Bosnia and Herzegovina
Technical Assistance Report-Government Finance Statistics Mission

This Technical Assistance Report discusses the recommendation made by the IMF mission to support the authorities of Bosnia and Herzegovina in improving government finance statistics (GFS) for decision making. The mission recommends that the authorities give consideration to the full list of objects, whereby Bosnia and Herzegovina can successfully compile GFS on an organized and comprehensive basis and within a designated amount of time. As a first step, the authorities will review the object list. As a second step, the mission together with the authorities will attach projected timelines/milestones to each lowest level object. If an object is already in place, then it will be noted as complete, and no further action will be needed.

Abstract

This Technical Assistance Report discusses the recommendation made by the IMF mission to support the authorities of Bosnia and Herzegovina in improving government finance statistics (GFS) for decision making. The mission recommends that the authorities give consideration to the full list of objects, whereby Bosnia and Herzegovina can successfully compile GFS on an organized and comprehensive basis and within a designated amount of time. As a first step, the authorities will review the object list. As a second step, the mission together with the authorities will attach projected timelines/milestones to each lowest level object. If an object is already in place, then it will be noted as complete, and no further action will be needed.

Executive Summary

1. A technical assistance (TA) mission was conducted by the government finance statistics (GFS) advisor for South East Europe1 during October 3–5, 2016, to support the authorities of Bosnia and Herzegovina in improving GFS for decision making. This mission was conducted within the context of the second phase of the Swiss Secretariat for Economic Affairs GFS capacity building project. The mission met with officials from the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina (CBBH) and the Bosnia and Herzegovina Agency for Statistics (BHAS).

2. Reliable GFS are essential for analyzing and evaluating fiscal policy, especially the performance of the general government sector and the broader public sector of any economy, by the authorities, economists, and the broader public. GFS may also be informative to compilers and users of other macroeconomic statistics in understanding the relations between the various sets of macroeconomic statistics, in particular, to compilers of the national accounts who may depend on GFS as an input to their work.

3. To this end, the project TA is geared toward the compilation and dissemination of GFS in accordance with the guidelines of the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2001/Government Finance Statistics Manual 2014 (GFSM 2001/GFSM2014) and the European System of National and Regional Accounts 2010 (ESA 2010). The project aims to implement comprehensive reporting to the Government Finance Statistics Yearbook, the IMF-World Bank Quarterly Public Sector Debt (QPSD) database, the ESA 2010 Transmission Program of Data, and to fulfill excessive deficit procedure (EDP) reporting requirements.

4. The specific purpose of this TA mission was to follow up on the findings of a previous IMF TA mission conducted in April 2016, and to develop a work program for the duration of the second phase of the project.

5. The first phase of the project had two goals: (i) to classify institutional units of the public sector according to the GFSM 2014 and ESA 2010, and to publish a classified list of units on an official website of the CBBH or the BHAS; (ii) to compile public sector debt data according to the Public Sector Debt Statistics—A Guide for Compilers and Users (PSDSG), and to transmit the data to the shared IMF-World Bank QPSD database.

6. Classifying institutional units is a vital first step toward defining the scope of the general government, separating this from the wider concept of the public sector. It is important that GFS compilers define the scope of the general government to ensure that all relevant units are included in this definition and to get a comprehensive view on fiscal risk. Delineating the line between the general government and the public sector is also important whereby the distinction between direct sources of fiscal risk and indirect sources of fiscal risk can be determined. A unit classified as part of the general government will contribute directly to the fiscal balance and government debt on a continual basis. Other units classified in the public sector may (intermittently) impact the fiscal balance through dividend receipts, subsidy or capital payments, and interest. These revenue or expense impacts on the fiscal balance may, in turn, also impact government debt, along with privatizations, capital injections or withdrawals from public sector units.

7. Publishing the classified list of public sector units also helps GFS users gain insight into which units are included in the general government when compiling GFS. Further, it supports all compilers of macroeconomic statistics, including the balance of payments and the national accounts, to classify these units in a consistent manner. The consistent recording of these units is essential because the compilation of these statistics is often dispersed over several compiling institutions or departments within institutions. Further, this is relevant for IMF surveillance purposes to ensure that the scope of general government and the wider public sector is clearly defined and aligned with international statistical standards.

