Chapter

Methodological and Statistical Appendix

Author(s):
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
Published Date:
April 2015
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This appendix comprises five sections: Data and Conventions provides a general description of the data and conventions used to calculate economy group composites. Fiscal Policy Assumptions summarizes the country-specific assumptions underlying the estimates and projections for 2015–20. Definition and Coverage of Fiscal Data provides details on the coverage and accounting practices underlying each country’s Fiscal Monitor data. Economy Groupings summarizes the classification of countries in the various groups presented in the Fiscal Monitor. Statistical tables on key fiscal variables complete the appendix. Data in these tables have been compiled on the basis of information available through April 3, 2015.

Data and Conventions

Country-specific data and projections for key fiscal variables are based on the April 2015 World Economic Outlook database, unless indicated otherwise, and compiled by the IMF staff. Historical data and projections are based on the information gathered by IMF country desk officers in the context of their missions and through their ongoing analysis of the evolving situation in each country; they are updated on a continual basis as more information becomes available. Structural breaks in data may be adjusted to produce smooth series through splicing and other techniques. IMF staff estimates serve as proxies when complete information is unavailable. As a result, Fiscal Monitor data can differ from official data in other sources, including the IMF’s International Financial Statistics.

Sources for fiscal data and projections not covered by the World Economic Outlook database are listed in the respective tables and figures.

The country classification in the Fiscal Monitor divides the world into three major groups: 35 advanced economies, 40 emerging market and middle-income economies, and 40 low-income developing countries. The seven largest advanced economies in terms of GDP (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, United States) constitute the subgroup of major advanced economies, often referred to as the Group of Seven (G7). The members of the euro area are also distinguished as a subgroup. Composite data shown in the tables for the euro area cover the current members for all years, even though the membership has increased over time. Data for the EU member countries have been revised following the adoption of the new European System of National and Regional Accounts (ESA 2010). The low-income developing countries are those designated eligible for the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) in the 2013 PRGT-eligible review and whose per capita gross national income was less than the PRGT income graduation threshold for “non-small” states—that is, twice the operational threshold of the International Development Association, or $2,390 in 2011, as measured by the World Bank’s Atlas method. Zimbabwe is included in the group. Emerging market and middle-income economies include those not classified as advanced economies or low-income developing countries. See “Economy Groupings” for more details.

All fiscal data refer to the general government, where available, and to calendar years, except for Bangladesh, Côte d’Ivoire, Egypt, Haiti, Hong Kong SAR, India, Lao P.D.R., Pakistan, Qatar, Singapore, and Thailand, for which they refer to the fiscal year.

Composite data for country groups are weighted averages of individual-country data, unless specified otherwise. Data are weighted by annual nominal GDP converted to U.S. dollars at average market exchange rates as a share of the group GDP.

For the purpose of data reporting in the Fiscal Monitor, the G20 member aggregate refers to the 19 country members and does not include the European Union.

For most countries, fiscal data follow the IMF’s 2001 Government Finance Statistics Manual (GFSM 2001). The overall fiscal balance refers to net lending (+) and borrowing (−) of the general government. In some cases, however, the overall balance refers to total revenue and grants minus total expenditure and net lending.

As used in the Fiscal Monitor, the term “country” does not in all cases refer to a territorial entity that is a state as understood by international law and practice. As used here, the term also covers some territorial entities that are not states but whose statistical data are maintained on a separate and independent basis.

Argentina: Total expenditure and the overall balance account for cash interest only. The GDP data are officially reported data as revised in May 2014. On February 1, 2013, the IMF issued a declaration of censure, and in December 2013 called on Argentina to implement specified actions to address the quality of its official GDP data according to a specified timetable. On December 15, 2014, the Executive Board recognized the implementation of the specified actions it had called for by end-September 2014 and the steps taken by the Argentine authorities to remedy the inaccurate provision of data. The Executive Board will review this issue again as per the calendar specified in December 2013 and in line with the procedures set forth in the Fund’s legal framework. Consumer price data from December 2013 onward reflect the new national CPI (IPCNu), which differs substantively from the preceding CPI (the CPI for the Greater Buenos Aires Area, CPI-GBA). Because of the differences in geographical coverage, weights, sampling, and methodology, the IPCNu data cannot be directly compared to the earlier CPI-GBA data. Following a declaration of censure by the IMF on February 1, 2013, the public release of a new national CPI by end-March 2014 was one of the specified actions in the IMF Executive Board’s December 2013 decision calling on Argentina to address the quality of its official CPI data. On December 15, 2014, the Executive Board recognized the implementation of the specified actions it had called for by end-September 2014 and the steps taken by the Argentine authorities to remedy the inaccurate provision of data. The Executive Board will review this issue again as per the calendar specified in December 2013 and in line with the procedures set forth in the Fund’s legal framework.

Australia: For cross-country comparability, gross and net debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for countries that have adopted the 2008 System of National Accounts (2008 SNA) (Canada, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.

Bangladesh: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Brazil: In tables for General Government (GG) indicators, Brazil entries correspond to the nonfinancial public sector—which includes the federal, state, and local governments, as well as public enterprises (excluding Petrobras and Eletrobras)—and are consolidated with the sovereign wealth fund. Revenue and expenditures of federal public enterprises are added in full to the respective aggregates. Transfers and withdrawals from the sovereign wealth fund do not affect the primary balance. Disaggregated data on gross interest payments and interest receipts are available from 2003 only. Before 2003, total revenue of the GG excludes interest receipts; total expenditure of the GG includes net interest payments. Gross public debt includes the Treasury bills on the central bank’s balance sheet, including those not used under repurchase agreements. Net public debt consolidates GG and central bank debt. The national definition of general government gross debt excludes government securities held by the central bank, except the stock of Treasury securities used for monetary policy purposes by the central bank (those pledged as security reverse repurchase agreement operations). According to this national definition, gross debt amounted to 58.9 percent of GDP at the end of 2014.

Canada: For cross-country comparability, gross and net debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for countries that have adopted the 2008 SNA (Australia, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.

Chile: Cyclically adjusted balances include adjustments for commodity price developments.

China: Public debt data include central government debt as reported by the Ministry of Finance, explicit local government debt, and shares—ranging from 14 percent to 19 percent, according to the National Audit Office estimate—of government-guaranteed debt and liabilities the government may incur. IMF staff estimates exclude central government debt issued for the China Railway Corporation. Relative to the authorities’ definition, the consolidated general government net borrowing includes: (1) transfers to and from stabilization funds; (2) state-administered state-owned enterprise funds and social security contributions and expenses (about 1¼ percent to 1½ percent of GDP a year since 2008); and (3) off-budget spending by local governments (estimated by net local government bonds issued by the central government on their behalf). Deficit numbers do not include some expenditure items, mostly infrastructure investment financed off budget through land sales and local government-financing vehicles. The fiscal balances are not consistent with reported debt because no time series of data in line with the National Audit Office debt definition is published officially.

Colombia: Gross public debt refers to the combined public sector, including Ecopetrol and excluding Banco de la República’s outstanding external debt.

Côte d’Ivoire: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Egypt: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Greece: General government gross debt includes short-term debt and loans of state-owned enterprises.

Haiti: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Hong Kong SAR: Data are on a fiscal year basis. Cyclically adjusted balances include adjustments for land revenue and investment income. For cross-country comparability, gross and net debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for countries that have adopted the 2008 SNA (Australia, Canada, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.

Hungary: The cyclically adjusted overall and cyclically adjusted primary balances for 2011 exclude one-time revenues from asset transfers to the general government resulting from changes to the pension system.

India: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Ireland: The general government balances between 2010 and 2016 reflect the impact of banking sector support and other one-off measures. The fiscal balance estimates excluding these measures are −13.3 percent of GDP for 2010; −8.6 percent of GDP for 2011; −8.0 percent of GDP for 2012; −6.1 percent of GDP for 2013; −4.1 percent of GDP for 2014; −2.5 percent of GDP for 2015; and −1.5 percent of GDP for 2016. Cyclically adjusted balances reported in Tables A3 and A4 exclude financial sector support and other one-off measures and correct for real output, equity, house prices, and unemployment cycles.

Japan: Gross debt is equal to total unconsolidated financial liabilities for the general government. Net debt is calculated by subtracting financial assets from financial liabilities for the general government.

Lao P.D.R.: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Latvia: The fiscal deficit includes bank restructuring costs and thus is higher than the deficit in official statistics.

Mexico: General government refers to central government, social security, public enterprises, development banks, the national insurance corporation, and the National Infrastructure Fund, but excludes subnational governments.

Norway: Cyclically adjusted balances correspond to the cyclically adjusted non-oil overall or primary balance. These variables are in percent of non-oil potential GDP.

Pakistan: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Peru: Cyclically adjusted balances include adjustments for commodity price developments.

Qatar: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Singapore: Data are on a fiscal year basis. Historical fiscal data have been revised to reflect the migration to GFSM 2001, which entailed some classification changes.

Spain: Overall and primary balances include financial sector support measures estimated to be 0.04 percent of GDP for 2010; 0.5 percent of GDP for 2011; 3.7 percent of GDP for 2012; 0.5 percent of GDP for 2013. For 2014 includes one-offs of 0.27 percent of GDP, of which financial sector support of 0.1 percent of GDP.

Sudan: Data for 2011 exclude South Sudan after July 9. Data for 2012 and onward pertain to the current Sudan.

Sweden: Cyclically adjusted balances take into account output and employment gaps.

Switzerland: Data submissions at the cantonal and commune level are received with a long and variable lag and are subject to sizeable revisions. Cyclically adjusted balances include adjustments for extraordinary operations related to the banking sector.

Thailand: Data are on a fiscal year basis.

Turkey: Information on the general government balance, primary balance, and cyclically adjusted primary balance differs from that in the authorities’ official statistics or country reports, which include net lending and privatization receipts.

United States: Cyclically adjusted balances exclude financial sector support estimated at 2.4 percent of GDP for 2009; 0.3 percent of GDP for 2010; 0.2 percent of GDP for 2011; 0.1 percent of GDP for 2012; and zero for 2013. For cross-country comparability, expenditure and fiscal balances of the United States are adjusted to exclude the imputed interest on unfunded pension liabilities and the imputed compensation of employees, which are counted as expenditure under the 2008 SNA recently adopted by the United States, but this is not true for countries that have not yet adopted the 2008 SNA. Data for the United States may thus differ from data published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In addition, gross and net debt levels reported by the BEA and national statistical agencies for other countries that have adopted the 2008 SNA (Australia, Canada, Hong Kong SAR) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.

Fiscal Policy Assumptions

Historical data and projections of key fiscal aggregates are in line with those of the April 2015 World Economic Outlook, unless noted otherwise. For underlying assumptions other than on fiscal policy, see the April 2015 World Economic Outlook.

Short-term fiscal policy assumptions are based on officially announced budgets, adjusted for differences between the national authorities and the IMF staff regarding macroeconomic assumptions and projected fiscal outturns. Medium-term fiscal projections incorporate policy measures that are judged likely to be implemented. When the IMF staff has insufficient information to assess the authorities’ budget intentions and prospects for policy implementation, an unchanged structural primary balance is assumed, unless indicated otherwise.

Argentina: The fiscal forecast is based on the projections for GDP growth, exports and imports, and the nominal exchange rate.

Australia: Fiscal projections are based on the 2014–15 Budget, and the 2014–15 Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (released on December 15, 2014). Updated projections were released in the Intergenerational Report (released on March 5, 2015).

Austria: Projections take into account the authorities’ medium-term fiscal framework, as well as associated further implementation needs and risks. For 2014, the creation of a defeasance structure for Hypo Alpe Adria Bank is assumed to increase the general government debt-to-GDP ratio by 5½ percentage points and the deficit by 1.8 percentage points.

Belgium: Projections reflect the authorities’ 2015 budget, adjusted for differences in the IMF staff’s macroeconomic framework and assumptions about fiscal developments in the federal, regional, and local governments.

Brazil: For 2014, outturn estimates are based on the information available as of February 2015. Projections for 2015 take into account the 2015 budget approved by Congress in March 2015, and recent announcements made by the authorities; any measures still to be identified as of end-March 2015 to meet the annual fiscal target are assumed to be on the expenditure side. In outer years, projections are consistent with the announced primary surplus objectives

Burkina Faso: Estimates are based on discussions with the authorities, past trends, and the impact of ongoing structural reforms.

Cambodia: Historical data are from the Cambodian authorities. Projections are based on the IMF staff’s assumptions following discussions with the authorities.

Canada: Projections use the baseline forecasts in the Economic Action Plan 2014 (the fiscal year 2014/15 budget) and 2014 provincial budgets, as available. The IMF staff makes adjustments to this forecast for differences in macroeconomic projections. IMF staff forecasts also incorporate the most recent data releases from Statistics Canada’s Canadian System of National Economic Accounts, including federal, provincial, and territorial budgetary outturns through the end of the fourth quarter of 2014.

Chile: Projections are based on the authorities’ budget projections and include adjustments to reflect the IMF staff’s projections for GDP and copper prices. They also include the official yield estimate of the tax reform submitted to Congress in April 2014.

China: The pace of fiscal consolidation is likely to be more gradual, reflecting reforms to strengthen social safety nets and the social security system announced at the Third Plenum reform agenda.

Croatia: Projections are based on the macro framework and authorities’ medium-term fiscal guidelines.

Cyprus: Projections are on a cash basis, based on the latest information on the budget, fiscal measures, and the IMF staff’s macroeconomic assumptions.

