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© 2009 International Monetary Fund

March 2009

IMF Country Report No. 09/85

Republic of Estonia: Selected Issues

This Selected Issues paper for the Republic of Estonia was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on February 17, 2009. The views expressed in this document are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the government of the Republic of Estonia or the Executive Board of the IMF.

The policy of publication of staff reports and other documents by the IMF allows for the deletion of market-sensitive information.

Copies of this report are available to the public from

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INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

REPUBLIC OF ESTONIA

Selected Issues

Prepared by Nada Choueiri (EUR), Marialuz Moreno Badia (EUR), and Pedro Rodriguez (SPR)

Approved by the European Department

February 17, 2009

Contents

I. Financing Constraints and Productivity in Estonia

  • A. Introduction

  • B. Data

  • C. Are There Signs of Financing Constraints?

  • D. Have Financing Constraints Reduced Firm-Level TFP?

  • E. Conclusions

  • Tables

  • 1. Summary Statistics

  • 2. Determinants of Financing Constraints

  • 3. Magnitude and Distribution of Financing Constraints by Sector

  • 4. Results for the Structural Approach, by Industry

  • Figures

  • 1. Contribution to Private Sector Credit Growth, 2000:Q4–2008:Q1

  • 2. Contributions to Corporate Credit Growth by Industry

  • 3. Labor Productivity

  • 4. Mean Financing Constraints by Industry, 1998–2005

  • Appendix I

  • Data Sources and Definitions

  • Appendix Table

  • A1. Industry Classification

  • References

  • II. Assessment of Current Account Stability

  • Overview and Key Conclusions

  • Equilibrium and Underlying Current Account Measures

  • Direct Estimates of the Misalignment of the Real Exchange Rate

  • Assessment of the Results

  • Conclusions

  • Tables

  • 1. Equilibrium Medium-Term Current Account Balance, Macrobalance Approach

  • 2. Deriving the Underlying Current Account Balance Under the Elasticities-Based Method

  • 3. Current Account Stability. Summary Table

  • 4. Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate Approach

  • Figures

  • 1. Forecasting the Current Account Deficit Using the Elasticities Method

  • 2. Actual and Estimated Current Account Deficit

  • References

  • III. Balance-Sheet Analysis

  • Table

  • 1. Intersectoral Asset and Liability Positions, September 2008

  • References

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Republic of Estonia: Selected Issues
Author:
International Monetary Fund