Senegal: Third Review Under the Policy Support Instrument and First Review and Augmentation of Access Under the Exogenous Shocks Facility—Informational Annex

This paper presents key findings of the Third Review under the Policy Support Instrument (PSI) for Senegal. The budgetary slippages, which had seriously affected the economy and put Senegal’s PSI-supported program at risk, have been successfully addressed. In line with program commitments, the government’s unpaid bills have been substantially reduced and far-reaching public financial management reforms launched. A temporary fiscal easing relative to earlier program targets is envisaged for 2009 to help counter the impact of the external shock.

Abstract

This paper presents key findings of the Third Review under the Policy Support Instrument (PSI) for Senegal. The budgetary slippages, which had seriously affected the economy and put Senegal’s PSI-supported program at risk, have been successfully addressed. In line with program commitments, the government’s unpaid bills have been substantially reduced and far-reaching public financial management reforms launched. A temporary fiscal easing relative to earlier program targets is envisaged for 2009 to help counter the impact of the external shock.

Senegal: Relations with the Fund

(As of April 30, 2009)

I. Membership Status: Joined: August 31, 1962; Article VIII

II. General Resources Account:

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III. SDR Department:

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IV. Outstanding Purchases and Loans:

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V. Latest Financial Arrangements:

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VI. Projected Payments to Fund

(SDR Million; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs):

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VII. Implementation of HIPC Initiative:

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VIII. Implementation of Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI):

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IX. Safeguards Assessments:

The Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) is the common central bank of the countries of the West African Economic and Monetary Union, which includes Senegal. The most recent safeguards assessment of the BCEAO was completed on November 4, 2005. The assessment indicated progress has been made in strengthening the bank’s safeguards framework since the 2002 assessment and identified some areas where further steps would help solidify it.

The BCEAO now publishes a full set of audited financial statements and improvements have been made to move financial reporting closer to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Furthermore, an internal audit charter has been put in place, mechanisms for improving risk management have been established, and follow-up on internal and external audit recommendations has been strengthened.

The results of continuous safeguards monitoring indicate that while certain vulnerabilities remain in internal control systems and legal structure, there has been some progress in other areas, including through: (i) improving the external audit process by adopting a multi-year audit program; (ii) establishing an audit committee; (iii) expanding disclosures on financial positions of WAEMU countries with the Fund in the notes to the annual financial statements; and (iv) further strengthening of the effectiveness of the internal audit function.

X. Exchange System:

Senegal is a member of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). The exchange system, common to all members of the union, is free of restrictions on the making of payments and transfers for current international transactions. The union’s common currency, the CFA franc, had been pegged to the French franc at the rate of CFAF 1 = F 0.02. Effective January 12, 1994, the CFA franc was devalued and the new parity set at CFAF 1 = F 0.01. Effective December 31, 1998, the parity was switched to the euro at a rate of CFAF 655.96 = €1.

The authorities confirmed that Senegal had not imposed measures that could give rise to exchange restrictions subject to Fund jurisdiction. They will inform the Fund if any such measure is introduced.

Aspects of the exchange system are also discussed in the May 2008 report on economic developments and regional policy issues of the WAEMU.

XI. Article IV Consultations:

The 2008 Article IV consultation was completed by the Executive Board on June 18, 2008 (IMF Country Report No. 08/209). The next consultation is expected to be held within 24 months. In concluding the 2008 Article IV consultation, Executive Directors encouraged the authorities to maintain prudent macroeconomic policies and persevere in implementing their structural reforms to encourage private-sector led growth. They considered that Senegal’s sluggish export performance over the last decade was largely related to structural impediments in the economy, and encouraged the authorities to improve the business environment to make it more conducive to private-sector led growth, raise external competitiveness, and strengthen and diversify exports. They underlined that it was critical to contain the fiscal deficit to preserve debt sustainability, respect the limited financing capacity of the regional financial market, and help contribute to domestic stability in the WAEMU. Directors urged the careful review and expeditious settlement of payment delays, with a view to rigorously applying the existing budget framework. They welcomed the authorities’ commitment to continue public financial management reform.

XII. Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) and Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC) Participation:

A joint team of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund conducted a mission under the FSAP program in November 2000 and January 2001. The Financial System Stability Assessment (FSSA) was issued in August 2001 (IMF Country Report No. 01/189). An FSAP update was undertaken in June 2004, focusing on development issues (in particular nationwide supply of basic financial services and access of SMEs to credit), in line with the priorities defined in the PRSP (IMF Country Report No. 05/126). A regional FSAP for the WAEMU was undertaken in the second half of 2007.