Czech Republic: Projections are based on the authorities’ budget forecast for 2014–15, with adjustments for the IMF staff’s macroeconomic projections. Projections for 2015 onward are based on unchanged policies.

Denmark: Projections for 2014–15 are aligned with the latest official budget estimates and the underlying economic projections, adjusted where appropriate for the IMF staff’s macroeconomic assumptions. For 2016–20, the projections incorporate key features of the medium-term fiscal plan as embodied in the authorities’ 2014 Convergence Program submitted to the European Union.

Egypt: Fiscal projections are based mainly on budget sector operations.

Estonia: Projections are cash and not accrual based. They incorporate the authorities’ 2014 budget, adjusted for newly available information and for the IMF staff’s macroeconomic scenario.

Finland: Projections are based on announced policies by the authorities, adjusted for the IMF staff’s macroeconomic scenario.

France: Projections for 2015 reflect the budget law. For 2016–17, they are based on the multiyear budget, adjusted for differences in assumptions on macro and financial variables and revenue projections. Historical fiscal data reflect the September 2014 revision by the statistical institute of both fiscal accounts and the May 2014 revision of the national accounts.

Germany: The IMF staff’s projections for 2015 and beyond reflect the authorities’ adopted core federal government budget plan, adjusted for the differences in the IMF staff’s macroeconomic framework and assumptions about fiscal developments in state and local governments, the social insurance system, and special funds. The estimate of gross debt includes portfolios of impaired assets and noncore business transferred to institutions that are winding up, as well as other financial sector and EU support operations.

Greece: Fiscal projections for 2014 and the medium term are consistent with the policies needed to achieve the fiscal targets underlying the program supported by the Extended Fund Facility as agreed under the Fifth Review of the program.

Hong Kong SAR: Projections are based on the authorities’ medium-term fiscal projections on expenditures.

Hungary: Fiscal projections include IMF staff projections of the macroeconomic framework and of the impact of existing legislated measures, as well as fiscal policy plans in the 2015 budget.

India: Historical data are based on budgetary execution data. Projections are based on available information about the authorities’ fiscal plans, with adjustments for IMF staff assumptions. Subnational data are incorporated with a lag of up to two years; general government data are thus finalized well after central government data. IMF and Indian presentations differ, particularly regarding divestment and license auction proceeds, net versus gross recording of revenues in certain minor categories, and some public sector lending.

Indonesia: IMF staff projections are based on a moderate tax policy and administration reforms, fuel subsidy pricing reforms introduced in January 2015, and a gradual increase in social and capital spending over the medium term in line with fiscal space.

Ireland: Fiscal projections are based on the 2015 budget. The fiscal projections are adjusted for differences between the IMF staff’s macroeconomic projections and those of the Irish authorities.

Israel: Historical data are based on government finance statistics submitted by the Central Bureau of Statistics. The historical data, together with the announced fiscal consolidation plan by the authorities, form the basis of the IMF staff’s medium-term fiscal projections.

Italy: Fiscal projections incorporate the government’s announced fiscal policy, as outlined in the draft 2015 Stability Law, adjusted for different growth outlooks and estimated impacts of measures. Sovereign yields have fallen significantly since the 2015 Stability Law was passed and IMF staff have assumed that the savings from a lower interest bill will be used to pay down debt. Estimates of the cyclically adjusted balance include the expenditure to clear capital arrears in 2013, which are excluded from the structural balance. After 2014, the IMF staff projects convergence to a structural balance in line with Italy’s fiscal rule, which implies corrective measures in some years, as yet unidentified.

Japan: The projections include fiscal measures already announced by the government, including consumption tax increases, earthquake reconstruction spending, and the stimulus package.

Kazakhstan: Fiscal projections are based on budget numbers, discussions with the authorities, and IMF staff projections.

Korea: The medium-term forecast incorporates the government’s announced medium-term consolidation path.

Malaysia: Fiscal year 2014 data is based on actual outturn. Fiscal year 2015 projections are based on the budget numbers. For 2015 and the remainder of the projection period, the IMF staff assumes that the authorities undertake subsidy reform and introduce a goods and services tax in 2015.

Mali: Estimates reflect the approved budget and agreed program budget for the current year, authorities’ medium-term fiscal framework, and IMF staff estimates for outer years.

Malta: Projections are based on the latest Stability Programme Update by the authorities and budget documents, adjusted for the IMF staff’s macroeconomic and other assumptions.

Mexico: Fiscal projections for 2015 are in line with the approved budget; projections for 2016 onward assume compliance with the rules established in the Fiscal Responsibility Law.

Moldova: Fiscal projections are based on the 2015 budget, discussions with the authorities, and IMF staff projections.

Mozambique: Fiscal projections assume a moderate increase in revenue as a percentage of GDP and a commensurate increase in domestic primary spending. They account for a lower aid flow, with the contribution from grants declining.

Myanmar: Fiscal projections are based on budget numbers, discussions with the authorities, and IMF staff adjustments.

Netherlands: Fiscal projections for 2015–20 are based on the authorities’ Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis budget projections, after adjustments for differences in macroeconomic assumptions. Historical data were revised following the release of revised macro data in June 2014 by the Central Bureau of Statistics because of the adoption of the European System of National and Regional Accounts (ESA 2010) and the revision of data sources.

New Zealand: Fiscal projections are based on the authorities’ 2014 Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update and on IMF staff estimates.

Nigeria: Estimates reflect historical data series, the annual budget, the medium-term expenditure framework at the general government level, and additional data from the authorities.

Norway: Fiscal projections are based on the authorities’ 2015 amended budget. Structural and cyclically adjusted balances are based on the non-oil balance.

Philippines: Fiscal projections assume that the authorities’ fiscal deficit target will be achieved in 2015 and beyond. Revenue projections reflect the IMF staff’s macroeconomic assumptions and incorporate anticipated improvements in tax administration. Expenditure projections are based on budgeted figures, institutional arrangements, current data, and fiscal space in each year.

Poland: Beginning in 2005, data are on the basis of the European System of National and Regional Accounts 2010 (ESA 2010) and are on an accrual basis. Projections are based on the 2015 budget and its execution up to the third quarter of 2014. Projections also take into account the effects of the 2014 pension changes.

Portugal: For 2014, the general government fiscal balance projection does not include one-off transactions arising from banking support and other operations related to government-owned enterprises, pending decisions on their statistical classification by the Instituto Nacional de Estatística (INE)/Eurostat. Projections for 2014–15 remain consistent with the authorities’ EU budgetary commitments, subject to additional measures to be approved in the forthcoming 2015 budget. Projections thereafter are based on IMF staff estimates, under the assumption of unchanged policies.

Romania: The 2015 cash deficit projection is based on the approved budget for 2015.

Russia: Projections for 2015–20 are based on the oil-price-based fiscal rule introduced in December 2012, with adjustments by IMF staff.

Saudi Arabia: The authorities base their budget on a conservative assumption for oil prices, with adjustments to expenditure allocations considered in the event that revenues differ from budgeted amounts. IMF staff projections of oil revenues are based on World Economic Outlook baseline oil prices. On the expenditure side, wage bill estimates incorporate the 13th-month pay awards every three years in accordance with the lunar calendar; projections assume that, to adjust to lower oil prices, capital spending falls as a percent of GDP over the medium-term as large-scale projects currently being implemented are completed.

Senegal: Estimates are based on program targets for 2015–16, and mostly debt sustainability analysis considerations thereafter. Fiscal accounts are shown in accordance with the IMF’s Government Finance Statistics Manual 2001 methodology.

Singapore: Projections are based on budget numbers for fiscal years 2014/15 and 2015/16 and unchanged policies thereafter.

Slovak Republic: Projections are based on revenue and expenditure from the authorities’ 2015 budget and IMF staff estimates.

South Africa: Fiscal projections are based on the authorities’ 2015 Budget Review.

Spain: For 2015 and beyond, fiscal projections are based on the measures specified in the Stability Programme Update 2014–17, the 2015 budget plan issued in October 2014, and the 2015 budget approved in December 2014.

Sri Lanka: Projections are based on the authorities’ medium-term fiscal framework and staff’s preliminary assessment of the revised 2015 budget.

Sweden: Fiscal projections take into account the authorities’ projections based on the December 2014 forecasts. The impact of cyclical developments on the fiscal accounts is calculated using the 2005 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development elasticity in order to take into account output and employment gaps.

Switzerland: The projections assume that fiscal policy is adjusted as necessary to keep fiscal balances in line with the requirements of Switzerland’s fiscal rules.

Thailand: For the projection period, the IMF staff assumes an implementation rate of 50 percent for the planned infrastructure investment programs.

Turkey: Fiscal projections assume that both current expenditures and capital spending will be above what is indicated in the authorities’ 2015–17 Medium-Term Programme, based on current trends and policies.

United Kingdom: Fiscal projections are based on the U.K. Treasury’s 2015 Budget published in March 2015. However, on the revenue side, the authorities’ projections are adjusted for differences between IMF staff forecasts of macroeconomic variables (such as GDP growth) and the forecasts of these variables assumed in the authorities’ fiscal projections. On the expenditure side, given uncertainties pertaining to the May elections, a slightly slower pace of consolidation than that in the Budget is assumed for FY2016/17 and beyond, though fiscal projections are fully consistent with the fiscal mandates. In addition, IMF staff data exclude public sector banks and the effect of transferring assets from the Royal Mail Pension Plan to the public sector in April 2012. Real government consumption and investment are part of the real GDP path, which, according to the IMF staff, may or may not be the same as the path projected by the U.K. Office for Budget Responsibility.

United States: Fiscal projections are based on the January 2015 Congressional Budget Office baseline, adjusted for the IMF staff’s policy and macroeconomic assumptions. The baseline incorporates the key provisions of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2013, including a partial rollback of the sequester spending cuts in fiscal years 2014 and 2015. The rollback is fully offset by savings elsewhere in the budget. In fiscal years 2016 through 2021, the IMF staff assumes that the sequester cuts will continue to be partially replaced, in portions similar to those agreed under the Bipartisan Budget Act for fiscal years 2014 and 2015, with back-loaded measures generating savings in mandatory programs and additional revenues. Over the medium term, the IMF staff assumes that Congress will continue to make regular adjustments to Medicare payments (DocFix) and will extend certain traditional programs (such as the research and development tax credit). The fiscal projections are adjusted to reflect the IMF staff’s forecasts of key macroeconomic and financial variables and different accounting treatment of financial sector support and defined-benefit pension plans and are converted to a general government basis. Historical data start in 2001 for most series because data compiled according to the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2001 may not be available for earlier years.

Vietnam: Revenues and financing projections reflect the information and measures in the approved budget and the IMF staff’s macro framework assumptions.

Yemen: Hydrocarbon revenue projections are based on IMF staff assumptions for oil and gas prices and authorities’ projections of production of oil and gas. Nonhydrocarbon revenues largely reflect authorities’ projections, as do most of the expenditure categories, with the exception of fuel subsidies, which are projected based on a price consistent with revenues.

Definition and Coverage of Fiscal Data

Economy Groupings

The following groupings of economies are used in the Fiscal Monitor.

Advanced

Economies
Emerging Market

and Middle-Income

Economies
Low-Income

Developing

Countries
G7G201Advanced

G201
Emerging

G20
AustraliaAlgeriaBangladeshCanadaArgentinaAustraliaArgentina
AustriaAngolaBeninFranceAustraliaCanadaBrazil
BelgiumArgentinaBoliviaGermanyBrazilFranceChina
CanadaAzerbaijanBurkina FasoItalyCanadaGermanyIndia
CyprusBelarusCambodiaJapanChinaItalyIndonesia
Czech RepublicBrazilCameroonUnited KingdomFranceJapanMexico
DenmarkChileChadUnited StatesGermanyKoreaRussia
EstoniaChinaDemocratic Republic ofIndiaUnited KingdomSaudi Arabia
FinlandColombiathe CongoIndonesiaUnited StatesSouth Africa
FranceCroatiaRepublic of CongoItalyTurkey
GermanyDominican RepublicCôte d’IvoireJapan
GreeceEcuadorEthiopiaKorea
Hong Kong SAREgyptGhanaMexico
IcelandHungaryGuineaRussia
IrelandIndiaHaitiSaudi Arabia
IsraelIndonesiaHondurasSouth Africa
ItalyIranKenyaTurkey
JapanKazakhstanKyrgyz RepublicUnited Kingdom
KoreaKuwaitLao P.D.R.United States
LatviaLibyaMadagascar
LithuaniaMalaysiaMali
LuxembourgMexicoMoldova
MaltaMoroccoMongolia
NetherlandsOmanMozambique
New ZealandPakistanMyanmar
NorwayPeruNepal
PortugalPhilippinesNicaragua
SingaporePolandNiger
Slovak RepublicQatarNigeria
SloveniaRomaniaPapua New Guinea
SpainRussiaRwanda
SwedenSaudi ArabiaSenegal
SwitzerlandSouth AfricaSudan
United KingdomSri LankaTajikistan
United StatesThailandTanzania
TurkeyUganda
UkraineUzbekistan
United Arab EmiratesVietnam
UruguayYemen
VenezuelaZambia
Zimbabwe
Euro AreaEmerging

