Chapter

Publications from the Western Hemisphere Department, April 2017–March 2018

Author(s):
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Published Date:
May 2018
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Departmental Paper No. 18/05

Growing Pains: Is Latin America Prepared for Population Aging?

Lorenzo Figliuoli; Valentina Flamini; Rosalind Mowatt; Jaume Puig; Frederic Lambert; Bogdan Lissovolik; Misael Galdamez; Mike Li; Alexander Klemm; Mauricio Soto; Saji Thomas; Christoph Freudenberg; Anna Orthofer

IMF Working Papers

WP/17/99

Fiscal Challenges of Population Aging in Brazil

Alfredo Cuevas; Izabela Karpowicz; Carlos Mulas-Granados; Mauricio Soto

WP/17/100

Revisiting the Potential Impact to the Rest of the Caribbean from Opening US-Cuba Tourism Sebastian Acevedo Mejia; Trevor Serge Coleridge Alleyne; Rafael Romeu

WP/17/104

Taking Stock: Who Benefited from the Oil Price Shocks?

Diego A. Cerdeiro; Dmitry Plotnikov

WP/17/133

Bottom-Up Default Analysis of Corporate Solvency Risk: An Application to Latin America

Jorge A. Chan-Lau; Cheng Hoon Lim; Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado; Bennett W. Sutton; Melesse Tashu

WP/17/138

Public Investment Scaling-up and Debt Sustainability: The Case of Energy Sector Investments in the Caribbean

Ahmed El-Ashram

WP/17/144

Migration and Remittances in Latin America and the Caribbean: Engines of Growth and Macroeconomic Stabilizers?

Kimberly Beaton; Svetlana Cerovic; Misael Galdamez; Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov; Franz Loyola; Zsoka Koczan; Bogdan Lissovolik; Jan Kees Martijn; Yulia Ustyugova; Joyce Wong

WP/17/148

Trade Integration in Latin America: A Network Perspective

Kimberly Beaton; Aliona Cebotari; Xiaodan Ding; Andras Komaromi

WP/17/149

Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing: Incorporating Macro-Feedback Effects

Ivo Krznar; Troy D. Matheson

WP/17/150

Panama’s Growth Prospects: Determinants and Sectoral Perspectives

Kimberly Beaton; Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov

WP/17/151

The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Tariffs: Revisiting the Lerner Symmetry Result

Jesper Lindé; Andrea Pescatori

WP/17/157

A License to Issue (Anywhere): Patterns and Drivers of Corporate Bonds in Latin America

Svetlana Vtyurina; Adrian Robles; Bennett W. Sutton

WP/17/160

A Crude Shock: Explaining the Impact of the 2014–16 Oil Price Decline Across Exporters

Francesco Grigoli; Alexander Herman; Andrew J. Swiston

WP/17/165

Smooth Operator: Remittances and Fiscal Shocks

Kimberly Beaton; Serhan Cevik; Reza Yousefi

WP/17/166

Women Are Key for Future Growth: Evidence from Canada

Bengt Petersson; Rodrigo Mariscal; Kotaro Ishi

WP/17/167

What Explains the Decline of the US Labor Share of Income? An Analysis of State and Industry Level Data

Yasser Abdih; Stephan Danninger

WP/17/177

Mining Spillovers in Chile

Esther Perez Ruiz

WP/17/181

Back to the Future: The Nature of Regulatory Capital Requirements

Ralph Chami; Thomas F. Cosimano; Emanuel Kopp; Celine Rochon

WP/17/185

Cyber Risk, Market Failures, and Financial Stability

Emanuel Kopp; Lincoln Kaffenberger; Christopher Wilson

WP/17/190

Housing Finance and Real Estate Markets in Colombia

Francisco Roch

WP/17/192

Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Personal Income Tax Reforms: A Heterogenous Agent Model Approach for the US