A ROSC on the data module, based on a September 2001 mission, was published on December 2, 2002. An FAD mission conducted a ROSC on the fiscal transparency module in January 2005.

XIII. Technical Assistance:

A. AFRITAC West

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B. Headquarters

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XIV. Resident Representative

Stationed in Dakar since July 24, 1984. The position has been held by Mr. Alex Segura-Ubiergo since September 22, 2006.

XV. Anti Money Laundering / Combating the Financing of Terrorism

The onsite visit for Senegal’s AML/CFT evaluation took place in July/August 2007 in the context of ECOWAS Inter-Governmental Action Group Against Money Laundering (GIABA). The report was adopted in early May 2008 by the GIABA Plenary held in Accra, Ghana. The report highlights several areas of weaknesses in the AML/CFT system, confirmed by the score of 12 Non-Compliant and 17 Partially Compliant ratings out of the 40+9 FAF AML/CFT recommendations. Table 2 annexed to the Report contains recommendations of the areas which the authorities should address in order to strengthen the AML/CFT system. Senegal is expected to present its first follow up report on the implementation of the recommendations contained in the Mutual Evaluation Report (MER) in May 2009.

XVI. Fourth Amendment of the Articles of Agreement and the Eleventh Quota Review

The authorities have indicated their agreement with the Fourth Amendment of the Articles of Agreement. The increase in Senegal’s quota under the Eleventh General Review of Quotas was completed on February 11, 1999.

Senegal—Work Program of World Bank and International Monetary Fund, May 2009-June 2010

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Senegal: Statistical Issues

13. Data provision has some shortcomings, but is broadly adequate for surveillance and program monitoring. However, there are weaknesses in data on national accounts, production, and social indicators. The authorities are committed to improving the quality and availability of economic, financial and social indicators, partially relying on technical assistance from the Fund and other international organizations. A Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes was published on the IMF website on December 2, 2002.

14. The country has begun the process of regional harmonization of statistical methodologies within the framework of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). It participates in the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS), and its metadata were posted on the Fund’s Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board on September 10, 2001. In September 2006, the authorities expressed their commitment to work toward subscription to the Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) and have appointed a national SDDS coordinator. The November 2008 SDDS assessment mission evaluated dissemination practices against SDDS requirements for coverage, periodicity and timeliness and, in cooperation with the authorities, developed an action plan to address identified gaps.

Real sector statistics

15. The compilation of the national accounts generally follows the System of National Accounts, 1993. Despite staff’s professionalism, the lack of adequate financial resources has constrained efforts to collect and process data. Data sources are deficient in some areas, particularly the informal sector. Owing to financial constraints, surveys of business and households are not conducted regularly. However, efforts are being made to improve data collection procedures, strengthen the coordination among statistical agencies, and reduce delays in data dissemination.

16. The Regional Technical Assistance Center for West Africa (West AFRITAC) has been assisting member countries, including Senegal, with the improvement of their real sector statistics, in particular annual and quarterly national accounts (QNA). Progress reported by the advisor includes: i) completion of national accounts for 1980–2004 with 1999 as the base year; ii) dissemination of the 1980–2003 series in hard copy and on the internet; iii) production of accounts by institutional sector (first series covers 2004 institutional sector accounts); and iv) production of national accounts in accordance with the dissemination schedule. The authorities plan to start production of quarterly national accounts in view of the country’s intention to subscribe to the SDDS. The recent West AFRITAC missions have assisted with training to support compilation of the QNA and initiating their compilation for the period 1990–2007. During its November 2008 mission, the West AFRITAC expert agreed with the authorities on a detailed work program aimed at starting regular dissemination of the QNA in March 2010. An April 2009 mission focused on the methods used for their compilation at current prices.

Government finance statistics (GFS)

17. GFS are compiled by the Ministry of Economy and Finance from customs, tax, and treasury directorate sources. Data last reported to STA for electronic redissemination and publication in the 2007 Government Finance Statistics Yearbook were for fiscal year 2001. Higher frequency data are not provided for redissemination in IFS, but the ministry compiles and disseminates quarterly government financial operations tables (TOFE) in their own publications. However, weakenesses in the monitoring system for payment delays (including deficiencies in the Treasury computerization system) are being addressed under the PSI program.