Market and

Middle-Income

Asia
Emerging

Market and

Middle-Income

Europe
Emerging

Market and

Middle-Income

Latin America
Emerging

Market and Middle-

Income Middle East

and North Africa and

Pakistan
Emerging

Market and

Middle-Income

Africa
AustriaChinaAzerbaijanArgentinaAlgeriaAngola
BelgiumIndiaBelarusBrazilEgyptSouth Africa
CyprusIndonesiaCroatiaChileIran
EstoniaMalaysiaHungaryColombiaKuwait
FinlandPhilippinesKazakhstanDominicanLibya
FranceSri LankaPolandRepublicMorocco
GermanyThailandRomaniaEcuadorOman
GreeceRussiaMexicoPakistan
IrelandTurkeyPeruQatar
ItalyUkraineUruguaySaudi Arabia
LatviaVenezuelaUnited Arab Emirates
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
Portugal
Slovak Republic
Slovenia
Spain
Low-Income

Developing Asia
Low-Income

Developing Latin

America
Low-Income

Developing

Sub-Saharan Africa
Low-Income

Developing Others
Low-Income

Oil Producers
Oil Producers
BangladeshBoliviaBeninKyrgyz RepublicCameroonAlgeria
CambodiaHaitiBurkina FasoMoldovaChadAngola
Lao P.D.R.HondurasCameroonSudanRepublic ofAzerbaijan
MongoliaNicaraguaChadTajikistanCongoBahrain
MyanmarDemocratic Republic ofUzbekistanCôte d’IvoireBrunei Darussalam
Nepalthe CongoYemenSudanCameroon
Papua New GuineaRepublic of CongoVietnamChad
VietnamCôte d’IvoireYemenDemocratic Republic of the Congo
EthiopiaRepublic of Congo
GhanaCôte d’Ivoire
GuineaEcuador
KenyaEquatorial Guinea
MadagascarGabon
MaliIndonesia
MozambiqueIran
NigerIraq
NigeriaKazakhstan
RwandaKuwait
SenegalLibya
TanzaniaMexico
UgandaNigeria
ZambiaNorway
ZimbabweOman
Qatar
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Sudan
Syria
Timor-Leste
Turkmenistan
United Arab Emirates
Venezuela
Vietnam
Yemen
Table A.Advanced Economies: Definition and Coverage of Fiscal Monitor Data
Overall Fiscal Balance1Cyclically Adjusted BalanceGross Debt
CoverageAccountingCoverageAccountingCoverageAccounting
AggregateSubsectorsPracticeAggregateSubsectorsPracticeAggregateSubsectorsPractice
AustraliaGGCG, LG, SG, TGAGGCG, LG, SG, TGAGGCG, LG, SG, TGA
AustriaGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
BelgiumGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
CanadaGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
Cyprus2GGCG, LG, SS, EACGGCG, LG, SS, EAC
Czech RepublicGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
DenmarkGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
EstoniaGGCG, LG, SSCGGCG, LG, SSC
FinlandGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
FranceGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
GermanyGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
GreeceGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
Hong Kong SARCGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
IcelandGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
IrelandGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
IsraelGGCG, SSAGGCG, SSAGGCG, SSA
ItalyGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
JapanGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
KoreaCGCGCCGCGCGGCG, LGC
LatviaGGCG, LG, SS, NFPCCGGCG, LG, SS, NFPCCGGCG, LG, SS, NFPCC
LithuaniaGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
LuxembourgGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
MaltaGGCG, SG, SSAGGCG, SG, SSAGGCG, SG, SSA
NetherlandsGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
New ZealandCGCGACGCGACGCGA
NorwayGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
PortugalGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
SingaporeCGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
Slovak RepublicGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
SloveniaGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
SpainGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
SwedenGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
SwitzerlandGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
United KingdomGGCG, LGAGGCG, LGAGGCG, LGA
United StatesGGCG, LG, SGAGGCG, LG, SGAGGCG, LG, SGA
Note: Coverage: BA = budgetary central government; CG = central government; EA = extrabudgetary units; FC = financial public corporations; GG = general government; LG = local governments; NFPC = nonfinancial public corporations; NFPS = nonfinancial public sector; PS = public sector; SG = state governments; SS = social security funds; TG = territory governments. Accounting standard: A = accrual; C = cash.
Table B.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: Definition and Coverage of Fiscal Monitor Data
Overall Fiscal Balance1Cyclically Adjusted BalanceGross Debt
CoverageAccountingCoverageAccountingCoverageAccounting
AggregateSubsectorsPracticeAggregateSubsectorsPracticeAggregateSubsectorsPractice
AlgeriaCGCGCCGCGC
AngolaGGCG, SSOtherGGCG, SSOther
ArgentinaGGCG, SG, LG, SSCCGCGCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
AzerbaijanCGCGCCGCGC
Belarus2GGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
Brazil3NFPSCG, SG, LG, SS, MPC, NFPCCNFPSCG, SG, LG, SS, MPC, NFPCCNFPSCG, SG, LG, SS, MPC, NFPCC
ChileGGCG, SG, LG, SSACGCGAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
ChinaGGCG, SG, LGCGGCG, SG, LGCGGCG, SG, LGC
Colombia4PSCG, SG, LG, NFPCC/APSCG, SG, LG, NFPCC/APSCG, SG, LG, NFPCC/A
CroatiaGGCG, LGCGGCG, LGCGGCG, LGC
Dominican RepublicGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
EcuadorNFPSSG, LG, SS, NFPCCNFPSSG, LG, SS, NFPCCNFPSSG, LG, SS, NFPCC
EgyptCGCGCGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
HungaryNFPSCG, LG, SS, NMPCANFPSCG, LG, SS, NMPCANFPSCG, LG, SS, NMPCA
IndiaGGCG, SGAGGCG, SGAGGCG, SGA
IndonesiaGGCG, LGCGGCG, LGCGGCG, LGC
IranCGCGCCGCGC
KazakhstanGGCG, LGAGGCG, LGA
KuwaitCGCGC/ACGCGC/A
LibyaGGCG, SG, LGCGGCG, SG, LGC
MalaysiaGGCG, SG, LGCGGCGCGGCG, SG, LGC
MexicoPSCG, SS, NFPC, FPCCCGCGCPSCG, SS, NFPC, FPCC
MoroccoCGCGACGCGA
OmanCGCGCCGCGC
PakistanGGCG, LG, SGCGGCG, LG, SGC
PeruGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
PhilippinesGGCG, LG, SSCCGCGCGGCG, LG, SSC
PolandGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSAGGCG, LG, SSA
QatarCGCGCCGCGC
RomaniaGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
RussiaGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
Saudi ArabiaGGCG, SSCGGCG, SSC
South AfricaGGCG, SG, SSCGGCG, SG, SSCGGCG, SG, SSC
Sri LankaGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
Thailand5GGCG, LG, SS, EAAGGCG, LG, SS, EAAPSCG, SS, EA, NFPC, NMPCA
TurkeyGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSAGGCG, SG, LG, SSA
UkraineGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
United Arab Emirates6GGCG, SGCGGCG, SGC
UruguayGGCG, LG, SS, MPC, NFPCAGGCG, LG, SS, MPC, NFPCA
VenezuelaGGCG, LG, SS, NFPCCGGCG, LG, SS, NFPCCGGCG, LG, SS, NFPCC
Note: Coverage: BA = budgetary central government; CG = central government; EA = extrabudgetary units; FPC = financial public corporations; GG = general government; LG = local governments; MPC = monetary public corporations, including central bank; NFPC = nonfinancial public corporations; NFPS = nonfinancial public sector; NMPC = nonmonetary financial public corporations; PS = public sector; SG = state governments; SS = social security funds. Accounting standard: A = accrual; C = cash.
Table C.Low-Income Developing Countries: Definition and Coverage of Fiscal Monitor Data
Overall Fiscal Balance1Cyclically Adjusted BalanceGross Debt
CoverageAccountingCoverageAccountingCoverageAccounting
AggregateSubsectorsPracticeAggregateSubsectorsPracticeAggregateSubsectorsPractice
BangladeshCGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
BeninCGCGCCGCGC
BoliviaNFPSCG, LG, SS, MPC, NMPC, NFPCCNFPSCG, LG, SS, MPC, NMPC, NFPCCNFPSCG, LG, SS, MPC, NMPC, NFPCC
Burkina FasoCGCGCCGCGC
CambodiaGGCG, LGCGGCG, LGCGGCG, LGC
CameroonNFPSCG, NFPCCNFPSCG, NFPCC
ChadNFPSCG, NFPCCNFPSCG, NFPCC
Democratic Republic of the CongoGGCG, SG, LGAGGCG, SG, LGA
Republic of CongoCGCGACGCGA
Côte d’IvoireCGCGACGCGA
EthiopiaCGCGCCGCGC
GhanaCGCGCCGCGC
GuineaCGCGOtherCGCGOther
HaitiCGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
HondurasCPSCG, LG, SS, NFPCACPSCG, LG, SS, NFPCACPSCG, LG, SS, NFPCA
KenyaCGCGACGCGA
Kyrgyz RepublicGGCG, LG, SSCGGCG, LG, SSC
Lao P.D.R.2CGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
MadagascarCGCGCCGCGC
MaliCGCGC/ACGCGC/A
MoldovaGGCG, LG, SSCGGCG, LG, SSCGGCG, LG, SSC
MongoliaGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
MozambiqueCGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
Myanmar3NFPSCG, NFPCCNFPSCG, NFPCC
NepalCGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
NicaraguaGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSCGGCG, SG, LG, SSC
NigerCGCGACGCGA
NigeriaGGCG, LG, SS, EACGGCG, LG, SS, EAC
Papua New GuineaCGCGCCGCGC
RwandaGGCG, SG, LGC/AGGCG, SG, LGC/A
SenegalCGCGCCGCGCCGCGC
SudanCGCGACGCGA
TajikistanGGCG, LG, SSCGGCG, LG, SSC
TanzaniaCGCGCCGCGC
UgandaCGCGCCGCGC
Uzbekistan4GGCG, SG, LG, SS, FCCGGCG, SG, LG, SS, FCC
VietnamGGCG, SG, LG, FCCGGCG, SG, LG, FCCGGCG, SG, LG, FCC
YemenGGCG, LGCGGCG, LGC
ZambiaCGCGCCGCGC
ZimbabweCGCGCCGCGC
Note: Coverage: BA = budgetary central government; CG = central government; CPS = combined public sector; EA = extrabudgetary units; FC = financial public corporations; GG = general government; LG = local governments; MPC = monetary public corporations, including central bank; NFPC = nonfinancial public corporations; NFPS = nonfinancial public sector; NMPC = nonmonetary financial public corporations; PS = public sector; SG = state governments; SS = social security funds. Accounting standard: A = accrual; C = cash.
