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Author:
Maria Atamanchuk
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Kiichi Tokuoka
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© 2022 International Monetary Fund

WP/23/4

IMF Working Paper

Middle East and Central Asia Department

Supporting Sustainable Financing and Access to Finance in Armenia

Prepared by Maria Atamanchuk and Kiichi Tokuoka*

Authorized for distribution by Nathan Porter

January 2023

IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

ABSTRACT: In Armenia, both external and domestic financing face challenges. Armenia’s share of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) in private external financing has declined significantly over the past decade. Access to domestic finance in Armenia is also moderate and masks important disparities. Against this background, this paper analyses the determinants of inward FDI and examines the impediments to increasing access to domestic finance. The paper confirms empirically that governance-related structural factors have a significant impact on inward FDI. Similar structural factors, informality and poor accounting practices are reported among major challenges for increasing access to finance for firms in Armenia. This paper finds that to improve financing in Armenia include: implementing structural reforms to improve the business environment, maintaining prudent macroeconomic policies, strengthening financial reporting, and improving financial inclusion through reduced informality in the economy.

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Title Page

WORKING PAPERS

Supporting Sustainable Financing and Access to Finance in Armenia

Prepared by Maria Atamanchuk and Kiichi Tokuoka1

Table of Contents

  • I. Introduction

  • II. Context: External and Domestic Financing in Armenia

    • Changing Nature of Private External Financing in Armenia

    • Access to Domestic Financing

  • III. Determinants of Inward FDI and Implications of Declining Inward FDI

  • IV. Policy Implications

  • V. Conclusions

  • Appendix

  • References

*

We thank Klakow Akepanidtaworn, Knarik Ayvazyan, Marco Pani, and Sahra Sakha for constructive comments, Nathan Porter for helpful guidance, and Nathalie Reyes for excellent research assistance.

1

Kiichi Tokuoka worked formerly at the International Monetary Fund.

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Supporting Sustainable Financing and Access to Finance in Armenia
Author:
Maria Atamanchuk
and
Kiichi Tokuoka