- International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
- Published Date:
- April 2015
World Economic and Financial Surveys
Now Is the Time Fiscal Policies for Sustainable Growth
©2015 International Monetary Fund
Cover: IMF Multimedia Services Division
Fiscal monitor—Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009– v. ; cm.—(World economic and financial surveys, 0258-7440)
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Disclaimer: The Fiscal Monitor (FM) is a survey by the IMF staff published twice a year, in the spring and fall. The report analyzes the latest public finance developments, updates medium-term fiscal projections, and assesses policies to put public finances on a sustainable footing. The report was prepared by IMF staff and has benefited from comments and suggestions from Executive Directors following their discussion of the report on April 3, 2015. The views expressed in this publication are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Directors or their national authorities.
Recommended citation: International Monetary Fund, Fiscal Monitor—Now Is the Time: Fiscal Policies for Sustainable Growth (Washington, April 2015).
ISBN: 978-1-49839-638-7 (paper)
ISBN: 978-1-47554-491-6 (ePub)
ISBN: 978-1-47554-925-6 (Mobipocket)
ISBN: 978-1-47559-787-5 (PDF)
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List of Tables
Assumptions and Conventions
The following symbols have been used throughout this publication:
. . . to indicate that data are not available
—to indicate that the figure is zero or less than half the final digit shown, or that the item does not exist
– between years or months (for example, 2008–09 or January–June) to indicate the years or months covered, including the beginning and ending years or months
/ between years (for example, 2008/09) to indicate a fiscal or financial year
“Billion” means a thousand million; “trillion” means a thousand billion.
“Basis points” refer to hundredths of 1 percentage point (for example, 25 basis points are equivalent to ¼ of 1 percentage point).
“n.a.” means “not applicable.”
Minor discrepancies between sums of constituent figures and totals are due to rounding.
As used in this publication, the term “country” does not in all cases refer to a territorial entity that is a state as understood by international law and practice. As used here, the term also covers some territorial entities that are not states but for which statistical data are maintained on a separate and independent basis.
Further Information and Data
The data and analysis appearing in the Fiscal Monitor are compiled by the IMF staff at the time of publication. Every effort is made to ensure, but not guarantee, their timeliness, accuracy, and completeness. When errors are discovered, there is a concerted effort to correct them as appropriate and feasible. Corrections and revisions made after publication are incorporated into the electronic editions available from the IMF eLibrary (www.elibrary.imf.org) and on the IMF website (www.imf.org). All substantive changes are listed in detail in the online tables of contents.
For details on the terms and conditions for usage of the contents of this publication, please refer to the IMF Copyright and Usage website, www.imf.org/external/terms.htm.
The projections included in this issue of the Fiscal Monitor are based on the same database used for the April 2015 World Economic Outlook and Global Financial Stability Report (and are referred to as “IMF staff projections”). Fiscal projections refer to the general government unless otherwise indicated. Short-term projections are based on officially announced budgets, adjusted for differences between the national authorities and the IMF staff regarding macroeconomic assumptions. The medium-term fiscal projections incorporate policy measures that are judged by the IMF staff as likely to be implemented. For countries supported by an IMF arrangement, the medium-term projections are those under the arrangement. In cases in which the IMF staff has insufficient information to assess the authorities’ budget intentions and prospects for policy implementation, an unchanged cyclically adjusted primary balance is assumed, unless indicated otherwise. Details on the composition of the groups, as well as country-specific assumptions, can be found in the Methodological and Statistical Appendix.
The Fiscal Monitor is prepared by the IMF Fiscal Affairs Department under the supervision of Vitor Gaspar, Director of the Department, Martine Guerguil, Deputy Director, and Benedict Clements, Division Chief. The main authors of this issue are Marta Ruiz-Arranz (team leader), Elva Bova, Paolo Dudine, Marina Marinkov and Natalija Novta for Chapter 1; and Xavier Debrun (team leader), Kamil Dybczak, Davide Furceri, João Tovar Jalles, Ivo Razafimahefa, and Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba for Chapter 2, which also benefited from comments from Antonio Fatás and Justin Wolfers. Outstanding research assistance was provided by Ethan Alt, Nathalie Carcenac, and Tafadzwa Mahlanganise. Nadia Malikyar and Jeffrey Pichocki provided excellent administrative and editorial support. From the IMF Communications Department, Gemma Diaz and Linda Kean edited the issue, and Gemma Diaz managed its production.
Inputs, comments, and suggestions were received from other departments in the IMF, including area departments—namely, the African Department, Asia and Pacific Department, European Department, Middle East and Central Asia Department, and Western Hemisphere Department—as well as the Institute for Capacity Development; Monetary and Capital Markets Department; Research Department; Statistics Department; and Strategy, Policy, and Review Department. Both projections and policy considerations are those of the IMF staff and should not be attributed to Executive Directors or to their national authorities.