Table A1.Advanced Economies: General Government Overall Balance, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia1.81.5−1.1−4.6−5.1−4.5−3.4−3.0−3.6−3.3−2.7−2.0−1.4−1.1−0.8
Austria−2.5−1.3−1.5−5.3−4.5−2.6−2.3−1.5−3.3−1.7−1.7−1.5−1.4−1.3−1.3
Belgium0.20.0−1.1−5.5−4.0−3.9−4.1−2.9−3.2−2.9−2.1−1.3−0.9−0.5−0.1
Canada1.81.5−0.3−4.5−4.9−3.7−3.1−2.8−1.8−1.7−1.3−0.9−0.7−0.6−0.2
Cyprus−1.13.20.9−5.6−4.8−5.8−5.8−4.3−0.1−1.10.20.31.20.91.0
Czech Republic−2.3−0.7−2.1−5.5−4.5−3.0−4.0−1.4−1.0−1.4−1.2−1.2−1.2−1.1−1.0
Denmark5.05.03.2−2.8−2.7−2.1−3.7−1.11.8−2.3−2.1−1.9−1.4−1.0−0.5
Estonia2.42.4−2.9−1.90.21.0−0.3−0.50.4−0.5−0.10.00.00.00.0
Finland3.95.14.2−2.5−2.5−1.0−2.1−2.3−2.7−2.4−1.8−1.2−0.8−0.7−0.6
France−2.3−2.5−3.2−7.2−6.8−5.1−4.9−4.1−4.2−3.9−3.5−2.8−1.9−1.1−0.4
Germany−1.60.2−0.1−3.0−4.0−0.80.10.10.60.30.40.40.60.60.6
Greece−6.1−6.7−9.9−15.2−11.1−10.1−6.3−2.8−2.7−0.80.70.70.70.81.0
Hong Kong SAR4.18.10.11.54.44.13.31.15.33.22.61.82.13.13.1
Iceland5.84.9−13.1−9.7−9.7−5.6−3.7−1.71.80.10.11.20.60.70.8
Ireland12.80.2−7.0−13.9−32.4−12.6−8.0−5.7−3.9−2.4−1.5−0.60.00.00.0
Israel−2.2−1.2−3.3−6.2−4.6−3.9−5.1−4.1−3.6−3.5−3.5−2.8−2.2−1.7−1.5
Italy−3.6−1.5−2.7−5.3−4.2−3.5−3.0−2.9−3.0−2.6−1.7−1.1−0.60.00.3
Japan−3.7−2.1−4.1−10.4−9.3−9.8−8.8−8.5−7.7−6.2−5.0−4.3−3.8−4.0−4.4
Korea1.12.21.50.01.51.71.60.70.30.30.60.91.11.41.7
Latvia−0.50.6−7.1−7.7−7.3−3.20.1−1.2−1.7−1.4−1.0−1.7−0.5−0.4−0.4
Lithuania−0.4−1.0−3.3−9.3−6.9−9.0−3.2−2.6−0.7−1.4−1.6−1.6−1.5−1.4−1.3
Luxembourg1.44.23.3−0.5−0.60.30.10.60.5−0.50.20.20.40.40.5
Malta−2.6−2.3−4.2−3.3−3.3−2.6−3.6−2.7−2.2−1.8−1.6−1.5−1.3−1.1−0.9
Netherlands0.20.20.2−5.5−5.0−4.3−4.0−2.3−2.3−1.4−0.5−0.3−0.3−0.3−0.2
New Zealand4.33.41.5−1.5−5.0−4.8−1.6−0.8−0.60.00.51.01.31.31.3
Norway18.017.018.510.310.913.213.511.08.87.37.37.37.16.86.3
Portugal−2.0−3.0−3.8−9.8−11.2−7.4−5.6−4.8−4.5−3.2−2.8−2.5−2.4−2.5−2.5
Singapore7.011.86.4−0.66.68.57.85.44.21.52.12.32.42.62.6
Slovak Republic−3.6−1.9−2.4−7.9−7.5−4.1−4.2−2.6−3.0−2.6−2.3−1.8−1.6−1.5−1.4
Slovenia−0.80.3−0.3−5.4−5.2−5.5−3.1−13.8−5.8−4.0−3.4−3.4−3.5−3.6−3.7
Spain12.22.0−4.4−11.0−9.4−9.4−10.3−6.8−5.8−4.3−2.9−2.5−2.0−1.5−1.5
Sweden2.13.42.1−0.90.00.0−0.7−1.4−2.1−1.3−0.6−0.4−0.10.20.5
Switzerland0.91.31.70.50.10.3−0.1−0.10.2−0.4−0.2−0.20.00.00.0
United Kingdom−2.9−3.0−5.1−10.8−9.7−7.6−7.8−5.7−5.7−4.8−3.1−1.5−0.6−0.3−0.3
United States2−2.4−3.2−7.0−13.5−11.3−9.9−8.6−5.8−5.3−4.2−3.9−3.4−3.3−3.7−3.9
Average−1.5−1.3−3.6−8.9−7.8−6.4−5.7−4.2−3.9−3.3−2.7−2.2−1.9−1.9−1.9
Euro Area−1.4−0.6−2.1−6.2−6.1−4.1−3.6−2.9−2.7−2.3−1.7−1.3−0.9−0.5−0.3
G7−2.4−2.3−4.7−10.2−8.9−7.6−6.8−5.0−4.6−3.8−3.3−2.7−2.4−2.5−2.6
G20 Advanced−2.2−2.0−4.4−9.7−8.5−7.2−6.4−4.8−4.4−3.6−3.1−2.5−2.2−2.3−2.3
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table A.
Table A2.Advanced Economies: General Government Primary Balance, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia1.51.3−1.1−4.5−4.8−4.0−2.7−2.2−2.6−2.2−1.6−0.9−0.30.00.3
Austria0.01.00.9−2.7−2.0−0.30.00.7−1.20.40.81.11.21.31.3
Belgium3.93.62.4−2.1−0.8−0.8−0.90.0−0.3−0.30.41.01.31.61.9
Canada2.42.0−0.2−3.7−4.3−3.3−2.6−2.4−1.4−1.4−0.9−0.6−0.3−0.10.2
Cyprus1.35.43.1−3.6−3.2−4.0−3.3−1.92.91.42.63.04.04.04.0
Czech Republic−1.60.0−1.4−4.6−3.4−1.9−2.8−0.20.2−0.3−0.10.0−0.10.00.2
Denmark5.85.63.4−2.4−2.1−1.5−3.1−0.62.4−1.7−1.5−1.6−1.1−0.7−0.2
Estonia2.22.0−3.3−2.20.00.9−0.4−0.50.3−0.6−0.20.00.00.00.1
Finland3.74.83.6−2.9−2.5−1.0−1.9−2.3−2.5−2.2−1.6−1.1−0.8−0.6−0.4
France0.0−0.1−0.5−4.9−4.5−2.6−2.4−2.0−2.1−2.0−1.7−1.1−0.20.51.2
Germany0.82.62.2−0.8−2.01.11.91.72.01.51.31.21.31.21.1
Greece−1.6−2.1−5.0−10.2−5.2−2.9−1.31.21.53.04.54.54.24.24.2
Hong Kong SAR3.77.8−0.31.44.33.93.10.95.13.02.41.62.03.02.9
Iceland6.25.1−13.2−6.6−6.8−2.5−0.12.05.13.32.83.72.82.92.8
Ireland13.50.8−6.3−12.4−30.0−9.7−4.4−1.9−0.30.61.42.42.82.92.8
Israel2.93.50.8−2.2−0.7−0.2−1.4−0.5−0.1−0.1−0.10.61.21.71.9
Italy0.63.02.0−1.1−0.20.91.91.81.51.42.02.32.73.03.3
Japan−3.7−2.1−3.8−9.9−8.6−9.0−7.9−7.8−7.0−5.7−4.4−3.8−3.2−3.3−3.3
Korea2.31.41.2−0.70.80.90.8−0.2−0.4−0.20.20.81.01.31.8
Latvia−0.10.8−7.0−7.1−6.3−2.21.40.0−0.4−0.10.0−0.70.70.60.5
Lithuania0.1−0.5−2.8−8.2−5.2−7.2−1.2−0.90.90.20.00.10.20.30.5
Luxembourg0.63.12.0−1.0−0.90.0−0.10.50.3−0.60.10.10.40.40.5
Malta1.11.2−0.9−0.1−0.20.5−0.60.20.81.11.31.51.61.82.1
Netherlands1.71.61.7−4.0−3.8−3.1−2.8−1.3−1.3−0.70.20.40.30.40.4
New Zealand3.93.11.2−2.0−5.4−4.7−1.4−0.8−0.6−0.10.30.81.11.01.0
Norway15.914.115.58.08.811.111.79.26.65.25.25.15.04.74.2
Portugal−0.1−0.9−1.7−7.8−9.1−4.1−1.90.10.41.71.71.81.71.61.5
Singapore5.610.45.0−2.05.17.06.44.02.80.00.70.91.01.11.0
Slovak Republic−2.7−1.0−1.5−6.8−6.4−2.8−2.6−0.9−1.4−1.2−1.0−0.7−0.7−0.6−0.6
Slovenia0.31.20.5−4.6−4.0−4.2−1.4−11.6−2.8−1.0−0.3−0.10.00.00.0
Spain13.53.1−3.4−9.6−7.8−7.5−7.9−4.0−3.0−1.6−0.4−0.10.30.80.8
Sweden2.94.02.5−0.70.20.3−0.6−1.4−2.2−1.4−0.7−0.5−0.10.20.6
Switzerland1.81.92.31.10.70.80.40.20.6−0.10.10.20.30.30.3
United Kingdom−1.3−1.3−3.6−9.4−7.2−4.9−5.4−4.4−3.8−3.2−1.40.41.31.61.6
United States−0.4−1.1−5.0−11.6−9.2−7.6−6.3−3.6−3.2−2.2−1.8−1.3−1.1−1.2−1.3
Average0.10.4−2.0−7.3−6.1−4.6−3.9−2.6−2.2−1.7−1.2−0.6−0.3−0.2−0.2
Euro Area1.11.90.4−3.8−3.7−1.6−1.0−0.4−0.3−0.10.30.50.91.11.3
G7−0.6−0.3−2.7−8.3−7.0−5.5−4.7−3.2−2.7−2.1−1.5−1.0−0.6−0.6−0.6
G20 Advanced−0.5−0.2−2.6−8.0−6.7−5.3−4.4−3.0−2.6−2.0−1.5−0.9−0.5−0.5−0.4
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: Primary balance is defined as the overall balance excluding net interest payments. For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table A.
Table A3.Advanced Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Balance, 2006–20(Percent of potential GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia1.71.2−1.4−4.4−4.9−4.2−3.0−2.6−3.0−2.7−2.2−1.7−1.3−1.0−0.8
Austria−3.0−2.8−3.1−4.3−3.8−3.0−2.5−1.3−2.8−1.2−1.4−1.4−1.3−1.3−1.3
Belgium−0.5−1.3−2.2−4.7−3.9−4.1−3.8−2.2−2.5−2.3−1.7−1.0−0.7−0.4−0.1
Canada1.00.8−0.6−3.0−4.0−3.2−2.6−2.3−1.5−1.6−1.2−0.9−0.7−0.6−0.2
Cyprus. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Czech Republic−3.9−2.9−4.3−5.3−4.4−3.1−3.3−0.2−0.1−0.9−1.1−1.2−1.2−1.1−1.0
Denmark2.93.01.4−1.6−1.6−1.5−2.70.12.7−1.8−2.2−2.4−2.1−1.7−1.2
Estonia. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Finland2.22.11.60.2−1.2−1.0−1.1−0.6−0.6−0.6−0.3−0.3−0.2−0.4−0.5
France−3.1−3.7−3.7−5.4−5.6−4.6−4.1−3.0−2.7−2.5−2.2−1.8−1.2−0.6−0.1
Germany−1.6−0.8−1.1−0.8−3.3−1.3−0.20.50.80.30.20.10.30.30.3
Greece−8.4−10.5−13.9−18.6−12.1−8.0−2.02.21.52.12.11.30.80.81.0
Hong Kong SAR11.74.2−0.6−0.91.01.30.6−0.82.71.51.10.60.91.71.6
Iceland4.32.8−4.4−10.0−7.8−4.9−3.1−1.42.70.30.01.30.60.70.8
Ireland1−5.5−9.7−13.0−11.0−8.9−6.5−5.0−4.0−2.8−2.0−1.4−0.60.00.00.0
Israel−1.8−1.7−3.7−5.7−4.9−4.4−5.4−4.2−3.4−3.5−3.6−2.9−2.2−1.8−1.5
Italy−4.4−3.0−3.7−3.6−3.5−3.2−1.4−0.6−0.6−0.40.20.40.60.80.9
Japan−3.5−2.2−3.5−7.4−7.8−8.3−7.8−8.2−7.2−6.0−4.9−4.3−3.8−4.0−4.4
Korea0.91.71.30.51.41.51.60.80.40.40.60.91.11.41.7
Latvia. . .−1.0−8.4−3.2−3.2−1.30.8−0.9−1.5−1.2−0.9−1.7−0.5−0.4−0.5
Lithuania−2.3−4.2−6.4−6.0−4.5−7.1−2.8−2.1−0.3−1.4−1.4−1.4−1.4−1.4−1.4
Luxembourg1.22.62.21.3−0.5−0.10.91.20.6−0.40.20.20.40.40.5
Malta−2.7−3.1−5.6−2.4−3.1−2.5−3.7−2.9−2.5−2.0−1.8−1.6−1.4−1.2−0.9
Netherlands0.2−0.7−0.8−4.4−3.9−3.6−2.10.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.6
New Zealand3.12.61.2−1.0−4.4−4.3−1.4−0.8−0.7−0.20.41.01.31.41.5
Norway1−3.5−3.3−3.4−5.7−5.5−4.6−5.1−5.3−6.1−6.8−7.2−7.2−7.2−7.2−7.2
Portugal−1.9−3.7−4.2−8.9−10.8−6.3−3.1−1.7−2.1−1.7−1.9−2.1−2.3−2.4−2.5
Singapore7.011.56.61.06.28.07.75.14.01.42.12.32.52.52.4
Slovak Republic−4.1−4.1−4.7−7.0−7.5−4.1−3.9−1.9−2.2−1.9−1.9−1.6−1.5−1.4−1.4
Slovenia−2.0−2.4−2.8−4.1−4.5−4.1−2.1−2.1−3.2−2.8−3.3−3.5−3.6−3.7−3.8
Spain11.20.5−5.6−9.5−7.8−7.0−4.2−3.0−2.7−2.3−1.5−1.5−1.4−1.2−1.5
Sweden11.21.50.8−0.10.70.0−0.2−0.9−1.4−1.0−0.7−0.7−0.5−0.20.2
Switzerland10.50.30.80.80.20.40.20.10.30.00.00.00.00.00.0
United Kingdom1−4.8−5.4−6.8−9.9−8.1−5.8−5.6−3.6−4.2−4.0−2.6−1.3−0.5−0.3−0.5
United States1, 2−3.5−4.3−6.2−7.9−9.7−8.3−6.8−5.2−4.4−3.8−3.8−3.4−3.4−3.7−3.9
Average−2.6−2.7−4.1−6.1−6.8−5.7−4.7−3.6−3.1−2.8−2.5−2.2−2.0−2.0−2.1
Euro Area−2.0−2.0−3.2−4.5−4.8−3.7−2.6−1.1−1.0−0.9−0.7−0.6−0.3−0.10.0
G7−3.2−3.4−4.6−6.5−7.6−6.5−5.5−4.3−3.7−3.3−3.0−2.6−2.3−2.5−2.6
G20 Advanced−3.0−3.1−4.4−6.2−7.3−6.2−5.1−4.1−3.5−3.1−2.8−2.4−2.2−2.3−2.3
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).
Table A4.Advanced Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Primary Balance, 2006–20(Percent of potential GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia1.41.0−1.4−4.3−4.6−3.6−2.3−1.7−2.0−1.7−1.1−0.6−0.20.10.3
Austria−0.5−0.4−0.6−1.8−1.4−0.6−0.20.8−0.80.91.11.21.31.31.3
Belgium3.32.41.4−1.4−0.7−0.9−0.60.70.40.30.81.21.51.71.9
Canada1.61.3−0.6−2.1−3.4−2.8−2.1−2.0−1.1−1.3−0.9−0.6−0.3−0.10.2
Cyprus. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Czech Republic−3.2−2.2−3.5−4.3−3.3−1.9−2.10.91.00.20.0−0.1−0.1−0.10.2
Denmark3.83.61.6−1.1−1.0−0.9−2.20.63.3−1.2−1.6−2.1−1.8−1.4−0.9
Estonia. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Finland2.01.71.0−0.2−1.2−1.0−0.9−0.5−0.4−0.4−0.1−0.2−0.2−0.3−0.3
France−0.7−1.2−1.0−3.2−3.4−2.1−1.7−0.9−0.7−0.6−0.4−0.10.51.01.5
Germany0.81.71.21.4−1.20.61.62.02.11.41.10.91.00.90.8
Greece−3.6−5.4−8.4−13.2−6.0−1.02.65.85.35.75.85.04.44.34.2
Hong Kong SAR11.43.9−1.0−1.00.81.10.5−1.02.51.41.00.50.81.61.5
