Bank Competition and Financial Stability
A General Equilibrium Exposition
  • 1 0000000404811396https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396International Monetary Fund

Contributor Notes

Author’s E-Mail Address: gdenicolo@imf.org; lucchett@unive.it

We study versions of a general equilibrium banking model with moral hazard under either constant or increasing returns to scale of the intermediation technology used by banks to screen and/or monitor borrowers. If the intermediation technology exhibits increasing returns to scale, or it is relatively efficient, then perfect competition is optimal and supports the lowest feasible level of bank risk. Conversely, if the intermediation technology exhibits constant returns to scale, or is relatively inefficient, then imperfect competition and intermediate levels of bank risks are optimal. These results are empirically relevant and carry significant implications for financial policy.

Abstract

We study versions of a general equilibrium banking model with moral hazard under either constant or increasing returns to scale of the intermediation technology used by banks to screen and/or monitor borrowers. If the intermediation technology exhibits increasing returns to scale, or it is relatively efficient, then perfect competition is optimal and supports the lowest feasible level of bank risk. Conversely, if the intermediation technology exhibits constant returns to scale, or is relatively inefficient, then imperfect competition and intermediate levels of bank risks are optimal. These results are empirically relevant and carry significant implications for financial policy.

I. Introduction

The theoretical literature offers contrasting results on the relationship between bank competition and financial stability. Yet these results arise from models with three important limitations: they are partial equilibrium set-ups; there is no special role for banks as institutions endowed with some comparative advantage in screening and/or monitoring borrowers; and bank risk is not determined jointly by the borrower and the bank. This paper contributes to overcome these limitations. A more general assessment of the relationship between bank competition, financial stability and welfare is not only important per se, but it is also essential to evaluate whether “granting” banks the ability of earning rents may reduce their risk-taking incentives.

We study the relationship between bank competition, financial stability and welfare in versions of a general equilibrium banking model with moral hazard, where the choice of “systematic” risk by either banks or firms is unobservable. In our set-up, risk-neutral agents specialize in production at the start date, choosing to become entrepreneurs, bankers, or depositors, and at a later date they make their financing and investment decisions. In this risk-neutral world, the welfare criterion is total surplus, defined as total output net of effort costs. We consider two versions of the model. In the first version, called “basic”, the bank is a coalition of entrepreneurs that are financed by depositors. In the second version, called “extended”, the “firm” is a coalition of entrepreneurs that is financed by the “bank”, which is a coalition of bankers financed by depositors. The firm, the bank and depositors can be also viewed as representing the business sector, the banking sector and the household sector.

In both versions, we consider two specifications of the bank’s screening and/or monitoring technology, called the “intermediation technology”. In the first specification, the intermediation technology exhibits constant returns to scale: the effort cost of screening and/or monitoring is proportional to the size of investment. In the second specification, this technology exhibits increasing returns to scale: the effort cost of screening and/or monitoring is independent of investment size. This second specification captures in a simple form the essential role of banks in economizing on monitoring and screening costs identified by a well-known literature briefly reviewed below.

In the basic model the bank chooses (systematic) risk, this choice is unobservable to outsiders, and there is competition in the deposit market only, indexed by the opportunity costs of depositors to invest in the bank. The results of this model differ strikingly depending on whether the intermediation technology exhibits constant or increasing returns to scale. Under constant returns to scale, as competition in the deposit market increases, bank risk increases, bank capital declines, and welfare is maximized for some intermediate degree of competition. Thus, perfect deposit market competition is sub-optimal, as it entails excessive bank risk-taking and sub-optimally low levels of bank capitalization. However, allocating large shares of surplus (or rents) to banks is not optimal either, as it results in sub-optimally low levels of bank-risk taking and excessive bank capitalization.

When the intermediation technology exhibits increasing returns to scale, however, results are totally reversed: as competition increases, bank risk declines, capitalization increases, perfect deposit market competition is optimal, and the lowest feasible level of bank risk is best. This reversal is simply explained as follows. As competition increases, a ceteris paribus increase in the cost of funding induces the bank to take on more risk. But at the same time the increase in the supply of funds to the bank reduces the costs of the intermediation technology owing to increasing returns to scale: this offsets the negative impact of higher funding costs on bank’s expected profits, inducing the bank to take on less risk. This result is remarkable for two reasons: it is obtained under a standard assumption about the bank’s intermediation technology, and without modeling loan market competition. Thus, introducing loan market competition, as in Boyd and De Nicolo’ (2005), is not necessary—albeit it may be sufficient—to yield a positive relationship between bank competition and financial stability.

The extended model depicts the more realistic case in which there is competition in both lending and deposit markets, bank risk is jointly determined by borrowers and banks, and setting up the intermediation technology entails set-up costs. Here, bank competition is indexed by the opportunity costs of depositors to invest in the bank, and the opportunity costs of the firm to be financed by the bank. In this model, the relationship between bank competition, financial stability, and welfare becomes complex in a substantial economic sense, since double-sided competition determines how total surplus, whose size is endogenous, is shared by three sets of agents, rather than two, as in the basic model. When the degree of competition in lending and deposit markets differs, we illustrate several results suggestive of a rich comparative statics, which in some cases overturn simple conjectures on the relationship between bank risk, firm risk and capital.

Focusing on changes of competition in both loan and deposit markets, we obtain the following main results. If the bank intermediation technology is relatively inefficient, as defined as one that entails high monitoring and screening costs but relatively low set-up costs, then a level of competition lower than perfect competition is optimal, corresponding to an “intermediate” optimal levels of bank risk. However, if the bank intermediation technology is relatively efficient, defined as one that entails low monitoring and screening costs but relatively large set-up costs, then perfect competition is optimal, and the optimal level of bank risk turns out to be the lowest attainable. Notably, these results are independent of whether the intermediation technology exhibits constant or increasing returns to scale in screening and/or monitoring effort.

We discuss below the empirical relevance of some of our results. Furthermore, we believe these results throw a new light on the important policy question regarding the desirability of supporting bank profits, or banks’ “charter value”, with some “rents” in order to guarantee financial stability: what seems to matter are not necessarily rents per se, but what are their sources and how banks might exploit them.

The remainder of the paper is composed of five sections. Section II presents a brief literature review, pointing out the innovations introduced in our model. Section III describes the basic version of the model, and section IV derives the relevant comparative statics results. Section IV describes the extended model with firms, banks and depositors, and section V derives the main comparative statics results. Section VI concludes discussing the empirical relevance of our results and their importance for policy. Proofs of all propositions are in the Appendix.

II. Literature review

As pointed out by Allen and Gale (2004a), the relationship between bank competition and financial stability has been primarily analyzed in the context of partial equilibrium modeling. Few general equilibrium models exist. Allen and Gale (2004b) consider a general equilibrium version of a Diamond and Dybvig (1983)-type economy, and demonstrate that perfect competition among intermediaries is Pareto optimal under complete markets, and constrained Pareto optimal under incomplete markets, with financial “instability” as a necessary condition of optimality. Analogous results are obtained under low inflation in the general equilibrium monetary economy with aggregate liquidity risk analyzed by Boyd, De Nicolò and Smith (2004). However, these general equilibrium models do not feature moral hazard due to unobservable risk choices of banks and firms, as we do.

In partial equilibrium, the trade-off between competition and financial stability is typically derived through a standard risk shifting argument applied to a bank that raises funds from insured depositors and chooses the risk of its investment. Under limited liability, unobservable risk choices, risk-insensitive deposit demand, and constant return to scale in screening and monitoring, an increase in deposit market competition raises the deposit rate, reduces banks’ expected profits and prompts banks to take on more risk. This implication has been illustrated by Allen and Gale (2000) in both static and simple dynamic settings, and it is the key thrust of work by Keeley (1990), Matutes and Vives (1996), Hellmann, Murdock and Stiglitz (2000), Cordella and Levi-Yeyati (2002), Repullo (2004), among many others.

