in charge of energy (DGME).

5. As of April 2017, the Bank’s ongoing portfolio in resources amounts to UA 37.6 million comprising 5 operations: (i) Energy Sector Support Project (ii) Energy Production, Transport & Distribution Plan, (iii) Rehabilitation of road network project, (iv) Support to Investment Promotion Agency, and (v) the Institutional Capacities Building (PRCI 2). A Midterm review of CSP combined to Country Portfolio Performance Review (CPPR) is planned in 2018.

C. Non-Lending Activities

6. Along with other developing partners, the AfDB aims to provide Comoros’s authorities with policy advice and decision tools on key strategic directions with the objective of leveraging and sustaining economic growth over the medium-long term. In this respect, the first phase of a study on the sources of growth in Comoros was completed in December 2010 and provided a series of preliminary key recommendations on ways of boosting growth and improving the economic and business climate. A second ESW concerning Fragility study is achieved in April 2014, to support the finalization of SCA2D.

D. Summary of AfDB Current Lending Portfolio

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Source: AfDB, 2018.

E. IMF-African Development Bank Collaboration

7. Collaboration between the IMF and Africa Development Bank teams has been largely through exchanges, sharing of information and joint missions. Also, the Bank has always participated of the Article IV mission.

Statistical Issues

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Comoros Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(As of May 10, 2018)

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Any reserve assets that are pledged or otherwise encumbered should be specified separately. Also, data should comprise short-term liabilities linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means as well as the notional values of financial derivatives to pay and to receive foreign currency, including those linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means.

Both market-based and officially-determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-à-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D); weekly (W); monthly (M); quarterly (Q); annually (A); irregular (I); and not available (NA).