Iceland4.73.1−4.6−6.9−4.9−1.80.42.36.23.92.94.03.03.13.0
Ireland1−4.7−9.0−12.3−9.6−6.5−3.7−1.5−0.30.71.01.52.42.82.92.8
Israel3.33.00.5−1.8−1.0−0.7−1.7−0.60.0−0.1−0.10.61.21.71.9
Italy−0.11.61.10.40.41.13.33.93.73.43.73.73.73.83.9
Japan−3.6−2.2−3.2−6.9−7.2−7.6−6.9−7.5−6.6−5.4−4.4−3.7−3.2−3.3−3.4
Korea2.21.00.9−0.20.70.80.80.0−0.4−0.20.20.81.01.31.8
Latvia. . .−0.8−8.3−2.6−2.3−0.52.00.2−0.20.10.1−0.70.70.60.4
Lithuania−1.7−3.7−5.9−5.0−3.0−5.4−0.8−0.31.30.20.20.20.30.30.4
Luxembourg0.41.50.90.8−0.8−0.40.61.00.4−0.60.10.10.30.40.5
Malta1.10.6−2.10.90.10.8−0.60.10.61.01.21.41.61.92.1
Netherlands1.70.70.7−3.0−2.7−2.4−1.01.51.51.31.31.21.21.21.2
New Zealand2.72.30.9−1.5−4.7−4.2−1.2−0.7−0.7−0.20.30.81.11.11.2
Norway1−6.5−7.3−7.4−8.8−8.2−7.3−7.5−7.7−8.9−9.5−9.9−9.9−9.8−9.8−9.8
Portugal0.0−1.6−2.1−6.9−8.7−3.10.42.92.63.02.52.11.81.61.5
Singapore5.510.05.1−0.44.66.46.23.62.60.00.70.91.01.11.0
Slovak Republic−3.2−3.1−3.8−6.0−6.4−2.7−2.3−0.2−0.7−0.6−0.6−0.4−0.6−0.5−0.6
Slovenia−0.9−1.4−2.0−3.2−3.3−2.8−0.50.1−0.30.1−0.2−0.20.00.00.0
Spain12.51.6−4.5−8.2−6.3−5.1−1.9−0.40.00.20.90.80.91.10.8
Sweden12.02.21.30.10.90.3−0.1−0.9−1.5−1.1−0.8−0.8−0.5−0.10.3
Switzerland11.41.11.41.40.80.90.70.50.70.30.30.30.30.30.3
United Kingdom1−3.1−3.7−5.2−8.5−5.7−3.2−3.3−2.3−2.4−2.4−0.90.61.41.61.4
United States1−1.5−2.2−4.1−6.1−7.8−6.1−4.6−3.2−2.3−1.8−1.7−1.3−1.1−1.3−1.3
Average−0.9−1.0−2.4−4.5−5.1−3.9−2.9−1.9−1.5−1.3−1.0−0.6−0.4−0.3−0.3
Euro Area0.50.6−0.6−2.1−2.4−1.10.01.21.31.21.31.21.41.51.6
G7−1.4−1.4−2.7−4.7−5.8−4.5−3.4−2.5−1.8−1.6−1.3−0.8−0.5−0.6−0.5
G20 Advanced−1.2−1.3−2.5−4.6−5.5−4.3−3.3−2.4−1.8−1.5−1.2−0.8−0.5−0.5−0.4
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: Cyclically adjusted primary balance is defined as the cyclically adjusted balance excluding net interest payments.
Table A5.Advanced Economies: General Government Revenue, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia36.435.834.033.432.032.133.434.034.034.935.035.435.736.036.2
Austria47.747.848.348.848.348.248.749.550.050.249.749.749.749.749.7
Belgium47.947.648.347.748.449.350.751.551.351.050.950.950.950.950.9
Canada40.640.138.738.838.238.038.037.937.638.138.238.338.338.338.6
Cyprus38.541.339.636.937.737.036.337.640.139.339.338.839.139.239.2
Czech Republic37.938.537.337.337.538.038.338.939.038.537.837.737.637.737.4
Denmark54.854.653.754.054.354.855.156.056.452.552.150.750.650.750.9
Estonia35.736.036.142.340.639.139.538.438.438.638.939.039.039.139.1
Finland52.351.952.452.352.253.454.055.355.555.656.056.256.356.456.4
France50.249.749.849.649.650.851.853.053.353.253.153.053.052.952.8
Germany42.342.342.643.742.342.944.344.544.644.544.444.444.444.444.4
Greece38.740.140.638.741.043.644.645.043.643.443.342.741.841.440.3
Hong Kong SAR20.023.518.819.022.324.122.622.123.721.221.119.919.719.419.4
Iceland46.845.642.438.939.640.141.842.547.943.942.942.841.841.841.5
Ireland36.936.235.033.733.633.534.234.834.733.733.132.431.731.330.9
Israel42.942.139.536.537.337.836.537.137.437.337.437.938.538.939.1
Italy44.045.245.145.945.645.647.847.948.748.348.448.648.748.848.8
Japan30.831.231.629.629.630.831.132.032.633.333.434.034.835.035.4
Korea21.322.622.321.321.021.622.121.621.621.421.421.521.621.621.6
Latvia33.533.833.435.736.135.637.136.135.535.133.932.733.633.432.7
Lithuania33.333.433.834.334.332.632.132.132.832.732.332.332.532.632.6
Luxembourg41.042.342.644.543.342.643.544.544.744.044.244.144.344.344.4
Malta39.738.938.438.537.738.238.739.540.542.141.441.441.541.641.7
Netherlands43.742.944.042.743.242.743.544.544.142.943.243.043.043.043.0
New Zealand38.436.836.435.234.534.434.234.133.734.133.833.833.633.333.3
Norway57.456.557.455.455.056.255.854.453.752.752.452.852.852.752.5
Portugal40.941.541.640.440.642.642.945.244.544.744.744.744.644.544.5
Singapore19.823.824.017.421.123.222.321.522.422.422.522.823.123.423.5
Slovak Republic34.934.134.035.934.536.436.038.438.438.538.138.037.937.937.8
Slovenia41.139.840.439.840.840.641.740.741.640.941.041.041.141.041.0
Spain40.540.936.734.836.236.037.037.537.838.138.238.238.238.238.2
Sweden52.251.751.051.049.649.049.549.348.548.848.949.149.249.249.2
Switzerland33.432.731.431.831.231.731.331.331.331.331.331.331.331.331.3
United Kingdom36.836.537.035.135.636.136.336.835.835.635.936.136.036.136.1
United States31.531.730.228.428.829.129.230.931.432.032.031.931.731.531.5
Average36.536.936.435.034.935.435.636.636.836.636.636.536.536.536.5
Euro Area44.444.544.244.244.144.645.946.546.746.546.446.446.446.446.3
G735.736.135.634.234.134.734.936.136.536.436.436.436.336.336.3
G20 Advanced35.335.635.233.933.634.234.435.535.835.735.735.735.735.635.7
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table A.
Table A6.Advanced Economies: General Government Expenditure, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia34.634.335.138.037.136.636.837.037.638.237.737.437.237.037.0
Austria50.249.149.854.152.850.951.050.953.352.051.451.251.151.051.0
Belgium47.747.649.453.252.353.254.854.454.553.953.052.351.851.451.1
Canada38.838.639.043.443.141.741.140.739.439.839.439.239.038.938.8
Cyprus39.638.138.742.542.542.842.141.940.240.439.038.538.038.338.2
Czech Republic40.139.239.442.841.941.042.340.340.040.039.038.938.838.838.4
Denmark49.849.650.556.857.156.858.857.154.654.754.252.652.151.751.4
Estonia33.333.639.044.340.438.039.738.938.139.139.039.039.039.139.1
Finland48.346.848.354.854.754.456.157.658.358.057.857.457.157.157.0
France52.552.253.056.856.455.956.757.157.557.156.655.754.954.053.2
Germany43.942.142.646.746.443.744.244.343.944.244.044.043.843.843.8
Greece44.846.850.554.052.153.750.947.846.344.242.742.041.240.639.4
Hong Kong SAR15.915.418.717.417.820.019.321.018.418.018.618.117.516.316.3
Iceland41.040.755.448.649.345.745.544.246.043.842.841.641.341.140.7
Ireland34.136.042.047.666.146.142.240.538.536.134.533.031.731.330.9
Israel45.143.342.942.741.941.841.641.241.040.840.840.840.740.640.6
Italy47.646.847.851.149.949.150.850.851.750.950.149.749.348.848.5
Japan34.533.335.740.038.940.639.940.540.339.638.438.338.639.039.8
Korea20.320.520.821.319.519.920.620.921.321.020.820.620.420.119.9
Latvia33.933.240.543.443.438.836.937.237.136.434.934.434.133.733.2
Lithuania33.734.437.043.641.241.535.334.733.634.133.934.034.034.033.9
Luxembourg39.638.139.445.043.942.343.443.844.244.443.943.943.943.943.9
Malta42.341.142.641.941.040.942.442.242.743.943.042.942.842.742.6
Netherlands43.542.843.848.248.247.047.546.846.344.343.743.343.343.343.3
New Zealand34.133.535.036.739.539.235.834.934.334.133.432.832.332.032.1
Norway39.339.538.945.044.143.042.243.345.045.445.145.545.645.946.2
Portugal42.944.545.350.251.850.048.550.149.047.847.547.247.047.047.0
Singapore12.812.017.618.014.514.714.516.118.220.920.420.520.720.820.9
Slovak Republic38.536.136.443.842.040.640.241.041.441.040.439.839.539.439.2
Slovenia41.939.640.745.346.146.144.854.547.444.944.544.444.644.744.7
Spain38.338.941.145.845.645.447.344.343.642.441.140.740.339.739.6
Sweden50.148.348.951.949.649.050.250.750.650.249.649.549.349.048.7
Switzerland32.531.529.731.331.131.431.431.531.131.731.631.531.331.331.3
United Kingdom39.739.542.145.945.243.844.142.541.540.439.037.636.636.436.4
United States33.934.937.241.940.139.037.836.636.836.235.935.335.035.235.4
Average38.038.140.044.042.641.941.440.940.739.839.338.738.438.438.4
Euro Area45.845.146.350.450.248.749.549.449.448.748.147.747.346.946.6
G738.138.340.344.443.042.341.741.241.140.239.639.138.738.838.9
G20 Advanced37.537.639.643.642.141.440.840.340.239.438.838.337.937.938.0
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table A.
Table A7.Advanced Economies: General Government Gross Debt, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia110.09.711.716.820.524.227.930.734.338.140.241.441.641.240.7
Austria67.064.868.579.782.482.181.781.286.888.887.486.285.484.583.5
Belgium90.886.992.299.399.6102.1104.0104.5105.6106.6106.2104.9102.9100.397.4
Canada170.466.770.883.084.685.387.987.786.587.085.083.181.580.178.7
Cyprus59.653.744.753.556.566.079.5102.2107.1105.7111.0105.1100.395.891.4
Czech Republic27.026.727.533.136.839.443.943.841.642.042.041.440.940.439.8
Denmark31.527.333.440.442.946.445.645.142.643.944.344.343.842.841.5
Estonia4.43.64.57.06.56.19.710.19.710.110.09.89.59.39.0
Finland38.133.932.541.546.648.552.955.759.661.762.863.263.262.761.9
France64.264.267.978.881.585.089.292.495.197.098.197.996.994.992.1
Germany66.363.564.972.480.377.679.076.973.169.566.664.161.659.256.9
Greece102.9102.8108.8126.2145.7171.0156.5174.9177.2172.7162.4151.8142.1132.9124.2
Hong Kong SAR14.84.54.04.95.86.47.17.06.96.46.26.05.85.65.5
Iceland29.227.167.383.188.195.192.885.782.173.868.764.460.857.454.0
Ireland23.824.042.662.287.4111.1121.7123.3109.5107.7104.9101.597.293.589.7
Israel81.073.972.775.071.169.768.367.668.869.069.068.767.866.464.8
Italy102.599.7102.3112.5115.3116.4123.2128.6132.1133.8132.9131.1128.7125.7122.4
Japan186.0183.0191.8210.2216.0229.8236.8242.6246.4246.1247.0248.6249.5250.7251.6
Korea29.328.728.031.231.031.732.333.935.736.938.138.738.838.537.8
Latvia9.27.216.132.339.837.536.535.237.837.737.036.635.033.531.9
Lithuania18.016.715.429.036.337.339.939.037.738.138.137.837.236.635.7
Luxembourg7.07.214.415.519.618.521.423.624.626.327.228.329.129.930.5
Malta64.662.462.767.867.669.767.469.268.167.565.764.563.261.759.8
Netherlands44.642.554.756.459.061.366.568.668.367.565.664.062.460.859.2
New Zealand19.117.019.925.531.536.536.935.534.033.133.732.629.526.824.4
Norway52.949.647.842.442.528.629.530.130.130.130.130.130.130.130.1
