Statement by the IMF Staff Representative on the Republic of Serbia Executive Board Meeting, September 29, 2011

Serbia’s transition to a more sustainable growth model remains incomplete and fragile. A precautionary Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) has been requested to insure against external risks and to provide a policy anchor. The program represents a prudent step in the present uncertain global and regional environment. However, without improving Serbia’s difficult investment climate, the economy cannot deliver sustainable growth. Executive Directors expect that a steadfast program implementation along with responsiveness to new adverse developments will lead the Serbian economy to overcome its present difficulties.

Abstract

Serbia’s transition to a more sustainable growth model remains incomplete and fragile. A precautionary Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) has been requested to insure against external risks and to provide a policy anchor. The program represents a prudent step in the present uncertain global and regional environment. However, without improving Serbia’s difficult investment climate, the economy cannot deliver sustainable growth. Executive Directors expect that a steadfast program implementation along with responsiveness to new adverse developments will lead the Serbian economy to overcome its present difficulties.

This statement provides information that has become available since the issuance of the staff report (EBS/11/141). The new information does not alter the thrust of the staff appraisal.

1. The prior actions for program approval have been completed. As indicated in the staff report, the law on property restitution, including a fiscally responsible cap on financial restitution payments, was submitted to Parliament shortly after the mission left Belgrade, on September 6. The law has been passed by Parliament. On September 23, the government submitted to Parliament a 2011 supplementary budget and adopted supporting measures consistent with the program (TMU ¶12).

2. The government of Serbia placed a US$1 billion Eurobond on September 21. This was Serbia’s first issuance in the international market, excluding bonds issued as part of the 2004 debt restructuring. The bond has a 10 year maturity and was priced to yield 7.5 percent.

Republic of Serbia: Request for Stand-by Arrangement: Staff Report; Staff Statement; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Serbia.
Author: International Monetary Fund