Contents
I. Introduction
II. Evangelicals and House Price Volatility
A. Empirical Specification and Results
B. Discussion
III. 9/11 Event Study
IV. Panel Study
A. Model and Predictions
B. Data and Empirical Strategy
C. Results and Discussion
V. End Times Beliefs and Asset Holdings
VI. Conclusions
References
Tables:
1. Descriptive Statistics
2. Regression Results
3. Descriptive Statistics
4. Regression Results
5. Counterfactual Exercise
6. Regression Results
Figures:
1. House Price Volatility and Evangelical Population
2. Average House Price Growth
3. Quarterly House Price Growth and Share of Evangelicals
4. The Rapture Index and Subcategories
5. The Rapture Index
Appendix I. Data Descriptions and Sources
The author would like to thank Marcos Chamon, Julian Di Giovanni, Andre Faria, Rodney Ramcharan and Romain Ranciere for helpful discussions; Giovanni Dell’Ariccia, Deniz Igan, Luc Laeven, Joseph Gyourko, Albert Saiz, Carl Gwin and Charles North for sharing or helping to access data; and Paul S. Boyer, Larry Iannaccone, Lisa Keister, Charles North, David Stasavage and seminar participants at the IMF, CESR and the annual meetings of the CEA for comments on an earlier draft of the paper. All remaining errors are my own.