However, when banks compete in both loan and deposit markets, the loan rate determines the level of risk-shifting undertaken by firms, as noted in Stiglitz and Weiss (1981). Boyd and De Nicolò (2005) showed that the trade-off between competition and financial stability can vanish when firms’ risk choices are taken into account. An increase in loan market competition reduces bank loan rates, increasing firms’ expected profits, inducing firms to choose safer investments, which translate into safer bank loan portfolios. In this more complex setting, the risk-shifting argument is applied to two entities, firms and banks, rather than one. Recent extensions of this type of model, including bank heterogeneity (De Nicolò and Loukoianova, 2007), the introduction of different assets (Boyd, De Nicolò and Jalal, 2009), or a different risk structure (Martinez-Miera and Repullo, 2010), have all aimed at establishing under what conditions the presence of two risk-shifting effects generates a tradeoff between bank competition and financial stability.

Yet, all papers just mentioned display two features: bank screening and monitoring technologies exhibit constant return scale2, and bank risk is not determined jointly by banks and borrowers. The constant returns to scale assumption contrasts with a large literature—including Diamond (1984), Boyd and Prescott (1986), Willliamson (1986), Krasa and Villamil (1992), and Cerasi and Daltung (2000)—that has identified economies of scale in screening and monitoring as an essential feature of intermediation.3 This motivates our analysis of the models under both constant and increasing returns to scale in the intermediation technology. In addition, in these models there is either no distinction between banks’ and borrowers’ actions, so that risk is determined exclusively by the bank, or borrowers choose risk directly while banks choose risk only indirectly through their setting of loan rates. Differing from these models, bank risk is jointly determined by the bank and the borrower in our extended model.

Furthermore, as noted by Gale (2010), most partial equilibrium models assume that the supply of bank capital is perfectly elastic at a given exogenous rate and deliver contrasting results regarding the relationship between capital and bank risk-taking. Building on our previous work (De Nicolò and Lucchetta, 2009), in this study we introduce bank and firm capital in a simple way to capture bank and firm incentives to choose the entity of investment of internally generated funds jointly with their risk-taking decisions.

Lastly, most partial equilibrium models just reviewed assume the existence of deposit insurance. This assumption is necessary for the standard risk-shifting argument to hold, but non-existence of equilibria or multiple equilibria may arise when deposit insurance is fairly priced.4 For this reason, and the fact that there is no rationale for deposit insurance in our risk neutral world, we do not assume deposit insurance.

III. The basic Model

There are three dates, 0, 1 and 2, and a continuum of agents on [0,1] indexed by q ∈ [0,1]. Agents are risk neutral, have preferences over final date consumption, are endowed with effort (labor) at any date, and derive disutility from effort.

At date 0 agents choose to become either investors or entrepreneurs. If an agent chooses to become an investor, he/she uses effort at date 0 to obtain qW units of an intermediate good at date 1. This good can be reinvested at date 1 to obtain the date 2 consumption good in two alternative ways. It can be invested in an “autarkic technology” which yields an exogenously given return ρ per unit invested, or can be lent to entrepreneurs in exchange of promises to deliver date 2 consumption goods. The return of the “autarkic technology” is interpreted as the opportunity cost of investing in the bank.5 If an agent chooses to become an entrepreneur, he/she forgoes the opportunity to produce the date 1 intermediate good qW, which is the opportunity cost of becoming an entrepreneur.

Thus, at the initial date, agents with a smaller “labor” productivity (indexed by a lower q ∈ [0,1]) have a comparative advantage in becoming entrepreneurs. In equilibrium, there will be a cutoff level q* such that agents with q < q* choose to become entrepreneurs, while those with q > q* choose to become investors.

A. The Bank

Entrepreneurs form a coalition called the bank. The bank collects funds from investors, called depositors, and distributes its profits to its members in equal shares. The bank has the ability to operate a risky project, an intermediation technology, and a capital technology.

The risky project is indexed by the probability of success P ∈ [0,1]. Using as input date 1 intermediate goods, the project yields date 2 consumption goods. A one unit investment in a risky project yields X > W with probability P, and 0 otherwise.

The ability of the bank to choose P is interpreted as representing an intermediation technology. In transforming effort into a probability of project success, this technology can be viewed as embedding projects’ screening and/or monitoring. Similarly to all papers we have reviewed, we assume that the bank does not incur any cost in setting up this technology. However, we consider two specifications. In the first specification, this technology exhibits constant returns to scale (CR), as the effort cost to implement P is linearly related to total investment in the bank, denoted by Z. In the second specification, the technology exhibits increasing returns to scale (IR), as the effort cost to implement P does not depend on Z. The relevant cost functions are:

C(P) = α2P2Z(CR),C(P) = α2P2(IR).

The bank has also access to a capital technology that transforms date 1 entrepreneurs’ collective effort and investment Z into an intermediate good that can be invested in the risky technology. Namely, by choice of k ≥ 0, the bank generates total “capital” kZ at an effort cost β2k2Z. The bank capital ratio is K = k(1 + k)−1. Note that bank capital is endogenous: it depends on agents’ specialization choices through the endogenously determined amount of funds banks receive, as well as on the bank’s choice of risk. The cost β2k2Z can be viewed as capturing in reduced form either a supply of capital that is not infinitely elastic due to limited resources, or the costs associated with the generation of internal funding.6

B. Contracts, Information and Competition

Depositors finance the bank with simple debt contracts that pay a fixed amount R per unit invested if the outcome of the investment is positive, and 0 otherwise. Moral hazard is introduced by assuming that the bank choices of P and k are not observable by depositors. However, depositors take bank’s optimal choices of P and k into account in their decision to accept the deposit terms offered by the bank.

The degree of competition in the deposit market is indexed by depositors’ opportunity costs of investing in the bank, which is given by the return of the “autarkic technology” ρ ∈ [0, ρmax] described previously. A higher opportunity costs will force the bank to raise the remuneration of deposits to ensure investors will become depositors. Thus, the degree of competition in the deposit market varies positively with ρ. The term ρmax denotes the “maximal” level of deposit market competition (or “perfect” deposit market competition) which we derive below. In considering the bank as a coalition of all entrepreneurs, we focus on how total surplus is distributed between the banking sector and depositors, rather than on how surplus is distributed within the banking sector. Table 1 summarizes the sequence of events in the basic model.

Table 1.

Sequence of Events in the Basic Model

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IV. Equilibrium in the basic model

Equilibrium and the associated welfare metrics are defined as follows.

Definition 1 (Equilibrium). Given ρ ∈ [0, ρmax], an equilibrium is a level of bank risk P* ∈ (0,1], a capitalization rate k*, a deposit rate R*, total investment Z*, and a cut-off level q* such that:

1. Date 1

Given Z and q, R* P*, k* maximize the profits of the bank:

ΠB(P,k,R,Z)[P(XR+Xk)β2k2]ZC(P)(1)

subject to

P*R>ρ(2)

Z* satisfies:

Z*=Wq*1qdq=(1q*2)W2(3)

2. Date 0

q* satisfies:

ΠB(P*,k*,R*,Z*)q*=P*R*q*W(4)

As of the end of date 1, the bank maximizes expected profits (Equation (1)) by choice of P, k. Given these choices, R is determined subject to depositors’ participation constraint (Equation (2)). Equation (3) is the equilibrium condition in the deposit market: bank’s demand for funds equals total funds supplied by depositors. Equation (4) determines the equilibrium “specialization” choices of agents: q* is the agent who is indifferent between becoming entrepreneur or depositor. Hence, the fraction of agents becoming entrepreneurs (depositors) is q* (1−q*).

