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© 1996 International Monetary Fund

June 1996

IMF Staff Country Report No. 96/55

Republic of Tajikistan—Recent Economic Developments

This report on recent economic developments in the Republic of Tajikistan was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with this member country. As such, the views expressed in this document are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Government of the Republic of Tajikistan or the Executive Board of the IMF

Copies of this report are available to the public from

International Monetary Fund • Publication Services

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Price: $15.00 a copy

International Monetary Fund

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Front Matter Page

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN

Recent Economic Developments

Prepared by a staff team consisting of Mr. P. Keller (Head), Mr. J. Wakeman-Linn, Mr. G. Kwon (all EURII), Ms. A. Doughty (PDR) and Mr. J. Amieva (FAD)

Approved by European II Department

April 23, 1996

Contents

  • Basic Data

    • I. Overview

      • 1. Country profile and developments before 1994

      • 2. Developments in 1994 and 1995

      • 3. Developments in early 1996

    • II. Output and Employment in 1994-95

      • 1. Overall developments

      • 2. Sectoral developments

    • III. Prices and Wages

      • 1. Price developments during 1994 and early 1995

      • 2. Price developments since the introduction of the national currency

      • 3. Wage developments

    • IV. Public Finance

      • 1. Structure of Government

      • 2. Fiscal developments prior to the currency introduction

      • 3. The period after the currency introduction

      • 4. The 1996 budget

    • V. Money and Credit

      • 1. Monetary arrangements

      • 2. The banking system

      • 3. Money and credit in 1994 and 1995

      • 4. Interest rates

      • 5. Banking regulation and supervision

      • 6. Settlements system

    • VI. External Sector Developments

      • 1. Balance of payments developments in 1993-94

      • 2. Balance of payments developments in 1995

      • 3. Developments in the direction of trade during the period 1993-95

      • 4. Developments in the commodity composition of trade over 1993-95

      • 5. Exchange rate policy and international competitiveness

      • 6. Developments in the trade system

      • 7. External debt

      • 8. Foreign direct investment

    • VII. Structural Reforms

      • 1. Price liberalization

      • 2. State orders and procurement

      • 3. Privatization and enterprise restructuring

    • Tables

    • 1. Indices of Real GDP, 1990-95

    • 2. Nominal GDP by Sector of Origin, 1993-94

    • 3. Labor Resources and Employment, 1985-94

    • 4. Employment by Sector of Economy, 1985-94

    • 5. Registered Unemployment, 1992-95

    • 6. Production and Yield of Major Agricultural Crops, 1985-95

    • 7. Agricultural Production, 1980-94

    • 8. Animal Husbandry, 1985-94

    • 9. Production of Meat, Milk and Eggs, 1985-94

    • 10. Production by Type of Farm, 1985-94

    • 11. Allocation of Agricultural Land in 1994

    • 12. Sale Outlets for Selected Agricultural Products in 1994

    • 13. Industrial Output by Sector at Constant Prices, 1980-95

    • 14. Industrial Production by Sector at Current Prices, 1985-94

    • 15. Industrial Production by Sector in 1995

    • 16. Selected Indicators of Industrial Production, 1985-95

    • 17. Fuel Consumption, 1990-95

    • 18. Electricity Consumption and Output, 1980-94

    • 19. Indices of Real GDP, Employment and Energy Consumption, 1990-94

    • 20. Sectoral Output, Employment and Electricity Consumption, 1990-94

    • 21. Consumer Price Inflation, 1993-95

    • 22. Wholesale Price Inflation—Selected Categories, 1993-95

    • 23. Wholesale Prices in 1995

    • 24. Monthly Wages, 1993-95

    • 25. Average Monthly Wages by Sector, 1985-94

    • 26. Monthly Wage Bill and Wage Disbursement, 1994-95

    • 27. State Budget by Economic Classification of Expenditure, 1992-95

    • 28. State Budget, 1992-95

    • 29. State Budget (In Percent of GDP), 1992-95

    • 30. Operations of the Pension Fund, 1992-95

    • 31. Operations of the Employment Fund, 1992-95

    • 32. Operations of the Social Insurance Fund, 1993-95

    • 33. Consolidated Operations of the General Government, 1992-95

    • 34. Introduction of National Currencies in the States of the Former U.S.S.R.

    • 35. Commercial Banks as of January 1, 1996

    • 36. Credit of the Banking System, 1993-95

    • 37. Monetary Survey, 1993-95

    • 38. Monetary Authorities Accounts, 1993-95

    • 39. Annual Interest Rates, 1994-95

    • 40. Interbank Credit Auction

    • 41. Reserve Requirements, 1988-95

    • 42. Capital Asset and Liquid Asset Ratios, 1995

    • 43. Balance of Payments, 1993-95

    • 44. Import Prices, 1993-95

    • 45. Export Prices, 1993-95

    • 46. Import Volumes, 1993-95

    • 47. Export Volumes, 1993-95

    • 48. External Debt Stock Including Arrears, 1992-95

    • 49. Quarterly Balance of Payments, 1995

    • 50. Imports by Product, 1993-95

    • 51. Exports by Product, 1993-95

    • 52. Origin of Energy Imports, 1995

    • 53. Destination of Principal Exports, 1995

    • 54. Exchange Rates and U.S. Dollar Wages, 1991-95

    • 55. Arrears, 1993-95

    • Charts

    • 1. Main Macroeconomic Indicators, 1994-95

    • 2. States of the Former U.S.S.R.: Output Decline, Inflation and Dollar Wages

    • 3. Real GDP, 1991-95

    • 4. Consumer and Wholesale Price Inflation, 1991-95

    • 5. Wages, 1993-95

    • 6. State Budget, 1992-95

    • 7. Deposits to Currency Ratio, 1993-95

    • 8. Credit and Deposits, 1994-95

    • 9. Inflation, Currency and Interest Rates

    • 10. External Trade Balance, 1992-95

    • 11. Exchange Rates and Wages

    • 12. External Debt by Major Creditors, 1992-95

    • Annexes

    • I. The Introduction of the National Currency

    • II. Tax Summary as of February 1996

    • III. Social Safety Net

    • IV. Development of the Foreign Exchange Market

    • V. Exchange and Trade System

    • VI. Survey of Reporting of Main Statistical Indicators

    • Annex Tables

    • A1. Conversion Rates for the 1995 Currency Reform

    • A2. Subsidies, 1994-95

    • A3. Foreign Exchange Operations of the NBT, September 1995-January 1996

    • Annex Chart

    • A1. Deposit-Currency Ratios of Selected States of the U.S.S.R.

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Tajikistan: Recent Economic Developments
Author:
International Monetary Fund