The Gambia
Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes: Data Module, Response by the Authorities, and Detailed Assessments Using the Data Quality Assessment Framework

This Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC)—Data Module provides an assessment of The Gambia’s macroeconomic statistics against the recommendations of the General Data Dissemination System, complemented by an assessment of data quality based on the IMF’s Data Quality Assessment Framework, July 2003. The assessment reveals that the legal framework for statistical activity in The Gambia is broadly adequate. Further legislative effort is under way to promote greater autonomy or authority of some statistical agencies.

Abstract

This Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC)—Data Module provides an assessment of The Gambia’s macroeconomic statistics against the recommendations of the General Data Dissemination System, complemented by an assessment of data quality based on the IMF’s Data Quality Assessment Framework, July 2003. The assessment reveals that the legal framework for statistical activity in The Gambia is broadly adequate. Further legislative effort is under way to promote greater autonomy or authority of some statistical agencies.

I. Overall Assessment

1. The Gambia is a participant in the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS) and started posting its metadata on the IMF’s Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board (DSBB) in May 2000. As documented in Appendix I, The Gambia meets some of the GDDS recommendations for macroeconomic statistics. The coverage of the government finance statistics (GFS) does not extend to general government, and periodicity recommendations for some data categories are not met. Some of The Gambia’s macroeconomic statistics are not disseminated within the periods recommended under the GDDS.

2. The Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC)—Data Module contains the following main observations. The legal framework for statistical activity in The Gambia is broadly adequate even though further legislative effort is under way to promote greater autonomy or authority of some statistical agencies. There is scope to enhance resources and their management to permit improvements in the methodological basis, source of data underpinning most datasets, and dissemination. Considerable progress has been made with developing a comprehensive strategy to strengthen the statistical system, and the challenge now is to expedite the process of implementing the planned reforms.

3. In applying the IMF’s Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF), July 2003, the remainder of this section presents the mission’s main conclusions. The presentation is done at the level of the DQAF’s quality dimensions, by agency for the first two dimensions and across datasets for the remaining four.

4. On prerequisites of quality and assurances of integrity, The Gambia has broadly effective legal but relatively weak institutional frameworks to support the collection of statistics that remain in need of further improvements. The 2004 Budget Law, although an improvement, does not provide for compiling statistics for general government. The proposed Statistics and Central Bank Bills are in advanced stages of preparation to replace existing dated laws. Under the Central Bank of The Gambia Act (1992) and the Financial Institutions Act (2003), the Central Bank of The Gambia (CBG) has the legal authority and responsibility for collecting, compiling, and disseminating monetary statistics. The CBG’s legal authority to compile balance of payments statistics extends only to financial data and does not cover data on real sector, such as merchandise trade and services. Staff resources are inadequate for all sectors, especially for national accounts, while improved access to equipment and upgraded software is essential, particularly to replace the Wang-based accounting system for the GFS. Only limited processes are in place to focus on data quality. There is no program to regularly consult users or to promote quality within the Central Statistics Department (CSD) and Department of State for Finance and Economic Affairs (DOSFEA), although feedback on the relevance and practicality of balance of payments and monetary statistics is received during the course of responding to specific data requests from users. Professionalism is encouraged through recruitment of highly qualified staff, graduate training opportunities in some cases, and on-the-job training, and the CSD is fairly independent of the rest of the government. Pre-release access to data is given to other government agencies, but the details are not published. Measures to promote ethical standards for staff vary with minimal efforts at the CSD, while the CBG has recently strengthened its staff service rules and General Orders apply for qualification for appointment at the DOSFEA.

5. While most published series have a good methodological foundation, there are some significant deviations from the conceptual frameworks, notably in national accounts and balance of payments. Improvements in scope, classification, and sectorization are needed for most datasets, with national accounts, balance of payments, and GFS more affected by incomplete coverage. The basis for recording is appropriate for GFS, but international standards are not fully applied in national accounts and balance of payments.

6. The limited source data undermine the accuracy and reliability of most published statistics. This is especially the case in the compilation of national accounts and balance of payments, where there is inadequate effort to obtain data through surveys. The GFS has inadequate source data because of the accounting system. Moreover, the DOSFEA has not tried to collect data from local governments and thus compiles statistics on the operations of the general government. Monetary statistics lack details on the accounts of other depository corporations (ODCs) to permit accurate classification and sectorization. Processes for assessment and validation of source, intermediate, and output data are weak in most cases. Statistical techniques could be improved, especially in balance of payments and national accounts which rely on very dated data. No formal revision studies are undertaken in most sectors.

7. Serviceability of disseminated macroeconomic data needs improvement. The frequency and timeliness of disseminated data meet the GDDS requirements for national accounts, balance of payments, and monetary statistics. Statistical agencies could make further joint efforts to promote consistency of macroeconomic data. There are shortcomings in revision policy and practice, and revisions are not always identified and explained to the public.

