Sudan: Staff Report for the 2012 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex
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Staff Report for the 2012 Article IV consultation, prepared by a staff team of the IMF, following discussions that ended on July 23, 2012, with the officials of Sudan on economic developments and policies. Based on information available at the time of these discussions, the staff report was completed on September 7, 2012. The views expressed in the staff report are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Board of the IMF.

Abstract

Staff Report for the 2012 Article IV consultation, prepared by a staff team of the IMF, following discussions that ended on July 23, 2012, with the officials of Sudan on economic developments and policies. Based on information available at the time of these discussions, the staff report was completed on September 7, 2012. The views expressed in the staff report are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Board of the IMF.

Annex I. Sudan: Relations with the Fund

(As of July 31, 2012)

Membership Status

Joined 09/05/1957; Article VIII.

General Resources Account

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SDR Department

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Outstanding Purchases and Loans

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Latest Financial Arrangements

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Projected Payments to Fund

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Exchange Rate Arrangement

The legal tender is the Sudanese guinea, which replaced the Sudanese dinar in proportion SDG 1=SDD 100 in mid-2007. After the completion of a currency conversion to the new Sudanese guinea the Bank of Sudan (BOS) has allowed greater exchange rate flexibility than in 2006 and early 2007, suggesting a return to a floating exchange rate arrangement. Sudan maintains (i) an exchange restriction and a multiple currency practice arising from the imposition by the government of a cash margin requirement for most imports and (ii) an exchange restriction arising from the imposition of an absolute ceiling on foreign exchange for travel, subject to Fund approval under Article VIII, Sections 2(a) and 3. These restrictions were approved by the Board to end-June 2010. In addition, Sudan has recently introduced additional exchange measures and staff is currently assessing these measures to determine their compliance with Article VIII.

Sudan is on a 12-month consultation cycle. The last Article IV consultation discussion was concluded by the Executive Board on June 7, 2010.

FSAP Participation

The FSAP work took place during October 9–14, 2004 and was completed during December 1–14, 2004. The Financial System Stability Assessment report was discussed by the Executive Board on April 29, 2005.

Resident Representative

The Fund’s resident representative office in Khartoum was opened in October 2005, as a shared post with Djibouti. It was converted to a full post in September 2006.

Technical Assistance

In January 1995, the Executive Board decided to resume Fund technical assistance to Sudan. The following table contains a summary of the technical assistance provided since 2004. This assistance has been provided both from headquarters and from the IMF’s Middle East Technical Assistance Center (METAC).

Sudan: Technical Assistance from the Fund, 2004–12

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Annex II. Sudan: Relations With the World Bank

(As of July 31, 2012)

1. The World Bank’s International Development Association (IDA) has no active lending portfolio in Sudan because of the country’s default on its financial obligations to IDA, which led to the suspension of disbursements in April 1993. After discussions between the World Bank and the Sudanese authorities on the need for Sudan to take steps toward normalizing its relations and establishing a track record with the World Bank, the authorities have been making small, intermittent debt service payments since mid-1999. The amount of payments has not been sufficient to prevent a continued accumulation of arrears, which currently stand at about US$ 695.6 million and are growing.

2. The World Bank was a major player in the reconstruction of Sudan following the Addis Ababa peace agreement of 1972, but was mostly absent from Sudan between 1993 and 2002. As the prospects for peace with the South rose in 2003, the World Bank formulated a strategy for a potential reengagement. Following the signing of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) on January 9, 2005 by the Government of Sudan and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement, the World Bank became the administrator for two large Multi-Donor Trust Funds (MDTFs) that support the CPA, and built up its program of non-lending support. Fifteen MDTF partners1 have contributed US$ 790 million in paid-in funds to the MDTFs. MDTF-supported projects initially experienced implementation challenges, as have all development and recovery programs in Sudan, but performance has steadily improved. Significant results are being seen on the ground, including the successful MDTF-supported launch of the CPA-mandated new national currency and the completion of the 5th Population Census, though daunting challenges remain—most notably low capacity, especially at the state level and in the South.

3. The World Bank’s Interim Strategy Note (ISN) for Sudan was discussed by the World Bank’s Board in April 2008. The ISN aims to support the Government of National Unity and the Government of Southern Sudan to sustain peace and reduce conflict by meeting the commitments contained in the CPA, Darfur Peace Agreement, and the Eastern Sudan Peace Agreement—particularly in war-affected and marginalized areas and in the fields of governance, basic services, and pro-poor economic growth. The ISN aims to help Sudan take important steps toward the achievement of the longer-term strategic vision enshrined in the CPA: promoting peace in Sudan by making it attractive through development, shared prosperity, and a reformed system of governance which serves all Sudanese.

4. The entry points for World Bank support—through management of the MDTFs and non-lending activities—vary according to the diverse conditions facing different regions of Sudan. At the National level, a focus on stabilizing peace entails a major role for analytical work and policy dialogue on implementing key provisions of the CPA (pro-poor growth, good governance and decentralization, empowerment), and—in the Three Areas and the East—on pro-peace development projects and building capacity for community-driven development and local service delivery. In Darfur, the World Bank works with partners, as security allows, to assess development and recovery needs and to make ready rehabilitation and development programs to be implemented in the event of peace. In the South, the main focus is on helping to build a competent, responsive and stable government based on good governance, rule of law, and transparency, while promoting efforts to empower and decentralize service delivery to the states, counties, and communities. Another key objective is to help Southern Sudan develop a long-term strategy to transform itself into a well-integrated, self-reliant, and viable economic unit that begins to harness its vast and rich natural resources for the welfare of its people. The substantial financial support through the MDTFs and the World Bank’s analytical and advisory services will be mobilized to meet these objectives.

