Democratic Republic of the Congo: Staff Report for the 2015 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex
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International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
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This 2015 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Democratic Republic of the Congo's macroeconomic performance remained strong through the first half of 2015 despite a difficult external and domestic environment. Real GDP growth in 2014 is estimated at 9.2 percent, driven by copper production and the service sector. The medium-term outlook is favorable but subject to downside risks. Real GDP growth is projected to remain strong at 9.2 percent in 2015-among the highest rates in the world-and average 8.4 percent in 2016-17 before stabilizing at about 6 percent in 2018-20.

Abstract

This 2015 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Democratic Republic of the Congo's macroeconomic performance remained strong through the first half of 2015 despite a difficult external and domestic environment. Real GDP growth in 2014 is estimated at 9.2 percent, driven by copper production and the service sector. The medium-term outlook is favorable but subject to downside risks. Real GDP growth is projected to remain strong at 9.2 percent in 2015-among the highest rates in the world-and average 8.4 percent in 2016-17 before stabilizing at about 6 percent in 2018-20.

Relations with the IMF

As of June 30, 2015

Membership Status: Joined September 28, 1963; Article VIII

General Resources Account:

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SDR Department:

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Outstanding Purchases and Loans:

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Latest Financial Arrangements:

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Projected Payments to Fund:26

(SDR million; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs):

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Implementation of HIPC Initiative:

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Implementation of MDRI Assistance:

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Exchange Rate Arrangement:

The currency of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is the Congo franc (CDF). The de jure exchange rate arrangement is floating, although the Fund classifies the de facto exchange rate arrangement as “stabilized.” At end-July 2015, the rate was US$1=CF 924.89. Effective February 10, 2003, the DRC accepted the obligations of Article VIII, Sections 2 (a) 3, and 4, of the Fund’s Articles of Agreement; however, the DRC maintains measures that give rise to one exchange rate restriction and one multiple currency practice subject to Fund approval. The exchange restriction involves an outstanding net debt position against other contracting members under the inoperative regional payments agreement with the Economic Community of the Great Lakes Countries. The multiple currency practice relates to a fixed exchange rate provided for in a bilateral payments agreement with Zimbabwe.

Last Article IV Consultation:

Consultations with the DRC are held in accordance with the provisions of the 2010 Decision on consultation cycles approved in September 2010. The last Article IV consultation was concluded by the Executive Board on June 9, 2014.

Safeguards Assessment:

An updated safeguards assessment of the Banque centrale du Congo (BCC) completed in April 2010 found that while most of the 2008 recommendations had been implemented, significant risks remained. The BCC continued to lack autonomy from the government and was in need of recapitalization, and the absence of an independently defined financial reporting framework continued to impair transparency. The Ministry of Finance completed the first phase of the recapitalization in March 2011 by bringing the BCC’s net worth to zero. The IMF is providing technical assistance to support the recapitalization efforts. The transition process to a new financial reporting framework has been significantly delayed; the BCC now aims to issue their 2015 financial statements in accordance with IFRS.

Technical Assistance:

STA

The focus of the assistance is placed on developing national accounts, including data, compilation, and methodology. STA has provided support to finalize national accounts consistent with the System of National Accounts 93 for several years up to 2013.

FY 2007 – Real sector statistics

FY 2008 – Real sector statistics

FY 2009 – National accounts

FY 2010 – Monetary statistics and national accounts

FY 2011 – Monetary statistics and national accounts

FY 2012 – Monetary statistics, national accounts and balance of payments.

FY 2013 – National accounts (three missions), balance of payments (one mission)

FY 2014 – Balance of payments (one mission)

FY 2015 – National accounts (3 missions) and monetary statistics (one mission)

MCM

TA has been informed by the 2013 FSAP recommendations and focusing, mainly, on BCC modernization process, banking supervision, reinforcing BCC collateral framework, and implementing a two-way foreign exchange auction.

Capacity building assistance to the central bank

FY 2012 – One mission (TA needs assessment)

FY 2013 – One mission

FY 2014 – One mission

FY 2015 – One mission

Strengthening capacity in Anti-Money Laundering/Combating Financial Terrorism (AML/CFT)

FY 2005 – One short visit

FY 2006 – Two short visits

Strengthening capacity in monetary policy implementation, exchange operations, and liquidity management

FY 2005 – Three short visits

FY 2006 – Two short visits

FY 2007 – Seven short visits

FY 2008 – Three short visits

FY 2009 – One short visit

FY 2011 – Three short visits

FY 2012 – Two short visits (of which one on currency reform and handling)

FY 2013 – Two missions and four short visits (of which three on upgrading the financial framework)

FY 2014 – One mission

Restructuring and reorganization of the central bank

FY 2009 – One short visit

FY 2010 – One short visit

FY 2011 – Four short visits

FY 2012 – One mission

Strengthening capacity in banking supervision and financial sector development

FY 2005 – One short visit on bank supervision and regulation

FY 2006 – One short visit on internal audit

FY 2007 – Action plan for developing the financial system

FY 2008 – One short visit on TA assessment

FY 2008 – Two short visits on bank supervision and regulation

FY 2008 – One short visit on internal audit

FY 2010 – Three short visits on bank supervision and regulation

FY 2011 – Three short visits

FY 2011 – Two short visits on bank supervision and regulation

FY 2012 – One mission

FY 2013 – Six short visits on bank supervision and regulation

FY 2014 – Two missions and one short visit on bank supervision and regulation

FY 2015 – One mission

LEG

FY 2012 – Two missions (Central Banking and Bank Resolution)

FAD

Simplification of the tax system—notably tax incentives and the myriad of fees and charges that hinder the business climate—remains a key priority, along with better mobilization of mining sector revenue through a new Mining Code and tighter customs control. Although authorities have started to streamline fees and charges, much remains to be done and progress is slow given administrative obstacles. Customs and VAT measures are largely administrative in nature and depend on the political capacity of authorities to bring all potential taxpayers in the tax net. Other priorities include: (i) reinforcing the administration of revenue collected from extractive industries (EI) and VAT administration, and improving customs operations and (ii) consolidating the state budget, the medium-term budget framework (MTBF) and the medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF).