As all agents are risk neutral, the welfare metric of an equilibrium indexed by ρ is total surplus, defined as expected total output net of effort costs. Total output in the successful state is X (1 + k*)Z*, bank’s effort in the choice of project risk is C(P*), and the total cost of capital is given by βk*22. Hence, we can state the following

Definition 2 (Surplus) Given ρ ∈ [0, ρmax], expected total output net of effort costs is:

Y(ρ)=[P*X(1+k*)βk*22]Z*C(P*)(5)

Solving backward, the characterization of the equilibrium values of bank risk, capitalization and the deposit rate is summarized by the following

Proposition 1

a) Under(CR),P*=min{β(XR*)αβ-X2,1}k*=min{β(XR*)αβX2,1}Xβ;R*(ρ)=X2(114ρ(αβX2)βX2)ifP*<1,R*=ρifP*=1

b) Under(IR),P*=min{β(XR*)Zαβ-X2Z,1}k*=min{β(XR*)ZαβX2Z,1}Xβ.R*(ρ,Z)=X2(114ρ(αβ/ZX2)βX2)if P*<1,R*=ρif P*=1

We illustrate the results of Proposition 1 focusing on the case in which it is too costly to implement P* = 1. To this end, we assume αβ > X2W and 0<βXWαβX2W<1 throughout.

These assumptions, which are satisfied for a wide range of parameters, are sufficient to guarantee that ρ* ∈ (0,1) for all ρ ∈ [0, ρmax].

Under (CR), as the deposit rate increases, bank risk increases (P* declines) and capitalization declines. For a given level of Z, the same results hold under (IR). Turning to the deposit rate, observe that depositors’ expected return P*R* equals ρ, since depositors’ participation constraint (2) is satisfied at equality. Under both (CR) and (IR), P*R* is a strictly concave function of R*, which is maximized at Rmax=X2. This rate corresponds to the value ρmax which makes the determinant associated with the quadratic equations defined by constraint (2) satisfied at equality. Thus, under (CR), and under (IR) for a given level of Z, the deposit rate R* is increasing in ρ. The equilibrium corresponding to the maximization of depositors’ expected returns (ρ = ρmax) denotes the “maximal”, or “perfect”, competition in the deposit market, while a value of ρ close to 0 is associated with “minimal” competition in the deposit markets, as almost the entire surplus is appropriated by the bank. Higher values of ρ ∈ (0,ρmax] index increasing deposit market competition.

Proposition 1 illustrates the key difference between the (CR) and the (IR) cases. Under (CR), bank risk, capitalization and the deposit rate are independent of the total amount of funding Z, while under (IR) they do depend on Z.

We close the model by establishing existence of equilibriums.

Proposition 2 Under both (CR) and (IR), an equilibrium exists for all ρ ∈ (0, ρmax]. The equilibrium functions {P*(ρ), k*(ρ), R*(ρ), Z*(ρ), q*(ρ)} are continuous and differentiable on ρ∈(0,ρmax].

The complete comparative statics of the model is summarized by the following:

Proposition 3.

a) Under (CR), Pρ*<0;kρ*<0;qρ*<0 and Zρ*>0.

b) Under (IR), Pρ*>0;kρ*>0;qρ*<0 and Zρ*>0.

Under (CR), as deposit market competition increases (ρ raises), bank risk increases and capital declines. Moreover, a larger fraction of agents become depositors (q* declines) and, as a result, the total amount of funds available to the bank Z* increases. Under (IR), as ρ raises, q* declines and Z* increases, as in the (CR) case. However, the results on risk and capital are reversed. As the deposit rate R* increases, bank profits decline, ceteris paribus. However, in this case bank expected profits will on net increase, since the increase in Z offsets the decline in profits due to the higher cost of funds, owing to the increasing returns of the intermediation technology. Therefore, the bank will have an incentive to take on less risk (a higher P*) and increase capitalization ((a higher k*).7 In sum, under (IR), the comparative statics of bank risk and capital is exactly the opposite of the (CR) case

The following proposition illustrates how these radically different implications translate into the welfare properties of the equilibriums.

Proposition 4.

a) Under (CR), there exists a value ρ^(0,ρmax) such that Y(ρ^)>Y() for all ρ∈[0,ρmax].

b) Under (IR), Y(ρmax)>Y(ρ) for all ρ ∈ (0, ρmax].

Proposition 4 says that under (CR) a certain level of “imperfect” deposit market competition is optimal, while under (IR), perfect deposit market competition is optimal. These results can be simply explained as follows. Under (CR), the derivative of Y(ρ) with respect to the competition parameter ρ can be written as:

Yρ=Rρ*[ZR**(P*X-12β(αβX2)P*2)+Z*PR**(X-1β(αβX2)P*)](6)

The first term of (6) is positive, while the second term is negative. When Z* is not too large, the first term dominates the second, as the marginal increase in expected output is larger than the marginal increase in the cost of the intermediation technology. However, when Z* becomes sufficiently large, the second term dominates the first, since the increase in the cost of the intermediation technology becomes larger, being proportional to a higher level of investment Z*. By contrast—as shown in the Appendix—under (IR) the derivative of Y(ρ) with respect to the competition parameter ρ can be written as:

Y(ρ)=Z*P*X+P*22β(Z*X2αβ)(7)

Both terms of (7) are positive. Since Z* and P* are strictly increasing in the competition parameter ρ, Y(ρ) is strictly increasing in ρ. This happens because the cost of the intermediation technology per unit of investment declines owing to increasing returns to scale.

Summing up, the optimal level of deposit market competition is imperfect competition under (CR), with the optimal level of bank risk between the highest and lowest feasible levels. Under (IR), perfect deposit market competition is optimal and supports the lowest feasible level of bank risk.

V. The Extended Model

The basic model is extended by assuming that there are two sets of a continuum of agents on [0,1], set F and set B, both indexed by q ∈ [0,1], endowed with labor (effort) at any date. As before, agents are risk neutral, have preferences over date 2 consumption only, and derive disutility from effort.

At date 0, an agent in set F chooses to become either an investor or an entrepreneur, while an agent in set B chooses to become either an investor or a banker. An agent q in both sets F and B who decides to become an investor uses effort at date 0 to obtain qW units of an intermediate good at date 1, which can be reinvested at date 1 either in an “autarkic technology” which yields a return ρD ≥ 0 at date 2, or can be lent to the bank.

A. The Firm

Agents in set F who have chosen to become entrepreneurs can become successful entrepreneurs with probability PB ∈(0,1), or unsuccessful otherwise, with this event being realized at date 1. Agents who turn out unsuccessful entrepreneurs cannot operate any project, and employ effort to produce a given amount of the date 2 consumption good standardized to zero. Thus, differing from the previous set-up, becoming a successful entrepreneur is risky. We assume that successful entrepreneurs can be identified by all agents.

Successful entrepreneurs form a coalition called the firm. The firm has access to two mutually exclusive investment opportunities. It can operate risky projects indexed by the probability of success PF ∈[0,1], whose returns are identical to the ones defined previously, the choice of this investment is observable, but the realization of the outcome can be observed only by the bank. This assumption prevents the firm to be financed directly by investors when it chooses to operate risky projects.

The firm employs a managerial technology to choose PF, which transforms effort into a probability of project success. The effort cost function to implement PF exhibits constant returns to scale, as the effort cost of choosing PF is linearly related to the external funding obtained at date 1, denoted by ZF:

CF(PF)=α2PF2ZF(M)

The firm has also access to a capital technology that transforms date 1 efforts and external funding into the date 1 intermediate good of the type already described in the context of the base model. By choice of kF ≥ 0, the firm generates total “capital” kFZF at an effort cost β2kF2ZF.

The second investment opportunity available to the firm is a risk-free technology that transforms any date 1 financing obtained into date 2 consumption goods with return ρF > ρD for all (ρF, ρD). Thus, the firm can raise funds directly from investors remunerating them their opportunity cost ρD, thus obtaining a return ρFρD per unit invested. The rate ρF indexes the degree of loan market competition, since its level limits the capacity of the bank to extract surplus from the firm.

