Front Matter Page
Research Department
Table of Contents
Summary
I. Introduction
II. Current Situation Compared with the D-Mark
2.1 Real transactions
2.2 Financial transactions
III. Key Currency and International Financial Center
3.1 Economy of scale
3.2 International financial center: a historical review
3.3 Internationalization of the Tokyo market
IV. The Role of A Key Country
4.1 The international monetary system
4.2 Costs and benefits
4.2.1 Benefits
4.2.2 Costs
4.3 Possibilities for Japan
V. Concluding Remarks
Tables
1. Internationalization of Yen
2. Internationalization of D-Mark
3. Foreign Trade Relations of Germany, Japan and the U.S.
4a. Interest Differentials between Domestic and Eurocurrency Market
4b. Covered Interest Differentials of Yen and D-Mark
5. Inflation Rates and the G-7 Countries
6. Economic Size of Major Countries
7. Foreign Assets of Britain and France
8. Bank Acceptances Outstanding
9. Foreign Assets of Banks
10a. Foreign Bond Issues
10b. External Bond Offerings
11. Number of Branches and Assets of Foreign Banks
12. International Assets of Banks
13. Liabilities in the Eurocurrency Market
14. Dependence on Foreign Trade of Major Countries
15. Official Reserves in the World and in Asian Countries
16. Foreign Trade Relations of Asian Countries
References
Summary
Recently, the tripolar currency system of the U.S. dollar, deutsche mark, and the yen has been discussed as an alternative to the system based solely on the dollar. Compared with the deutsche mark, however, the yen plays a limited role as a reserve and trade currency in the international financial system. What is the reason for this? Should it be corrected?
These questions are reconsidered in this paper by using a comparative (historical) approach. The paper stresses real factors such as foreign economic relations and economic size, rather than financial factors, in particular deregulation.
The deutsche mark has taken the leading role in intra-European transactions, although the German authorities have repeatedly introduced restrictions on international capital movements. In the 1980s, Japanese financial markets were no less liberalized than those of Germany. The limited use of the yen results not so much from financial regulations as from the structure and behavior of Japanese economy.
The history of the pound sterling and the U.S. dollar reveals the fact that, despite restrictions on international finance, each currency maintained its position owing to the network of foreign trade, the size of the domestic import market, and its competitiveness. These real factors constitute safety basis for the scale economy and “inertia.”
If yen transactions are to grow independently from the dollar, they are likely to do so in trade with East Asian countries. Despite growing capital transactions with Japan and the yen’s influence on the exchange rate policy in this region, the dollar is still more widely used by these countries because, generally speaking, they depend more on the U.S. than on the Japanese market. This is further evidence that the size of the U.S. economy supports the key position of the dollar.