Front Matter Page
© 2008 International Monetary Fund
April 2008
IMF Country Report No. 08/142
Côte d’Ivoire: Request for Emergency Post-Conflict Assistance—Staff Report; Staff Statement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Côte d’Ivoire
In the context of a request for emergency post-conflict assistance, the following documents have been released and are included in this package:
The staff report for the Request for Emergency Post-Conflict Assistance, prepared by a staff team of the IMF, following discussions that ended on February 28, 2008, with the officials of Côte d’Ivoire on economic developments and policies. Based on information available at the time of these discussions, the staff report was completed on March 21, 2008. The views expressed in the staff report are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Board of the IMF.
A staff statement of April 4, 2008, updating information on recent developments.
A Press Release summarizing the views of the Executive Board as expressed during its April 4, 2008 discussion of the staff report that completed the review.
A statement by the Executive Director for Côte d’Ivoire.
The documents listed below will be separately released.
Letter of Intent sent to the IMF by the authorities of Côte d’Ivoire*
Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies by the authorities of Côte d’Ivoire*
Technical Memorandum of Understanding*
*Also included in Staff Report
The policy of publication of staff reports and other documents allows for the deletion of market-sensitive information.
Copies of this report are available to the public from
International Monetary Fund • Publication Services
700 19th Street, N.W. • Washington, D.C. 20431
Telephone: (202) 623-7430 • Telefax: (202) 623-7201
E-mail: publications@imf.org • Internet: http://www.imf.org
Price: $18.00 a copy
International Monetary Fund
Washington, D.C.
Front Matter Page
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
CÔTE D’IVOIRE
Use of Fund Resources—Request for Emergency Post-Conflict Assistance
Prepared by the African Department
(In consultation with other departments)
Approved by Thomas Krueger and Michael Hadjimichael
March 21, 2008
Discussions on Emergency Post-Conflict Assistance (EPCA) were held in Abidjan during November 13–26, 2007 and February 21-28, 2008. The team consisted of Messrs. Kouwenaar (head), Egoumé (resident representative), Fabig, Le Hen, and Ms. Minoiu (all AFR), and Mr. de Schaetzen (PDR). Mr. Allé, senior advisor to the Executive Director for Côte d’Ivoire, participated in the discussions.
The Ivoirien authorities request a second EPCA purchase of SDR40.65 million, equivalent to 12.5 percent of quota. An EPCA purchase of SDR 40.65 million was approved by the Executive Board on August 3, 2007 (Country Report No. 07/312).
Côte d’Ivoire’s outstanding use of Fund resources was SDR109.77 million (33.76 percent of quota) at end-February 2008. It is current in its payments to the Fund. Relations with the Fund, World Bank, and AfDB, and statistical issues are discussed in the Informational Annex.
Côte d’Ivoire is a member of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) whose currency, the CFA franc, is pegged to the euro.
Contents
Acronyms
Executive Summary
I. Introduction
II. Performance on the 2007 EPCA
III. Policy Discussions
A. Overview
B. Growth Outlook
C. Fiscal Program for 2008
D. External Arrears, Debt, and Program Financing
E. Financial Sector
F. External Sector
G. Structural Reforms
H. PRSP Process
I. Program Issues
IV. Staff Appraisal
Text Tables
1. Summary of Key Economic Indicators
2. WAEMU convergence criteria
3. Summary of Central Government Financial Operations, 2006-08
4. Coverage of Financing Gap, 2007–08
Box
1. Public Expenditure Management: Issues and Reforms
Statistical Tables
1. Selected Economic and Financial Indicators, 2004–2008
2. National Accounts and Savings-Investment Balance, 2005–10
3. Central Government Operations (FCFA), 2004–08
4. Balance of Payments, 2004–08
5. Monetary Survey, 2004–08
6. External Financing Requirements, 2004–08
7. External Debt Outstanding, 2004–08
8. External Debt Service, 2004–08
9. Indicators of Fund Credit, 2006–2013
10. Medium-Term Scenario, 2007-12
11. Financial Soundness Indicators for the Banking Sector, 2001–07
Appendices
I. Letter of Intent
Attachment I: Memorandum of Economic an Financial Policies
Attachment II: Technical Memorandum of Understanding
Acronyms
AfDB |
African Development Bank |
AFRITAC-West |
Africa Technical Assistance Center–West (Bamako) |
BCEAO |
Central Bank of West African States |
BNI |
National Investment Bank |
CET |
Common External Tariff |
CGRAE |
Civil Service Pension Fund |
CNCE |
Postal Savings Fund |
CNPS |
Private Sector Social Security Fund |
CNW |
Center-North-West (of Côte d’Ivoire) |
DDR |
Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration |
DSA |
Debt Sustainability Analysis |
ECOWAS |
Economic Community of West African States |
EITI |
Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative |
EPA |
Economic Partnership Agreement |
EPCA |
Emergency Post-Conflict Assistance |
ERER |
Equilibrium real exchange rate |
EU |
European Union |
FED |
European Development Fund |
FN |
Forces Nouvelles |
FSF |
Fragile States Facility (AfDB) |
FSAP |
Financial Sector Assessment Program |
GFS |
Government Finance Statistics |
HIPC |
Heavily Indebted Poor Country |
LIC |
Low-income country |
MDG |
Millennium Development Goals |
MDRI |
Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative |
MEFP |
Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies |
NEER |
Nominal effective exchange rate |
NPV |
Net present value |
PCAP |
Post-Conflict Assistance Project |
PEMFAR |
Public Expenditure Management and Financial Accountability Review |
PRGF |
Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility |
PRSP |
Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper |
REER |
Real effective exchange rate |
SIGFiP |
Integrated Public Finance Management System |
TMU |
Technical Memorandum of Understanding |
UNSC |
United Nations Security Council |
VAT |
Value-Added Tax |
WAEMU |
West African Economic and Monetary Union |
Executive Summary
Côte d’Ivoire is progressing on the road to reunification, sustained peace, and elections. Although there have been delays in implementing the Ouagadougou Accord, a climate of political dialogue is evident, and elections are expected later in 2008. The continued support of the international community remains essential. The authorities see EPCA as a step toward a PRGF arrangement and HIPC/MDRI relief.
Having been resilient to the crisis since 2002, GDP growth is estimated at 1.6 percent in 2007 and should reach 3 percent in 2008. The economic recovery in Côte d’Ivoire is crucial to growth throughout the subregion.
Fiscal developments in 2007 were close to program targets, but the composition of spending deviated. Overruns on discretionary spending by the highest state institutions were at the expense of infrastructure and crisis-exit programs. The fiscal results and mobilized domestic financing enabled the authorities to make payments to the World Bank and AfDB and reduce domestic arrears.
There was progress on the structural front. Reporting on quasi-fiscal cocoa levies improved, and a large part of the accumulated levies was allocated to rural projects. Energy sector audits are being finalized and reporting on financial flows improved. But some key fiscal measures were implemented with delay or postponed to 2008. Progress in strengthening the banking system was slow.
Key elements of the 2008 program are:
▪ Continuing fiscal consolidation and creating fiscal space for urgent needs by improving tax administration, especially in the CNW zones; stabilizing the wage bill while confining recruitment to the social sectors; and decisively reducing nonwage current spending.
▪ Improving public expenditure management, notably by adhering to budget procedures and issuing quarterly budget execution statements to the Council of Ministers and the public.
▪ Strengthening the financial sector by recapitalizing underfunded banks, enhancing bank compliance with prudential norms, and restructuring microfinance.
▪ Further improving transparency and efficiency in the energy sector by reporting in line with EITI procedures, electricity reform, and adequate pricing of petroleum products; and in the cocoa/coffee sector by publishing quarterly reports on quasi-fiscal levies and their use for investment, and the budgets and certified accounts of sector agencies. For both sectors, reform strategies will be formulated with support from the World Bank and other donors.
A resurgence of political tensions, delays in elections, and renewed overruns in discretionary spending represent risks to the program. Satisfactory performance so far, commitment to program objectives shared by all political parties, and increasing international support are helping contain the risks.
Front Matter Page
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
CÔTE D’IVOIRE
Use of Fund Resources—Request for Emergency Post-Conflict Assistance—Informational Annex
Prepared by the African Department
(In collaboration with other departments)
Approved by Thomas Krueger and Michael Hadjimichael
March 21, 2008
Contents
I. Relations with the Fund
II. Relations with the World Bank Group
III. African Development Bank Group Operations Strategy
IV. Statistical Issues
Front Matter Page
Press Release No. 08/73
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
April 7, 2008
International Monetary Fund
Washington, D.C. 20431 USA
Telephone 202-623-7100
Fax 202-623-6772