Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC)—Data Module

This Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes on Data Module on the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia reviews assessment by agency and dataset. The mission has a set of recommendations for Macedonia’s statistical practices, on discussions with the data-producing agencies and on responses from data users. They are designed to increase further FYR Macedonia’s adherence to internationally accepted statistical practices and would, in the mission’s view, enhance the analytical usefulness of FYR Macedonia’s statistics.

Abstract

This Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes on Data Module on the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia reviews assessment by agency and dataset. The mission has a set of recommendations for Macedonia’s statistical practices, on discussions with the data-producing agencies and on responses from data users. They are designed to increase further FYR Macedonia’s adherence to internationally accepted statistical practices and would, in the mission’s view, enhance the analytical usefulness of FYR Macedonia’s statistics.

I. Overall Assessment

1. This data module of the Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC) for FYR Macedonia indicates a statistical system built on a solid legal foundation and for the most part devoted to disseminating quality statistics to the general public. In some cases, the system lacks adequate resources and has shortcomings in data collection.

2. FYR Macedonia participates in the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS); its metadata were first posted on the IMF’s Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board (DSBB) in February 2004. As documented in this paper’s Appendix, FYR Macedonia meets most GDDS recommendations for macroeconomic statistics. In an exception, coverage of the government finance statistics (GFS) does not extend to comprehensive central and general government data, but periodicity recommendations across all data categories are fully met or exceeded. Likewise, with few exceptions, FYR Macedonia’s macroeconomic statistics are disseminated within the periods recommended under the GDDS.

3. In applying the IMF’s Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF), the mission arrived at these main conclusions as follows below.

4. Prerequisites of quality and assurances of integrity:

  • The State Statistical Office (SSO) operates in a favorable legal and institutional environment. The requirement for enterprises to respond to industrial surveys could be better enforced. Although resources are adequate for the national accounts, there is a critical shortage of personnel for the compilation of price indices. The relevance of statistical series is monitored by informing the Statistical Council and meeting with users. Appropriate quality management processes are in place, particularly for the national accounts. The SSO has fostered an environment of professionalism, transparency, and adherence to ethical standards.

  • The Ministry of Finance (MOF) provides an appropriate institutional environment for compiling budgetary transaction data but not for compiling statistics for general government. Staff and computing resources are insufficient to satisfactorily compile consolidated GFS on stocks and flows in accordance with the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2001 (GFSM 2001). The relevance of fiscal data suffers from a lack of consultation with users. MOF officials are objective and impartial, following laws and MOF codes. The transparency of fiscal data could be enhanced by publishing information on practices and procedures for data compilation and dissemination. A strong MOF culture for maintaining ethical standards discourages outside interference.

  • The National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) has a legal and institutional environment that supports compilation and dissemination of monetary and balance of payments statistics. Resources are adequate, and the relevance of statistics is ensured by extensive informal contact with users. Processes are in place for monitoring quality. The statutory independence of the NBRM and the recruitment of qualified staff promote professionalism. NBRM achieves transparency by publishing relevant legislation and providing data simultaneously to all users. The Code of Conduct establishes ethical standards.

5. Methodological soundness is upheld usually in all statistical areas. Some deviations from international standards exist in the details of concepts and definitions, scope, and sectorization. Notable is the lack of consolidated government finance statistics (GFS) for general government. The basis for recording is appropriate for GFS, but international standards are not fully applied in national accounts, price statistics, monetary, and balance of payments statistics.

6. Accuracy and reliability are generally addressed, although some deficiencies were observed. Source data have some shortcomings in most statistics. Suitable processes for assessment and validation of source, intermediate, and output data are in place in most cases. Deficiencies in statistical techniques were observed in deflation methods for the national accounts and application of the index formula for prices. Revision studies could be developed further, particularly for the producer price index and GFS.

7. Serviceability of disseminated macroeconomic statistics is for the most part adequate. The frequency and timeliness of disseminated data typically follow GDDS recommendations. Compiling agencies could make additional joint efforts to ensure consistency of macroeconomic data. Shortcomings exist in revision policy and practice, and revisions are not always identified or explained to the public.

8. Accessibility. Significant efforts have been made to improve the accessibility of macroeconomic data. For example, the SSO and NBRM have disseminated advance calendars for data releases. Published methodological notes and other metadata are sometimes incomplete.

