Albania: Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex
Author:
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Search for other papers by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close

This 2013 Article IV Consultation for Albania focuses on economic developments and policies that have led to weakening and imbalance of the economy. It highlights that high nonperforming loans (NPLs) are constraining credit growth, and weak external drivers are preventing a sustained reduction in external imbalances. Reduction in NPLs would safeguard financial stability and help release credit supply constraints by lowering bank risk aversion. The authorities have requested a three-year arrangement with proposed access equivalent to SDR 295.42 million.

Abstract

This 2013 Article IV Consultation for Albania focuses on economic developments and policies that have led to weakening and imbalance of the economy. It highlights that high nonperforming loans (NPLs) are constraining credit growth, and weak external drivers are preventing a sustained reduction in external imbalances. Reduction in NPLs would safeguard financial stability and help release credit supply constraints by lowering bank risk aversion. The authorities have requested a three-year arrangement with proposed access equivalent to SDR 295.42 million.

Fund Relations

(As of December 31, 2013)

Membership Status: Joined October 15, 1991; Article XIV.

General Resources Account:

article image

SDR Department:

article image

Outstanding Purchases and Loans:

article image

Financial Arrangements:

article image

Projected Obligations to Fund:

(SDR Million,; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs);

article image

Safeguards Assessments: A safeguards assessment mission will take place in February 2014 and the assessment will be issued soon after. The last safeguards assessment of the Bank of Albania, completed on July 14, 2006, found that some weaknesses existed in the central bank’s safeguards framework. The main vulnerabilities identified by the assessment concerned the quality of the external audit, lack of audit committee oversight of the external and internal audit functions and the system of internal controls, and certain weaknesses in the controls over the Fund data reporting process. Subsequent to the assessment completion, external audit quality has been improved by adding a cosignatory from a larger office of the audit firm, and the data reporting process was modified as recommended. The authorities are working to address remaining vulnerabilities in the internal audit function, but have not yet established an audit committee.

Exchange Rate Arrangement: On July 1, 1992 the Albanian authorities adopted a floating exchange rate system. The de jure exchange rate system is classified as free floating, but the de facto exchange rate arrangement is floating, with the monetary authorities occasionally intervening in the foreign exchange market in order to avoid excessive and short-term disruptions in the functioning of the market and to accumulate reserves. The country still avails itself of the transitional arrangements under Article XIV and maintains an exchange restriction in the form of outstanding debit balances on inoperative bilateral payment agreements, which were in place before Albania became a Fund member. These relate primarily to debt in nonconvertible and formerly nonconvertible currencies. Albania maintains two further exchange restrictions inconsistent with Article VIII, Sections 2(a) and 3 under the IMF’s Articles: (i) an exchange restriction arising from the requirement for residents and nonresidents to submit a tax certificate that they do not owe any outstanding taxes prior to transferring foreign exchange for certain current transactions including the payment of moderate amounts for amortization of loans, the payment of certain insurance premium, and the transfer of profits and dividends from investments in Albania; and (ii) an exchange restriction arising from the requirement to provide customs clearance documents in respect of advance import payments prior to making payments for unrelated foreign exchange transactions. The exchange rate stood at lek 103.17 per U.S. dollar on November 30, 2013.

Article IV Consultation: The 2012 Article IV consultation was concluded on December 3, 2012 (IMF Country Report No. 13/7).

FSAP Participation and ROSCs: The most recent FSAP was carried out in November 2013 (Board date February 28, 2014). A data module ROSC was published on the Fund’s website in June 2000. A fiscal ROSC was completed in June 2003. Albania participates in the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS), and a complete set of GDDS metadata for the external, financial, fiscal, and real sectors, as well as for the socio-demographic indicators is posted on the Fund’s Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board (http://dsbb.imf.org). A data module ROSC reassessment using the Data Quality Assessment Framework was conducted in March 2006. A ROSC for assessing the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) recommendations for Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Special Recommendations on Combating the Financing of Terrorism (CFT) was conducted in November 2010 and the report was published in July 2011.

Technical Assistance: The Fund, other multilateral organizations and donors have provided extensive assistance for institutional development in Albania. The Fund has sent several technical assistance missions to Albania every year since 1991. The extent and focus of Fund TA since FY 2008 is briefly listed below.

Table 1.

Albania—Technical Assistance since FY2008

article image
article image

Resident Representative: A Fund resident representative was posted in Tirana from April 1993 to August 2009. Ms. Ann-Margret Westin filled the position from August 2005 to August 2009.

World Bank Group Relations

The Republic of Albania has been a member of the World Bank since 1991. Since then, the WBG has provided strong support to Albania, including 72 IDA, IBRD and GEF projects in different sectors totaling US $1.4 billion, IFC investments of US$621 million, and MIGA guarantees totaling US$8.6 million. The quality of the active portfolio has continued to improve, with an increasing focus on long-term capacity development and implementation through Government structures.

