Front Matter
Author:
Mr. Douglas Laxton
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Mr. Alasdair Scott
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David Rose https://isni.org/isni/0000000404811396 International Monetary Fund

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Front Matter Page

Research Department

Authorized for distribution by Charles Collyns

Contents

  • I. Introduction

  • II. Developing a Decision-Making Process

  • III. Benefits of a Successful IFT Regime

  • IV. Critical Path For Developing A Structured FPAS

  • V. The Quarterly Projection Exercise

  • VI. The Core Model

  • VII. The Role of Models in the FPAS

  • VIII. On the Evolution and Development of the FPAS

  • Text Figures

  • 1. The Role of Models in the Forecast Process

  • 2. From Policy Issues to Policy Recommendations

  • 3. How Several Models can be Combined to Impose Consistency

  • Appendix Figures

  • 4. A Possible Reporting Structure

  • 5. Links Between Different Databases

  • 6. The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism

  • 7. Inflation Expectations 10-Years-Ahead in the United Kingdom

  • Appendix Tables

  • 1. Estimation of a Model with Model-Consistent Measures of Potential GDP

  • 2. Notation: Time Periods Correspond to Calendar Quarters

  • Collapse
  • Expand
Developing a Structured Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Support Inflation-Forecast Targeting (IFT)
Author:
Mr. Douglas Laxton
,
Mr. Alasdair Scott
, and
David Rose