Front Matter
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International Monetary Fund
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Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Authorized for distribution by Daniel Hardy

Contents

  • I. Introduction

  • II. The Model

  • III. Model Analysis

    • A. Full Information

    • B. Equilibria with Partial Information and Two Bank Types

      • Pooling

      • Separating

      • A parameterized example

    • C. Separating Equilibrium with Partial Information and a Continuum of Bank Types

  • IV. Extension

    • A. Investment in Loan Technology

    • B. Pervasive Moral Hazard and Low-Credit Outcomes

  • V. Summary and Conclusions

  • References

  • Table

  • 1. Expected Payoffs in Different States

  • 2. Investment Decision Starting From and Ending at Pooling Equilibria

  • 3. Investment Decision Starting From and Ending at Separating Equilibria

  • Figures

  • 1. Change in the ratio of credit to GDP, 2003–2007

  • 2. The Value Function for Different Types: Separating Equilibrium

  • 3. Credit Volumes and Bank Characteristics for a Continuum of Types

  • 4. Separating Equilibrium with Low Credit Volume

  • 5. Pooling Equilibrium with Low Credit Volume

  • Appendix

  • I: Expected Loan Losses in a Pooling Equilibrium

  • II: Regularity Conditions on the Objective Function with a Continuum of Bank Types

  • Collapse
  • Expand
Innovation in Banking and Excessive Loan Growth
Author:
International Monetary Fund