B. The Bank

Similarly to the previous set-up, agents in set B who have chosen to be bankers form a coalition called the bank, whose proceeds are distributed to members in equal shares. Becoming a bank entails access to an intermediation technology, which is set up and implemented at the initial date, as well as a capital technology used at date 1.

At date 0 the bank selects the probability of entrepreneurs’ success PB employing effort, which can be interpreted as an information production technology embedding projects’ screening. Differing from the basic model, however, the bank incurs a fixed (effort) cost ρB to set up this intermediation technology, Let ZB denote a bank’s external funding. As before, we assume that the effort cost function to implement PB is either constant returns to scale (CR) or increasing returns to scale (IR):

C(PB)=δ2PB2ZBρB(CR)C(PB)=δ2PB2ρB(IR)

Once the random variable “success” for entrepreneurs has been realized, the bank finances the risky projects of the firm, i.e. the coalition of successful entrepreneurs. Note that bank risk is different from firm risk (PF). For simplicity, we assume that the probabilities of being a successful entrepreneur, and that of a successful realization of the technology selected by the firm, are independent. Therefore, bank risk, given by P = PBPF, is determined jointly by the firm through its managerial technology, and by the bank through its intermediation technology.

Finally, as in the previous set-up, for any given external funding ZB obtained at date 1, the bank has access to a capital technology identical to that described previously: by choice of kB ≥ 0, a bank generates total capital kBZB at an effort cost β2KB2ZB.

C. Contracts, Information and Competition

Depositors finance banks, and banks finance firms with simple debt contracts Firm and bank moral hazard is introduced by assuming that the choices of (PF,kF) and (PB,KB) are not observed by outsiders. However, outsiders (depositors vs. the bank, and the bank vs. the firm) take the optimal choices of the bank and the firm into account in their decisions. Competition in the loan market is indexed by the opportunity cost of successful firms not to invest in the risk-free technology financed by borrowing directly from investors, which yields ρFρD. Competition in the deposit market is indexed by the opportunity costs for depositors to give up investing in their “autarkic technology” obtaining ρD per unit invested. The sequence of events in the extended model is summarized in Table 2.

Table 2.

Sequence of Events in the Extended Model

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VI. Equilibriums in the extended model

The equilibrium in the extended model is defined as follows.

Definition 3 (Equilibrium). Given competition parameters (ρF, ρD) 0, an equilibrium is a set of non-negative vectors of firm’s choices of risk and capitalization (PF*, kF*), of bank’s choices of capitalization, loan and deposit rates and bank portfolio risk (kB*, RL*, RD*, PB*), firm’s and bank’s investment (ZF*, ZB*), and fractions of entrepreneurs and bankers (qF*,qB*) that satisfy:

1. Date 1

PF*, kF* maximize firm profits:

ΠFπFZF[PF(XRL+XkF)-αPF22-β2kF2]ZF(8)

Given (PF*, kF*), the bank chooses kB*, RL*, RD* to maximize

πBZB[PF*(RLRD+RLkB)β2kB2]ZB(9)

subject to:

PF*RDρD(10)
πF(PF*,kF*)ρFρD(11)

2. Date 0

Given (PF*, kF*, kB*, RL*, RD*), the bank chooses PB ∈[0,1] to maximize:

ΠBPBπBZBC(PB)(12)
ΠB(kB*,RL*,RD*)0(13)

subject to

(ZF*,ZB*,qF*,qB*) solve

ZB=(1qF2)W2+(1qF2)W2(14)
ZF=(1+kB*)ZB(15)
PBΠFqF=PFRDqFW(16)
ΠBqB=PFRDqFW(17)

As of the end of date 1, the firm maximizes expected profits (Equation (8)) by choice of PF and kF. Given these choices, the bank chooses capitalization and rates kB, RL, RD to maximize expected date 1 profits (Equation (9)), subject to depositors’ participation constraints (Equations (10)), and firm’s participation constraints (Equations (11)), which states that the bank cannot grant a return to the firm lower than what the firm could obtain by borrowing directly from investors. At date 0, given (PF*, kF*, kB*, RL*, RD*), the bank chooses PB to maximize date 0 expected profits (Equation (12)), subject to its participation constraint (Equation (13)). The last set of conditions defines the general equilibrium. Equation (14) is the equilibrium in the deposit market: bank’s demand for funds equals total funds supplied by depositors. Equation (15) is the equilibrium in the loan market: the supply of bank funds equals the firm’s demand for funds. Finally, Equations (16) and (17) determine the equilibrium “specialization” choices of agents, that is, the proportions of agents becoming depositors, bankers and entrepreneurs.

In this set-up, total expected output net of effort costs (surplus) is constructed as follows. Total output of the investment in the technology in the good state is X(1 + kF)ZF = X(1 + kF)(1 + kB)ZB, with firm’s effort employed in project choice given by αPF22(1+kB)ZB, and effort spent in firm’s capital given by βkF22(1+kB)ZB. The bank chooses capital after having chosen PB, but before the realization of the firm technology, incurring an effort cost βkB22ZB. Since firm investment is successful with probability PF, expected output (at date 1) net of all the effort costs above is:

(PFX(1+kF)(1+kB)αPF22(1+kB)βkF22(1+kB)βkF22)ZB(18)

Considering bank’s choice of PB, we arrive at the following definition:

Definition 4. (Surplus) Given an equilibrium indexed by (ρD, ρF), the expected total output net of effort costs is:

Y(ρD, ρF) ≡

PB(PFX(1+kF)(1+kB)αPF22(1+KB)βkF22(1+kB)βkB22)ZBC(PB)(19)

The characterization of the equilibrium values of firm risk, firm capitalization, bank capitalization, as well as loan and deposit rates, are summarized by the following

Proposition 5. Let ρ¯βX24(αβX2)

  • a) Firm risk P*F, firm capital kF*, and bank capital kB* are given by:

PF*=β(XRL)αβX2;kF*=PF*Xβ;kB*=(XRL)RLαβX2.
  • b) The equilibrium loan rate RL and the deposit rate RD are:

RL.=X2;RD=2ρDαβX2βXif ρFρDρ¯RL(ρF,ρD)=X(ρFρD)2(αβX2)β;RD(ρF,ρD)=ρDρFρDαβX22βif ρFρD>ρ¯

According to part (a) of Proposition 5, firm risk-taking increases and capital declines with a higher loan rate. By contrast, bank capitalization is a strictly concave function of the loan rate, which can be easily explained as follows. Replacing the firm optimal choice of PF into date 1 bank profits (Equation (9)), the bank chooses the value of kB maximizes

[β(XRL)αβX2(RLRD+RLkB)β2kB2]ZB. As the loan rate increases, the bank obtains a high return in the good state on its’ own funds, but at the cost of a lower probability of getting repaid. It turns out that charging RL=X2 maximizes date 1 bank profits if the firm participation constraint (15) is not binding. When the constraint (15) is binding, however, the term β(XRL)αβX2RL—which represent the marginal revenue accruing from capital investment—is strictly decreasing in the loan rate for all RL>X2. Therefore, it is optimal for the bank to choose lower levels of capital as the loan rate is increasing.

According to part (b) of Proposition 5, loan and deposit rates differ depending on whether the firm participation constraint turns out to be binding. Constraint (11) is not binding when ρFρDρ¯. In this case, the bank extracts the maximum surplus in the loan market. By contrast, when the firm participation constraint (11) is binding (ρFρD>ρ¯), the degree of competition in both deposit and loan markets affect loan and deposit rates simultaneously.

