Azerbaijan Republic: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix

This Selected Issues paper and Statistical Appendix for Azerbaijan aims to provide a guide to the management of Azerbaijan’s expected natural resource-generated windfall. The paper provides information on Azerbaijan’s endowment of oil and gas deposits and the projected revenue stream, and highlights the common characteristics of policies leading to the mismanagement of natural resource wealth in natural resource-abundant countries. It also outlines a medium- and long-term policy strategy for oil wealth management in Azerbaijan.

Abstract

This Selected Issues paper and Statistical Appendix for Azerbaijan aims to provide a guide to the management of Azerbaijan’s expected natural resource-generated windfall. The paper provides information on Azerbaijan’s endowment of oil and gas deposits and the projected revenue stream, and highlights the common characteristics of policies leading to the mismanagement of natural resource wealth in natural resource-abundant countries. It also outlines a medium- and long-term policy strategy for oil wealth management in Azerbaijan.

IV. Tax Policy in Azerbaijan—Regional Context and Recent Developments

95. During the last few years, reforms in CIS countries gave tax policy systems the principle characteristics of systems in modern market oriented economies. After a first round of tax reforms in the early 1990’s, modern tax codes were introduced in a second round of reforms in the late 1990’s (e.g., Russia, the Kyrgyz Republic, and Georgia), which laid the foundation for simple and straightforward tax systems. In Azerbaijan a fundamentally revised tax code based on international standards was adopted in 2000. Its implementation has been supported by significant reforms in revenue administration.14

96. In most CIS countries these reforms were accompanied by significant changes in income tax rates. During the last five years, the individual income and profit taxes underwent substantial modifications. Most countries consolidated the number of income tax brackets and lowered the top bracket to around 20 to 25 percent. For the profit tax, rates were unified around 20 percent, which is somewhat low by international standards. In line with these general tax policy trends, Azerbaijan has recently reduced its profit tax rate from 27 percent to 25 percent, and has also introduced regional and sectoral discounts ranging from 40 to 80 percent of the base rate. In the short run these concessions are partially offset by reductions of generous depreciation allowances.

97. The dominant source of tax revenue among transition economies continues to be the VAT. VAT rates have been largely unchanged in the last years, with most countries maintaining a basic rate of 20 percent. Steady increases in registration thresholds have simplified operations and greatly improved the functioning of the VAT. In Azerbaijan the general rate for VAT is somewhat lower, at 18 percent, and also includes wide-ranging exemptions. A recent reduction in the registration threshold level was reversed primarily due to the increased administrative burden. Reforms have shifted toward building a more effective tax system for small tax payers.

98. Despite these accomplishments Azerbaijan still faces important challenges in various tax policy matters. Income and profit tax rates need further adjustments. The tax burden on wage income is large due to high social contribution rates. Reductions will require the development of a broad reform agenda including changes to expenditure policy. The government has also decided to re-unify profit tax rates in 2004. In this context further changes in the base profit tax rate could be considered. In the past exemptions from VAT have been granted on an ad hoc basis and a more systematic approach is needed. Finally, the government needs to review the appropriateness of the tax laws for SOCAR in the light of SOCAR’s increasing ability to pay its taxes in cash due to reforms in the domestic energy sector.

A. Tax Matrix

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STATISTICAL APPENDIX

Table 1.

Azerbaijan: Gross Domestic Product by Sector of Origin, 1998-2002

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Source: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee.

Preliminary data.

Table 2.

Azerbaijan: Gross Domestic Product by Final Use, 1998-2002

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Sources: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee; and Fund staff estimates.

Preliminary data.

For 2002 includes investment of US$50 mln. for the government’s share in BTC, equivalent to 0.8 percent of GDP.

Table 3.

Azerbaijan: Income, Savings, and Net Financial Balances, 1998-2002

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Sources: Azeri authorities; and Fund staff estimates.

Preliminary data.

Gross disposable national income minus total consumption.

GDP at market prices minus total consumption.

Table 4.

Azerbaijan: Crude Oil and Gas Production, 1981-2002

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Sources: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee.
Table 5.

Azerbaijan: Production Indicators, 1998-2002

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Source: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee.
Table 6.

Azerbaijan: Average Monthly Wages by Sector, 1998-2002

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Sources: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee; and Fund staff estimates.

ln 1999, State Statistics Committee introduced a new economic classification. As a result, sectoral changes between 1998 and 1999 should be treated with caution.

Starting from 1999 salaries for transport and communications sectors are grouped into one type of activity and a single figure is shown for both sectors.

Data are not available.

Table 7.

Azerbaijan: Labor Market Indicators, 1998-2002

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Sources: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee; and Fund staff estimates.

In 1999 the State Statistics Committee introduced a new economic classification. As a result, sectoral changes between 1998 and 1999 should be treated with caution.

Table 8.

Azerbaijan: Consumer Price Index, 1999-2002

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Source: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee.
Table 9.

Azerbaijan: Breakdown of Consumer Price Index, 1999-2002

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Source: Azerbaijan State Statistics Committee.
Table 10.

Azerbaijan: Prices of Electricity, 1998-2002

(In manat per kilowatt-hour)

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Source: Ministry of Economic Development.
Table 11.

Azerbaijan: Prices of Gas, 1998-2002

(In manat per thousand cubic meters)

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Source: Ministry of Economic Development.
Table 12.

Azerbaijan: Consolidated Government Operations, 1998-2002

(In billions of manats)

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Sources: Ministry of Finance, State Oil Fund, Social Protection Fund; and Fund staff estimates.