Georgia
Report on Observance of Standards and Codes: Data Module

This paper discusses the Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC) on Data Module for Georgia. Following the 2002 ROSC mission, Georgia has continued to make impressive improvements in statistical compilation and dissemination in all areas of statistics covered by the Data ROSC. Georgia’s macroeconomic statistics are generally of high quality and adequately meet users’ needs. Georgia has made tangible improvements on the legal, institutional, methodological, and dissemination aspects of data quality.

Abstract

This paper discusses the Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC) on Data Module for Georgia. Following the 2002 ROSC mission, Georgia has continued to make impressive improvements in statistical compilation and dissemination in all areas of statistics covered by the Data ROSC. Georgia’s macroeconomic statistics are generally of high quality and adequately meet users’ needs. Georgia has made tangible improvements on the legal, institutional, methodological, and dissemination aspects of data quality.

I. Overall Assessment

1. This Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC)—Data Module is a reassessment of the exercise conducted in July 2002, using the IMF’s Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF July 2003). It covers national accounts, consumer (CPI) and producer price indices (PPI), government finance, monetary, and balance of payments statistics. The Georgian agencies that compile and disseminate these datasets are: the National Statistics Office of Georgia (GEOSTAT) for national accounts and prices, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) for government finance statistics (GFS), and the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) for monetary and balance of payments statistics.

2. Following the 2002 ROSC mission, Georgia has continued to make impressive improvements in statistical compilation and dissemination in all areas of statistics covered by the Data ROSC. It participated in the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS) in 2006. The commendable progress achieved allowed Georgia to subscribe to the Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) on May 17, 2010. Since its SDDS subscription, Georgia has been in observance of the SDDS, meeting the specifications for coverage, periodicity, timeliness, and the dissemination of advance release calendars. It uses flexibility options on periodicity and timeliness for the production index and employment and unemployment statistics. Appendix I provides an overview of Georgia’s dissemination practices compared to the SDDS.

3. The ROSC—Data Module contains the following main observations. Georgia’s macroeconomic statistics are generally of high quality and adequately meet users’ needs. Since 2002, Georgia has made tangible improvements on the legal, institutional, methodological, and dissemination aspects of data quality. Nevertheless, areas for further improvements include increase staff resources of GEOSTAT, compilation system for GDP by expenditure approach in real terms, extension of the coverage to include the expenditure pattern of the whole population in the CPI weights, classification of board money, and enhancement of accuracy of c.i.f./f.o.b. prices on imports on a sound method. Since the 2002 ROSC, major improvements are the enactment of the Law of Georgia on Official Statistics in December 2009, followed by the establishment of an independent statistical office—the GEOSTAT—in 2010; the adoption in 2008 of the classifications of the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2001 (GFSM 2001) as the budget classification; a new compilation system for balance of payments statistics; the significant increase in the scope of macroeconomic statistics produced and disseminated by the three agencies to the public; and the explicit declared commitment by senior management to work toward international standards of data quality.

4. In applying the IMF’s DQAF July 2003, the remainder of this section presents the mission’s main conclusions. The presentation follows the DQAF’s quality dimensions, by agency for the first two dimensions and across datasets for the remaining four.

5. Regarding prerequisites of quality, the responsibilities of the GEOSTAT, MOF, and NBG to compile and disseminate the corresponding statistics are clearly specified in the relevant laws governing them. However, the Law of Georgia on Official Statistics does not include mandatory reporting and sanctions (penalties) for nonreporting or misreporting, hence, some data producing agencies face significant challenges to improve source data, with the strongest impact on national accounts and price statistics. While management of each of the three agencies clearly demonstrates the commitment to improve data quality through collaboration, there is no arrangement for regular meetings of technical staff responsible for macroeconomic statistics. Such meetings provide a comprehensive arena for exchanging information on current and forthcoming projects for statistical development, promoting cross-sectoral data consistency crucial for macro-economic policy making, and coordinating work programs to avoid duplication of effort, ensure coherent application of methodology at all stages of data collection, and enhance effectiveness. Nevertheless, these agencies have several bilateral meetings and arrangements for collaboration on data issues e.g. MOF and NBG on GDP estimates, GEOSTAT and NBG on data sources for balance of payments statistics. However, there is no regular venue for the price users to discuss the issues related to the price statistics and their developments. All three data producing agencies seek to maintain a high level of transparency in the compilation and dissemination of their statistics. Especially, the management of the newly established GEOSTAT conducts intensive outreach activities with users to build trust and increase the credibility of statistics

6. Staff, computing, and financial resources are adequate to compile GFS, monetary and balance of payments statistics. However, staff resources of the GEOSTAT are not adequate for performing current programs. The remuneration of the GEOSTAT staff is not competitive compared to similar job positions in other data producing agencies in Georgia. This creates difficulties in attracting and retaining experienced staff. Hardware and software facilities of the GEOSTAT are not up to date for implementation of the medium-term program. All agencies, except the MOF, have systematic arrangements in place to obtain feedback from external users.

