Journal Issue

Statement by the IMF Staff Representative on Chile

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Published Date:
December 2016
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1. This statement reports on information that has become available since the staff report was issued. It does not alter the thrust of the staff appraisal.

2. Activity remained soft in October due to a contraction in mining. Chiles leading economic index IMACEC decreased 0.4 percent year-on-year in October of 2016, following a 1.5 percent rise in September. The mining component declined 7.1 percent while the non-mining index increased 0.3 percent. The latter reflected an increase in services, partly offset by the fall in manufacturing industry.

3. Markets expect monetary policy to ease. The November survey of economic expectations showed a shift in expectations. Compared to September, analysts now expect two policy rate cuts in 2017. Inflation expectations for year-end fell by three tenths to 3 percent in November, while remaining stable at 3 percent at both a one- and two-year horizon (BCCh Economic expectations survey).

Monetary Policy Rate and Expectations

(In percent)

Source: Economic Expectations Survey, Central Bank of Chile.

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