Front Matter
Author:
S. Boragan Aruoba 0000000404811396 https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Mr. Marco Terrones
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Mr. Ayhan Kose
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Mr. Francis X. Diebold 0000000404811396 https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Front Matter Page

Research Department

Authorized for distribution by Stijn Claessens and Jörg W. Decressin

Contents

  • I. Introduction

  • II. An Interpretive Literature Review

  • III. A G-7 Real Activity Indicator Dataset

  • IV. Single-Country Real Activity Modeling

  • V. Multi-Country Analysis

  • VI. Concluding Remarks

  • References

  • Tables

  • 1. G-7 Real Activity Indicators

  • 2. G-7 Country Estimation Results

  • 3. Country Factors and Indicators

  • 4. Months with Lowest Observations for Each Country Factor

  • 5. Evolution of Correlation of Country Factors

  • 6. Estimation Results for the G-7 Factor

  • Figures

  • 1. U.S. Real Activity Indicators

  • 2. Canada Real Activity Indicators

  • 3. U.K. Real Activity Indicators

  • 4. Japan Real Activity Indicators

  • 5. France Real Activity Indicators

  • 6. Germany Real Activity Indicators

  • 7. Italy Real Activity Indicators

  • 8. Country Factors: Canada

  • 9. Country Factors: France

  • 10. Country Factors: Germany

  • 11. Country Factors: Italy

  • 12. Country Factors: Japan

  • 13. Country Factors: United Kingdom

  • 14. Country Factors: United States

  • 15. Country Factors around 1974 and 2008 Recessions

  • 16. G-7 Factor

  • Appendix

  • Details of the State Space Model for Country Factor Extraction

  • Collapse
  • Expand
Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring
Author:
S. Boragan Aruoba
,
Mr. Marco Terrones
,
Mr. Ayhan Kose
, and
Mr. Francis X. Diebold