Portugal61.668.471.783.696.2111.1125.8129.7130.2126.3124.3122.7122.2121.7120.9
Singapore85.184.795.399.797.0101.0105.5102.198.897.895.292.389.590.892.0
Slovak Republic30.729.828.236.041.143.552.154.654.053.954.053.452.651.750.6
Slovenia26.022.721.634.437.946.253.370.082.979.882.183.685.286.888.4
Spain38.935.539.452.760.169.284.492.197.799.4100.1100.199.498.096.4
Sweden43.038.136.740.236.736.136.438.641.541.139.638.236.434.432.3
Switzerland59.753.348.747.947.147.448.247.046.145.945.644.743.742.641.6
United Kingdom42.543.651.865.876.481.885.887.389.591.191.790.788.986.183.2
United States163.664.072.886.094.899.1102.4103.4104.8105.1104.9104.3103.6103.9104.3
Average74.672.078.892.198.6102.6106.8105.2105.3105.4105.1104.2103.0102.1101.1
Euro Area67.265.068.678.483.986.591.193.494.093.592.490.989.086.784.2
G783.181.189.2104.0112.0117.0121.2118.8118.4117.7117.3116.5115.2114.5113.8
G20 Advanced79.577.385.199.5106.2110.5114.4112.3112.2111.9111.7110.9109.7108.9108.1
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table A.
Table A8.Advanced Economies: General Government Net Debt, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Australia1−6.3−7.3−5.3−0.63.98.111.213.717.019.921.622.522.822.722.4
Austria. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .49.548.951.151.050.449.649.048.147.1
Belgium60.754.156.160.759.360.261.963.665.467.167.667.366.364.862.9
Canada127.824.324.329.932.934.636.437.137.338.337.937.136.435.534.3
Cyprus. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Czech Republic. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Denmark1.1−4.6−6.7−5.9−3.31.15.42.70.83.15.06.77.98.58.6
Estonia−8.7−8.5−5.6−6.8−5.5−3.8−5.8−3.9−3.9−2.3−1.7−1.3−0.9−0.5−0.3
Finland−66.5−69.7−50.0−59.6−62.1−49.4−50.8−47.9−44.7−41.5−38.6−36.2−34.2−32.2−30.4
France57.857.760.370.173.776.481.584.787.489.390.490.289.287.284.4
Germany51.648.748.755.056.855.054.352.749.746.944.742.740.838.937.1
Greece. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .152.8172.1174.3169.9159.7149.2139.7130.6122.0
Hong Kong SAR. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Iceland20.417.453.166.465.661.764.062.858.352.548.445.142.439.937.4
Ireland11.210.120.437.267.579.187.992.185.785.583.881.377.774.871.7
Israel72.466.565.367.064.964.163.062.664.064.464.664.563.862.661.2
Italy86.384.186.294.296.398.4103.0107.5110.4111.8111.1109.6107.6105.1102.3
Japan81.080.595.3106.2113.1127.3129.1122.9127.3129.6131.9134.2135.8137.4138.7
Korea27.626.926.829.929.830.630.533.335.136.337.638.238.338.037.4
Latvia7.04.511.021.328.430.029.432.234.934.834.233.932.530.929.5
Lithuania11.011.012.623.029.232.933.716.416.017.218.319.119.620.020.1
Luxembourg. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Malta. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Netherlands20.617.716.220.123.326.430.432.634.435.335.034.333.632.932.1
New Zealand8.76.47.311.516.721.824.925.725.826.225.624.422.720.818.6
Norway−136.2−142.6−128.0−157.4−167.0−161.9−170.7−204.7−244.2−248.1−248.8−248.9−248.2−246.8−245.0
Portugal56.761.467.679.791.9100.9115.9119.4120.1119.2118.5117.8117.4117.0116.4
Singapore. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Slovak Republic. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Slovenia. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Spain30.026.030.024.332.539.351.959.564.867.468.869.669.769.268.4
Sweden−12.0−16.2−11.6−18.2−20.6−18.6−22.3−25.4−21.4−19.3−17.9−16.7−15.8−15.3−15.1
Switzerland37.530.228.527.927.327.426.825.724.824.624.223.422.321.320.3
United Kingdom37.938.345.758.869.173.477.178.781.082.683.182.280.477.574.7
United States144.744.550.462.169.576.179.279.579.780.480.780.580.581.282.1
Average45.643.649.058.363.468.171.369.870.472.072.372.171.671.270.8
Euro Area48.045.647.552.856.458.566.769.069.869.869.268.166.765.063.0
G753.352.358.769.675.881.784.482.683.183.683.883.683.182.882.5
G20 Advanced50.949.855.866.571.877.179.678.178.879.780.079.779.379.078.6
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table A.
Table A9.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Overall Balance, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria13.96.19.1−5.5−0.4−0.4−4.1−0.8−6.2−12.5−9.9−7.5−5.5−3.8−2.6
Angola11.84.7−4.5−7.43.48.74.6−0.3−2.8−4.7−2.3−2.2−2.4−2.8−3.4
Argentina1.80.30.8−1.60.0−1.9−2.4−2.0−2.7−4.1−4.0−4.4−4.7−4.9−5.3
Azerbaijan1.12.320.06.614.011.63.81.40.4−5.71.42.54.35.25.5
Belarus1.21.51.9−0.4−0.54.21.7−0.90.1−3.0−2.6−3.1−3.7−4.3−4.6
Brazil−3.6−2.7−1.5−3.2−2.7−2.5−2.6−3.1−6.2−5.3−4.7−4.2−3.5−3.0−2.6
Chile7.47.94.1−4.1−0.41.40.7−0.5−1.4−2.1−1.9−1.2−0.6−0.7−0.6
China−1.10.10.0−1.8−1.20.60.0−1.1−1.1−1.9−2.2−1.9−1.6−1.5−1.3
Colombia−1.0−0.8−0.3−2.8−3.3−2.00.1−0.9−1.4−3.2−2.6−2.5−2.2−1.9−1.7
Croatia−3.3−2.5−2.7−5.9−6.0−7.7−5.6−5.2−5.0−4.8−3.8−3.3−2.9−2.9−2.9
Dominican Republic−0.90.1−3.3−3.0−2.7−3.0−6.6−3.6−3.0−2.4−2.2−2.2−2.3−2.5−2.9
Ecuador2.91.80.5−3.6−1.30.0−0.9−4.6−5.2−5.4−4.8−4.0−2.7−1.4−1.3
Egypt1−9.2−7.5−8.0−6.9−8.3−9.8−10.5−14.1−13.6−11.8−9.4−8.6−8.4−8.2−7.9
Hungary−9.2−5.0−3.6−4.5−4.5−5.2−2.3−2.4−2.6−2.7−2.5−2.5−2.5−2.4−2.3
India−6.2−4.4−10.0−9.8−8.4−8.1−7.5−7.2−7.1−7.2−7.1−6.9−6.7−6.5−6.4
Indonesia0.4−0.90.1−1.6−1.2−0.6−1.6−2.0−2.2−2.3−2.1−1.9−1.7−1.7−1.6
Iran2.06.70.60.82.80.2−0.3−0.9−1.4−2.5−2.3−2.5−2.7−2.7−2.7
Kazakhstan7.75.11.2−1.31.56.04.55.01.9−3.2−1.9−0.3−0.40.30.4
Kuwait31.937.420.227.225.933.935.634.925.56.213.015.415.314.413.3
Libya31.828.627.5−5.311.6−15.927.8−4.0−43.5−68.2−43.3−15.6−14.5−9.5−12.0
Malaysia−2.7−2.7−3.6−6.7−4.7−3.7−3.9−4.4−3.7−3.5−2.9−2.9−2.6−2.4−2.1
Mexico−1.0−1.2−1.0−5.1−4.3−3.3−3.7−3.8−4.6−4.1−3.5−3.0−2.5−2.5−2.5
Morocco−2.0−0.10.7−1.8−4.4−6.7−7.4−5.2−4.9−4.3−3.5−3.0−2.9−2.7−2.7
Oman14.412.417.3−0.35.79.44.73.2−1.5−14.8−11.6−10.7−11.2−11.3−12.5
Pakistan−3.4−5.1−7.1−5.0−5.9−6.9−8.4−8.1−4.7−4.7−3.8−3.5−3.4−3.1−2.8
Peru2.03.32.7−1.70.02.21.90.7−0.1−1.7−1.4−1.2−1.0−0.8−0.8
Philippines0.0−0.30.0−2.7−2.4−0.4−0.6−0.10.5−0.9−1.0−1.1−1.2−1.3−1.4
Poland−4.0−2.1−3.6−7.2−7.6−4.9−3.7−4.0−3.5−2.9−2.3−2.4−2.0−1.9−1.9
Qatar8.510.410.815.56.110.214.220.514.55.61.91.21.10.5−0.1
Romania−1.3−3.1−4.7−7.1−6.3−4.2−2.5−2.5−1.9−1.8−1.7−1.5−1.4−1.3−1.3
Russia8.46.04.9−6.3−3.41.50.4−1.3−1.2−3.7−2.6−1.3−0.4−0.4−0.5
Saudi Arabia24.415.031.6−4.15.212.014.78.7−0.5−14.2−8.1−5.4−5.2−4.6−4.5
South Africa0.71.2−0.5−4.7−4.8−3.9−4.1−4.1−4.1−4.2−3.4−3.1−3.0−2.9−2.7
Sri Lanka−7.0−6.9−7.0−9.9−8.0−6.9−6.5−5.9−5.9−6.7−7.4−7.3−7.2−7.4−7.4
Thailand2.20.20.1−3.2−0.8−0.6−1.8−0.2−1.8−1.9−2.0−1.9−1.9−1.9−1.8
Turkey−0.7−1.9−2.7−6.0−3.4−0.6−1.7−1.3−1.5−1.4−0.9−0.8−1.1−1.3−0.9
Ukraine−1.3−1.9−3.0−6.0−5.8−2.8−4.3−4.8−4.5−4.2−3.7−3.1−2.6−2.4−2.2
United Arab Emirates25.321.820.1−4.32.06.310.99.96.0−3.00.01.22.33.13.9
Uruguay−0.50.0−1.6−1.7−1.5−0.9−2.8−2.4−3.4−2.8−2.9−3.0−3.0−3.0−3.1
Venezuela−1.6−2.8−3.5−8.7−10.4−11.6−16.5−14.6−14.8−19.9−20.4−20.8−21.5−22.1−22.5
Average1.31.10.9−3.6−2.4−0.7−0.7−1.5−2.4−3.7−3.3−2.8−2.5−2.4−2.2
Asia−1.9−1.1−1.9−3.4−2.7−1.2−1.4−2.1−2.1−2.8−2.9−2.7−2.5−2.3−2.2
Europe2.41.50.8−5.8−3.8−0.1−0.7−1.5−1.6−2.9−2.0−1.4−1.0−1.0−0.9
Latin America−1.1−1.1−0.8−3.8−3.0−2.7−3.1−3.2−4.9−4.9−4.4−4.0−3.7−3.6−3.4
MENAP13.911.513.3−0.72.74.77.14.90.0−7.5−4.7−3.2−2.8−2.4−2.3
G20 Emerging0.50.20.5−3.9−2.6−0.8−1.0−1.8−2.6−3.5−3.2−2.8−2.5−2.4−2.2
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table B. MENAP = Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Table A10.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Primary Balance, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria13.86.08.8−6.0−0.8−1.7−5.0−0.9−6.3−13.3−10.3−7.8−5.7−4.1−2.8
Angola13.45.8−2.5−5.64.69.65.50.5−1.7−2.7−0.5−0.3−0.5−0.9−1.3
Argentina3.21.92.30.21.3−0.4−0.5−0.7−1.0−1.6−1.4−1.4−1.3−1.2−1.1
Azerbaijan1.22.420.16.714.112.04.01.70.6−5.51.72.84.65.65.9
Belarus1.61.92.50.40.25.33.10.11.4−1.2−0.5−0.7−0.7−0.9−1.0
Brazil3.23.23.81.92.32.92.01.8−0.61.22.02.32.52.52.5
Chile7.67.73.8−4.3−0.31.50.8−0.4−1.4−1.9−1.5−0.70.00.00.0
China−0.70.50.4−1.3−0.81.10.5−0.6−0.7−1.4−1.7−1.3−1.1−1.0−0.7
Colombia1.71.81.9−1.1−1.6−0.11.61.20.9−0.50.00.00.30.50.7
Croatia−1.8−1.1−1.2−3.9−3.8−4.8−2.4−1.9−1.5−0.90.20.91.41.41.4
Dominican Republic0.41.6−1.7−1.2−0.9−1.0−4.2−1.2−0.50.20.10.10.00.00.0
Ecuador4.83.41.6−3.0−0.80.6−0.2−3.6−4.0−4.1−3.6−2.5−1.00.50.6
Egypt1−4.2−3.0−3.9−3.7−3.8−4.7−5.1−6.6−6.1−4.4−1.9−1.2−1.0−0.6−0.3
Hungary−5.6−1.20.0−0.5−0.7−1.41.61.91.40.90.91.00.80.91.1
India−1.30.4−5.3−5.2−4.2−3.8−3.1−2.6−2.6−2.2−2.4−2.3−2.3−2.2−2.1
Indonesia2.50.91.7−0.10.00.6−0.4−0.8−0.9−1.0−0.7−0.6−0.4−0.4−0.3
Iran2.06.80.70.82.70.3−0.2−0.9−1.3−2.4−2.3−2.4−2.6−2.7−2.7
Kazakhstan7.24.21.5−1.41.85.83.94.51.4−3.7−2.3−0.6−0.60.10.4
Kuwait19.225.511.118.116.926.527.526.015.3−8.4−2.9−2.0−2.5−3.4−4.4
Libya31.828.627.5−5.311.6−15.927.8−4.0−43.5−68.2−43.3−15.6−14.5−9.5−12.0
Malaysia−1.7−2.0−2.1−5.1−3.0−2.1−2.1−2.5−1.7−1.5−0.7−0.8−0.4−0.20.0
Mexico1.81.51.5−2.4−1.7−1.0−1.1−1.3−2.0−1.4−0.60.00.60.70.7
Morocco1.23.03.30.6−2.1−4.4−4.9−2.7−2.2−1.6−0.7−0.2−0.10.10.2
Oman13.010.816.0−1.44.89.03.42.6−2.2−16.0−13.1−12.6−13.0−12.5−13.2
Pakistan−0.5−1.1−2.5−0.1−1.6−3.1−4.0−3.7−0.20.00.70.60.70.80.6
Peru3.95.24.1−0.51.13.32.81.70.8−0.8−0.4−0.20.10.10.0
Philippines4.83.43.40.60.72.22.02.32.81.41.21.00.80.60.3
Poland−1.40.2−1.5−4.7−5.1−2.4−1.1−1.5−1.3−0.8−0.2−0.40.00.20.2
Qatar9.311.011.416.67.211.715.621.515.56.52.71.91.61.00.3
Romania−0.7−2.5−4.1−6.1−5.0−2.8−0.7−0.8−0.4−0.5−0.10.10.20.30.3
Russia8.96.05.1−6.6−3.31.80.7−0.9−0.8−3.2−2.0−0.50.40.40.4