Interestingly, for a given level of competition in the deposit market pD, an increase in competition in the loan market pF corresponding to a move from the region where ρFρDρ¯ to the region where (ρFρD>ρ¯) results in a downward jump in both the lending and deposit rates. The lending rate declines, since the binding participation constraint of the firm forces the bank to lower the lending rate. But the bank can also pay a lower deposit rate, since depositors take into account the decline in the firm’s probability of default as the lending rate declines, and require a lower “risk premium”.

These results indicate the existence of “low” and “high” relative loan market competition regimes. In the “low” regime (ρFρDρ¯), changes in deposit market competition do not affect lending rates and vice versa. In the “high” regime (ρFρD>ρ¯), changes in competition in both lending and deposit markets affect loan and deposit rates simultaneously. This implies that ρ¯ is the threshold level below or above which the comparative statics results for firm risk, firm capitalization and bank capitalization differ, as shown in the following proposition.

Proposition 6

  • a) PρF=KρF=KρB=0,ρ=ρF,ρD,for all (ρF,ρD) such that ρFρD<βX24(αβX2);

  • b) PρFF>0 KρFF>0;KρFF<0,and PρDF<0KρDF<0;KρDF>0 for all (ρF,ρD) such that ρFρD>βX24(αβX2).

Proposition 6 says that when loan market competition (relative to deposit market competition) is “low” (ρFρDρ¯), risk and capital of firms, and capital of banks are constant, since the bank extracts the maximum rent on the loan market by charging the loan rate that maximizes its profits. The firm responds by choosing constant levels of project risk and capitalization. By contrast, when loan market competition is relatively “high” (ρFρD>ρ¯), an increase in loan market competition, given deposit market competition, prompts firms to reduce risk and increase capital, while banks respond by decreasing capital. Conversely, an increase in deposit market competition, given loan market competition, produces the opposite results: firms increase risk and reduce capital, while banks increase capital. Note that in this case firm risk is affected directly by changes in deposit market competition, and in all cases, capital of firms and banks move in opposite directions.

To complete the characterization of the equilibrium, we solve the bank problem with respect to PB (Equations (12) and (13)) considering both the (CR) and (IR) cases. Given the supply of funds ZB, the bank chooses PB to maximize PBπBZBδ2PB2ZB under (CR), and

PBπBZBδ2PB2 under (IR). The solutions are respectively::

PB=min{δ1πB,1}  (22) if (CR) PB=min{δ1πBZB,1} (23) if (IR)

The complete characterization of equilibriums is summarized by the following

Proposition 7. The equilibrium four-tuple (ZB*,ZF*,qF*,qB*) satisfies ZF* = (1 + kB*)ZB* and:

  • a. Under (CR):

ZB*=4PFRD4PFRD+δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB)W;qF*=4δ1πBπF(1+kB)4PFRD+δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB); qB*=2δ1πB24PFRD+δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB).
  • b. Under (IR):

ZB*=B+B24AC2A

with A = δ−1 πB (2πF (1+kB)+πB) ; B = 4PF RD ; C = −4PF RW ;

qF*=4δ1πBZBπF(1+kB)4PFRD+δ1πBZB(2πF(1+kB)+πB);qB*2δ1πB2ZB4PFRD+δ1πBZB(2πF(1+kB)+πB).

We focus on the impact of changes of bank competition in both markets. In this case, defining perfect competition requires specifying how the surplus that is not accruing to the bank is distributed among the firm and depositors. We assume that the surplus is distributed so that the firm and depositors get the same return. Therefore, we set ρFρD = ρD, and let ρρD. Accordingly, “perfect competition” in both markets is the equilibrium corresponding to the value of ρ, denoted by ρmax(ρB), that satisfies the bank participation constraint (13) at equality. Thus, ρ ∈[0, ρmax(ρB)] indexes the degree of competition in both the loan and deposit markets. Clearly, ρmax(ρB) is strictly decreasing in ρB, as the surplus that can be appropriated by depositors and the firms is bounded above by the requirement to cover the bank’s (fixed) costs of the intermediation technology.

Despite the complicated appearance of the expressions of the four-tuple (ZB*,ZF*,qF*,qB*) in Proposition 7, equilibriums can be easily computed. We report results for two polar representative configurations of parameters related to the fixed costs and efficiency of the intermediation technology under both the (CR) and (IR) assumptions. These two configurations are denoted by (δ1,ρ1B) and (δ2,ρ2B), with δ1<δ2 and ρ1B>ρ2B. The first configuration differs from the second because it represents a relatively more efficient, but more costly, intermediation technology.

We are primarily interested in assessing how bank risk P(ρ) and surplus Y(ρ) vary with competition. Recall that P(ρ)=min{δ1πB,1}β(XRL)αβX2 under (CR), and P(ρ)=min{δ1πBZB,1}β(XRL)αβX2 under (IR). Therefore, how P(ρ) varies with ρ depends on whether PB is constant or decreasing, and when decreasing, whether the decline in PB is, or is not, offset by an increase in PF. One effect would dominate the other depending on whether a decline in unit profits πB, prompting the bank to choose a lower PB, is offset by a decline in firm risk PF. With regards to welfare, the impact of changes in ρ will depend primarily on P(ρ), on the evolution of aggregate funding ZB, and on the combination of firm and capital choices and associated effort costs.

Figure 1 illustrates the case of an economy where the bank uses a relatively more efficient intermediation technology. As competition increases, bank risk declines under both the (CR) and (IR) assumptions, since P(ρ) increases. Note the jump in P(ρ) at a given ρ¯, resulting from the switch from low to high relative loan market competition discussed previously. Furthermore, under both the (CR) and (IR) assumptions, perfect competition is optimal, achieving the lowest feasible level of bank risk. Finally, except for the discontinuity given by the jump in rates identified by Proposition 5, an increase in competition leads to an increase in the supply of funds to the bank ZB* and the firm ZF*. It is worthwhile to stress an interesting result regarding the interplay between bank capitalization, firm capitalization and bank risk. When competition increases from not too low levels, the firm increases capital, since lower loan rates increase the profitability of investing internally generated funds. By contrast, the bank capital declines, since the return to capital investment is reduced by a decline in loan rates. However, the decline in bank capital does not necessarily imply that bank risk increases.

Figure 1.
Figure 1.

Bank Risk and Welfare

(Relatively Efficient Intermediation Technology)

Citation: IMF Working Papers 2011, 295; 10.5089/9781463927295.001.A001

Parameters: δ = 0.1, ρB = 0.03, X = 1.5, W = 1, α = 4, β = 1

Figure 2 illustrates the case where the bank intermediation technology is relatively inefficient. Under (CR), PB declines while PF remains constant when competition in the loan market, relative to that in the deposit market, is “low”. As competition rises and the threshold ρ¯ is reached, P(ρ) jumps up owing to the jump up of PF, but then it starts to decline again, as PB declines at a rate higher than the rate of increase of PF. As a result, the highest welfare is attained for “intermediate” values of ρ. Under (IR) we obtain essentially the same results. Therefore, imperfect competition is optimal, corresponding to an “intermediate” level of bank risk.

Figure 2.
Figure 2.

Bank Risk and Welfare

(Relatively Inefficient Intermediation Technology)

Citation: IMF Working Papers 2011, 295; 10.5089/9781463927295.001.A001

Parameters: δ = 1, ρB = 0.01, X = 1.5, W = 1, α = 4, β = 1

Summing up, when the intermediation technology is relatively efficient, perfect competition is optimal and supports the lowest level of bank risk. Conversely, when the intermediation technology is relatively inefficient, a level of competition lower than perfect competition is optimal. These results are independent of whether the intermediation technology exhibits constant or increasing returns to scale.