Public financial management

FY 2007 – Short-term expert visit

FY 2009 – One mission and one short- term expert visit

FY 2010 – Short –term expert visit

FY 2011 – One mission

FY 2012 – One mission (MNRW TTF diagnostic) and one short-term expert visit (JSA)

FY 2013 – One mission and three short-term expert visits (all MNRW TTF)

FY 2014 – Two short-term expert visits (all MNRW TTF)

FY 2015 – One mission

Revenue administration

FY 2005 – One short visit

FY 2006 – One short visit

FY 2007 – One short visit

FY 2008 – One short visit

FY 2009 – One short visit

FY 2011 – One short visit (VAT diagnostics)

FY 2012 – One short visit (MNRW TTF diagnostic)

FY 2013 – Eight visits (on which three on MNRW)

FY 2014 – One mission

FY 2015 – Three missions

Fiscal decentralization

FY 2005 – Short visit.

Tax Policy

FY 2012 – One short visit (MNRW TTF diagnostic)

FY 2013 – Two short visits

FY 2014 – Two short-term expert visits.

FY 2015 – One mission.

AFRITAC Central

Technical assistance efforts have been focusing on improving tax administration; strengthening of tax audits and enhancement of research activities with a view of the broadening the tax base; improving public debt management macroeconomic statistics; streamlining and compiling national accounts systems; and supporting banking supervision and financial stability, including training of newly recruited banking supervisors.

Public financial management

FY 2009 – Four missions

FY 2010 – Four missions

FY 2011 – One mission

FY 2012 – Four missions

FY 2013 – Four missions

FY 2014 – Two missions

FY 2015 – Four missions

Tax and Customs administration

FY 2008 – One mission

FY 2009 – Four missions

FY 2010 – Four missions

FY 2011 – Two missions

FY 2012 – Two missions

FY 2013 – Two missions

FY 2014 – Three missions

FY 2015 – Six missions

Bank supervision and financial stability

FY 2008 – Four missions

FY 2009 – Three missions

FY 2010 – Three missions

FY 2011 – Three missions

FY 2012 – Three missions

FY 2013 – Five missions

FY 2014 – Four missions

FY 2015 – Six missions

Public debt

FY 2008 – Two missions

FY 2009 – One mission

FY 2010 – Three missions

FY 2013 – One mission

FY 2014 – Two missions

FY 2015 – Two missions

Macroeconomic Statistics and National Accounts

FY 2010 – Two missions

FY 2011 – Two mission

FY 2012 – One mission

FY 2013 – Two missions

FY 2014 – Two missions

FY 2015 – Three missions

Long-term Resident Experts:

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Resident Representative: Mr. Melhado Orellana assumed his duties in October 2012 and he will be replaced by Mr. Nicholas Staines who has been assigned for three years starting on September 2015.

Jmap Implementation Matrix

As of April 30, 2014

2. The Fund and World Bank teams liaise to support the joint managerial action plan (JMAP) initiative. The World Bank’s FY15–17 work program entails projects directed at strengthening the poverty reduction efforts being implemented by the authorities and improving governance (Tables 1 and 2). The Fund’s work program entails Article IV consultations. Both institutions provide technical assistance to help in the implementation of FSAP recommendations.

Table 1.

Indicative FY15–FY17 Non-lending Program

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Table 2.

Indicative FY15–FY17 Financing Program (IDA, Grants, and Regional Programs)

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Notes: AF: Additional Financing; * Combined national and regional allocation.

Statistical Issues

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Democratic Republic of the Congo: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(as of July 13, 2015)

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Any reserves assets that are pledged or otherwise encumbered should be specified separately. Also, data should comprise short-term liabilities linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means as well as the national values of financial derivatives to pay and receive foreign currency, including those linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means.

Both market-based and officially-determined, including discount rates, money markets rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

Including currency and maturity compostion.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-à-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D). Weekly (W). Monthly (M). Quarterly (Q). Irregular (I). Not available (NA).

24

Formerly Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF).

25

Three reviews were concluded (of which two were associated with non-complying purchases on account of misreporting on external arrears for which the Fund granted waivers) and the last three reviews were not concluded because of governance concerns in the management of natural resources.

26

When a member has overdue financial obligations outstanding for more than three months, the amount of such arrears will be shown in this section.

27

Assistance committed under the original framework is expressed in net present value (NPV) terms at the completion point, and assistance committed under the enhanced framework is expressed in NPV terms at the decision point. Hence these two numbers cannot be added.

28

Under the enhanced framework, an additional disbursement is made at the completion point corresponding to interest income earned on the amount committed at the decision point but not disbursed during the interim period.

29

The MDRI provides 100 percent debt relief to eligible countries that qualified for the assistance. Grant assistance from MDRI Trust and HIPC resources provide debt relief to cover the full stock of debt owed to the Fund as of end-2004 that remains outstanding at the time the member qualifies for such debt relief.

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