7. Regarding assurances of integrity, staff of the GEOSTAT, MOF, and NBG uphold high standards of professionalism, transparency, and ethical conduct in producing macroeconomic statistics. The basic principles governing the statistical compilation and dissemination practices include professional independence, objectivity, confidentiality of statistical data, and efficiency. Recruitment and promotion of staff are based on relevant skills and performances in accordance with the Law of Georgia on the Public Service (No. 1022 of October 31, 1997). Professionalism is promoted through well-established procedures including participation in training and seminars. Advance notice of major changes in methodology, source data, and statistical techniques is provided, except for monetary and balance of payments statistics. Arrangements with the NBG and GEOSTAT for internal government access to GFS prior to their data releases are not publicly identified by the MOF.

8. Regarding methodological soundness, the macroeconomic statistics are generally based on sound methods. All datasets broadly follow international statistical standards, namely the System of National Accounts, 1993 (1993 SNA), international manuals for the CPI and PPI, GFSM 2001, Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual (MFSM), and Balance of Payments Manual, fifth edition (BPM5). Methodological deviations exist in most datasets. Volume measures of GDP by the expenditure approach are not compiled. The scope of the consumer price index is limited to only urban areas while the treatment of owner-occupied housing is conceptually imprecise. The structure of PPI relies on turnover rather than output concept while product based PPIs are not compiled. For GFS, impressive progress has been achieved in the implementation of the GFSM 2001, as part of the ongoing reform of public sector accounting. The reform includes the implementation of accrual accounting by 2020. However, there are deficiencies in sectorization of Legal Entities of Public Law (LEPLs) and securities are not recorded at market value in central government debt. For monetary statistics, classification and sectorization mainly follow international guidelines, except for: i) the definition of broad money; ii) classification of other financial corporations (OFCs) and nonprofit institutions (NPI) in other depository corporations (ODCs) survey; iii) classification of accrued interest together with the outstanding amounts of assets and liabilities for some financial instruments; and iv) recording financial derivatives in the balance sheet of the NBG and commercial banks.

9. The accuracy and reliability of the macroeconomic statistics for most datasets could benefit from further improvements. National accounts face serious source data deficiencies owing to: absence of an economic census; under-reporting in the business survey and household budget survey (HBS); shortcomings in the business register; and incomplete coverage of some activities (trade, other community, social and personal activities). Also, a better method could be used to benchmark quarterly national accounts data to annual estimates. The export and import price indices are not compiled. The accuracy of the CPI and PPI weights, with respect to actual household consumption and market turnover, suffers from the same HBS and business register shortcomings as the national accounts. The imputation methods for both CPI and PPI, while recently improved, need to be enhanced to ensure coherent long-term treatment of seasonal goods. Monetary and balance of payments statistics rely on adequate and timely source data. However, the source data for monetary statistics do not give a clear definition of residency for legal entities consistent with the recommendations of the MFSM. Some data sources for balance of payments need strengthening, notably the International Transactions Reporting System (ITRS) and the private nonfinancial external debt compilation program. For the balance of payments, statistical techniques are adequate, except for the calculation of the c.i.f./f.o.b. adjustment to imports. For national accounts and balance of payments, limited revision studies and analyses are carried out but not documented.

10. Serviceability of macroeconomic statistics is adequate, with all macroeconomic datasets exceeding timeliness requirements of the SDDS. All datasets meet the periodicity requirements of the SDDS. The CPI, PPI, and GFS receive excellent assessments in all elements of serviceability. All macroeconomic statistics fulfill adequately the consistency parameters within each dataset and over time. Although the serviceability of balance of payments statistics is generally sound, users are neither informed when data are revised nor provided with detailed explanations of the revisions. In addition, the revision cycle of the national accounts follows a regular schedule, determined on the basis of the availability of source data and the timing of revisions to related datasets; however, the public is not informed about the revision policy.

