The key findings of the Republic of Palau’s 2010 Article IV Consultation shows that the single most important issue in Palau remains fiscal policy, including its effect on medium-term growth, as fiscal consolidation proceeds. The global financial crisis followed on the heels of a massive terms-of-trade shock, leading to a sharp curtailment of foreign direct investment and private credit. Tourism tumbled following an airline bankruptcy, and construction activity fell as major infrastructure projects reached completion.

Abstract

The key findings of the Republic of Palau’s 2010 Article IV Consultation shows that the single most important issue in Palau remains fiscal policy, including its effect on medium-term growth, as fiscal consolidation proceeds. The global financial crisis followed on the heels of a massive terms-of-trade shock, leading to a sharp curtailment of foreign direct investment and private credit. Tourism tumbled following an airline bankruptcy, and construction activity fell as major infrastructure projects reached completion.

Annex I. Palau: Fund Relations

(As of March 11, 2010)

I. Membership Status: Joined December 16, 1997; Article VIII

II. General Resources Account:

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III. SDR Department:

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IV. Outstanding Purchases and Loans: None

V. Financial Arrangements: None

VI. Projected Obligations to Fund: None

VII. Exchange Arrangement:

The U.S. dollar is legal tender and the official currency. Palau maintains an exchange system that is free of restrictions on international payments and transfers for current and capital transactions.

VIII. Article IV Consultation:

The first Article IV consultation discussions took place during June 24-July 6, 1999 and the Article IV consultation procedure was completed on November 10, 1999. The last Article IV consultation discussions were held during February-March 2008. The Executive Board discussed the staff report, Country Report No. 08/161 and concluded the consultation on April 30, 2008. Palau is on a 24-month consultation cycle.

IX. Current Financial Arrangement: None

X. Technical Assistance:

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XI. Resident Representative: None.

Annex II. Palau: Relations with the Pacific Financial Technical Assistance Centre (PFTAC)1

The Centre’s assistance since 2000 has included 35 advisory missions, the participation of officials in seminars (32) and secondments mostly in the tax administration area (10).

Public Financial Management

Palau did not request explicit technical assistance (TA) in this area from 2003 to 2006, but joined the newly-organized Pacific Financial Managers’ Association (PIFMA) in 2006 and hosted the Third PIFMA meeting at Koror in March 2008. PFTAC provided assistance in revenue estimation and in developing the Financial Instructions (FIs) in 2007. This was followed by training on the newly developed FIs in early 2008. Assistance was also provided in November 2009 on setting up a cash planning system in all line ministries. Discussions are underway now to assist the government in taking forward the medium-term budgeting project being discussed with the Asian Development Bank (AsDB).

Tax Administration and Policy

In response to a request received in July 2003, PFTAC reviewed and provided extensive comments on the draft “Registration Corporation Act” and the draft “Reinvestment Incentive Act”. In early 2004, a customs administration mission visited Palau to design a strategy and an action plan to modernize the Customs Division. In mid-2005, a tax administration mission visited Palau to review the organizational structure of the Division of Revenue and Taxation, and its operations. In mid-2006, a tax administration mission visited Palau to review the organizational structure of the Division of Revenue and Taxation, and its operations. In 2007, a tax reform and administration mission visited Palau. In respect of short-term revenue shortfalls, arising from the 2008 budget, advice was given on improving the effectiveness of the tax administration in tackling the high levels of non compliance, policy advice on 19 different short-term revenue raising options and longer-term reform. In September 2008, the Minister of Finance requested the mission focusing on improving domestic revenues. In November 2008, a risk management compliance plan was developed and staff were to understand the concepts and processes to implement the plan. A follow-up mission is planned for 2010.