Saudi Arabia25.314.831.0−3.95.612.114.68.4−1.1−14.9−8.8−6.2−5.8−4.7−4.2
South Africa3.53.72.0−2.4−2.2−1.2−1.3−1.1−1.0−1.0−0.10.30.50.70.9
Sri Lanka−1.9−1.8−2.2−3.4−1.7−1.4−1.1−0.7−1.7−2.1−3.1−2.9−2.7−2.6−2.2
Thailand3.51.21.0−2.4−0.10.3−0.90.6−0.9−1.1−1.1−1.0−1.0−1.0−1.0
Turkey4.42.91.7−1.40.32.11.11.40.81.41.51.41.41.41.4
Ukraine−0.7−1.4−2.5−4.9−4.1−0.8−2.4−2.3−1.21.11.41.61.61.61.6
United Arab Emirates25.321.820.1−4.12.36.511.210.36.4−2.50.41.62.63.44.2
Uruguay3.73.61.41.21.62.0−0.20.4−0.50.20.0−0.2−0.3−0.4−0.4
Venezuela0.5−1.2−2.0−7.2−8.6−9.4−13.8−11.6−10.9−16.8−18.0−18.8−19.7−20.5−20.9
Average3.43.02.6−1.9−0.61.10.90.1−0.7−1.9−1.5−1.1−0.8−0.7−0.6
Asia−0.30.5−0.5−2.0−1.30.1−0.2−0.9−0.9−1.5−1.6−1.4−1.2−1.1−0.9
Europe4.33.12.3−4.3−2.31.20.6−0.2−0.3−1.3−0.50.10.60.70.7
Latin America2.72.52.4−0.50.20.80.00.0−1.3−0.9−0.40.00.20.20.2
MENAP14.011.513.4−0.33.35.17.55.50.6−6.9−4.2−2.8−2.4−1.9−1.7
G20 Emerging3.02.52.5−1.9−0.71.10.7−0.2−0.9−1.7−1.4−1.0−0.7−0.6−0.5
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: Primary balance is defined as the overall balance excluding net interest payments. For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table B. MENAP = Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Table A11.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Balance, 2006–20(Percent of potential GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Angola. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Argentina1.3−0.50.7−0.20.2−3.0−2.6−2.5−2.9−4.1−3.9−4.1−4.3−4.6−4.9
Azerbaijan. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Belarus. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Brazil−3.2−2.9−2.1−2.3−3.2−2.8−2.6−3.4−6.2−4.8−4.2−4.0−3.4−3.0−2.6
Chile10.80.5−1.5−4.3−2.5−1.0−0.1−1.1−1.5−2.2−1.7−1.2−0.7−0.7−0.7
China−0.6−0.1−0.3−1.8−1.30.60.2−0.7−0.7−1.6−2.0−1.8−1.6−1.5−1.3
Colombia−1.1−1.6−0.7−2.4−2.8−2.10.1−1.0−1.5−3.2−2.6−2.5−2.1−1.9−1.7
Croatia−5.5−4.7−5.0−5.3−4.9−6.7−4.0−3.5−3.1−3.2−2.6−2.5−2.6−2.9−2.9
Dominican Republic−1.3−0.4−4.1−2.4−3.2−2.5−6.1−2.7−2.9−2.7−2.4−2.3−2.3−2.5−2.9
Ecuador4.83.41.7−3.0−0.70.6−0.2−3.6−4.0−4.1−3.6−2.5−1.00.50.6
Egypt2−9.2−7.6−8.3−7.0−8.2−9.4−10.0−13.4−13.0−11.5−9.3−8.6−8.5−8.3−7.9
Hungary1−12.4−7.5−6.0−3.1−3.2−15.4−0.3−0.6−1.8−2.3−2.3−2.5−2.5−2.4−2.3
India−6.3−4.9−9.6−9.6−8.8−8.4−7.4−7.1−7.0−7.1−7.0−6.8−6.7−6.5−6.4
Indonesia0.4−0.9−0.1−1.6−1.2−0.6−1.6−2.1−2.1−2.3−2.1−1.9−1.7−1.7−1.6
Iran. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Kazakhstan. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Kuwait. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Libya. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Malaysia−3.0−3.3−3.8−5.9−4.6−3.2−4.1−4.3−3.9−4.0−3.2−3.1−2.8−2.6−2.2
Mexico−1.2−1.4−1.2−4.4−4.0−3.3−3.8−3.8−4.5−4.0−3.4−3.0−2.5−2.5−2.5
Morocco−2.5−1.3−0.4−1.9−4.5−6.9−7.6−5.4−6.2−5.7−4.4−3.9−3.0−2.8−2.8
Oman. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Pakistan. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Peru10.21.60.5−0.6−0.61.11.10.20.2−1.0−0.8−0.9−0.8−0.8−0.8
Philippines−0.2−0.8−0.6−1.8−2.5−0.2−0.7−0.30.2−1.5−1.5−1.5−1.6−1.6−1.7
Poland−4.3−2.6−4.2−7.1−7.6−5.5−3.8−3.3−3.2−2.8−2.3−2.4−2.0−1.9−1.9
Qatar. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Romania−2.9−5.8−9.4−8.0−6.1−3.8−1.6−1.9−1.5−1.4−1.3−1.2−1.2−1.3−1.3
Russia8.35.44.6−5.5−3.01.60.2−1.50.0−2.5−2.4−1.2−0.4−0.4−0.5
Saudi Arabia. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
South Africa1.51.0−0.7−3.1−3.5−3.5−3.9−3.8−3.7−3.7−3.0−2.7−2.7−2.7−2.6
Sri Lanka. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Thailand2.0−0.1−0.5−2.1−1.0−0.8−1.1−0.3−1.2−1.4−1.6−1.7−1.9−1.9−1.8
Turkey−1.8−3.2−3.1−3.6−2.7−1.4−1.8−1.5−1.5−1.3−0.8−0.8−1.1−1.3−0.9
Ukraine−1.9−3.6−3.5−2.2−2.8−3.2−4.6−4.6−3.3−2.2−2.4−2.6−2.5−2.4−2.2
United Arab Emirates. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Uruguay1.11.0−1.2−0.6−1.5−1.8−3.6−3.4−4.3−3.4−3.2−3.1−3.0−3.0−3.1
Venezuela. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Average−0.9−1.0−1.5−3.5−3.1−1.7−1.7−2.3−2.4−2.9−2.9−2.7−2.4−2.3−2.2
Asia−1.6−1.3−2.1−3.3−2.8−1.2−1.2−1.8−1.7−2.5−2.8−2.6−2.4−2.3−2.2
Europe1.60.4−0.1−5.2−3.8−1.3−1.1−1.9−1.1−2.2−1.9−1.4−1.0−1.1−1.0
Latin America−1.5−1.7−1.3−2.7−2.8−2.6−2.4−2.9−4.5−4.0−3.5−3.3−2.8−2.6−2.5
MENAP. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
G20 Emerging−0.5−0.7−1.1−3.4−2.9−1.4−1.5−2.1−2.3−2.8−2.9−2.6−2.4−2.3−2.1
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: MENAP = Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Table A12.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Primary Balance, 2006–20(Percent of potential GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Angola. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Argentina2.81.22.11.51.4−1.3−0.7−1.2−1.2−1.6−1.3−1.1−1.0−0.8−0.8
Azerbaijan. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Belarus. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Brazil3.53.13.32.71.92.62.01.5−0.61.62.42.42.62.52.5
Chile11.00.3−1.9−4.5−2.4−0.90.0−1.0−1.5−2.1−1.3−0.7−0.1−0.1−0.1
China−0.20.30.1−1.4−0.81.10.7−0.3−0.2−1.1−1.5−1.3−1.0−0.9−0.8
Colombia1.51.11.5−0.7−1.1−0.21.61.10.8−0.40.00.10.30.50.7
Croatia−3.7−3.2−3.4−3.3−2.7−3.9−0.9−0.20.30.71.51.71.71.41.4
Dominican Republic0.01.1−2.5−0.6−1.3−0.5−3.8−0.4−0.4−0.1−0.10.00.00.00.0
Ecuador6.85.12.8−2.4−0.21.30.6−2.6−2.9−2.8−2.3−1.00.72.32.5
Egypt2−4.2−3.1−4.2−3.8−3.7−4.4−4.8−6.1−5.6−4.2−1.9−1.1−1.0−0.7−0.4
Hungary1−8.5−3.5−2.20.80.5−11.73.43.52.01.21.11.00.80.91.1
India−1.40.0−5.0−5.0−4.6−4.1−3.0−2.5−2.5−2.1−2.4−2.3−2.3−2.2−2.1
Indonesia2.60.91.50.00.10.6−0.4−0.9−0.9−1.0−0.7−0.6−0.4−0.4−0.3
Iran. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Kazakhstan. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Kuwait. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Libya. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Malaysia−2.0−2.6−2.3−4.4−3.0−1.6−2.3−2.3−1.8−1.9−1.0−1.0−0.6−0.4−0.1
Mexico1.61.31.4−1.8−1.5−0.9−1.2−1.3−1.8−1.3−0.60.00.60.70.7
Morocco0.71.92.30.4−2.2−4.7−5.1−2.9−3.5−3.0−1.6−1.1−0.20.00.0
Oman. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Pakistan. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Peru12.13.41.90.50.42.22.01.21.1−0.10.10.10.20.20.1
Philippines4.73.02.81.40.52.41.92.22.50.90.70.60.40.20.0
Poland−1.7−0.3−2.0−4.7−5.1−2.9−1.1−0.8−1.0−0.7−0.2−0.40.00.20.2
Qatar. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Romania−2.3−5.2−8.7−7.0−4.9−2.30.1−0.30.0−0.10.30.40.30.30.3
Russia8.85.44.8−5.8−2.91.90.5−1.10.5−2.0−1.8−0.40.40.40.4
Saudi Arabia. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
South Africa4.33.51.7−0.8−1.0−0.9−1.1−0.9−0.6−0.50.30.70.70.91.0
Sri Lanka. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Thailand3.30.80.3−1.4−0.20.1−0.30.5−0.3−0.6−0.7−0.9−1.0−1.0−1.0
Turkey3.51.81.30.60.91.41.01.10.81.51.61.41.41.41.4
Ukraine−1.2−3.1−3.0−1.1−1.2−1.2−2.6−2.20.02.92.52.11.71.61.6
United Arab Emirates. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Uruguay5.14.51.72.11.51.1−0.9−0.5−1.3−0.3−0.3−0.3−0.3−0.4−0.4
Venezuela. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Average1.61.20.6−1.6−1.10.20.1−0.5−0.6−0.9−0.9−0.7−0.5−0.4−0.3
Asia0.00.3−0.7−2.0−1.40.10.0−0.6−0.6−1.2−1.5−1.3−1.1−1.1−0.9
Europe3.82.11.5−3.6−2.30.10.3−0.50.3−0.4−0.30.20.70.70.7
Latin America2.52.12.10.60.51.00.70.2−0.9−0.10.50.81.11.21.2
MENAP. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
G20 Emerging2.01.61.0−1.4−0.90.60.2−0.4−0.5−0.9−1.0−0.8−0.5−0.5−0.4
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: Cyclically adjusted primary balance is defined as the cyclically adjusted balance excluding net interest payments. For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table B. MENAP = Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Table A13.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Revenue, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria42.839.447.036.936.639.939.736.033.230.030.631.432.032.332.5
Angola50.245.850.934.643.548.845.940.534.325.628.328.528.227.727.3
Argentina24.124.926.927.829.629.831.533.435.635.735.134.934.834.834.7
Azerbaijan28.028.251.140.445.745.540.539.438.829.533.634.135.635.435.3
Belarus49.149.550.745.841.638.840.542.040.341.440.841.041.241.441.5
Brazil35.634.935.934.036.135.135.435.634.034.534.434.434.934.935.0
Chile26.227.325.820.623.524.724.423.322.823.424.525.225.925.925.9
China17.018.522.623.825.127.728.428.228.528.928.328.227.927.527.2
Colombia27.327.226.426.726.126.728.328.328.226.326.126.026.025.825.7
Croatia41.642.241.641.240.840.641.341.841.942.642.943.043.343.443.4
Dominican Republic15.116.415.113.313.112.813.614.615.114.814.814.714.714.614.7
Ecuador24.126.435.729.433.339.339.539.438.833.934.134.333.733.432.9
Egypt128.627.728.027.725.122.022.123.025.023.423.323.222.922.622.7
Hungary42.244.744.945.945.244.446.447.347.046.244.044.444.945.646.6
India20.322.019.718.518.819.119.719.819.419.519.719.819.920.020.1
Indonesia18.917.819.415.415.617.117.217.116.615.215.715.916.116.216.3
Iran25.826.522.721.421.919.214.214.114.213.513.312.812.311.911.4
Kazakhstan27.528.828.322.123.927.726.925.324.820.822.122.722.622.522.2
Kuwait63.867.560.669.470.773.073.572.470.862.064.566.165.664.563.3
Libya63.062.368.452.964.939.172.365.740.927.539.457.357.258.857.8
Malaysia24.124.424.625.623.124.625.824.924.222.923.323.323.623.923.7
Mexico21.922.125.022.122.623.623.824.223.522.021.722.222.322.222.2
Morocco27.429.932.529.327.527.828.728.628.327.027.528.127.927.927.9