18. An AFR team worked with the authorities in February 2004 to improve fiscal reporting in the context of the last PRGF-supported program. The team focused on (i) public accounts that are outside of the direct purview of the treasury; (ii) the treatment of correspondents’ accounts in the TOFE; and (iii) ensuring consistency between treasury and banking system information concerning government transactions. The proposed changes are now being implemented. They have improved the presentation of government financial operations and are the first step toward bringing the TOFE more in line with the extended WAEMU TOFE. Other steps will include implementing the WAEMU fiscal directives that are being revised.

19. A regional advisor in GFS has been conducting technical assistance missions aimed at improving the consistency of fiscal reporting and migrating to the methodologies of the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2001. The regional advisor also supported efforts to resume reporting of annual and higher frequency data for publication in International Financial Statistics (IFS) and electronic dissemination of the GFS Yearbook.

Monetary and financial statistics

20. Preliminary monetary data are compiled by the national agency of the Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) and officially released (including to the IMF) by BCEAO headquarters. The authorities are now reporting monetary data to STA on a regular basis, with a reduction in the lag from about six months to about three to four months. There has also been an improvement in the timeliness of reporting interest rate and main depository corporation data (central bank, commercial banks and postal checks center). An area-wide page for the WAEMU zone was introduced in the January 2003 issue of IFS.

21. In 2005, the BCEAO made substantial revisions to the estimates of banknotes in circulation in member states resulting from cross-border banknote movement. These revisions were due to changes in the method to estimate currency in circulation in the WAEMU countries. The revised method, based on updated sorting coefficients (“coefficients de tri”), has been applied retroactively from December 2003.

22. In August 2006, as part of the authorities’ continuing efforts to implement the statistical methodology recommended in the Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual, the BCEAO reported to STA test monetary data for June 2006 for all member countries using the Standardized Report Forms (SRF). In response to STA’s comments, the BCEAO has provided a revised central bank report form (1SR) as well as test data on other depository corporations (2SR) for review by STA. The completion of the SRFs (1SR for central bank, 2SR for other depository corporations, and 5SR for monetary aggregates) will allow for publication of the data in the IFS Supplement. The publication contains data of those countries that regularly compile and report to the Fund monetary data in the SRF format.

External sector statistics

23. Balance of payments statistics are compiled by the Senegalese national agency of the BCEAO. With STA support over the past few years, several steps have been taken to address certain shortcomings, including: (i) implementation of the Balance of Payments Manual, fifth edition; (ii) modification and simplification of related surveys for companies and banks;

(iii) improvement in the computerization of procedures; and (iv) significant strengthening of staff training. Nevertheless, further steps could be taken to enhance the quality and coverage of the balance of payments statistics.

24. Although definitive balance of payments statistics can now be provided with a delay of less than one year, there are some delays in reporting the data to STA.

Senegal: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

(As of June 5, 2009)

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Includes reserve assets pledged or otherwise encumbered as well as net derivative positions.

Both market-based and officially-determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-a-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D); Weekly (W); Monthly (M); Quarterly (Q); Annually (A); Irregular (I); Not Available (NA).

Reflects the assessment provided in the data ROSC published in November 2002 and based on the findings of the mission that took place in September 2001 for the dataset corresponding to the variable in each row. The assessment indicates whether international standards concerning (respectively) concepts and definitions, scope, classification/sectorization, and basis for recording are fully observed (O), largely observed (LO), largely not observed (LNO), not observed (NO), or not available (NA).

Same as footnote 7, except referring to international standards concerning (respectively) source data, statistical techniques, assessment and validation of source data, and revision studies.

1

Assistance committed under the original framework is expressed in net present value (NPV) terms at the completion point, and assistance committed under the enhanced framework is expressed in NPV terms at the decision point. Hence these two amounts can not be added.

2

Under the enhanced framework, an additional disbursement is made at the completion point corresponding to interest income earned on the amount committed at the decision point but not disbursed during the interim period.

3

The MDRI provides 100 percent debt relief to eligible member countries that qualified for the assistance. Grant assistance from the MDRI Trust and HIPC resources provide debt relief to cover the full stock of debt owed to the Fund as of end-2004 that remains outstanding at the time the member qualifies for such debt relief.