Sandra V Lizarazo Ruiz; Adrian Peralta-Alva; Damien Puy

WP/17/197

Benchmarking Social Spending Using Efficiency Frontiers

Javier Kapsoli; Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru

WP/17/201

What Prevents a Real Business Cycle Model from Matching the US Data? Decomposing the Labor Wedge

Dmitry Plotnikov

WP/17/208

The Adjustment to Commodity Price Shocks in Chile, Colombia, and Peru

Francisco Roch

WP/17/209

Loss of Correspondent Banking Relationships in the Caribbean: Trends, Impact, and Policy Options

Trevor Serge Coleridge Alleyne; Jacques Bouhga-Hagbe; Thomas Dowling; Dmitriy Kovtun; Alla Myrvoda; Joel Chiedu Okwuokei; Jarkko Turunen

WP/17/218

How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America

Luis Brandao-Marques; Esther Perez Ruiz

WP/17/225

Inequality in Brazil: A Regional Perspective

Carlos Góes; Izabela Karpowicz

WP/17/230

Problem Loans in the Caribbean: Determinants, Impact and Strategies for Resolution

Kimberly Beaton; Thomas Dowling; Dmitriy Kovtun; Franz Loyola; Alla Myrvoda Joel Chiedu Okwuokei; Inci Ötker; Jarkko Turunen

WP/17/238

Potential Growth in Colombia

Sergi Lanau; Jorge Roldos; Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado

WP/17/240

Fear Thy Neighbor: Spillovers from Economic Policy Uncertainty

Nina Biljanovska; Francesco Grigoli; Martina Hengge

WP/17/244

Hollowing Out: The Channels of Income Polarization in the United States

Ali Alichi; Rodrigo Mariscal; Daniela Muhaj

WP/17/249

The Sectoral Effects of Real Depreciations in Latin America

Sergi Lanau

WP/17/283

Exchange Rate Misalignment and Growth: A Myth?

Carlos Goncalves; Mauro Rodrigues

WP/18/06

Investment in Brazil: From Crisis to Recovery

Ivo Krznar; Troy D. Matheson

WP/18/24

Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency

Steve Brito; Yan Carrière-Swallow; Bertrand Gruss

WP/18/35

Welfare Gains from Market Insurance: The Case of Mexican Oil Price Risk

Chang Ma; Fabian Valencia

WP/18/53

Financial Development and Inclusion in the Caribbean

Chuan Li; Joyce Cheng Wong

WP/18/70

Monetary Policy Transmission in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union

Alla Myrvoda; Julien Reynaud

Selected Issues Papers

Argentina

How to Reduce Argentina’s Tax Wedge?

Paolo Dudine; Ricardo Fenochietto; Vivian Malta

Assessing the Impact of Structural Reforms through a Supply-Side Framework: The Case of Argentina

Lusine Lusinyan

Labor Market Informality in Argentina: Evolution, Incentives and Policies

Jorge Ivan Canales Kriljenko

Addressing Gender Issues in Argentina’s Labor Market

Lisa Kolovich; Vivian Malta; Marina Mendes Tavares

The Bahamas

The Structure and Trends in the Bahamas’ Offshore Sector

Qiaoe Chen

Belize

Recent Issues in Belize’s Financial System

Joel Okwuokei; Bert van Selm; Chuan Li; Chady El Khoury

Brazil

Investment in Brazil: From Crisis to Recovery

Ivo Krznar; Troy Matheson

Brazil’s Business Environment and External Competitiveness

Izabela Karpowicz; Kenji Moriyama

Distributional Effects of Brazil’s Pension Reform

Izabela Karpowicz; Vivian Malta; Marina Mendes Tavares

Inequality in Brazil: A Micro-Data Analysis

Carlos Góes; Izabela Karpowicz

Interest Rates and Inflation in Brazil

Troy Matheson

The Effect of Fiscal Consolidation on Real Interest Rates in Emerging Market Economies