11. Regarding accessibility, most datasets meet the standard in terms of presentational format and dissemination media, provision of advance release calendars, and simultaneous release of data. While national accounts have comprehensive references to international guidelines on the GEOSTAT website, the information on data sources and methods for compilation of national accounts and price statistics, applied in Georgia, is limited. Brief metadata for CPI are disseminated, but for the PPI the GEOSTAT does not currently disseminate either analysis of recent index movements or any metadata apart from the SDDS metadata on the IMF website. Consistent long-term index series for the CPI and PPI are not disseminated monthly, although they are available in the quarterly publications. Most datasets provide contact information and compilers are responsive to queries as confirmed by the independent users’ survey. However, the MOF do not provide contact details or material suitable to help raise awareness of the use of GFS for the general public. Data and metadata for monetary and balance of payments statistics, and the international investment position are available to the public on the NBG website.

12. Section II provides a summary assessment by agency and dataset based on a four-part scale. This is followed by users’ survey in Section III and staff recommendations in Section IV. The authorities’ response to this report and a volume of detailed assessments are presented in separate documents.

II. Assessment by Agency and Dataset

13. Assessments of the quality of six macroeconomic datasets—national accounts, CPI, PPI, government finance, monetary, and balance of payments statistics—were conducted using the DQAF July 2003. In this section, the results are presented at the level of the DQAF elements and using a four-point rating scale (Table 1). Assessments of the prerequisites of data quality and the assurances of integrity (Dimensions “0” and “1” of the DQAF) are presented in Tables 2ac. For each dataset, the assessment of methodological soundness, accuracy and reliability, serviceability, and accessibility (Dimensions “2” to “5” of the DQAF) are shown in Tables 3af.

Table 1.

Data Quality Assessment Framework July 2003—Summary Results

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Practice observed: Current practices generally meet or achieve the objectives of DQAF internationally accepted statistical practices without any significant deficiencies. Practice largely observed: Some departures, but these are not seen as sufficient to raise doubts about the authorities’ ability to observe the DQAF practices. Practice largely not observed: Significant departures and the authorities will need to take significant action to achieve observance. Practice not observed: Most DQAF practices are not met. Not applicable: Used only exceptionally when statistical practices do not apply to a country’s circumstances.
Table 2a.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1—National Statistics Office of Georgia (GEOSTAT)

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Table 2b.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1—Ministry of Finance

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Table 2c.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1—National Bank of Georgia

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Table 3a.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—National Accounts

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Table 3b.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Consumer Price Index

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Table 3c.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Producer Price Index

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Table 3d.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Government Finance Statistics

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Table 3e.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Monetary Statistics

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Table 3f.

Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Balance of Payments Statistics

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III. Users’ Survey

14. To complement the assessment of the macroeconomic datasets conducted using the DQAF framework, the ROSC mission elicited the views of selected users of the statistics. With the assistance of the Georgian authorities, the mission conducted a users’ survey (over 70 survey questionnaires were sent and 23 responses were received) and held discussions with key users. In general, users acknowledged and complimented the significant progress statistical agencies have made over recent years. A majority of the users were satisfied with data coverage, periodicity, timeliness, accessibility, serviceability, and to a great extent dissemination practices (with the exception of revision practice). While recognizing the authorities’ limited resources, users wanted further improvements on coverage of data; user friendliness in terms of metadata especially using presentations easy to understand by nonspecialists; more detailed explanations for revisions to the data; and easier access to longer time series. They indicated satisfaction with the responsiveness of the statistical agencies to users’ queries. Particularly in areas of prices statistics and national accounts, users expressed a need for improvement in level of detail, soundness of methodology, and availability of data. Finally, about 60 percent of the respondents considered Georgia’s official statistics to be of the same or better quality than those from other countries in the region.

IV. Staff’s Recommendations1

15. Based on the review of Georgia’s statistical practices, discussions with the data producing agencies, and responses from data users (see Appendix III of the Detailed Assessments volume), the mission has developed a set of recommendations. They are designed to increase further Georgia’s adherence to internationally accepted statistical practices and would, in the mission’s view, enhance the analytical usefulness of Georgia’s statistics. Some additional technical suggestions are included in the Detailed Assessments Volume III.

Cross-cutting

  • Enact appropriate amendments to the Law of Georgia on Official Statistics to reinforce mandatory reporting of statistical data and ensure application of sanctions for nonreporting.

  • Conduct pre-established, regular meetings, such as one per year, to improve communication among technical data compilers of macroeconomic statics at the NBG, GEOSTAT, and MOF. Such meetings provide a comprehensive arena, discussing issues of common interest, exchanging information on current and forthcoming projects for statistical development to avoid duplication of efforts, and ensure the consistency of macroeconomic statistics crucial for macroeconomic policy making (national accounts, monetary, fiscal, and external sector.)

  • Augment staff and IT resources in the GEOSTAT. Ensure proper training for the staff and implement measures to retain experienced staff.

National accounts

  • Set up the compilation system for GDP by expenditure approach in real terms.

  • Conduct an economic census of nonfinancial corporations and update the register.

  • Develop and disseminate detailed documentation on data sources and methods for compilation of national accounts in Georgia.

  • Set up the compilation of export/import price indices.

  • Conduct revision studies and enhance communication with users about revisions.

Consumer price index

  • Improve the imputation method of seasonal products to ensure long-term coherence between the index and price data over index weight revisions.

  • Improve the CPI weight estimates to better represent actual household expenditure of the entire country and inform the users of these improvements. This action would in fact extend to coverage beyond the five cities of the entire country.

  • Implement a consistent treatment of owner-occupied housing in the CPI.

  • Pay additional attention to the collection of prices for complex goods and services to better account for quality changes and seek for alternative sources to reflect consumer behavior.

  • Establish a users’ advisory group for price statistics that meets on a regular basis and include all types of users to discuss existing data programs, plans for improvement, and to obtain user feedback on current and planned data programs.

Producer price index

  • Update the related methods of imputing missing prices, treating quality changes, and introducing new products into the PPI. Implement appropriate imputation methods into the new PPI software being developed.

  • Document and disseminate PPI metadata for both advanced and general users, and include analysis to accompany the PPI data release.

  • Ensure that properly timed total turnover, or preferably the total output, covering the whole economy in scope is used for the PPI weights.

  • Allow the data collection to differentiate between certain complex industries where physical and transaction specifications of the sample products change in time. A central price collection dedicated to deal with these would likely improve the quality of the price data in times of sample changes.

  • Establish a users’ advisory group for price statistics that meets on a regular basis and include all types of users to discuss existing data programs, plans for improvement, and to obtain user feedback on current and planned data programs.

Government finance statistics

  • Review and update the sectorization of Legal Entities of Public Law.

  • Value securities at current market prices.

  • Introduce a structured and periodic process of consultation with users.

Monetary statistics

  • To improve classification, include into the definition of broad money debit card deposits, check book deposits, credit guarantee deposits, deposits for letters of credit, and deposits for other payment documents. Classify accrued interest together with the outstanding amount of assets or liabilities for loans to nonresidents, deposits and loans to central and local government, deposits and loans to OFCs and NPIs. Separate positions on financial instruments with OFC’s and NPI’s from positions with the ONFC.

  • To improve accuracy of source data, provide a clear statistical definition of residency in the report forms for financial institutions to ensure that all institutional units are sectorized as residents and nonresidents consistent with the MFSM.

  • Record transactions with financial derivatives on balance sheets of the NBG and ODCs consistent with the MFSM and the MFSCG.

Balance of payments statistics

  • Conduct training activities with data reporters, to improve the quality of the ITRS. The private nonfinancial external debt compilation program needs strengthening.

  • Base the calculation of the adjustment for c.i.f./f.o.b. prices on imports on a sound method, such as a survey among major importers to estimate transportation and insurance costs.

  • For transactions that fall below the reporting threshold, conduct a sample survey of banks and nonbanking institutions with accounts abroad to obtain information to classify the low-value transactions across the balance of payments components.

  • Document revision studies and enhance communication with users about revisions.

Appendix I. Practices Compared to the SDDS Coverage, Periodicity, and Timeliness of Data

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Note: Periodicity and timeliness: (D) daily; (W) weekly or with a lag of ## week(s) from the reference date; (WD) working days, or business days; (M) monthly or with a lag of ## month(s); (NLT) not later than; (Q) quarterly or with a lag of ## quarter(s); (A) annually; (SA) semiannual; and (…) not applicable.

Given that the data are broadly disseminated by private means, the timeliness with which official data are disseminated is not time critical.

1

High priority recommendations are identified in bold.