8. The compilation and reporting of QPSD statistics is an important step toward compiling debt data according to international statistical standards, but also to ensure these data are available with a high frequency and on a timely basis. Following the PSDSG ensures that a number of important, often overlooked, issues are addressed to ensure that debt data are compiled on a consistent and internationally comparable manner. First, the level of coverage according to the general government subsectors and the public sector is clearly defined. Often units covered when compiling debt data are determined on an ad hoc basis, sometimes only featuring the budget and a number of units deemed to hold fiscal risk. Second, the level of coverage according to the types of debt instruments is defined. Often only loans and securities feature in the compilation of debt, whereas other accounts payable, currency and deposits debt, or other debt may also be relevant. Third, issues concerning valuation and consolidation are also addressed when following the PSDSG.

9. The mission reviewed the action points from the April 2016 mission and found that although the authorities made substantial progress in achieving the goals of the first phase of the project, further action by the authorities is still required.

  • The BHAS has compiled a provisional inventory of public sector units, and classified these units according to its relevant general government subsector. The list of units is substantially exhaustive, while the classification of a number of institutional units, such as Entity Level Development Banks, is still outstanding. The authorities have yet to publish this inventory of units according to their GFSM 2014 / ESA 2010 sector classification.

  • The CBBH has compiled quarterly general government debt data for the time series 2011:Q1–2016:Q2. These data are available on the CBBH website. Reporting to the IMF-World Bank QPSD database has been approved by the senior management of CBBH.

10. Further, a number of weaknesses of institutional arrangements needed to compile GFS in Bosnia and Herzegovina have yet to be resolved. Importantly, collaboration between the Bosnian institutions at the entity level and the state institutions lack the (in)formal prerequisites to support comprehensive and adequate fiscal data reporting.

11. To this end, the following crucial priority recommendations will support improving the institutional arrangements needed to compile GFS in Bosnia and Herzegovina:

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12. Addressing these weaknesses in institutional arrangements is vital for supporting the compilation of GFS on a comprehensive and timely manner according to international statistical standards. This is especially relevant in the complicated political economy of Bosnia and Herzegovina, where a significant level of decentralization is in place, and diffuse approaches are used in fiscal reporting across the state institutions, the entities, and the cantons. This is, for instance, reflected by differing budget laws applicable to the various political entities. Hereby accounting standards and timeliness requirements, among others, also differ, leading to a disparate set of data that are reported for GFS compiling purposes. By addressing these issues through the above-mentioned benchmark actions, the CBBH and BHAS will be better equipped to receive fiscal data according to agreed reporting requirements—concerning periodicity, format, timeliness, the coding structure, level of detail, supporting information, and reporting obligations (whom to report to).

13. On the basis of the above-mentioned reporting requirements (see paragraph 3), the mission, together with the officials, developed a draft object list specific to Bosnia and Herzegovina to be used to develop a work program for the duration of the second phase of the project. The work program will function as a guide to follow a step-by-step process and will be updated periodically to reflect the status. The object list (see Annex I) covers various ‘building blocks’ to cover the above-mentioned reporting requirements, aligned with other macroeconomic statistics compilation.

14. Although the scope of the object list is comprehensive, future missions will focus on objects relevant to the project. At the same time, the mission recommends that the authorities give consideration to the full list of objects, whereby Bosnia and Herzegovina can successfully compile GFS on an organized and comprehensive basis and within a designated amount of time. As a first step, the authorities will review the object list. As a second step, the mission together with the authorities will attach projected timelines / milestones to each lowest level object. If an object is already in place, then it will be noted as complete—no further action needed. In Bosnia’s case, a number of objects need little or no further action. The GFS advisor will periodically monitor the progress on each object, update the status of progress, and agree on shifting timelines if this better reflects reality. This will help the authorities, the short-term expert, the GFS advisor, and the project manager to keep an overview of progress.

15. The following benchmark action supports the development of a work program for the duration of the project:

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16. The GFS advisor will continue to liaise with the authorities remotely from Ljubljana to assure progress in this regard.

Bosnia and Herzegovina: Technical Assistance Report-Government Finance Statistics Mission
Author: International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.