Front Matter Page
Fiscal Affairs Department
Content
Abstract
I. Introduction
II. Methodology
A. Analytical Framework
B. Caveats
C. Parameterization
D. Policy Scenarios
III. Results
A. BAU Scenarios
B. Impacts of Carbon Taxes
C. Comparison of Alternative Mitigation Policies
D. Sensitivity Analysis
E. Incidence Analyses
IV. Conclusion
V. References
Tables
1. Paris Mitigation Pledges, Emissions Intensity and Emissions Per Capita, 2014
2. Impacts of Other Policies Relative to Carbon Tax, 2030
3. Sensitivity of CO2 Reductions from Paris Pledge and $70 Carbon Tax, 2030
Figures
1. Change in BAU CO2 Emissions, 2015–2030
2. BAU Primary Fuel Mix, 2030
3. Outdoor Air Pollution Death Rates from Fossil Fuels, 2030
4. Percent Reduction in BAU CO2 Emissions Implied by Paris Pledge, 2030
5. Reduction in CO2 Emissions from Carbon Taxes, 2030
6. Revenue from Carbon Taxes, 2030
7. Reductions in Air Pollution Deaths from Carbon Taxes, 2030
8. Domestic Welfare Effect of Carbon Taxes, 2030
9. Burden of $20 Carbon Tax on Household Consumption Quintiles, 2020
10. Cost Increases from $20 Carbon Tax by Exporter Quintile, 2020
Appendixes
Appendix 1. Analytical Model
Appendix 2. Model Parametrization
Appendix 3. Incidence Analysis
Appendix Tables
1. Comparison of Future Fuel Price Assumptions
2. Comparison of Projected Fuel Use and CO2 with IEA (2017a)