VII. Conclusions

We studied versions of a general equilibrium banking model with moral hazard in which the bank’s intermediation technology exhibits either constant or increasing returns to scale. In the basic version of the model under constant returns of the intermediation technology we showed that as deposit market competition increases, bank risk increases, capitalization declines, and “intermediate” degreed of deposit market competition and bank risk are best. The result that the lowest attainable level of bank risk is not optimal echoes Allen and Gale’s (2004b) result that a positive degree of financial “instability” can be a necessary condition for optimality. Yet, the efficiency of the intermediation technology matters. If this technology exhibits increasing returns to scale, then the implications of this model for bank risk, capitalization and welfare are totally reversed: as competition increases, bank risk declines, capitalization increases, perfect deposit market competition and the lowest attainable level of bank risk are optimal.

Subsequently, we studied the more realistic version of the model where there is competition in both lending and deposit markets and bank risk is determined jointly by the bank and the firm. The key results of the extended model pertain to the role of the efficiency of the intermediation technology in relationship to the level of competition in both lending and deposit markets. We showed that independently of whether the intermediation technology exhibits constant or increasing returns, perfect competition and the lowest attainable level of bank risk are optimal if the bank intermediation technology is relatively efficient. When such technology is relatively inefficient, however, perfect competition is suboptimal, and intermediates levels of competition and bank risk are best.

The theoretical results or our study are empirically relevant. Several studies present evidence consistent with a positive relationship between bank competition and financial stability. Jayaratne and Strahan (1998) find that branch deregulation resulted in a sharp decrease in loan losses. Restrictions on banks’ entry and activity have been found to be negatively associated with some measures of bank stability by Barth, Caprio and Levine (2004), Beck (2006a and 2006b), and Schaeck et al. (2009). Furthermore, Cetorelli and Gambera (2001) and Cetorelli and Strahan (2006) find that banks with market power erect an important financial barrier to entry to the detriment of the entrepreneurial sector of the economy, leading to long-term declines in a country’s growth prospect. Lastly, Corbae and D’Erasmo (2011) present a detailed quantitative study of the U.S. banking industry based on a dynamic calibrated version of Boyd and De Nicolo’ (2005) model, finding evidence of a positive association between competition and financial stability. It is apparent that these results are consistent with the predictions of the basic model with increasing returns, and those of the extended model in which banks use relatively efficient intermediation technologies.

Under a policy viewpoint, we believe that our results provide an important insight with regard to the question of whether supporting bank profits with some rents—or, in a dynamic context, supporting banks’ charter values—is a desirable public policy option. A substantial portion of the literature and the policy debate maintains that preserving bank profitability through rents enhancing bank profitability—or banks’ charter values—may be desirable, as it induces banks to take on less risk. As we have shown, however, this argument ignores how these rents are generated, or how they may be eventually used once granted.

Our results suggest that supporting bank profitability (or charter values) with rents that are independent of bank’s actions aimed at improving efficiency may be unwarranted. If rents accrue independently of banks’ efforts to adopt more efficient intermediation technologies and, more generally, to provide better intermediation services, then rents are suboptimal and do not guarantee banking system stability. In this light, competitive pressures may be an effective incentive for banks to adopt more efficient intermediation technologies. In a competitive environment, rents would need to be earned by investing in technologies that provide banks a comparative advantage in providing intermediation services, rather than been derived from some market power enjoyed “freely”.

APPENDIX

Proposition 1

  • c) Under(CR),P*=min{β(XR*)αβX2,1} k*=min{β(XR*)αβX2,1}Xβ;R*(ρ)=X2(114ρ(αβX2)βX2) if P*<1,R*=ρ if P*=1

  • d) Under(IR),P*=min{β(XR*)ZαβX2Z,1} k*=min{β(XR*)ZαβX2Z,1}Xβ.R*(ρ,Z)=X2(114ρ(αβ/ZX2)βX2) if P*<1,R*=ρifP*=1

Proof:

a) (P*,k*,R*) maximizes:

ΠB[P(XR+Xk)β2k2]Zα2P2Z(A.1)

subject to

P*Rρ(A.2)

The optimality conditions with respect to (P*,k*) are:

P*=min{β(XR)αβX2,1}andk*=P*Xβ

Let P* < 1. Substituting (6) and (7) into (A.1), bank profits are:

ΠB=β(XR)αβX2(XR)Z2(A.3)

Since bank profits (A.3) are strictly decreasing in R, the depositor participation constraint (A.2) is satisfied at equality:

β(XR)αβX2R=ρ(A.4)

The right hand side of equation (A.4) is a strictly concave function of R Thus, the optimal value of R for the bank is the minimum value that satisfies the quadratic equation:

βR2βXR+ρ(αβX2)=0(A.5)

Solving (A.5) yields:

R*=βX(βX)24ρ(αβX2)β2β=X2(114ρ(αβX2)βX2)(A.6)

If P* = 1, then (A.2) implies R* = ρ.

b) (P*,k*, R*) maximizes:

ΠB[P(XR+Xk)β2k2]Zα2P2(A.7)

subject to

P*Rρ(A.8)

The optimality conditions with respect to (P*, k*) are:

P*=min{β(XR)ZαβX2Z,1}andk*=P*Xβ.

Let P* < 1. Substituting (P*,k*) into (A.7), bank profits are:

ΠB=β(XR)ZαβX2Z(XR)Z2(A.9)

Since bank profits (A.7) are strictly decreasing in R, the depositor participation constraint (A.4) is satisfied at equality:

β(XR)ZαβX2ZR=ρ(A.10)

The right hand side of equation (A.10) is a strictly concave function of R Thus, the optimal value of R for the bank is the minimum value that satisfies the quadratic equation:

βR2βXR+ρ(αβ/ZX2)=0(A.11)

Solving (A.11) yields:

R(ρ,Z)=12β(βX(βX)24βρ(αβ/ZX2)=X2(114ρ(αβ/ZX2)βX2)
article image

Proposition 2 Under both (CR) and (IR), an equilibrium exists for all ρ ∈ (0, ρmax]. The equilibrium functions {P*(ρ),k*(ρ),R*(ρ), Z*(ρ),q*(ρ)} are continuous and differentiable on ρ ∈ (0,ρmax).

Proof

a. (CR).

Using the expressions of bank risk, capitalization and the deposit rate derived in Proposition 1, the equilibrium conditions (3) and (4) become:

P*2q(XR*)Z=P*R*qW(A.12)
2Z=(1q2)W(A.13)

Solving (A.2) and (A.13), we obtain:

q*(ρ)=XR(ρ)X+3R(ρ)(A.14)
Z*(ρ)=2R(ρ)WX+3R(ρ)(A.15)

(A.14) and (A.15) imply that a) q*(ρ) ∈ (0,1], and b) q*(ρ) and Z*(ρ) are continuous and differentiable on ρ ∈ [0,ρmax]. At ρmax, R(ρmax) = X/2. Therefore:

Z*(ρmax)=2W5(A.16)
q*(ρmax)=15(A.17)

b. (IR)

Rearranging (3) and (4), we get

q1(Z)q2=Z2W(XR(Z,ρ)1)(A.18)
q2(Z)12WZ(A.19)

Z is an equilibrium when Q(Z) ≡ q1(Z)−q2(Z) = 0. Observe that Q(0) ≡ q1(0) − q2(0) < 0, whereas Q(W2)=q1(W2)q2(W2)=Z2W(XR(W2,ρ)1)0+, since R(W2,ρ)0.

Moreover, Q′(Z) > 0. Therefore, there exists a unique value of Z that satisfies Q(Z) = 0. for any given ρ. Since Q(.) is continuous and differentiable in ρ, there exists a unique value of Z that satisfies Q(Z) = 0 for every ρ. The implicit equilibrium functions Z and q are also continuous and differentiable in ρ.

QED

Proposition 3.

  • a) Under(CR),Pρ*<0;kρ*<0;qρ*<0andZρ*>0.

  • b) Under(IR),Pρ*>0;kρ*>0;qρ*<0andZρ*>0.