Financial Sector Regulation and Supervision

PFTAC’s advisor was involved in two follow-up missions for implementing the Financial Institutions Act (passed in June 2001). Subsequently, assistance was provided primarily through the use of peripatetic advisors, although three missions were undertaken during 2006 and 2007 by the PFTAC advisor to provide guidance and recommendations on receivership matters relating to the failure of Pacific Savings Bank. As a result of recommendations by the peripatetic advisors, and likely in response to the recent failure of Pacific Savings Bank, needed amendments to the Financial Institutions Act were approved in February 2008. During 2008 and 2009, the PFTAC advisor was involved in three missions to Palau. These missions involved providing assistance in finalizing regulations for implementing the revised banking law (which have subsequently been issued), drafting and implementing comprehensive prudential reporting requirements for banks and providing training and assistance in the conduct of an on-site bank examination. Additional missions are planned by the PFTAC advisor to provide assistance and training in off-site monitoring and to further the capacity of the staff in bank supervision and on-site bank examination skills.

Economic and Financial Statistics

PFTAC has provided significant statistics technical assistance to the Office of Planning and Statistics (OPS) in Palau since 2003, partly due to the high turnover of statistics staff. Several missions have been undertaken and PFTAC has sponsored statistical staff for secondments and to attend regional training courses. The PFTAC statistics advisor undertook missions to Koror in December 2003 and in April 2004 to assist the authorities in documenting and improving the system of national accounts statistics (NAS) and with finalization of the GDDS metadata.

In October 2005, the PFTAC statistics advisor assisted the authorities in revising NAS for 2001–05. Follow-up national accounts missions were undertaken as follow: June 2006 to provide further NAS training for OPS staff; May 2007 to help finalize GDP estimates up to 2006; September 2008 to update NAS to 2007 and to produce experimental estimates of national income and disposable income; and October 2009 to implement further improvements in the NAS methodology, as well as to update the estimates to 2008. New saving and net lending/borrowing estimates were also produced during that mission. Counterparts were involved in the NAS development work and updating of estimates, and were provided on-the-job and seminar-based training during each NAS mission. One NAS statistician participated in a PFTAC half-funded secondment on data editing at Statistics New Zealand in April 2007, while another NAS statistician participated in the NAS Training Seminar conducted by PFTAC in Nadi in July 2009.

The PFTAC statistics advisor also provided assistance to OPS counterparts in improving data sources and compilation methods for balance of payments (BOP) statistics during his September 2008 and October 2009 missions. In addition, the BOP compiler participated in a one-month PFTAC funded secondment on BOP statistics at Statistics New Zealand in May 2009 and a short-term expert mission to assist with improving BOP statistics was undertaken in June 2009. A follow-up BOP mission is planned for later in 2010.

Annex III. Palau: Relations with the World Bank Group2

Palau became a World Bank Group member in December 1997. Since then, the Bank has provided technical assistance in a number of areas, such as oil and gas, natural resource management, and in the health sector.

The Pacific Regional Strategy directs the Bank’s work in Palau. It focuses on creating an environment conducive to generating sustainable economic growth and employment, while recognizing that small populations and the marked remoteness of the Pacific island countries pose significant development challenges to the region. The country strategy includes technical assistance to the government to prepare primary and secondary legislation for petroleum exploration, development, and production activities, following on from earlier work to aid Palau in developing its oil and gas sector policy. The World Bank is also providing assistance in designing Palau’s revenue and distribution policy with the aim of supporting the development of the relevant regulatory instruments. To this end, the Bank prepared a report on the macroeconomic implications and related policy options and tools for the management of petroleum revenues to facilitate consensus building across levels of government.

As part of a broader effort to deepen engagement with Palau and other World Bank Group members in the North Pacific, the World Bank has recently assigned a Senior Economist based in Washington, D.C. to work with the government and outline a substantive program of technical assistance. Under this initiative, the World Bank has begun to develop a broad development agenda in the North Pacific, including in the areas of growth and development strategies, institutional strengthening, expenditure policy, and public finance management. The World Bank has also been asked to support the development of the National Development Plan alongside the AsDB.

The Doing Business 2010, is the seventh in a series of annual reports investigating the regulations that enhance business activity and those that constrain it. Doing Business ranks Palau based on 10 indicators of business regulation that record the time and cost to meet government requirements in starting and operating a business, trading across borders, paying taxes, and closing a business. Palau was ranked 97 overall out of the 183 economies surveyed for the 2010 report, which covered the period from June 2008 through May 2009.

Palau is an International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD)-eligible country.

Annex IV. Palau: Relations with the Asian Development Bank3

Palau joined the Asian Development Bank (AsDB) on December 29, 2003, as its sixty-third member. While admitted as a regional country, its country classification was to be determined. AsDB prepared a Country Economic Report for Palau and the Development Status and Country Classification of the Republic of Palau, which served as the basis for a determination of Palau’s development status. On December 16, 2005, Palau was re-classified as a Pacific developing member country. A more recent report prepared by AsDB in 2007, Republic of Palau: Achieving Sustainable Development, provided a more detailed overview on Palau’s economy.

Palau and the AsDB entered into a new 5-year Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) 2009–13. The strategy aligns AsDB ‘s program with that of Palau’s Medium-Term Development Strategy.

The Outcomes or the CPS are: (i) improve public sector effectiveness to achieve the medium-term fiscal strategy; (ii) facilitate private sector development; (iii) deliver safe water and sanitation services to Palauans; and (iv) manage the threat of Climate Change.

Bilateral and regional technical assistance grants scheduled during the strategy are in the attached tables.

Indicative Assistance Pipeline for Lending Products and Services, 2009–2010

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ADB = Asian Development Bank, ADF = Asian Development Fund, EIB = European Investment Bank, ENV = Environmental Sustainability, Gov’t = Government, ISD = Inclusive Sustainable Development, OCR = ordinary capital resources, PAHQ = Pacific Operations Division, WFPF = Water Financing Partnership Facility.Source: Asian Development Bank estimates.

Indicative Assistance Pipeline for Nonlending Products and Services, 2009–2011

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ADB = Asian Development Bank, C = Cluster, CDTA = capacity development technical assistance, CEF = Clean Energy Fund, JSF = Japan Special Fund, PAHQ = Pacific Operations Division, PPTA = project preparatory technical assistance, R = Regional, TASF = Technical Assistance Special Fund, TBC = to be confirmed.

Regional Assistance Accessible by Palau (2009)4

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AsDB = Asian Development Bank, AusAID = Australian Agency for International Development, C = Cluster, CDTA = capacity development technical assistance, CEF = Clean Energy Fund, GoK = Government of Korea, ICT = Information and Communication Technology, JSF = Japan Special Fund, PAHQ = Pacific Operations Division, PATA = policy advisory technical assistance, PLCO = Pacific Liaison and Coordination Office, PPTA = project preparatory technical assistance, R = Regional, TASF = Technical Assistance Special Fund.

Annex V. Palau—Statistic Issues

As of March 11, 2010

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Palau: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

As of March 11, 2010

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Any reserve assets that are pledged or otherwise encumbered should be specified separately. Also, data should comprise short-term liabilities linked to a foreign currency, but settled by other means as well as the notional values of financial derivatives to pay and to receive foreign currency, including those linked to a foreign currency, but settled by other means.

Both market-based and officially-determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-à-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D); weekly (W); monthly (M); quarterly (Q); annually (A); irregular (I); and not available (NA).

These columns should only be included for countries for which Data ROSC (or a Substantive Update) has been published.

Reflects the assessment provided in the data ROSC or the Substantive Update (published on …, and based on the findings of the mission that took place during…) for the dataset corresponding to the variable in each row. The assessment indicates whether international standards concerning concepts and definitions, scope, classification/sectorization, and basis for recording are fully observed (O); largely observed (LO); largely not observed (LNO); not observed (NO); and not available (NA).

Same as footnote 9, except referring to international standards concerning (respectively) source data, assessment of source data, statistical techniques, assessment and validation of intermediate data and statistical outputs, and revision studies.

1

The PFTAC in Suva, Fiji, is a regional technical assistance institution operated by the IMF with financial support of the AsDB, Australia, Japan, Korea and New Zealand. The Centre’s aim is to build skills and institutional capacity for effective economic and financial management that can be sustained at the national and regional level. Member countries are Cook Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau, Tonga, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu.

2

Prepared by World Bank staff (as of February 2010).

3

Prepared by AsDB staff (as of March 2010).

4

The figures in this table are the total value of the assistance not the value of assistance to Palau.