5. With national elections recently completed, the focus of CPA implementation is now on preparations for the referendum in Southern Sudan due in early 2011.

6. IDA’s financial reengagement requires clearance of Sudan’s outstanding arrears. The clearance of these arrears can only be undertaken once a firm and comprehensive agreement among preferred creditors is in place. Such an agreement would also include significant reductions in bilateral debts, so as to make the total debt service obligations sustainable. Following the eventual clearance of IDA arrears, an exceptional IDA allocation for Sudan as a post-conflict country would be sought, and the World Bank would prepare another strategy document which would include, inter alia, a pipeline of projects.

7. The World Bank has completed a series of major non-lending products since the CPA, including a Public Expenditure Review, Diagnostic Trade Integration Study (on behalf of its Integrated Framework partners) and most recently a Country Economic Memorandum on sustainable and broad-based growth. Major non-lending products planned to be completed and delivered by the end of calendar 2010 include an Investment Climate Assessment focusing on the needs of small firms, an Environment and Natural Resources study, a Country Integrated Fiduciary Assessment, and for Southern Sudan studies on strengthening good governance and on States’ own revenue potential.

To enrich this menu of policy and analytical support, the World Bank will seek to deepen dialogue—and open up space for civil society participation in such dialogue—in areas such as: developing a Darfur reconstruction and development strategy; making decentralization work; transforming Southern Sudan into an integrated and viable economic unit; and local area development. The World Bank’s Financial Market Integrity Unit will continue its technical support to build capacity to combat money laundering through a proposed multi-phase program.

Annex III. Sudan: Relations with the African Development Bank

(As of July 31, 2012)

Group’s Portfolio and Arrears

1. Since its first intervention in 1971 in Sudan, the Bank Group (AfDB) has approved to date 33 operations amounting to a total net commitment of UA291 million.1 The Bank also approved grants for emergency assistance under the Special Relief Fund in 2001, 2003 and 2008 amounting to a total of USD2.0 million. In terms of sector distribution, the portfolio is dominated by agriculture (54%), followed by infrastructure (28.6%), multi sector (8.9%), finance (6%) and social sectors (2.5%).

2. The Bank ongoing operation is the Institutional Capacity Building for Poverty Reduction and Good Governance Project (ICBPRGGP), approved in March 2007 for US$15 million in the form of a grant. Expected to be closed by end-2012, a major accomplishment of the ICBPRGGP was the completion in 2010 of the Sudan Baseline Household Survey (NBHS) for both the North and the South, which was instrumental in the subsequent preparation of the Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (I-PRSP) for Sudan and National Development Plan for South Sudan.

3. The AfDB has not been in a position of undertaking much needed regular investment activities in the country since 1995 because of arrears. As at end-July 2012, the arrears to the Bank stood at UA 207 million, of which UA 81.7 million from the African Development Fund (ADF) window and UA 125.4 from the African.

Sudan: Arrears to the AfDB Group as of 31 July 2012

(Thousands UA)

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Strategy and Programming

4. The Bank has maintained field presence and sustained policy dialogue with the Government of Sudan and Development Partners. It has conducted technical assistance and capacity building activities, using grant resources that are not affected by the arrears situation of the country.

5. Given the arrears situation of Sudan, the Country Brief serves as the appropriate programming document. The last Country Brief was approved in November 2010. The new Country Brief 2012/2013 is under preparation, based on the Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 2011-2013. It is expected to be presented to the Board in September 2012. Sudan is eligible to resources of ADF-12 (2011-2013) and the Supplemental Support Window (Pillar 1) of the Fragile States Facility (FSF), conditional upon arrears clearance.

6. In the last couple of years, the Bank’s strategic engagement with Sudan has focused on: (i) accelerating a peaceful settlement of critical post-referendum economic issues with South-Sudan, by providing technical assistance to the African Union High-Level Implementation Panel (AUHIP); (ii) technical assistance, capacity building and donor coordination aimed at accelerating the process arrears clearance and debt relief for the reengagement of Sudan with the international community; and (iii) sustaining dialogue and conducting analytical work to prepare the ground for effective full-fledged support in addressing the development challenges of Sudan.

7. In this context, progress was made on a number of issues and initiatives, including: (i) Participations in meetings of the Technical Working Group; (ii) the Peer Learning Workshop on Arrears Clearance and Debt Relief held in May 2011 in Khartoum; (iii) Approval of two new operations, namely the Darfur Water Project for Conflict Resolution and Peace approved in January 2012 through the African Water Facility and the Capacity Enhancement for Debt Management and Resource Mobilization Project approved in March 2012 through the Targeted Support Window (Pillar 3) of the Fragile States Facility (FSF).

Annex IV. Sudan: Statistical Issues

(As of July 31, 2012)

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Sudan: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(As of August, 2012)

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Includes reserve assets pledged or otherwise encumbered as well as net derivative positions.

Both market-based and officially determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-à-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D); Weekly (W); Monthly (M); Monthly/Weekly (M/W); Bi-monthly (B); Quarterly (Q); Annually (A); Irregular (I); Not Available (NA).

1

Partners having paid in funds to the MDTFs are: Netherlands, Norway, United Kingdom, European Commission, Canada, Sweden, Germany, Finland, Spain, Denmark, Italy, Egypt, Iceland, Greece, and the World Bank. The World Bank contributed (from IBRD surplus) US$5 million to each of the MDTFs.

1

For June 2012, the exchange rate between the Unit of Account (UA) and the US Dollar (USD): UA1 = USD1.51.

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