Cover IMF Working Papers
Spillovers in the Nordic Countries
Author: Mr. Dirk V Muir
Series:
IMF Working Papers
Volume/Issue:
Volume 2015: Issue 070
Language:
English
Publication Date:
27 Mar 2015
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9781475554106.001
ISBN:
9781475554106
ISSN:
1018-5941
Pages:
28
Keywords:
WP; real GDP; Finland; price; euro area; euro; Spillovers; monetary policy; fiscal policy; dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models; Nordic countries; area imports; real GDP trough; mainland real GDP; oil price drop; monetary policy response; demand share; Norway's mainland real GDP trough; demand share of the oil price decrease; investment demand; mainland real GDP trough; monetary policy in Denmark; GDP reduction; Energy pricing; Energy prices; Consumption; Oil prices; Sovereign wealth funds; Europe; Global
Legal-disclaimer:
IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.
Download PDF (1.9 MB) Download Epub
Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden form a tightly integrated region which has strong ties with the euro area as well as some exposure to Russia. Using the IMF’s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF), we examine spillovers the region could face, focusing on possible scenarios from the rest of the euro area and Russia, and the fall in global oil prices. We show that the spillovers from these scenarios differ in magnitude and impact, regardless of the high degree of integration among the four Nordic economies. These differences are driven by the fact that Denmark and Finland have no independent monetary policy, and Denmark and Norway are net energy exporters while Finland and Sweden are energy importers. We infer lessons for policy from the outcomes.
Cover IMF Working Papers
IMF Working Papers
ISSN:
1018-5941
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund