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China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown
Author:
Mr. Gee Hee Hong null

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,
Mr. Jaewoo Lee
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Wei Liao
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Series:
IMF Working Papers
Volume/Issue:
Volume 2016: Issue 105
Language:
English
Publication Date:
26 May 2016
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9781484368565.001
ISBN:
9781484368565
ISSN:
1018-5941
Pages:
46
Keywords:
WP; import growth; exchange rate; China's consumption; investment growth; upstream trade partner; trade linkages; trade elasticities; spillovers; import growth slowdown; investment demand; consumption imports; consumption demand increases; consumption growth; growth shock; import demand; capital goods; trading partners; Consumption; Exports; Imports; Export performance; Global value chains; Global; Asia and Pacific
Legal-disclaimer:
IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.
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Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China’s import growth slowed starkly, driven by both external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of demand. Econometric results point to weak investment and rebalancing as the main causes of the import slowdown. Spillover effects from China’s rebalancing are estimated for some 60 countries using value-added trade data, and are found to be more negative on Asia and commodity exporters than others.
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Cover IMF Working Papers
IMF Working Papers
ISSN:
1018-5941
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund