Thailand: Statistical Appendix

This Selected Issues paper and Statistical Appendix examines the channels of monetary policy transmission in Thailand. The main findings are that changes in monetary policy are associated with changes in real output, and that the main channel for transmission is not bank lending but asset prices. The paper takes stock of the performance of the Thai corporate sector emerging from the crisis and discusses remaining challenges and vulnerabilities. An assessment of Thailand’s fiscal vulnerability is also presented.

Abstract

This Selected Issues paper and Statistical Appendix examines the channels of monetary policy transmission in Thailand. The main findings are that changes in monetary policy are associated with changes in real output, and that the main channel for transmission is not bank lending but asset prices. The paper takes stock of the performance of the Thai corporate sector emerging from the crisis and discusses remaining challenges and vulnerabilities. An assessment of Thailand’s fiscal vulnerability is also presented.

Table 1.

Thailand: Basic Data

Department of local administration, Minister of Interior

Population projection for Thailand 1990 – 2020 NESDB

Expectation of life at birth, projected for 2000 – 2005, Human Resource Planning Division, NESDB

Rate of minimum wages in Bangkok and 5 provinces around Bangkok, Ministry of Labour and Social Welfare

The Labour force survey, National Statistical Office

The 2000 Population and housing census. National Statistical Office

Office of the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Education

Health Information Division, Bureau of Health Policy and Planning

Sources: Information provided by the Thai authorities; and Fund staff estimates.

On a cash (GFS) and fiscal year basis (October through September). Central government includes extra-budgetary funds, social security funds, and the fiscalization of financial sector restructuring costs. Data from MOF sources.

Includes extrabudgetary funds, local governments and nonfinancial public enterprises.

Primary Balance is Overall Balance plus interest payments of central government.

Data provided by the BOT.

Excludes data from 56 closed finance companies.

Adjusted forbad debt transfers to Asset Management Companies and write-offs.

Includes offshore forward and swap transactions by monetary authorities.

End of period.

Table 2.

Thailand: Construction and the Property Market, 1995–2002

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Source: Data provided by the Thai authorities.

First two months of year.

Table 3.

Thailand: Promotional Activities of the Board of Investment, 1995–2002 1/

(In millions of baht; except where otherwise indicated)

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Source: Data provided by the Office of the Board of Investment.

From June 1999 onward statistics do not include applications submitted for (a) relocation; (b) BOI privileges tranferred; and (c) existing projects applying for nontax incentives.

January-March 2002.

Table 4.

Thailand: Population, Labor Force, and Employment by Major Economic Sectors, 1996–2001 1/

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Source: Data provided by the National Economic & Social Development Board (NESDB).

Since 1996, covers fifteen years of age and above.

Includes persons 15 years of age and above who were available for work but did not work at all and were looking for work.

Includes persons 15 years of age and above who were available for work but did not work at all and were not looking for work.

Table 5.

Thailand: Average Earnings, Classified by Manufacturing Categories, 1995–2001 1/

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Source: Data provided by the National Economic & Social Development Board (NFSDB)

Earnings are in the form of monetary value (daily, weekly, and monthly wages together with overtime, bonus and other remunerations).

Table 6.

Thailand: Selected Energy Prices, 1995–2002 1/

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Source: Data provided by the National Energy Policy Office (NEPO).

Annual average of monthly prices.

Average price of electricity sold (MEA, PEA) including VAT.

Retail price for Bangkok; 1995 column reports the price of fuel oil grade 2 (1,500).

In 1992–97, tax rate of fuel oil was 17 percent of ex-refinery value, in 1997–98, tax rate of fuel oil was 17.5 percent of ex-refinery value. Since 1999, tax rate of fuel oil is 5 percent of ex-refinery value.

Through February.

Table 7.

Thailand: Central Government Fiscal Accounts, 1995/96–2000/01 1/

(In billions of baht)

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Source: Data provided by the Thai authorities.

The fiscal year runs from October to September. Data are based on GFS definitions and the coverage corresponds to the consolidatated central government, which includes extra-budgetary funds, social security funds, and the fiscalization of financial-sector restructuring costs.

As recorded in the monetary survey.

Table 8.

Thailand: Central Government Revenue and Grants, 1995/96–2000/01

(In billions of baht)

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Source: Data provided by the Thai authorities.
Table 9.

Thailand: Central Government Expenditure by Economic Classification, 1995/96–2000/01

(In billions of baht)

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Source: Data provided by the Thai authorities.

Includes remuneration annual salary adjustments, overtime, and travel expenses.

Includes pensions.

Table 10.

Thailand: Central Government Expenditure, Classified by Purpose, 1995/96–2000/01

(In billions of baht)

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Source: Data provided by the Thai authorities.