Cover IMF Working Papers
Who Doesn’t Want to be Vaccinated? Determinants of Vaccine Hesitancy During COVID-19
Author:
Hibah Khan
Search for other papers by Hibah Khan in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMedClose
,
Ms. Era Dabla-Norris
Search for other papers by Ms. Era Dabla-Norris in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMedClose
,
Frederico Limanull

Search for other papers by Frederico Lima in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMedClose
, and
Alexandre Sollacinull

Search for other papers by Alexandre Sollaci in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMedClose
Series:
IMF Working Papers
Volume/Issue:
Volume 2021: Issue 130
Language:
English
Publication Date:
06 May 2021
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513573717.001
ISBN:
9781513573717
ISSN:
1018-5941
Pages:
41
Keywords:
vaccine hesitancy; vaccine demand; vaccine rollout; General vaccine acceptance; vaccine intent; COVID-19; Aging; Global
Legal-disclaimer:
IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.
Download PDF (5.2 MB) Download Epub
Quick vaccine rollouts are crucial for a strong economic recovery, but vaccine hesitancy could prolong the pandemic and the need for social distancing and lockdowns. We use individual-level data from nationally representative surveys developed by YouGov and Imperial College London to empirically examine the determinants of vaccine hesitancy across 17 countries and over time. Vaccine demand depends on demographic features such as age and gender, but also on perceptions about the severity of COVID-19 and side effects of the vaccine, vaccine access, compliance with protective behaviors, overall trust in government, and how information is shared with peers. We then introduce vaccine hesitancy into an extended SIR model to assess its impact on pandemic dynamics. We find that hesitancy can increase COVID-19 infections and deaths significantly if it slows down vaccine rollouts, but has a smaller impact if all willing adults can be immunized rapidly.
  • Collapse
  • Expand
Cover IMF Working Papers
IMF Working Papers
ISSN:
1018-5941
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund
Volume 2021: Issue 130