Proof.

  • a) By Proposition 1, P*=β(XR*(ρ))αβX2, and k*=P*Xβ. Clearly, Pρ*<0, hence kρ*<0, since. Rρ*>0. By (A.11), q*(ρ)=XR(ρ)X+3R(ρ), and qρ*<0. By Proposition 2, Zρ*=ZRRρ*=2WX(3R+X)2Rρ*>0

  • b) By Proposition 2, Z*(ρ) and q*(ρ) are continuous and differentiable functions. The equilibrium conditions (3) and (4) can be written as:

(XR*(Z*(ρ),ρ))Z*(ρ)2R*(Z*(ρ),ρ)q*(ρ)2W=0(A.20)
2Z*(ρ)=(1q*(ρ)2)W(A.18)

Differentiating (A.17) and (A.18) with respect to ρ, we get

(XRRz(Z*+2q2W))Zρ*4Rq*Wqρ*=Rρ(Z*+2Wq*2)(A.21)
2Zρ*+2Wq*qρ*=0(A.22)

Plugging (A.22) in (A.21) and rearranging, we obtain:

Zρ*=Rρ(Z*+2q*2W)(X+3RRz(Z*+2q*2W))(A.23)
qρ*=Zρ*Wq*(A.24)

From Proposition 1, differentiating R* with respect to Z and ρ we obtain:

Rz*=X4(14ρ(αβ/ZX2)βX2)1/24ραβ/Z2βX2<0Rρ*=X4(14ρ(αβ/ZX2)βX2)1/24(αβ/ZX2)βX2>0(A.25)

By (A.25) Rρ(Z* + 2q*2W)>0 and X + 3RRz(Z* +2q*2W) > 0. Hence, Zρ>0, and by (A.24), qρ<0. The derivative of P=β(XR(Z,ρ))ZαβX2Z with respect to ρ is:

Pρ=β(αβX2Z)2[[(XR)Zρ(RzZρ+Rρ)Z](αβX2Z)+(XR)ZX2Zρ](A.26)

Using (A.25) and rearranging, the term dR(Z(ρ),ρ)dρ=RzZρ+Rρ is:

RzZρ+Rρ=RzRρ(Z+2q2W)(X+3RRz(Z+2q2W))+Rρ=Rρ(X+3R)X+3RRz(Z+2q2W)=Zρ(A.27)

The last expression in (A.27) derives from (A.23). Substituting (A.27) in (A.26), we get:

Pρ=β(αβX2Z)2[[(XR)ZρZρZ](αβX2Z)+(XR)ZX2Zρ]=βZρ(XR)(αβX2Z)(αβX2Z)2[αβ(αβX2Z)ZXR](A.28)

Note that αβ(αβX2Z)>1 for any Z > 0. The highest value of the term ZXR obtains when Z=Z(ρmax)=25W and R=R(ρmax)=X2. Thus, (ZXR)max=4W5X<1, since X > W.

Thus:

Pρ=βZρ(XR)(αβX2Z)(αβX2Z)2[αβ(αβX2Z)ZXR]>βZρ(XR)(αβX2Z)(αβX2Z)2[14W5X]>0.(A.29)

Moreover, kρ*=Pρ*Xβ>0.

QED

Proposition 4.

  • c) Under (CR), there exists a value ρ^(0,ρmax) such that Y(ρ^)Y(ρ) for all ρ ∈ [0,ρmax].

  • d) Under (IR), Y(ρmax)>Y(ρ) for all ρ∈=(0,ρmax].

Proof:

  • a) Replacing k*=P*Xβ in (5), we obtain

Y(R*(ρ))=Z*(P*X+P*Xk*αP*22βk*22)=Z*(P*X12β(αβX2)P*2)(A.30)

Differentiating (A.30) with respect to ρ, we get:

Yρ=YR*Rρ*=Rρ*[ZR**(P*X12β(αβX2)P*2)+Z*PR**(X1β(αβX2)P*)](A.31)

Plugging P*=β(XR*)αβX2,PR**=βαβX2,Z*=2R*WX+3R* and ZR**=2WX(3R*+X)2 in (A.31), and rearranging, we obtain:

Yρ=Rρ*[ZR**(β(XR*)αβX2X12β((β(XR*))2αβX2))+Z*PR**(X1β(αβX2)β(XR*)αβX2)]=Rρ*β2W(αβX2)(3R*+X)[X(3R*+X)(XR*)(X2+R*)R*2]

Evaluating Yρ with respect to ρ = 0 (R*(0) = 0) we get:

Yρ(R*=0)=Rρ*β2W(αβX2)X[X(X2)]>0(A.32),

Evaluating Yρ with respect to ρ=ρmax(R*(ρmax)=X2), we get:

Yρ(R*=X2)=Rρ*β2W(αβX2)(3(X/2)+X)[2X(3X+2X)(X2)X(X2)2]=Rρ*β2WX2(αβX2)(3(X/2)+X)[X(3X+2X)14]=Rρ*45X(βWX3(αβX2))<0(A.33)

Thus, neither ρ = 0 nor ρ = ρmax are maximums of Y(ρ). Since Y(ρ) is a continuous function defined on the compact set [0, ρmax], it has a maximum and a minimum. Therefore, there exists a value ρ^(0,ρmax) such that Y(ρ^)Y(ρ) for all ρ ∈ (0, ρmax).

  • b) Using k*=P*Xβ and αβX2Z=β(XR)ZP*, the expected output net of effort costs evaluated at an equilibrium indexed by ρ is:

Y(R*(ρ))=Z*(P*X+P*Xk*βk*22)αP*22=P*(Z*X12XZ*+R*Z*)=P*(12XZ*+R*Z*)(A.34)

By Proposition 1, Zρ*>0;Pρ*>0. Therefore, Y(R*(ρ)) is strictly increasing in ρ. QED

Proposition 5. Let ρ¯βX24(αβX2).

  • a) Firm risk P*F, firm capital kF*, and bank capital kB* are given by:

PF*=β(XRL)αβX2;kF*=PF*Xβ;kB*=(XRL)RLαβX2.
  • b) The equilibrium loan rate RL and the deposit rate RD are:

RL=X2;RD=2ρDαβX2βXifρFρDρ¯RL(ρF,ρD)=X(ρFρD)2(αβX2)β;RD(ρF,ρD)=ρDρFρDαβX22βifρFρD>ρ¯

Proof:

  • a) (P*F, k*F) maximize the firm expected profits (8). The first order conditions are:

PF*=min{β(X − RL)αβ − X2,1}(A.35);
kF*=PF*Xβ(A.36)

Under the maintained assumptions, PF* ∈ (0,1). Turning to the bank problem, given (PF*,kF*), a bank chooses kB,RL,RD to maximize (9), subject to (10) and (11). The first order condition for the optimal bank capital yields:

kB*=(X − RL)RLαβ − X2(A.37)
  • b) Substituting (A.37) in the profit function (9) yields:

πBZB=[β(XRL)αβ − X2(RLRD+(XRL)(αβ − X2)RL2)β2((XRL)(αβ − X2)RL)2]ZB=βαβ − X2[(XRL)(RLRD)+(XRL)22(αβ − X2)RL2]ZB(A.38)

Bank profits (A.38) are strictly decreasing in the deposit rate for any value of the loan rate. Therefore, the deposit participation constraint (10) is satisfied at equality, which implies:

RD=ρDαβ − X2β(X − RL)(A.39)

Substituting (A.39) in (A.38) and using PF=β(X − RL)αβ − X2, we get:

πBZB=βαβ − X2[(X − RL)(RLρDαβFX2β(X − RL))+(X − RL)22(αβ − X2)RL2]ZB=[PFRL+PF12βρD]ZB(A.40)

Let y = (XRL)RL. Choosing the loan rate that maximizes (A.40) is equivalent to choosing y = (XRL)RL that maximizes:

πBZB=[βαβ − X2(y+y22β(αβ − X2))ρD]ZB(A.41)

Both y = (XRL)RL and y2 =[(XRL)RL]2 are maximized at RL=X2, which results in y = X2/4. Therefore, the bank would choose to charge RL=X2 if (11) is not binding.