9. Section II of this report provides a summary assessment of data quality by agency and dataset. This is followed by staff recommendations in Section III. The authorities’ response to this report and a volume of detailed assessments are presented in separate documents.

II. Assessment by Agency and Dataset

10. An assessment of the quality of six macroeconomic datasets—national accounts, consumer price index, producer price index, government finance, monetary, and balance of payments statistics—was conducted using the Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) and a four-point rating scale (Table 1). The DQAF covers the various dimensions of data quality. Assessments of the prerequisites of data quality and the assurances of integrity (Dimensions “0” and “1” of the DQAF) are documented for each data-producing agency in Tables 2a–c. The assessments of methodological soundness, accuracy and reliability, serviceability, and accessibility (Dimensions “2” to “5” of the DQAF) are presented for each dataset in Tables 3a–f.

Table 1

FYR Macedonia: Data Quality Assessment Framework July 2003—Summary Results

article image
Practice observed: current practices generally in observance meet or achieve the objectives of DQAF internationally accepted statistical practices without any significant deficiencies.Practice largely observed: some departures, but these are not seen as sufficient to raise doubts about the authorities’ ability to observe the DQAF practices. Practice largely not observed: significant departures and the authorities will need to take significant action to achieve observance. Practice not observed: most DQAF practices are not met. Not applicable: used only exceptionally when statistical practices do not apply to a country’s circumstances.
Table 2a.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1: State Statistical Office

article image
Table 2b.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1: Ministry of Finance

article image
Table 2c.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 0 and 1: National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia

article image
Table 3a.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5: National Accounts

article image
Table 3b.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5: Consumer Price Index

article image
Table 3c.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5: Producer Price Index

article image
Table 3d.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5: Government Finance Statistics

article image
Table 3e.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5: Monetary Statistics

article image
Table 3f.

FYR Macedonia: Assessment of Data Quality—Dimensions 2 to 5: Balance of Payments Statistics

article image

III. Recommendations

11. Based on the review of FYR Macedonia’s statistical practices, on discussions with the data-producing agencies and on responses from data users (summarized in Appendix III of the Detailed Assessments volume), the mission has a set of recommendations. They are designed to increase further FYR Macedonia’s adherence to internationally accepted statistical practices and would, in the mission’s view, enhance the analytical usefulness of FYR Macedonia’s statistics. Some additional technical suggestions are included in the Detailed Assessments volume.

Cross-cutting recommendations

  • Improve response rates for surveys by invoking the tools available under the statistical law.

  • Give priority to the completion of the statistical register of businesses.

  • Establish a well-defined revision policy that includes formal revision studies and their publication.

  • Ensure consistency between GFS and monetary statistics by establishing formal procedures for regular review and reconciliation.

National Accounts

  • Improve procedures for compiling GDP volume measures by production, particularly the estimates of value added by economic activity and taxes on products.

  • Implement inventory valuation adjustments for GDP by expenditure and production.

  • Revise data collection forms to expand the scope of production and capital formation estimates.

Price Indices

  • Increase human resources devoted to price indices.

  • Change the methodology for the application of the Laspeyres index formula so that long-term price changes are reflected in the weights when changes are made to the index reference period.

  • Include exports in the coverage of the PPI.

  • Add a recall component to the HBS diary survey to better capture expenditures on durable goods, rent, and other monthly household utilities in the CPI.

Government Finance Statistics

  • Establish a formal plan to migrate in stages to the implementation of GFSM 2001.

  • Compile and disseminate consolidated GFS for transactions and debt of central government and general government.

  • Establish bridge tables linking the 2003 and 2004 national charts of accounts with GFSM 2001 classifications.

Monetary Statistics

  • Improve the institutional coverage of monetary statistics by including savings houses.

  • Present separately all MFSM-recommended categories of financial assets in monetary statistics.

Balance of Payments Statistics

  • In conjunction with the SSO, use surveys to better understand cash transactions through exchange bureaus.

  • Incorporate the results of supplementary surveys covering known data gaps, such as reinvested earnings, selected netted transactions, and authorized accounts abroad.

Table 4.

FYR Macedonia: Overview of Current Practices Regarding Coverage, Periodicity, and Timeliness of Data Compared to the Recommendations of the GDDS

article image
Italics indicate encouraged categories.

Dissemination as part of a high-frequency (e.g. monthly) publication.