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Coping with Falling Oil Prices: The Different Fortunes of African Banks
Author:
Cheikh A. Gueye
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,
Asithandile Mbelunull

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Mr. Amadou N Sy
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Series:
IMF Working Papers
Volume/Issue:
Volume 2019: Issue 129
Language:
English
Publication Date:
17 Jun 2019
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498317795.001
ISBN:
9781498317795
ISSN:
1018-5941
Pages:
28
Keywords:
WP; oil price growth; bank; price; oil price shock; Oil price; non-performing loans; credit growth; deposit growth; bank ownership; bank characteristics; domestic banks; foreign-owned banks; Pan-African banks; sub-Saharan Africa; PAB bank; bank control; bank characteristic; Oil prices; Nonperforming loans; Credit; Government securities; Foreign banks
Legal-disclaimer:
IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.
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This paper studies the impact of declining oil prices on banks in sub-Saharan African oil-exporting countries. Results indicate that banks respond differently to an oil shock depending on their ownership: (i) domestic banks are the most adversely impacted and experience a deterioration in asset quality and liquidity; (ii) foreign-owned banks are the most resilient as they are able to improve asset quality and attract deposits but at the same time, they decelerate credit growth; in contrast, (iii) Pan-African Banks help stabilize overall credit but large banks in that segment experience reduced asset quality. These differentiated results suggest a tradeoff between maintaining credit growth and safeguarding financial stability in an oil slump which could be addressed by both micro- and macroprudential policies.
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Cover IMF Working Papers
IMF Working Papers
ISSN:
1018-5941
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund
Volume 2019: Issue 129