8. Accessibility of macroeconomic data is hampered by limited resources, especially at the CSD, which does not publish data (except on prices), while difficulties with timely production of GFS data limit access to the public. The presentation of balance of payments data lacks sufficient details to facilitate proper interpretation by the public. Since 2002, the CBG has not published data. The only published metadata relate to the GDDS (published on the Fund’s DSBB). Contact points and details of available publications are not provided domestically.

9. Section II provides a summary assessment by agency and dataset based on a four-point scale. This is followed by staff recommendations in Section III. Practices compared to the GDDS are summarized in Appendix I. The authorities’ response to this report and a volume of detailed assessments are presented in separate documents.

II. Assessment by Agency and Dataset

10. An assessment of the quality of four macroeconomic datasets—national accounts, government finance, monetary, and balance of payments statistics—was conducted using the DQAF July 2003. In this section, the results are presented at the level of the DQAF elements and using a four-point rating scale (Table 1). Assessments of the prerequisites of data quality and the assurances of integrity (Dimensions “0” and “1” of the DQAF) are presented by data-compiling agency in Tables 2ac. For each dataset, the assessment of methodological soundness, accuracy and reliability, serviceability, and accessibility (Dimensions “2” to “5” of the DQAF) are shown in Tables 3ad.

Table 1.

The Gambia: Data Quality Assessment Framework, July 2003—Summary Results

article image
Practice observed: current practices generally meet or achieve the objectives of DQAF internationally accepted statistical practices without any significant deficiencies. Practice largely observed: some departures, but these are not seen as sufficient to raise doubts about the authorities’ ability to observe the DQAF practices. Practice largely not observed: significant departures and the authorities will need to take significant action to achieve observance. Practice not observed: most DQAF practices are not met. Not applicable: used only exceptionally when statistical practices do not apply to a country’s circumstances.
Table 2a.

The Gambia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1—Central Statistics Department

article image
Table 2b.

The Gambia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1—Department of State for Finance and Economic Affairs

article image
Table 2c.

The Gambia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1—The Central Bank of The Gambia

article image
Table 3a.

The Gambia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—National Accounts

article image
Table 3b.

The Gambia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Government Finance Statistics

article image
Table 3c.

The Gambia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Monetary Statistics

article image
Table 3d.

The Gambia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5—Balance of Payments Statistics

article image

III. Staff’s Recommendations

11. Based on the review of The Gambia’s statistical practices, discussions with the data-producing agencies, and responses from data users (see Appendix III of the Detailed Assessments volume), the mission has a set of recommendations. They are designed to encourage further The Gambia’s adherence to internationally accepted statistical practices and would, in the mission’s view, enhance the analytical usefulness of The Gambia’s statistics. Additional technical suggestions are included in the Detailed Assessments volume.

Cross-cutting recommendations

  • Make adequate provision for upgrading the skills of existing staff and for additional human and other resources for statistics. This applies especially to the central government budget in the context of the SMP and PRGF programs.

  • Disseminate statistics, including monthly data (weekly, where available), for all macroeconomic sectors on one or more websites.

  • Disseminate comprehensive and updated explanations and other metadata, including those on the GDDS site, for all disseminated statistics.

  • Establish an overall revision policy and practice for the statistical system and all its agencies and datasets.

  • Establish a data user group committee to make recommendations on how the different statistical agencies can better serve the needs of statistical users.

  • Establish data reconciliation committees to ensure that statistics in all macroeconomic areas, particularly for monetary and fiscal data, are reconciled and periodically document the status of such reconciliations.

National accounts

  • use the results of the upcoming enterprise census to improve and extend the coverage of the national accounts.

  • The CSD should itself publish national accounts according to a preannounced schedule.

Government finance statistics

  • Implement as soon as possible, with adequate resources, a reliable and flexible automated accounting and fiscal control system, including a payroll system, consistent with compiling government transaction and balance sheet data in line with international statistical conventions.

  • Close government accounts through 2004, and ensure that an independent auditor, with adequate resources, audit as soon as feasible the stock and flow accounts of central government and disseminate aggregate quarterly data on central government after one month.

  • Adopt a plan to migrate in stages to GFSM 2001, including the adoption of classifications harmonized with that methodology.

Monetary statistics

  • Fully computerize the monetary statistics production process, including providing access to the internet to facilitate electronic data transmission.

  • Provide documentation of the concepts and definitions used by ODCs that deviate significantly from the MFSM guidelines, and clearly describe how they are treated in the compilation of monetary statistics.

  • Broaden the coverage of the ODCs and ensure proper data classification.

Balance of payments statistics

  • Change the overall structure, classification, and definition of the balance of payments statistics of The Gambia, consistent with the recommended methodology in BPM5.

  • Expand data sources of balance of payments statistics by carrying out important surveys in areas such as re-export trade, travel, other services items (especially debit), and compensation of employees, and improve coverage of data to conform to the recommendations of BPM5.

Appendix I

The Gambia: Overview of Current Practices Regarding Coverage, Periodicity, and Timeliness of Macroeconomic Data Compared to the GDDS

article image
Italics indicate encouraged categories.

Dissemination as part of a high-frequency (e.g., monthly) publication.