Sweden: Staff Report for the 2016 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex

Sweden is enjoying robust growth aided by supportive macroeconomic policies. Growth is heading for about 31/2 percent in 2016 helping bring unemployment down to about 7 percent. Domestic demand is the key growth driver, boosted by the stimulatory monetary policy along with higher government spending related to migration in 2015-16. Growth is expected to moderate to a still solid 21/2 percent in 2017.

Abstract

Sweden is enjoying robust growth aided by supportive macroeconomic policies. Growth is heading for about 31/2 percent in 2016 helping bring unemployment down to about 7 percent. Domestic demand is the key growth driver, boosted by the stimulatory monetary policy along with higher government spending related to migration in 2015-16. Growth is expected to moderate to a still solid 21/2 percent in 2017.

Fund Relations

(As of September 30, 2016)

Membership Status: Joined: August 31, 1951; Article VIII.

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Outstanding Purchases and Loans: None

Latest Financial Arrangements: None

Projected Payments to Fund:

(SDR million; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs):

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Exchange Rate Arrangements:

The Krona has been floating freely since November 19, 1992. Sweden has accepted the obligations of Article VIII (sections 2(a), 3 and 4) and maintains an exchange system free of restrictions on payments and transfers for current international transactions, apart from those notified to the Fund pursuant to Decision No. 144-(52/51).

Resident Representative: None

Article IV Consultation:

Sweden is on the 12-month consultation cycle.

FSAP Participation:

A mandatory FSAP has been conducted in time for the 2016 Article IV consultation, in line with the five-year cycle for members or members’ territories with financial sectors that are determined to be systemically important pursuant to Decision No. 15495-(13/111), adopted December 6, 2013.

Statistical Issues

(As of October 12, 2016)

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National Accounts: Sweden publishes the national accounts according to the European System of Accounts (ESA) 2010 since September 2014.

Government Finance Statistics: Government finance statistics were published based on ESA 2010 methodology in September 2014.

External Sector Statistics: Sweden publishes external sector statistics based on the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6) format since December 2014.

Monetary and Financial Statistics: Monetary data reported for International Financial Statistics are based on the European Central Bank’s (ECB) framework for collecting, compiling, and reporting monetary data.

Sweden: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(As of October 12, 2016)

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Any reserve assets that are pledged or otherwise encumbered should be specified separately. Also, data should comprise short-term liabilities linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means as well as the notional values of financial derivatives to pay and to receive foreign currency, including those linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means.

Both market-based and officially-determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-à-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D), weekly (W), monthly (M), quarterly (Q), annual (A), irregular (I); and not available (NA).

8// These columns should only be included for countries for which Data ROSC (or a Substantive Update) has been published.9/ This reflects the assessment provided in the data ROSC or the Substantive Update (published on …, and based on the findings of the mission that took place during…) for the dataset corresponding to the variable in each row. The assessment indicates whether international standards concerning concepts and definitions, scope, classification/sectorization, and basis for recording are fully observed (O); largely observed (LO); largely not observed (LNO); not observed (NO); and not available (NA).10/ Same as footnote 9, except referring to international standards concerning (respectively) source data, assessment of source data, statistical techniques, assessment and validation of intermediate data and statistical outputs, and revision studies.