Front Matter Page
©1998 International Monetary Fund
December 1998
IMF Staff Country Report No. 98/132
France: Selected Issues
This Selected Issues report on France was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with this member country. As such, the views expressed in this document are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Government of France or the Executive Board of the IMF.
Copies of this report are available to the public from
International Monetary Fund • Publication Services
700 19th Street, N.W. • Washington, D.C. 20431
Telephone: (202) 623-7430 • Telefax: (202) 623-7201
Telex (RCA): 248331 IMF UR
E-mail: publications@imf.org
Internet: http://www.imf.org
Price: $15.00 a copy
International Monetary Fund
Washington, D.C.
Front Matter Page
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
FRANCE
Selected Issues
Prepared by Alessandro Zanello, Ousmane Doré (all EU1), and Olivier Jeanne (RES)
Approved by European I Department
October 1, 1998
Contents
I. France: Fiscal Stabilizers Under EMU
A. Introduction and Summary
B. Fiscal Policy During 1970–97: Some Stylized Facts
C. The Operation of Fiscal Stabilizers
D. Should Fiscal Policy Become More Countercyclical Under EMU?
E. What is the Size of the Structural Deficit That Would Allow the Fiscal Stabilizers to Operate Effectively Under the Stability and Growth Pact?
References
Tables
I.1. Co-movements in GDP and General Government Revenues
I.2. Co-movements in GDP and General Government Expenditures
I.3. Fiscal Developments, 1992–96
I.4. Frequency of Breaches in the Three Percent Deficit Limit: Univariate Estimates
I.5. Frequency of Breaches in the Three Percent Deficit Limit
Figures
I.1. General Government Revenues and Expenditures
I.2. General Government Expenditures
I.3. General Government Revenues
I.4. General Government Balance
I.5. General Government Consolidated Gross Debt
I.6. General Government Balance and Output Gap
I.7. General Government Primary Structural Balance and Output Gap
I.8. Output Gaps in France, Germany, and The Euro Zone
II. The 35-Hour Workweek Initiative
A. The 35-Hour Workweek in Perspective
B. The Legal Framework
C. The Economic Effects of a Reduction in Work Time
D. Conclusions
Tables
II.1. Trends in Average Annual Hours Worked per Employed Person
II.2. Duration of Workweek and Paid Vacation: Selected Countries
II.3. Selected Countries: Labor Market Indicators
II.4. Effective Duration of Work for Selected Countries
II.5. Frequency Distribution of Work Time by Year
II.6. Frequency Distribution of Work Time by Sector (1995)
II.7. Structure of Fiscal Incentives
Figures
II.1 Work Time Norms 1830–1998
II.2. Hours Worked and Unemployment for Selected Countries
III. Unemployment and French Labor Market Institutions
A. Introduction
B. The Magnitude of Structural Unemployment in France
C. A Bird’s Eye View of the Literature on Structural Unemployment in Europe
D. The Role of Institutional Factors: The French Case
E. Recent Policy Measures
F. Possible Policy Options
G. Conclusions
References
Text Boxes
III.1. Examples of Employment Programs Involving Fiscal Transfers
III.2. Examples of Schemes Involving Minimum Wage Concessions/Training
Tables
III.1. Unemployment Profile
III.2. Unemployment Characteristics in Selected EU Countries
III.3 Wage and Price Equation for France
III.4. Generosity of Unemployment Benefits
III.5. Replacement Rates for Single-Earner Households, 1994
III.6. Replacement Rates for Single-Earner Households, 1994
III.7. Net Monetary Gains from RMI to SMIC for Single Persons
III.8. Net Monetary Gains from RMI for Single Parents and Couples
III.9. Proportion of Workers Paid at the SMIC
III.10. Minimum Wage Systems in Europe
III.11. Labor Market Policies Since the Early 1980s in Selected Countries
Figures
III.1. Comparison of Unemployment Rates in Selected Cities
III.2. Labor Market Indicators in Selected Industrial Countries in 1997
III.3. Phillips Curve 1971–97
III.4. Minimum Wages and Employment in Selected Countries