The National Strategy for Development and Integration (NSDI) for 2007-2013 outlined the Government’s economic and social development program. The strategic goals of the NSDI were: (i) integration to the European Union (EU), strengthening the rule of law and democratization; and (iii) achieving rapid and sustainable economic and social development. The authorities have made progress towards the NSDI goals. First, Albania joined NATO in 2008 and submitted its application for EU membership in 2009. In November 2010, the European Commission found out that “negotiations for accession to the EU should be opened with Albania once the country has achieved the necessary degree of compliance with the membership criteria.” Second, its GDP growth continued throughout the global financial crisis, while poverty continued to decline. However, despite adopting some business environment reforms, Albania declined in its overall ranking on the World Bank’s 2014 Doing Business (DB) Indicators to the 90th position.

The new Government, which took office in September 2013, is in the process of revising the draft National Strategy for Development and Integration (NSDI) for 2014–2020. The Strategy for 2014–2020 is expected to be finalized by September 2014. The current draft, which is undergoing a consultative process, has three broad pillars or overarching goals: (i) to prepare Albania to become a full member of the European Union; (ii) to foster strong and sustained economic growth; and (iii) to transform growth and enhanced wealth into improved well-being for all citizens in a fair and cohesive society. These broad goals are to be advanced through measures in four key areas: (i) good governance, democracy and rule of law; (ii) growth through fiscal stability and increased competitiveness, forming Pillar I; (iii) sustainable growth through efficient use of resources, forming Pillar II; and (iii) investing in people and social cohesion, forming Pillar III.

The current Bank Group Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for 2011–14 supports the Government’s National Strategy for Development and Integration by focusing on three strategic objectives: (i) supporting Albania’s economic recovery and growth in a crisis-affected Europe; (ii) broadening and sustaining Albania’s social gains; and (iii) reducing vulnerability to climate change and natural disasters. The CPS program also supports governance improvements in Albania and the EU integration agenda. It focuses on accelerating the implementation of the ongoing program, while selectively introducing new IBRD lending in strategic areas, increasing IFC financing for the private sector to US$120–150 million, strengthening partnerships with other IFIs and donors, and expanding its knowledge program through regional and national activities. As part of its initiative to help several countries in Central, East, and South East Europe mitigate the impacts of the Eurozone crisis, the IBRD has increased the financing envelope available to Albania under the CPS, initially set at around US$300 million, to US$575 million, mainly for strengthening financial stability, macroeconomic management, and growth. The Progress Report has been prepared reconfirming CPS priorities, with an increased focus on supporting growth, competitiveness, and energy sector development.

The 2010 CAS proposed a lending range of US$ 75–US$ 196 million, with actual lending to have been determined by the pace of reform in key sectors. The current portfolio consists of five projects totaling US$200 million in IDA credits and IBRD loans. The portfolio has been consolidating significantly in the past few years, from 18 projects at the end of FY09 to five projects by FY13. Portfolio performance as measured by disbursement improved in FY11, with 22 percent, and FY12 with 24 percent, but it was 17 percent in FY13, partly because of some new projects and also because of deteriorating macro-fiscal performance, forcing the Government to cut expenditure even under IFI financing and leading to arrears under several projects. In order to improve performance, a number of steps taken in collaboration with the Government to simplify and streamline the portfolio, restructure problem projects, and introduce regular portfolio performance reviews have produced results.

Albania: Bank-Fund Joint Management Action Plan Matrix

(As of January 2014)

article image
article image

Statistical Issues

ALBANIA—STATISTICAL ISSUES APPENDIX

(As of January 31, 2014)

article image
article image
Table 1.

Albania: Statement of Operations–General Government, 2009–19

(Billions of leks)

article image
Sources: Albanian authorities; and IMF staff estimates and projections.

Albania: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

As of January 31, 2014

article image
article image

Any reserve assets that are pledged or otherwise encumbered should be specified separately. Also, data should comprise short-term liabilities linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means as well as the notional values of financial derivatives to pay and to receive foreign currency, including those linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means.

Both market-based and officially determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-à-vis nonresidents. The IIP is currently being developed by the Albanian authorities and is not yet published. The authorities will publish the data once quality checks have been completed.

Daily (D), Weekly (W), Monthly (M), Quarterly (Q), Annually (A), Irregular (I); Not Available (NA).

Reflects the assessment provided in the data ROSC published on October 31, 2006, and based on the findings of the mission that took place March 8–22, 2006, for the dataset corresponding to the variable in each row. The assessment indicates whether international standards concerning concepts and definitions, scope, classification/sectorization, and basis for recording are fully observed (O), largely observed (LO), largely not observed (LNO), or not observed (NO).

Same as footnote 8, except referring to international standards concerning source data, assessment of source data, statistical techniques, assessment and validation of intermediate data and statistical outputs, and revision studies.

1

Formerly PRGF.

  • Collapse
  • Expand