Oman49.848.847.439.340.648.949.549.247.341.242.542.841.340.238.1
Pakistan13.614.414.414.214.312.613.213.315.114.815.415.615.715.915.9
Peru21.121.922.219.820.922.122.222.322.421.021.221.020.921.020.9
Philippines19.018.718.717.416.817.618.318.519.018.718.818.818.919.019.0
Poland41.241.140.837.938.239.039.138.238.739.139.238.939.239.339.3
Qatar36.637.235.647.735.038.745.051.947.140.135.332.931.830.729.6
Romania32.132.131.630.631.632.132.431.431.932.031.531.331.131.030.9
Russia39.540.239.235.034.637.337.736.937.134.833.434.634.434.133.8
Saudi Arabia53.746.660.536.041.647.550.346.742.335.937.037.236.435.033.8
South Africa27.828.428.227.026.727.027.227.628.028.329.029.229.229.329.3
Sri Lanka17.316.615.615.014.914.513.212.411.713.312.412.612.913.113.7
Thailand22.321.521.420.822.422.623.124.122.522.723.023.123.123.123.2
Turkey32.831.631.832.633.334.635.037.236.036.135.835.635.535.535.4
Ukraine41.640.242.440.843.442.944.743.340.842.840.340.740.840.740.3
United Arab Emirates40.939.542.030.734.737.840.239.336.330.731.431.130.730.029.3
Uruguay28.628.927.129.230.128.728.530.530.130.130.029.829.729.629.6
Venezuela37.733.131.424.621.227.923.523.428.822.621.120.319.418.618.2
Average28.028.230.027.128.029.530.130.029.328.227.927.927.827.527.3
Asia18.319.521.822.022.824.825.725.825.926.225.825.725.525.325.1
Europe37.837.937.935.335.337.037.337.036.835.534.835.335.235.134.9
Latin America28.528.630.128.229.730.230.230.529.929.128.828.828.928.828.7
MENAP40.138.141.932.534.035.138.337.434.529.329.930.329.929.328.6
G20 Emerging26.126.428.726.227.429.229.829.629.128.428.028.027.927.627.3
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table B. MENAP = Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Table A14.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Expenditure, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria28.933.337.942.337.040.343.836.839.442.540.438.937.436.235.1
Angola38.441.255.441.940.040.241.340.837.130.330.630.630.630.630.7
Argentina22.424.626.129.429.631.733.935.438.439.839.239.339.439.740.1
Azerbaijan26.925.931.133.831.734.036.738.038.435.232.131.531.230.229.8
Belarus47.947.948.846.242.134.538.942.940.244.443.544.144.945.746.2
Brazil39.237.737.437.238.837.638.038.640.239.839.238.638.337.937.6
Chile18.719.421.724.723.923.323.723.724.325.526.426.526.626.626.6
China18.118.422.725.626.327.128.329.329.630.930.530.029.529.028.5
Colombia28.328.026.629.529.428.628.329.229.629.528.828.528.127.827.4
Croatia44.944.744.347.246.848.246.947.046.947.446.746.346.246.346.3
Dominican Republic16.116.318.316.315.815.920.218.118.117.216.917.017.017.117.6
Ecuador21.224.635.233.034.739.340.444.044.039.339.038.436.434.834.2
Egypt137.835.336.034.633.431.832.737.138.635.232.731.831.330.930.6
Hungary51.449.748.550.449.749.748.749.749.648.946.446.947.548.048.9
India26.526.429.728.327.227.227.227.026.526.726.826.726.626.526.5
Indonesia18.518.719.417.016.917.718.819.118.817.417.817.817.817.918.0
Iran23.819.722.120.619.118.914.515.015.616.115.615.315.014.614.1
Kazakhstan19.823.727.123.522.521.822.420.222.824.124.023.023.022.221.8
Kuwait31.930.140.442.244.839.137.937.545.355.851.650.750.350.150.0
Libya31.233.740.858.253.455.044.569.884.495.682.872.971.768.469.8
Malaysia26.827.128.232.427.828.329.729.327.926.326.126.226.226.325.8
Mexico22.923.325.927.126.927.027.528.128.126.225.225.224.824.824.7
Morocco29.430.131.831.131.934.536.133.933.231.331.131.130.830.630.6
Oman35.436.430.139.635.039.544.845.948.856.054.153.552.551.550.7
Pakistan17.119.521.419.220.219.521.621.419.819.519.319.119.118.918.6
Peru19.118.619.621.420.919.820.321.522.522.722.622.221.921.821.7
Philippines19.119.018.620.119.218.018.918.618.419.619.819.920.120.220.4
Poland45.243.344.345.145.943.942.942.242.142.041.541.441.241.141.2
Qatar28.126.724.832.229.028.530.831.432.534.533.431.830.830.229.7
Romania33.435.236.337.837.936.334.833.833.833.933.232.732.532.332.2
Russia31.134.234.341.438.035.737.338.238.338.436.035.834.834.534.3
Saudi Arabia29.331.629.040.036.435.535.538.042.750.245.142.641.639.538.2
South Africa27.127.228.731.731.530.931.331.732.132.532.432.332.232.132.0
Sri Lanka24.323.522.624.922.821.419.718.317.720.019.819.920.120.521.1
Thailand20.121.321.224.023.223.224.924.324.324.725.024.924.925.125.0
Turkey33.533.634.538.636.735.236.638.537.537.536.736.436.536.736.3
Ukraine42.942.145.446.849.245.749.048.145.447.143.943.843.443.242.5
United Arab Emirates15.617.721.935.032.731.529.329.430.333.631.429.928.427.025.4
Uruguay29.128.928.730.931.629.631.332.933.533.032.932.832.732.632.7
Venezuela39.335.934.933.331.639.540.038.043.642.641.441.140.840.740.7
Average26.727.129.130.830.430.230.931.431.731.831.130.730.329.929.6
Asia20.320.623.725.425.526.127.127.928.028.928.728.328.027.627.2
Europe35.436.437.141.139.137.138.038.538.438.436.936.636.236.035.8
Latin America29.729.731.031.932.732.933.233.734.933.933.232.932.632.332.2
MENAP26.226.628.633.231.330.531.232.534.536.834.633.432.731.730.9
G20 Emerging25.626.228.130.130.029.930.731.531.731.931.230.830.430.029.6
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table B. MENAP = Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Table A15.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Gross Debt, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria26.913.98.810.811.79.910.08.38.813.615.416.718.018.318.1
Angola18.716.416.649.939.832.229.635.238.047.544.341.940.139.238.9
Argentina61.853.247.047.639.235.837.340.248.649.550.551.352.453.955.9
Azerbaijan10.28.67.311.811.110.111.613.816.421.623.124.025.226.127.3
Belarus11.118.321.534.739.545.938.538.337.939.645.546.847.148.649.8
Brazil165.863.861.965.063.061.263.562.265.266.266.265.365.165.164.2
Chile5.03.94.95.88.611.212.012.813.916.317.919.019.620.020.3
China31.534.831.735.836.636.537.339.441.143.546.248.149.249.849.8
Colombia35.732.331.935.237.035.732.035.838.040.640.139.939.338.637.6
Croatia36.134.436.044.552.859.964.475.780.985.187.287.787.386.786.0
Dominican Republic19.417.519.622.723.825.830.534.635.130.736.236.336.637.338.0
Ecuador28.827.222.216.419.218.421.324.229.834.336.637.737.636.335.0
Egypt290.380.270.273.073.276.678.989.090.590.588.585.983.882.681.7
Hungary64.965.871.978.180.981.078.577.376.975.574.773.973.272.471.8
India77.174.074.572.567.568.167.565.565.064.463.362.461.460.359.2
Indonesia35.832.330.326.524.523.123.024.925.025.925.725.625.224.724.2
Iran12.512.09.310.412.28.911.211.112.211.911.911.711.410.810.1
Kazakhstan6.75.96.810.210.710.412.412.915.117.219.121.324.627.329.9
Kuwait10.611.89.611.011.38.56.86.57.19.58.88.38.07.77.4
Libya. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Malaysia41.541.241.252.853.554.256.257.756.956.754.853.852.150.348.4
Mexico37.837.542.843.942.243.243.246.350.151.451.751.650.950.249.4
Morocco59.454.647.347.150.353.759.763.463.965.564.963.562.160.458.7
Oman8.97.14.86.95.95.24.95.15.18.69.610.614.719.324.3
Pakistan54.452.657.959.161.559.564.064.364.264.164.163.061.460.358.8
Peru34.831.928.028.425.223.221.220.320.721.522.322.221.721.422.1
Philippines51.644.644.244.343.541.440.639.137.235.533.832.030.328.727.4
Poland47.544.647.050.353.654.854.455.748.849.449.248.948.146.945.8
Qatar12.58.011.533.638.434.536.032.131.528.926.122.518.015.012.7
Romania12.512.713.423.330.533.937.538.840.440.540.039.238.337.536.6
Russia10.58.68.010.611.311.612.714.017.918.817.117.217.517.918.2
Saudi Arabia25.817.112.114.08.45.43.62.21.61.81.71.61.51.49.2
South Africa29.827.125.930.334.437.640.543.345.947.548.248.850.050.750.6
Sri Lanka87.985.081.486.181.978.579.278.375.977.078.178.278.077.977.7
Thailand42.038.337.345.242.641.745.445.947.247.547.247.047.047.347.6
Turkey46.539.940.046.042.339.136.236.233.533.432.532.631.931.932.8
Ukraine14.311.819.734.140.636.837.540.771.294.192.688.983.377.371.0
United Arab Emirates6.87.912.524.122.217.617.111.712.114.715.115.616.116.416.5
Uruguay75.768.067.865.661.659.059.562.162.864.465.365.866.667.468.3
Venezuela34.530.823.328.636.343.346.055.445.639.630.626.324.022.521.8
Average38.537.135.239.739.438.438.639.741.743.944.645.245.445.445.3
Asia42.843.840.142.842.341.741.842.944.146.047.748.949.549.649.4
Europe27.023.723.829.629.428.027.228.530.933.932.532.432.031.731.6
Latin America47.946.546.549.248.448.048.249.252.252.352.251.851.451.150.6
MENAP26.622.219.825.724.622.123.023.124.527.827.927.627.527.429.2
G20 Emerging40.940.137.741.440.439.439.340.342.544.745.746.646.947.047.1
Source: IMF staff estimates and projections. Projections are based on staff assessment of current policies (see Fiscal Policy Assumptions in text).Note: For country-specific details, see Data and Conventions in text, and Table B. MENAP = Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan.
Table A16.Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Net Debt, 2006–20(Percent of GDP)
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Algeria−7.6−20.4−29.9−32.5−28.7−27.1−23.4−23.3−16.5−6.02.98.812.414.515.3
Angola. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Argentina. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Azerbaijan. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Belarus. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Brazil46.544.237.140.438.034.532.931.534.134.434.533.934.034.233.4
Chile−6.6−13.0−19.3−10.6−7.0−8.6−6.8−5.7−5.2−2.7−0.70.61.31.92.6
China. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .
Colombia25.222.322.026.129.027.222.824.927.930.230.531.031.030.830.4
Croatia