Firm profits at an optimum are:

ΠF(PF*,kF*)[PF((X − RL)+XPFXβ)αPF22β2PF2X2β2]ZF=[β[(X − RL)]22(αβ − X2)]ZF=[PF(X − RL)2]ZF(A.42)

Define profit per unit of investment as:

πFβ[(X − RL)]22(αβ − X2)=PF(X − RL)2(A.43)

If RL=X2, then (11) is not binding if:

πFβ[(X − X/2)]22(αβ − X2)=βX24(αβ − X2)ρFρD(A.44)

Clearly, for all ρF such that ρFρD>βX24(αβ − X2), (11) is binding. Since the loan rate satisfies β[(X − RL)]22(αβ − X2)=ρFρD, and the deposit rate satisfies (A.39), both imply

RL(ρF,ρD)=X − (ρFρD)2(αβ − X2)βRD(ρF,ρD)=ρDρFρDαβ − X22β(A.45).

QED

Proposition 6

  • a) PρF=KρF=KρB=0, ρ = ρF,ρD, for all (ρF,ρD) such that ρFρD<βX24(αβ − X2);

  • b) PρFF>0 KρFF>0;KρFB<0, and PρFF<0KρDF<0;KρDB>0 for all (ρF,ρD) such thatρFρD>βX24(αβ − X2).

Proof:

  • a) If ρFρD<βX24(αβ − X2), by Proposition 3, RL=X2. Substituting this loan rate in PF,kF,kB, we obtain:

PF=βX2(αβ − X2) ; kF=X22β(αβ − X2) ; kB=X24β(αβ − X2)(A.46)

As the above expressions do not depend on either ρF or ρD, we have PρF=KρF=KρB=0, ρ = ρF,ρD for all (ρF,ρD) such that ρFρD<βX24(αβ − X2);

a) If ρFρD>βX24(αβ − X2), by Proposition 3,

RL(ρF,ρD)=X − (ρFρD)2(αβ − X2)β,hence RρFL<0and RρDL>0

Differentiating PF=β(X − RL(ρF,ρD))αβ − X2and kF=X(X − RL(ρF,ρD))αβ − X2 we get:

PρFF=βαβ − X2RρFL>0;PρDF=βαβ − X2RρDL<0;(A.47)
kρFF=Xαβ − X2RρFL>0;.kρDF=Xαβ − X2RρDL<0(A.48)

Bank capital is given by kB=(X − RL(ρF,ρD))RL(ρF,ρD)αβ − X2, which implies.

kρFB=RρFLαβ − X2(X − 2RL(ρF,ρD))<0;kρDB=RρDLαβ − X2(X − 2RL(ρF,ρD))>0

since RL (ρF,ρD)<X/2 and RρFL<0and RρDL>0

QED

Proposition 7. The equilibrium four-tuple (ZB*,ZF*,qF*,qB*) satisfies ZF* = (1 + kB*)ZB* and:

  • a. Under (CR):

ZB*=4PFRD4PFRD+δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB)W ;qF*=4δ1πBπF(1+kB)4PFRD+δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB); qB*=2δ1πB24PFRD+δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB).
  • b. Under (IR):

ZB*=B+B24AC2AWithA=δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB);B=4PFRD;C=4PFRDW;qF2=4δ1πB(2πF(1+kB)+πB)4δ1πBZBπF(1+kB);qB*=2δ1πB2ZB4PFRD+δ1πBZB(2πF(1+kB)+πB).

Proof:

  • a) (ZF*,ZB*,qF*,qB*) solve the system:

2ZB=W(2qF2qB2)(A.49)
ZF=(1+kB)ZB(A.50)
PBπFZFqF=PFRDqFW(A.51)
PBπBZB2qB=PFRDqBW(A.52)

The system (A.49)-(A.52) is a linear in (ZB,ZF,qF2,qB2), and can be solved by substitution. Plugging (A.55) in (A.56), we obtain:

2ZB=W(2qF2qB2)(A.53)
qF2=PBπF(1+kB)ZBPFRDW(A.54)
qB2=PBπBZB2PFRDW(A.55)

Plugging (A.55) and (A.54) in (A.49), we get:

ZB=4PFRD4PFRD+PB(2πF(1+kB)+πB)W(A.56)

Plugging (A.56) in (A.55) and (A.54), we get:

qF2=4PBπF(1+kB)4PFRD+PB(2πF(1+kB)+πB); qB2=2PBπB4PFRD+PB(2πF(1+kB)+πB)(A.57)
  • b) Since PB = δ−1πBZB, (14) implies

ZB=4PFRD4PFRD+δ1πBZB(2πF(1+kB)+πB)Wδ1πB(2πB(1+kB)+πB)ZB2+4PFRDZB4PFRDW=0(A.58)

Therefore:

ZB=B+B24AC2A(A.59)

where: A = δ−1πB(2πF(1 + kB) + πB); B = 4PFRD; C =−4PFRDW.

Accordingly, ZF = (1 + kB)ZB and

qF2=4δ1πBZBπF(1+kB)4PFRD+δ1πBZB(2πF(1+kB)+πB);qB2=2δ1πB2ZB4PFRD+δ1πBZB(2πF(1+kB)+πB)(A.60)

QED

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1

This paper is a revised and significantly expanded version of IMF WP 09/105. Marcella Lucchetta is Assistant Professor in the Department of Economics at the University Ca’ Foscari of Venice.

2

The constant returns to scale assumption is also adopted in many other papers that do not focus on bank competition, such as Besanko and Kanatas (1993); Boot and Greenbaum (1993); Boot and Thakor (2000); Dell’Ariccia and Marquez (2006), and Allen et al. (2011).

3

For surveys of this literature, see Gorton and Winton (2003) and Freixas and Rochet (2008).

4

Examples of non-existence and multiplicity of equilibria under fairly priced deposit insurance are shown in Boyd and De Nicolò (2003) in a model by Allen and Gale (2000) with deposit market competition. In addition, standard implications of partial equilibrium modeling concerning the risk effects of deposit insurance may not necessarily hold in general equilibrium, as shown in Boyd, Chang and Smith (2002).

5

Equivalently, this return may be associated with switching costs incurred by depositors. On switching costs, see Klemperer (1995), and for a recent application to banking, see Park and Pennacchi (2009).

6

This feature of our model is novel relative to many set-ups where the levels of internal funding by either firms or intermediaries are exogenously given (see e.g. Holmstrom and Tirole (1997) or Boot and Thakor (1997)).

7

We can relax the parametric assumptions sufficient to guarantee P* < 1 for all ρ ∈(0, ρmax] with no change in the qualitative results. Under (CR), since P* is strictly decreasing in ρ, there can exist a range [0,ρ^] with ρ^<ρmax such that P* = 1, and P* < 1 for all ρ[ρ^,ρmax]. In this case proposition 3(a) would hold with Pρ*=0 for all ρ[0,ρ^], and Pρ*<0 for all ρ[ρ^,ρmax]. Under (IR), since P* is strictly increasing in ρ, there can exist a range [0,ρ^] with ρ^<ρmax such that P* < 1, and P* = 1 for all ρ[ρ^,ρmax]. In this case Proposition 3(b) would hold with Pρ*>0 for all ρ[0,ρ^], and Pρ*=0 for all ρ[ρ^,ρmax].

Bank Competition and Financial Stability: A General Equilibrium Exposition
Author: Marcella Lucchetta and Mr. Gianni De Nicolo
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