Climate Change Mitigation and Policy Spillovers in the EU’s Immediate Neighborhood
Author:
Mr. Serhan Cevik
Search for other papers by Mr. Serhan Cevik in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2373-2023
,
Mr. Nadeem Ilahi
Search for other papers by Mr. Nadeem Ilahi in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close
,
Mr. Krzysztof Krogulski https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

Search for other papers by Mr. Krzysztof Krogulski in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close
,
Ms. Grace B Li
Search for other papers by Ms. Grace B Li in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close
,
Sabiha Mohona
Search for other papers by Sabiha Mohona in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close
, and
Yueshu Zhao
Search for other papers by Yueshu Zhao in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close
EU’s neighborhood countries (EUN) have lagged the EU on emissions mitigation; coal-heavy power generation and industrial sectors are a key factor. They have also trailed EU countries in emissions mitigation policies since 2000, with little use of market-based instruments, and they still have substantial fossil fuel subsidies. Increasingly stringent EU mitigation policies are asociated with lower emissions in EUN. Overall output effects of the CBAM, in its current form, would be limited, though exports and emissions-intensive industries could be heavily impacted. A unilaterally adopted economywide carbon tax of $75 per ton would significantly lower emissions by 2030, with minimal consequences for output or household welfare, though a safety net for the affected workers may be necessary. To become competitive today by attracting green FDI and technology, overcoming infrastructure constraints and integrating into EU’s supply chains, EUN countries would be well served to front load decarbonization, rather than postpone it for later.
  • Collapse
  • Expand
IMF Working Papers