Front Matter Page
Research Department
Contents
1 Introduction
2 Economic Development, Structural Transformation, and Industrialization
2.1 Drivers of Structural Transformation and Industrialization
2.2 Challenges to Structural Transformation and the Role of Public Policy
2.2.1 The Role of Public Policy
3 Structural Transformation and Industrialization in a Globalized World
3.1 Opportunities and Challenges on the Demand Side
3.2 Opportunities and Challenges on the Supply Side
3.3 Country Experiences with Industrialization in a Globalized World
3.3.1 Viet Nam: A Success Story
3.3.2 The Challenging Case of Ghana
3.4 The Role of Policy in Structural Transformation in a Globalized World
4 Premature Deindustrialization
4.1 Natural Deindustrialization and Structural Transformation to a Post-Industrial Economy
4.2 Premature Deindustrialization: A Summary
4.2.1 Premature Deindustrialization in Ghana
4.2.2 Premature Deindustrialization in Nigeria
4.2.3 Failed Industrialization in Botswana
4.3 Premature Deindustrialization: Causes and Consequences
4.4 Middle-Income Trap (or Malaise?) and Premature Deindustrialization
5 Prospects of Economic Development and Structural Transformation Going Forward
5.1 Industrialization Again?
5.2 Can Services Do the Trick?
5.2.1 Role of High-Productivity (Tradable) Services: The Indian Experience
5.2.2 High-Productivity Services: Some Remarks on Their Potential
5.3 Need for a Longer-Term Perspective in Policy Making?
6 Conclusion
References
List of Figures
1 Growth Diagnostics Decision Tree
2 Growth Trajectories for Middle-Income Countries
3 Growth Trajectories for Low-Income Countries
4 Viet Nam: Export Structure at SITC2 Disaggregation in 1985
5 Viet Nam: Export Structure at SITC4 Disaggregation in 1985
6 Viet Nam: Export Structure at HS2 Disaggregation in 2015
7 Viet Nam: Export Structure at HS4 Disaggregation in 2015
8 Viet Nam: Import Structure at HS2 Disaggregation in 2015
9 Viet Nam: Import Structure at HS4 Disaggregation in 2015
10 Ghana: Export Structure at HS2 Disaggregation in 2015
11 Ghana: Export Structure at HS4 Disaggregation in 1985
12 Ghana: Export Structure at HS2 Disaggregation in 1985
13 Ghana: Export Structure at HS4 Disaggregation in 2015
14 Ghana: Import Structure at HS2 Disaggregation in 2015
15 Ghana: Import Structure at HS4 Disaggregation in 2015
16 Ghana: Origin of Imports in 1985
17 Ghana: Origin of Imports in 2015
18 Viet Nam: Origin of Imports in 1985
19 Viet Nam: Origin of Imports in 2015
20 Ghana: Structural Transformation, 1960-2010
21 Ghana: Sectoral Decomposition of industrial GDP and employment, 1960-2010
22 Ghana: Sectoral Decomposition of industrial GDP and employment, 1960-2010
23 Nigeria: Sectoral Decomposition of Employment, 1970-2014
24 Growth Trajectories for Middle-Income Countries
25 India: Structural Transformation, 1960-2010