Nina Biljanovska

Boosting Productivity: Taxes and Resource Misallocation in Brazil

Henrique Fialho Barbosa; Carlos Mulas-Granados

Canada

Infrastructure Bank: Leveraging Private Capital in the Public Interest

David Gentry; Kotaro Ishi

Estimating the Growth Effect of Public Infrastructure: Evidence from Canadian Provinces

Kotaro Ishi; Rodrigo Mariscal; David Gentry

How Advanced Economies Tackle Housing Market Imbalances: Lessons for Canada

Zsofia Arvai; Yulia Ustyugova

Macroprudential Tools at Work in Canada

Ivo Krznar; Zsofia Arvai; Yulia Ustyugova

Colombia

Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions in Colombia

Francisco Roch

Housing Finance and Real Estate Markets in Colombia

Francisco Roch

Potential Growth in Colombia

Sergi Lanau; Daniel Rodriguez-Delgado; Jorge Roldós

The Growth Impact of the 2016 Structural Tax Reform

Daniel Rodriguez-Delgado

Costa Rica

Implications of the New US Administration’s Economic Plans for Central America

Victoria Valente

Selected Fiscal Sector Issues

Jaume Puig; Valentina Flamini; Luis Ángel Oviedo; Juan Diego Trejos

Selected Financial Sector Issues

Valentina Flamini; Pierluigi Bologna; Rasool Zandvakil

Addressing Infrastructure Bottlenecks to Boost Competitiveness

Gerardo Peraza; Roany Toc Bac

Climate Change, Environmental Policies and Output Trade-Offs

Dmitry Plotnikov

Dominica

Optimal Management of Citizenship-by-Investment Program Revenues in Dominica

Alejandro Guerson; Alla Myrvoda; Balazs Csonto; Marina Mendes Tavares

Productivity and Potential Output in Dominica

Alejandro Guerson; Alla Myrvoda; Balazs Csonto; Marina Mendes Tavares

Macroeconomic and Distributional Implications of Fiscal Consolidation: An Application to Dominica

Alejandro Guerson; Alla Myrvoda; Balazs Csonto; Marina Mendes Tavares

Eastern Caribbean Currency Union

Productivity and Potential Output in the ECCU

Alejandro Guerson; Balazs Csonto

Fiscal Rules for the ECCU

Gregorio Impavido; Dominique Simard

Mexico

Mexico’s Structural Reform Agenda: Early Signs of Success

Christian Saborowski

Structural Weaknesses and Resource Misallocation in Mexico

Florian Misch; Christian Saborowski

Nicaragua

Nicaragua’s Social Security System: Pathways to Sustainability

Rosalind Mowatt

Nicaragua: Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change and Disasters

Fang Yang; Xiaodan Ding

Nicaragua: Coping with Transfer Pricing; The Special Case of Commodities and Free Trade Zones

Roberto Schatan

Panama

Panama’s Growth Prospects: Determinants and Sectoral Perspectives

Kimberly Beaton; Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov

Spillovers from External Exposures to Panama

Kimberly Beaton; Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov

Safeguarding Financial Stability in Panama: A Framework for Systemic Risk Oversight and Macroprudential Policy

Kimberly Beaton; Jun Kusumoto

Paraguay

Paraguay’s Pension and Health Systems

Geoffrey Keim

Peru

Financial Deepening in Peru – Do Regional Characteristics Matter?

Yen Mooi; Adrian Robles

Implementing a Medium-Term Budget Framework in Peru (MTBF)

Virginia Alonso Albarran

Trinidad and Tobago

Reforming Public Bodies: Challenges and Reforms

Abdullah AlHassan

Uruguay

The Impact of Exchange Rate Movements on Consumption in Uruguay

Frederik Toscani

Next Steps for Promoting De-Dollarization in Uruguay

Diva Singh

Uruguay: Estimates of Fiscal Multipliers

Yehenew Endegnanew

Productivity, Foreign Demand, and Factor Allocation in Uruguay

Galen Sher

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